List of Probabilities for North Carolina
North Carolina Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Cardinal Gibbons 18 5 2 97 2 101 38.00
2 Providence Day 20 1 1 43 1 45 23.00
3 Chapel Hill 22 2 3 85 3 91 11.00
4 Weddington 19 8 5 8 6 19 6.00
5 East Chapel Hill 22 5 10 18 7 35 5.00
6 Charlotte CDS 18 7 4 22 8 34 4.00
7 Charlotte Cathol 16 6 9 11 9 29 3.00
8 Cannon School 11 8 20 7 27 54 2.00
9 Charlotte Latin 12 8 6 32 10 48 2.00
10 Holly Springs 23 2 8 2 4 14 2.00
11 Marvin Ridge 20 4 7 40 5 52 2.00
12 Apex 20 3 16 19 12 47 0.00
13 Pinecrest 17 5 17 1 15 33 0.00
14 Apex Friendship 13 9 33 3 41 77 0.00
15 Ardrey Kell 7 11 58 29 65 152 0.00
16 Arendell Parrott 4 8 65 48 74 187 0.00
17 Asheville HS 15 3 29 68 19 116 0.00
18 Asheville School 12 1 42 116 20 178 0.00
19 Ashley 7 12 55 12 86 153 0.00
20 Athens Drive 10 10 59 31 66 156 0.00
21 Atkins 12 8 62 49 58 169 0.00
22 Ballantyne Ridge 11 6 56 112 38 206 0.00
23 Bishop McGuinnes 20 4 19 24 17 60 0.00
24 Broughton 14 7 21 13 33 67 0.00
25 Butler 3 13 115 124 106 345 0.00
26 Cape Fear Academ 7 9 76 77 78 231 0.00
27 Cape Fear HS 4 7 98 115 67 280 0.00
28 Carrboro 10 10 64 41 59 164 0.00
29 Cary Academy 3 12 101 98 108 307 0.00
30 Cary HS 0 20 117 47 126 290 0.00
31 Charlotte Christ 5 12 47 28 55 130 0.00
32 Christ the King 4 2 22 76 28 126 0.00
33 Clayton 1 13 109 102 117 328 0.00
34 Cleveland 5 6 102 125 56 283 0.00
35 Community School 11 7 51 60 49 160 0.00
36 Corinth Holders 8 9 80 99 83 262 0.00
37 Croatan 13 9 32 16 62 110 0.00
38 Cuthbertson 13 9 27 14 31 72 0.00
39 Davidson Day Sch 9 10 38 10 76 124 0.00
40 Davie 10 10 74 65 87 226 0.00
41 DH Conley 0 4 119 120 50 289 0.00
42 Durham Academy 6 10 60 100 57 217 0.00
43 East Forsyth 4 14 90 42 118 250 0.00
44 Enloe 0 12 92 62 104 258 0.00
45 Fayetteville Aca 16 0 14 90 11 115 0.00
46 First Flight 8 8 61 95 63 219 0.00
47 Forsyth CDS 13 6 23 84 34 141 0.00
48 Fuquay-Varina 11 8 50 61 64 175 0.00
49 Garner 4 9 111 117 89 317 0.00
50 Glenn 0 19 123 81 127 331 0.00
51 Green Hope 9 12 57 9 84 150 0.00
52 Green Level 3 13 94 46 109 249 0.00
53 Greensboro Day S 3 11 77 69 98 244 0.00
54 Grimsley 11 7 35 35 47 117 0.00
55 Havelock 2 10 103 105 99 307 0.00
56 Heritage 10 9 70 75 79 224 0.00
57 Hickory 12 6 54 67 46 167 0.00
58 High Point Centr 1 10 118 119 97 334 0.00
59 Hoggard 17 6 15 4 21 40 0.00
60 Hough 11 4 36 89 30 155 0.00
61 Hunt 5 10 99 96 96 291 0.00
62 Independence 0 15 125 113 122 360 0.00
63 Jack Britt 4 16 121 111 124 356 0.00
64 Jacksonville 2 12 91 51 112 254 0.00
65 JH Rose 16 3 26 36 22 84 0.00
66 Jordan 3 12 87 50 93 230 0.00
67 Lake Norman Char 12 7 28 23 36 87 0.00
68 Lake Norman HS 14 7 13 34 32 79 0.00
69 Laney 9 8 44 30 54 128 0.00
70 Leesville Road 7 9 39 27 70 136 0.00
71 Lincoln Charter 0 12 116 106 114 336 0.00
72 Middle Creek 10 9 45 15 53 113 0.00
73 Millbrook 14 10 48 38 71 157 0.00
74 Mooresville 5 12 96 72 103 271 0.00
75 Mount Tabor 3 13 110 83 116 309 0.00
76 Myers Park 16 10 18 110 18 146 0.00
77 New Bern 17 4 30 33 25 88 0.00
78 New Hanover 18 4 24 20 14 58 0.00
79 North Brunswick 6 17 105 103 123 331 0.00
80 North Davidson 7 9 88 92 82 262 0.00
81 North Lincoln 8 10 75 73 91 239 0.00
82 Northern Guilfor 1 11 100 78 105 283 0.00
83 Northside 7 12 93 54 107 254 0.00
84 Northwest Guilfo 16 5 11 5 16 32 0.00
85 Northwood 3 10 78 59 77 214 0.00
86 Page 5 9 66 57 81 204 0.00
87 Panther Creek 3 13 97 56 110 263 0.00
88 Parkwood 6 10 82 66 72 220 0.00
89 Patton 2 12 108 104 113 325 0.00
90 Pine Forest 0 10 120 122 100 342 0.00
91 Pine Lake Prep 4 11 85 63 101 249 0.00
92 Porter Ridge 7 10 81 64 68 213 0.00
93 Providence 3 10 95 91 94 280 0.00
94 Rabun Gap-Nocooc 1 5 68 55 51 174 0.00
95 Ragsdale 1 9 114 118 92 324 0.00
96 Ravenscroft Scho 8 9 46 87 48 181 0.00
97 Riverside Durham 1 16 106 53 120 279 0.00
98 RJ Reynolds 13 10 52 21 60 133 0.00
99 Rolesville 3 16 122 107 125 354 0.00
100 Ronald Reagan 17 7 53 39 42 134 0.00
101 Sanderson 8 9 86 79 69 234 0.00
102 Seaforth 10 7 41 25 37 103 0.00
103 South Brunswick 9 11 71 114 90 275 0.00
104 South Iredell 8 12 83 70 102 255 0.00
105 South Mecklenbur 11 6 63 94 43 200 0.00
106 Southeast Guilfo 15 5 37 44 35 116 0.00
107 Southlake Christ 8 5 69 109 44 222 0.00
108 Southwest Guilfo 8 13 89 58 111 258 0.00
109 St Davids School 4 8 73 93 75 241 0.00
110 St Marys 10 7 67 74 39 180 0.00
111 St Stephens 10 9 79 80 80 239 0.00
112 Sun Valley 2 12 107 86 95 288 0.00
113 Swansboro 11 6 43 45 45 133 0.00
114 TC Roberson 5 8 72 101 73 246 0.00
115 Terry Sanford 6 9 84 88 85 257 0.00
116 Topsail 17 3 12 17 13 42 0.00
117 Union Pines 15 6 31 6 26 63 0.00
118 Wake Forest 9 6 49 71 52 172 0.00
119 Wakefield 12 9 40 26 61 127 0.00
120 Watauga 1 14 112 82 121 315 0.00
121 West Brunswick 2 17 104 108 119 331 0.00
122 West Forsyth 21 6 25 37 29 91 0.00
123 West Stokes 3 9 113 123 88 324 0.00
124 White Oak 0 12 124 121 115 360 0.00
125 Willow Spring 13 6 34 52 40 126 0.00
126 Fike 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
127 Hopewell 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00