List of Probabilities for Massachusetts
Massachusetts Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Notre Dame Hingh 20 2 1 5 1 7 22.00
2 Central Catholic 22 2 2 59 2 63 12.00
3 Hingham 19 3 6 4 3 13 9.00
4 Wellesley 19 4 16 14 10 40 7.00
5 Reading Memorial 21 2 14 42 4 60 6.00
6 Walpole 21 3 8 8 7 23 6.00
7 East Longmeadow 19 3 3 6 8 17 5.00
8 Longmeadow 16 6 4 9 12 25 4.00
9 Newburyport 19 1 22 73 6 101 4.00
10 Westwood 18 6 15 1 16 32 4.00
11 Concord-Carlisle 17 5 12 10 17 39 3.00
12 Duxbury 16 6 19 3 18 40 3.00
13 Lincoln-Sudbury 17 2 5 92 5 102 3.00
14 Medfield 20 3 18 21 13 52 3.00
15 Cohasset 16 4 9 108 14 131 2.00
16 Chelmsford 14 7 13 12 25 50 0.00
17 Franklin 12 10 42 84 58 184 0.00
18 Ipswich 18 1 7 20 15 42 0.00
19 Natick 13 8 45 13 48 106 0.00
20 North Andover 16 7 20 11 24 55 0.00
21 Weston 17 4 28 70 21 119 0.00
22 Weymouth 16 7 23 16 32 71 0.00
23 Abington 8 11 140 209 133 482 0.00
24 Acton-Boxborough 12 7 30 36 43 109 0.00
25 Agawam 5 12 99 107 118 324 0.00
26 Algonquin 11 8 67 79 95 241 0.00
27 Amherst-Pelham 19 3 41 110 22 173 0.00
28 AMSA Charter 15 5 85 147 38 270 0.00
29 Andover HS 10 11 38 78 63 179 0.00
30 Apponequet 14 4 32 67 27 126 0.00
31 Archbishop Willi 8 14 130 116 184 430 0.00
32 Arlington Cathol 7 12 155 192 158 505 0.00
33 Arlington HS 7 12 127 133 152 412 0.00
34 Ashland 16 7 48 29 41 118 0.00
35 Assabet Valley R 1 15 200 158 202 560 0.00
36 Attleboro 11 8 102 144 89 335 0.00
37 Auburn 6 13 158 141 175 474 0.00
38 Barnstable 10 8 71 43 54 168 0.00
39 Bay Path RVT 3 16 211 206 205 622 0.00
40 Bedford HS 13 9 52 51 76 179 0.00
41 Belchertown 10 10 91 95 122 308 0.00
42 Bellingham 3 18 192 113 213 518 0.00
43 Belmont 13 7 55 57 49 161 0.00
44 Beverly 15 5 44 76 35 155 0.00
45 Billerica Memori 5 15 70 23 150 243 0.00
46 Bishop Feehan 12 7 59 89 57 205 0.00
47 Bishop Fenwick 12 4 65 166 39 270 0.00
48 Bishop Stang 7 13 141 86 170 397 0.00
49 Blackstone Valle 7 12 194 200 159 553 0.00
50 Boston Latin Aca 4 9 193 213 125 531 0.00
51 Boston Latin Sch 10 8 77 81 73 231 0.00
52 Bourne 4 14 188 162 194 544 0.00
53 Braintree 13 9 58 47 79 184 0.00
54 Bridgewater-Rayn 7 15 95 63 171 329 0.00
55 Bristol County A 0 15 213 187 204 604 0.00
56 Bristol-Plymouth 4 13 186 167 180 533 0.00
57 Bromfield 4 15 165 115 200 480 0.00
58 Brookline 6 12 104 46 140 290 0.00
59 Burlington 12 9 63 49 90 202 0.00
60 Cambridge Ridge/ 5 14 143 101 172 416 0.00
61 Canton 10 8 111 125 98 334 0.00
62 Cape Cod Academy 15 5 11 27 33 71 0.00
63 Cardinal Spellma 7 11 166 188 144 498 0.00
64 Chicopee Comp 5 11 152 146 151 449 0.00
65 Chicopee HS 10 7 154 179 80 413 0.00
66 Danvers 6 14 120 44 177 341 0.00
67 Dartmouth 13 5 56 149 45 250 0.00
68 Dedham 12 8 134 152 86 372 0.00
69 Dennis-Yarmouth 6 12 138 85 145 368 0.00
70 Dighton-Rehoboth 12 7 122 156 74 352 0.00
71 Doherty Memorial 6 9 156 168 119 443 0.00
72 Dover-Sherborn 12 10 76 72 103 251 0.00
73 Dracut 7 9 124 160 115 399 0.00
74 East Bridgewater 3 17 206 164 208 578 0.00
75 Essex North Shor 6 12 145 45 153 343 0.00
76 Everett 2 11 210 210 160 580 0.00
77 Fairhaven 11 9 110 90 99 299 0.00
78 Falmouth Academy 6 7 167 215 96 478 0.00
79 Falmouth HS 10 11 27 7 81 115 0.00
80 Fitchburg 0 16 214 201 209 624 0.00
81 Fontbonne Academ 9 9 159 180 110 449 0.00
82 Foxborough 15 6 50 100 44 194 0.00
83 Framingham 0 18 184 80 214 478 0.00
84 Georgetown 6 13 106 32 161 299 0.00
85 Gloucester 1 17 204 171 212 587 0.00
86 Grafton 15 7 25 38 40 103 0.00
87 Granby 6 13 170 120 176 466 0.00
88 Greater Lowell T 14 4 135 199 36 370 0.00
89 Greater New Bedf 10 10 133 106 123 362 0.00
90 Groton-Dunstable 10 9 68 112 91 271 0.00
91 Hamilton-Wenham 12 7 36 18 59 113 0.00
92 Hampshire Region 13 7 105 121 65 291 0.00
93 Hanover 15 4 17 26 23 66 0.00
94 Haverhill 12 4 34 131 37 202 0.00
95 Holliston 9 11 89 39 129 257 0.00
96 Hoosac Valley 12 6 90 159 64 313 0.00
97 Hopedale 6 11 157 151 149 457 0.00
98 Hopkinton 4 14 136 53 185 374 0.00
99 Hudson/Clinton 4 12 185 175 169 529 0.00
100 Hull 11 10 137 145 113 395 0.00
101 King Philip Regi 15 7 51 55 50 156 0.00
102 Lee/Lenox/Monume 8 10 148 150 130 428 0.00
103 Leominster 11 9 49 41 82 172 0.00
104 Lexington HS 13 9 53 52 83 188 0.00
105 Littleton 10 7 146 194 84 424 0.00
106 Lowell 7 11 175 181 146 502 0.00
107 Lowell Catholic 6 12 187 184 166 537 0.00
108 Lunenburg 13 5 96 185 46 327 0.00
109 Lynnfield 11 11 84 24 107 215 0.00
110 Malden 11 8 172 212 97 481 0.00
111 Malden Catholic 9 10 109 127 111 347 0.00
112 Manchester-Essex 14 5 24 22 28 74 0.00
113 Mansfield 11 7 107 204 85 396 0.00
114 Marblehead 7 11 116 64 141 321 0.00
115 Marlborough 5 10 181 189 138 508 0.00
116 Marshfield 12 7 46 77 47 170 0.00
117 Marthas Vineyard 10 10 118 91 104 313 0.00
118 Masconomet 10 12 80 33 131 244 0.00
119 Mashpee 6 12 164 109 147 420 0.00
120 McCann Tech 0 16 212 197 210 619 0.00
121 Medford 7 10 196 207 134 537 0.00
122 Medway 4 16 168 93 203 464 0.00
123 Melrose 12 7 66 103 60 229 0.00
124 Methuen 11 10 88 98 108 294 0.00
125 Middleboro 5 12 169 140 168 477 0.00
126 Milford 5 13 189 178 178 545 0.00
127 Milton HS 4 15 139 56 189 384 0.00
128 Minnechaug Regio 9 11 69 54 112 235 0.00
129 Monomoy 12 8 98 128 70 296 0.00
130 Monson 5 13 197 190 179 566 0.00
131 Montachusett RVT 5 10 191 198 139 528 0.00
132 Mount Greylock R 10 10 81 117 87 285 0.00
133 Mystic Valley Ch 3 16 205 172 206 583 0.00
134 Nantucket 22 1 10 69 9 88 0.00
135 Nashoba Regional 9 10 83 83 116 282 0.00
136 Nashoba Valley T 14 8 150 174 88 412 0.00
137 Nauset Regional 11 9 39 28 77 144 0.00
138 Needham 11 8 43 19 66 128 0.00
139 New Bedford 8 12 147 124 155 426 0.00
140 Newton North 7 15 132 50 181 363 0.00
141 Newton South 3 15 149 68 192 409 0.00
142 Nipmuc Regional 13 8 64 97 92 253 0.00
143 North Attleborou 7 12 163 148 162 473 0.00
144 North Middlesex 8 11 101 94 142 337 0.00
145 North Quincy 7 13 151 138 154 443 0.00
146 North Reading 6 14 144 40 173 357 0.00
147 Northampton 13 8 60 176 51 287 0.00
148 Northbridge 12 10 87 88 117 292 0.00
149 Northeast RVT 5 15 202 173 197 572 0.00
150 Norton 5 14 176 143 190 509 0.00
151 Norwell 12 10 31 2 55 88 0.00
152 Norwood 10 10 112 87 109 308 0.00
153 Notre Dame Worce 13 9 78 104 101 283 0.00
154 Oakmont Regional 7 12 123 82 163 368 0.00
155 Old Colony RVT 9 10 160 161 126 447 0.00
156 Old Rochester Re 13 6 54 123 61 238 0.00
157 Oliver Ames 9 10 121 114 127 362 0.00
158 Peabody Veterans 16 4 26 31 19 76 0.00
159 Pembroke 8 14 131 62 164 357 0.00
160 Pentucket Region 13 8 62 17 68 147 0.00
161 Pittsfield/Tacon 3 14 199 211 186 596 0.00
162 Plymouth North 6 12 86 35 136 257 0.00
163 Plymouth South 3 15 179 126 193 498 0.00
164 Pope Francis 12 7 82 119 75 276 0.00
165 Quincy 10 11 94 75 114 283 0.00
166 Revere 0 14 216 214 198 628 0.00
167 Rockland 3 15 190 137 199 526 0.00
168 Salem 4 13 201 182 182 565 0.00
169 Sandwich 19 2 21 30 11 62 0.00
170 Saugus 8 11 182 183 143 508 0.00
171 Scituate 12 8 35 15 56 106 0.00
172 Seekonk 3 14 207 202 195 604 0.00
173 Sharon 6 12 177 191 167 535 0.00
174 Shawsheen Valley 14 7 117 132 69 318 0.00
175 Shepherd Hill 9 10 162 170 128 460 0.00
176 Shrewsbury 5 14 114 74 183 371 0.00
177 Silver Lake 8 12 97 58 135 290 0.00
178 Somerset Berkley 1 10 203 216 137 556 0.00
179 Somerville 13 7 142 193 71 406 0.00
180 South Hadley 8 12 128 139 156 423 0.00
181 South Shore RVT 16 3 113 186 26 325 0.00
182 Southeastern RVT 2 15 209 177 201 587 0.00
183 Springfield Cent 6 8 174 195 105 474 0.00
184 St Bernards 9 9 119 129 106 354 0.00
185 St John Paul II 13 8 73 60 62 195 0.00
186 St Marys Lynn 11 7 93 157 78 328 0.00
187 Stoneham 6 14 178 154 187 519 0.00
188 Stoughton 7 14 173 169 191 533 0.00
189 Sturgis Charter 3 13 208 208 188 604 0.00
190 Sturgis Charter 2 10 195 205 148 548 0.00
191 Swampscott 16 4 74 142 34 250 0.00
192 Tahanto Regional 15 5 57 111 42 210 0.00
193 Tantasqua 13 8 92 134 93 319 0.00
194 Taunton 0 17 198 165 215 578 0.00
195 Tewksbury Memori 11 10 115 118 120 353 0.00
196 Tri-County RVT 9 8 153 155 100 408 0.00
197 Triton Regional 0 16 183 99 207 489 0.00
198 Tyngsborough 7 12 126 102 165 393 0.00
199 Upper Cape Cod R 16 5 72 66 30 168 0.00
200 Ursuline Academy 15 5 75 203 31 309 0.00
201 Wachusett 13 6 37 61 52 150 0.00
202 Wahconah Regiona 3 15 180 153 196 529 0.00
203 Wakefield Memori 8 10 129 130 124 383 0.00
204 Waltham 8 11 108 65 121 294 0.00
205 Watertown 11 11 125 136 132 393 0.00
206 Wayland 11 10 47 37 94 178 0.00
207 West Springfield 15 6 29 25 20 74 0.00
208 Westborough 17 4 33 71 29 133 0.00
209 Westfield 10 10 61 96 67 224 0.00
210 Westford Academy 12 8 40 34 53 127 0.00
211 Whitman-Hanson R 11 8 79 105 72 256 0.00
212 Whittier RVT 0 19 215 196 216 627 0.00
213 Wilmington 3 17 171 163 211 545 0.00
214 Winchester 6 13 103 48 157 308 0.00
215 Winthrop 7 13 161 135 174 470 0.00
216 Woburn Memorial 10 9 100 122 102 324 0.00