List of Probabilities for Maryland
Maryland Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 McDonogh School 14 1 8 58 2 68 25.00
2 St Pauls SG 13 4 29 48 37 114 15.00
3 John Carroll 8 5 41 41 69 151 12.00
4 Stone Ridge Scho 11 4 13 15 19 47 8.00
5 Archbishop Spald 11 3 14 18 9 41 7.00
6 Georgetown Visit 9 5 5 1 21 27 6.00
7 Maryvale Prep 14 2 22 36 13 71 4.00
8 Severna Park 11 1 3 6 4 13 4.00
9 Good Counsel 16 0 4 28 5 37 3.00
10 Notre Dame Prep 8 8 74 109 156 339 2.00
11 Roland Park Coun 6 9 67 29 176 272 2.00
12 Glenelg HS 12 1 11 25 7 43 2.00
13 Manchester Valle 12 0 1 7 1 9 2.00
14 Garrison Forest 6 9 94 33 195 322 0.00
15 Gerstell Academy 10 4 60 74 84 218 0.00
16 Glenelg Country 6 8 71 42 161 274 0.00
17 Severn School 5 11 93 37 208 338 0.00
18 St Marys 9 6 33 43 112 188 0.00
19 Broadneck 7 4 10 3 26 39 0.00
20 Liberty 9 3 18 52 15 85 0.00
21 Mount Hebron 7 5 24 2 55 81 0.00
22 Annapolis Area C 7 1 78 165 24 267 0.00
23 Anne Arundel Cou 3 2 99 126 72 297 0.00
24 Beth TFiloh 5 2 88 145 59 292 0.00
25 Bishop McNamara 4 7 85 55 80 220 0.00
26 Brookewood SG 3 4 157 114 102 373 0.00
27 Bryn Mawr SG 5 9 72 32 170 274 0.00
28 Bullis School 2 12 104 10 164 278 0.00
29 Calverton School 0 4 209 205 144 558 0.00
30 Catholic High Ba 4 6 121 139 171 431 0.00
31 Chapelgate Chris 1 8 206 186 211 603 0.00
32 Concordia Prep 4 5 100 83 152 335 0.00
33 Elizabeth Seton 4 8 97 35 140 272 0.00
34 FCA 9 5 53 31 129 213 0.00
35 Field School 0 4 181 166 145 492 0.00
36 Friends School 0 7 161 96 203 460 0.00
37 Georgetown Day S 3 3 73 125 77 275 0.00
38 Gunston Day Scho 4 7 148 89 190 427 0.00
39 Holton-Arms Scho 8 7 36 118 25 179 0.00
40 Holy Child 4 12 123 140 122 385 0.00
41 Holy Cross 5 8 50 134 106 290 0.00
42 Indian Creek 3 7 122 70 191 383 0.00
43 Jackson-Reed 5 8 186 198 153 537 0.00
44 Jemicy 4 3 163 190 92 445 0.00
45 Key School 2 4 144 123 137 404 0.00
46 Maret School 9 3 39 80 28 147 0.00
47 Mercy 3 11 120 19 218 357 0.00
48 Mount de Sales 5 13 107 5 219 331 0.00
49 National Cathedr 5 9 147 90 175 412 0.00
50 Park School 5 8 109 56 204 369 0.00
51 Rockbridge Acade 4 3 151 179 93 423 0.00
52 Salisbury School 8 3 91 180 52 323 0.00
53 Sandy Spring Fri 0 1 213 209 60 482 0.00
54 School Without W 0 2 212 207 85 504 0.00
55 Sidwell Friends 9 2 44 173 29 246 0.00
56 St Andrews Episc 2 5 180 121 141 442 0.00
57 St James School 2 4 198 174 78 450 0.00
58 St Johns Catholi 11 5 75 101 107 283 0.00
59 St Johns College 11 5 47 46 30 123 0.00
60 St Marys Ryken 3 8 110 40 157 307 0.00
61 St Timothys 8 0 45 160 14 219 0.00
62 St Vincent Pallo 2 8 154 97 209 460 0.00
63 Sts Peter & Paul 10 1 34 84 20 138 0.00
64 Tome School 0 4 191 204 146 541 0.00
65 Washington Latin 0 1 211 208 61 480 0.00
66 Worcester Prep 1 9 189 137 213 539 0.00
67 Aberdeen 5 3 132 168 86 386 0.00
68 Academy for Coll 2 3 199 191 103 493 0.00
69 Annapolis 5 1 51 67 38 156 0.00
70 Arundel 5 4 46 34 73 153 0.00
71 Atholton 3 7 162 133 192 487 0.00
72 Baltimore Polyte 4 2 87 184 70 341 0.00
73 Bel Air 9 4 25 20 94 139 0.00
74 Bethesda-Chevy C 6 4 65 75 74 214 0.00
75 Bladensburg 1 6 160 85 181 426 0.00
76 Blair 3 5 62 27 113 202 0.00
77 Blake 1 9 113 23 206 342 0.00
78 Bohemia Manor 2 7 187 183 196 566 0.00
79 Boonsboro 5 4 150 176 98 424 0.00
80 Bowie 5 2 27 64 62 153 0.00
81 Brunswick 0 6 195 148 185 528 0.00
82 Calvert 5 6 92 53 166 311 0.00
83 Cambridge SD 1 4 158 115 142 415 0.00
84 Carver A&T 4 5 106 117 154 377 0.00
85 Catoctin 4 2 178 206 71 455 0.00
86 Catonsville 6 3 16 17 47 80 0.00
87 Centennial 3 7 131 82 172 385 0.00
88 Central PG 0 1 192 135 63 390 0.00
89 Century 10 1 9 26 6 41 0.00
90 CH Flowers 4 3 139 177 95 411 0.00
91 Chesapeake AA 10 1 28 131 10 169 0.00
92 Chesapeake BC 4 1 134 197 45 376 0.00
93 Chopticon 3 4 136 108 130 374 0.00
94 City College 4 3 111 199 96 406 0.00
95 Clarksburg 9 2 69 122 46 237 0.00
96 CM Wright 6 4 49 57 108 214 0.00
97 CMIT North 5 2 56 116 64 236 0.00
98 Crofton 6 4 70 86 99 255 0.00
99 Damascus 9 2 7 8 17 32 0.00
100 Dr Henry Wise 4 4 112 54 123 289 0.00
101 Dulaney 6 6 40 14 124 178 0.00
102 Dundalk 5 5 155 171 147 473 0.00
103 DuVal 1 7 165 92 199 456 0.00
104 Eastern Technica 5 3 55 47 87 189 0.00
105 Easton 6 2 76 138 53 267 0.00
106 Edgewood 3 6 176 182 177 535 0.00
107 Einstein 4 5 117 71 138 326 0.00
108 Eleanor Roosevel 8 0 32 113 12 157 0.00
109 Elkton 3 7 171 196 178 545 0.00
110 Fairmont Heights 0 3 201 91 114 406 0.00
111 Fallston 7 6 30 9 125 164 0.00
112 Francis Scott Ke 3 6 95 51 131 277 0.00
113 Franklin 3 4 114 73 132 319 0.00
114 Frederick 4 5 142 181 148 471 0.00
115 Frederick Dougla 0 4 138 158 149 445 0.00
116 Gaithersburg 0 10 203 162 220 585 0.00
117 Glen Burnie 3 7 164 130 193 487 0.00
118 Gov Thomas Johns 1 2 124 154 79 357 0.00
119 Great Mills 1 8 175 104 212 491 0.00
120 Gwynn Park 1 3 108 105 109 322 0.00
121 Hammond 2 8 200 164 205 569 0.00
122 Harford Tech 5 4 86 93 115 294 0.00
123 Havre De Grace 5 4 90 98 116 304 0.00
124 Hereford 7 2 21 39 48 108 0.00
125 Howard 5 5 57 49 88 194 0.00
126 Huntingtown 8 1 26 38 22 86 0.00
127 JM Bennett 1 6 159 124 182 465 0.00
128 Kennedy 2 8 194 178 210 582 0.00
129 Kent County 3 5 129 103 158 390 0.00
130 Kent Island 3 8 96 65 167 328 0.00
131 Kenwood 5 4 166 192 117 475 0.00
132 La Plata 6 2 58 69 54 181 0.00
133 Lackey 3 4 152 157 133 442 0.00
134 Lansdowne 1 7 196 169 200 565 0.00
135 Laurel 8 1 83 170 23 276 0.00
136 Leonardtown 6 5 68 44 143 255 0.00
137 Linganore 7 3 35 59 49 143 0.00
138 Loch Raven 5 2 79 149 65 293 0.00
139 Long Reach 6 3 143 194 81 418 0.00
140 Magruder 5 5 137 150 150 437 0.00
141 Marriotts Ridge 9 3 12 30 11 53 0.00
142 Meade 0 8 190 143 214 547 0.00
143 Middletown 6 5 82 79 97 258 0.00
144 MJ McDonough 2 4 140 107 139 386 0.00
145 New Town 0 3 210 187 118 515 0.00
146 North Caroline 6 3 52 95 56 203 0.00
147 North County 3 6 127 81 162 370 0.00
148 North East Cecil 3 6 169 156 179 504 0.00
149 North Hagerstown 2 7 188 189 197 574 0.00
150 North Harford 3 7 101 60 194 355 0.00
151 North Point 3 5 145 141 159 445 0.00
152 Northeast 3 5 146 132 160 438 0.00
153 Northern Calvert 7 2 42 88 50 180 0.00
154 Northwest 7 3 81 128 57 266 0.00
155 Northwestern PG 2 5 153 153 163 469 0.00
156 Northwood 7 3 103 155 66 324 0.00
157 Oakdale 7 3 43 66 67 176 0.00
158 Oakland Mills 2 7 179 175 186 540 0.00
159 Old Mill 4 5 105 87 155 347 0.00
160 Overlea 3 3 185 200 100 485 0.00
161 Owings Mills 0 8 205 163 215 583 0.00
162 Oxon Hill 5 3 126 161 89 376 0.00
163 Paint Branch 3 8 168 111 201 480 0.00
164 Parkdale 5 3 119 144 90 353 0.00
165 Parkside 3 4 141 136 134 411 0.00
166 Parkville 6 4 116 146 110 372 0.00
167 Patapsco 2 6 184 151 180 515 0.00
168 Patterson Mill 6 3 61 94 82 237 0.00
169 Patuxent 6 4 102 129 111 342 0.00
170 Perry Hall 3 4 89 63 135 287 0.00
171 Perryville 6 6 98 72 165 335 0.00
172 Pikesville 2 6 149 102 168 419 0.00
173 Poolesville 5 5 133 147 101 381 0.00
174 Queen Annes Coun 7 2 54 203 41 298 0.00
175 Quince Orchard 6 4 20 16 51 87 0.00
176 Reservoir 8 4 84 76 75 235 0.00
177 Richard Montgome 5 5 115 112 151 378 0.00
178 Rising Sun 4 4 135 202 126 463 0.00
179 River Hill 6 6 77 110 104 291 0.00
180 Rockville 2 7 167 119 173 459 0.00
181 Seneca Valley 3 8 177 127 207 511 0.00
182 Sherwood 8 0 2 78 3 83 0.00
183 Smithsburg 0 6 208 188 187 583 0.00
184 South Carroll 4 6 48 21 105 174 0.00
185 South River 5 4 19 12 68 99 0.00
186 Southern 3 5 118 100 127 345 0.00
187 Sparrows Point 5 4 66 68 119 253 0.00
188 Springbrook 9 2 38 77 16 131 0.00
189 St Charles 1 7 204 185 202 591 0.00
190 Stephen Decatur 8 1 15 61 27 103 0.00
191 Suitland 0 5 193 193 169 555 0.00
192 Towson 5 6 31 11 128 170 0.00
193 Tuscarora 4 4 130 142 120 392 0.00
194 Urbana 6 4 17 22 76 115 0.00
195 Walkersville 2 7 182 152 183 517 0.00
196 Walter Johnson 8 2 23 50 18 91 0.00
197 Watkins Mill 0 8 202 159 216 577 0.00
198 Western Baltimor 0 2 214 201 91 506 0.00
199 Western STES 6 3 125 167 83 375 0.00
200 Westlake 0 6 207 195 188 590 0.00
201 Westminster 3 7 37 4 136 177 0.00
202 Wheaton 3 8 173 120 198 491 0.00
203 Whitman 9 1 6 24 8 38 0.00
204 Wicomico 0 6 170 62 189 421 0.00
205 Wilde Lake 2 9 172 99 217 488 0.00
206 Winston Churchil 2 7 63 13 174 250 0.00
207 Winters Mill 4 6 80 45 121 246 0.00
208 Woodlawn 1 6 197 172 184 553 0.00
209 Wootton 7 3 64 106 58 228 0.00
210 Cristo Rey Jesui 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
211 DC International 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
212 EL Haynes Charte 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
213 KIPP College Pre 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
214 Oldfields School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
215 St Maria Goretti 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
216 Joppatowne 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
217 Milford Mill 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
218 Randallstown 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
219 South Hagerstown 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
220 Thomas Stone 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00