List of Probabilities for Massachusetts
Massachusetts Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Notre Dame Hingh 11 1 1 1 1 3 19.00
2 Central Catholic 12 0 3 30 2 35 11.00
3 East Longmeadow 11 2 2 4 5 11 7.00
4 Concord-Carlisle 7 4 41 21 50 112 6.00
5 North Andover 11 2 12 16 4 32 6.00
6 Lincoln-Sudbury 6 2 16 20 15 51 4.00
7 Medfield 10 2 22 27 9 58 4.00
8 Reading Memorial 10 1 9 35 7 51 4.00
9 Westwood 10 3 25 12 27 64 4.00
10 Andover HS 5 7 36 7 65 108 3.00
11 Hingham 9 2 5 5 6 16 3.00
12 Longmeadow 8 3 4 3 19 26 3.00
13 Walpole 10 2 6 17 14 37 3.00
14 Chelmsford 6 5 10 2 36 48 2.00
15 Duxbury 9 2 14 18 8 40 2.00
16 Hanover 9 1 21 80 21 122 2.00
17 Nantucket 10 0 7 38 3 48 2.00
18 Natick 7 4 58 51 52 161 2.00
19 Acton-Boxborough 8 2 18 39 34 91 0.00
20 Beverly 9 3 20 19 24 63 0.00
21 Billerica Memori 3 8 69 10 145 224 0.00
22 Foxborough 10 1 37 85 18 140 0.00
23 Ipswich 8 0 8 45 11 64 0.00
24 King Philip Regi 9 4 68 41 58 167 0.00
25 Manchester-Essex 5 1 49 115 25 189 0.00
26 Sandwich 9 0 15 93 12 120 0.00
27 Wayland 6 5 39 15 106 160 0.00
28 Wellesley 7 3 44 64 23 131 0.00
29 Westford Academy 7 3 34 46 64 144 0.00
30 Weston 8 1 17 58 26 101 0.00
31 Weymouth 7 5 46 14 87 147 0.00
32 Abington 2 5 197 206 139 542 0.00
33 Agawam 3 7 116 73 129 318 0.00
34 Algonquin 7 3 60 104 55 219 0.00
35 Amherst-Pelham 9 0 11 89 10 110 0.00
36 AMSA Charter 8 2 78 171 38 287 0.00
37 Apponequet 7 1 33 94 28 155 0.00
38 Archbishop Willi 4 7 100 55 176 331 0.00
39 Arlington Cathol 5 6 146 144 148 438 0.00
40 Arlington HS 6 5 137 163 117 417 0.00
41 Ashland 10 2 67 114 20 201 0.00
42 Assabet Valley R 0 7 192 147 190 529 0.00
43 Attleboro 6 4 92 132 88 312 0.00
44 Auburn 3 7 123 71 180 374 0.00
45 Barnstable 4 4 63 48 56 167 0.00
46 Bay Path RVT 1 6 215 216 166 597 0.00
47 Bedford HS 6 4 51 56 95 202 0.00
48 Belchertown 4 5 118 120 130 368 0.00
49 Bellingham 2 10 188 153 207 548 0.00
50 Belmont 6 5 70 62 96 228 0.00
51 Bishop Feehan 7 4 47 52 71 170 0.00
52 Bishop Fenwick 6 3 66 100 57 223 0.00
53 Bishop Stang 5 7 149 117 173 439 0.00
54 Blackstone Valle 4 6 177 195 152 524 0.00
55 Boston Latin Aca 1 4 204 187 118 509 0.00
56 Boston Latin Sch 5 4 73 77 89 239 0.00
57 Bourne 1 10 200 159 213 572 0.00
58 Braintree 7 3 91 164 45 300 0.00
59 Bridgewater-Rayn 3 7 131 82 174 387 0.00
60 Bristol County A 0 7 212 173 191 576 0.00
61 Bristol-Plymouth 3 5 191 180 132 503 0.00
62 Bromfield 0 8 185 108 202 495 0.00
63 Brookline 2 8 111 40 195 346 0.00
64 Burlington 6 5 43 28 81 152 0.00
65 Cambridge Ridge/ 5 7 155 143 159 457 0.00
66 Canton 6 4 75 91 90 256 0.00
67 Cape Cod Academy 6 3 13 11 49 73 0.00
68 Cardinal Spellma 5 5 165 203 125 493 0.00
69 Chicopee Comp 3 7 145 110 181 436 0.00
70 Chicopee HS 7 2 124 201 41 366 0.00
71 Cohasset 7 3 31 42 29 102 0.00
72 Danvers 3 8 153 76 177 406 0.00
73 Dartmouth 5 4 74 78 97 249 0.00
74 Dedham 6 5 102 126 103 331 0.00
75 Dennis-Yarmouth 3 5 136 123 126 385 0.00
76 Dighton-Rehoboth 4 4 126 148 98 372 0.00
77 Doherty Memorial 3 6 166 161 156 483 0.00
78 Dover-Sherborn 7 4 72 74 66 212 0.00
79 Dracut 2 6 173 137 160 470 0.00
80 East Bridgewater 1 10 211 197 214 622 0.00
81 Essex North Shor 3 5 139 109 133 381 0.00
82 Everett 2 6 213 214 161 588 0.00
83 Fairhaven 7 5 134 149 112 395 0.00
84 Falmouth Academy 2 4 189 184 113 486 0.00
85 Falmouth HS 5 6 30 6 107 143 0.00
86 Fitchburg 0 9 205 178 208 591 0.00
87 Fontbonne Academ 2 6 170 160 162 492 0.00
88 Framingham 0 7 175 60 192 427 0.00
89 Franklin 6 6 56 44 72 172 0.00
90 Georgetown 4 6 86 59 140 285 0.00
91 Gloucester 1 7 194 194 187 575 0.00
92 Grafton 7 3 28 47 39 114 0.00
93 Granby 4 4 143 141 108 392 0.00
94 Greater Lowell T 8 2 119 204 40 363 0.00
95 Greater New Bedf 5 3 103 167 67 337 0.00
96 Groton-Dunstable 7 4 77 79 73 229 0.00
97 Hamilton-Wenham 3 3 48 29 68 145 0.00
98 Hampshire Region 8 4 85 124 82 291 0.00
99 Haverhill 5 3 82 118 51 251 0.00
100 Holliston 3 6 109 69 141 319 0.00
101 Hoosac Valley 5 3 80 130 74 284 0.00
102 Hopedale 2 4 162 158 114 434 0.00
103 Hopkinton 4 7 120 67 157 344 0.00
104 Hudson/Clinton 2 6 172 170 163 505 0.00
105 Hull 3 5 115 174 134 423 0.00
106 Lee/Lenox/Monume 4 3 107 151 77 335 0.00
107 Leominster 5 4 64 57 78 199 0.00
108 Lexington HS 7 5 42 9 91 142 0.00
109 Littleton 7 1 87 193 30 310 0.00
110 Lowell 3 5 184 199 135 518 0.00
111 Lowell Catholic 1 6 193 192 167 552 0.00
112 Lunenburg 6 3 79 125 69 273 0.00
113 Lynnfield 5 6 142 133 136 411 0.00
114 Malden 4 6 195 210 153 558 0.00
115 Malden Catholic 6 5 90 84 119 293 0.00
116 Mansfield 5 4 97 128 99 324 0.00
117 Marblehead 4 6 114 95 137 346 0.00
118 Marlborough 2 8 187 176 198 561 0.00
119 Marshfield 8 4 26 13 44 83 0.00
120 Marthas Vineyard 4 4 121 139 100 360 0.00
121 Masconomet 5 7 76 63 127 266 0.00
122 Mashpee 4 3 160 198 79 437 0.00
123 McCann Tech 0 7 201 150 193 544 0.00
124 Medford 2 5 207 211 142 560 0.00
125 Medway 2 7 163 119 168 450 0.00
126 Melrose 4 3 84 72 80 236 0.00
127 Methuen 7 4 129 183 92 404 0.00
128 Middleboro 3 7 179 135 178 492 0.00
129 Milford 1 7 168 97 183 448 0.00
130 Milton HS 0 6 147 75 164 386 0.00
131 Minnechaug Regio 7 5 57 36 83 176 0.00
132 Monomoy 5 5 130 152 109 391 0.00
133 Monson 2 6 203 207 165 575 0.00
134 Montachusett RVT 1 7 186 157 188 531 0.00
135 Mount Greylock R 4 5 96 112 84 292 0.00
136 Mystic Valley Ch 1 6 181 86 169 436 0.00
137 Nashoba Regional 5 5 132 155 128 415 0.00
138 Nashoba Valley T 7 3 138 200 59 397 0.00
139 Nauset Regional 7 3 19 25 42 86 0.00
140 Needham 4 4 65 50 101 216 0.00
141 New Bedford 5 7 125 65 170 360 0.00
142 Newburyport 7 0 35 140 16 191 0.00
143 Newton North 2 10 148 31 212 391 0.00
144 Newton South 1 8 108 24 197 329 0.00
145 Nipmuc Regional 6 4 54 61 102 217 0.00
146 North Attleborou 4 6 158 169 149 476 0.00
147 North Middlesex 4 9 122 43 206 371 0.00
148 North Quincy 4 8 159 83 171 413 0.00
149 North Reading 4 6 144 142 143 429 0.00
150 Northampton 5 3 93 131 53 277 0.00
151 Northbridge 8 5 98 98 110 306 0.00
152 Northeast RVT 2 7 196 188 184 568 0.00
153 Norton 2 11 180 101 215 496 0.00
154 Norwell 4 5 62 66 75 203 0.00
155 Norwood 6 4 135 182 93 410 0.00
156 Notre Dame Worce 6 5 113 116 120 349 0.00
157 Oakmont Regional 4 7 151 122 179 452 0.00
158 Old Colony RVT 3 4 112 107 111 330 0.00
159 Old Rochester Re 8 3 23 22 46 91 0.00
160 Oliver Ames 8 4 95 102 85 282 0.00
161 Peabody Veterans 8 2 38 99 17 154 0.00
162 Pembroke 5 8 110 37 182 329 0.00
163 Pentucket Region 6 5 32 34 86 152 0.00
164 Pittsfield/Tacon 2 8 171 172 199 542 0.00
165 Plymouth North 6 6 50 8 104 162 0.00
166 Plymouth South 1 8 176 127 196 499 0.00
167 Pope Francis 6 3 24 33 70 127 0.00
168 Quincy 4 7 94 53 146 293 0.00
169 Revere 0 9 216 215 209 640 0.00
170 Rockland 1 7 208 202 189 599 0.00
171 Salem 2 6 199 209 154 562 0.00
172 Saugus 6 4 161 205 94 460 0.00
173 Scituate 6 4 27 23 76 126 0.00
174 Seekonk 2 8 214 212 200 626 0.00
175 Sharon 0 8 198 162 203 563 0.00
176 Shawsheen Valley 7 1 53 186 31 270 0.00
177 Shepherd Hill 6 5 152 175 121 448 0.00
178 Shrewsbury 1 10 133 32 210 375 0.00
179 Silver Lake 3 5 105 70 138 313 0.00
180 Somerset Berkley 1 6 210 196 147 553 0.00
181 Somerville 7 5 169 189 115 473 0.00
182 South Hadley 3 6 154 134 158 446 0.00
183 South Shore RVT 9 0 99 213 13 325 0.00
184 Southeastern RVT 2 7 202 190 185 577 0.00
185 Springfield Cent 2 5 141 136 144 421 0.00
186 St Bernards 5 4 117 156 105 378 0.00
187 St John Paul II 7 4 83 54 60 197 0.00
188 St Marys Lynn 7 3 55 129 61 245 0.00
189 Stoneham 1 7 182 146 186 514 0.00
190 Stoughton 4 8 167 121 194 482 0.00
191 Sturgis Charter 0 8 206 181 204 591 0.00
192 Sturgis Charter 2 2 164 208 62 434 0.00
193 Swampscott 8 1 59 166 22 247 0.00
194 Tahanto Regional 8 3 81 113 54 248 0.00
195 Tantasqua 7 3 61 103 63 227 0.00
196 Taunton 0 8 178 154 201 533 0.00
197 Tewksbury Memori 6 5 128 145 122 395 0.00
198 Tri-County RVT 2 4 156 185 116 457 0.00
199 Triton Regional 0 8 190 96 205 491 0.00
200 Tyngsborough 5 6 140 138 150 428 0.00
201 Upper Cape Cod R 6 2 104 191 32 327 0.00
202 Ursuline Academy 7 2 52 168 33 253 0.00
203 Wachusett 6 3 40 49 47 136 0.00
204 Wahconah Regiona 0 9 183 106 211 500 0.00
205 Wakefield Memori 4 6 157 165 155 477 0.00
206 Waltham 4 7 127 88 172 387 0.00
207 Watertown 5 5 101 111 123 335 0.00
208 West Springfield 8 3 29 26 35 90 0.00
209 Westborough 10 2 45 68 37 150 0.00
210 Westfield 5 3 71 92 48 211 0.00
211 Whitman-Hanson R 6 5 88 90 124 302 0.00
212 Whittier RVT 0 5 209 179 151 539 0.00
213 Wilmington 1 11 174 105 216 495 0.00
214 Winchester 5 6 106 81 131 318 0.00
215 Winthrop 2 7 150 87 175 412 0.00
216 Woburn Memorial 7 2 89 177 43 309 0.00