List of Probabilities for Connecticut
Connecticut Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 New Canaan 21 1 1 11 1 13 46.00
2 Darien 16 5 2 10 2 14 28.00
3 Wilton 16 4 3 15 4 22 17.00
4 Ridgefield 13 6 6 28 7 41 5.00
5 Greenwich HS 13 8 9 43 9 61 4.00
6 Amity Regional 16 6 5 19 11 35 0.00
7 Avon HS 8 10 38 18 47 103 0.00
8 Bacon Academy 2 14 82 66 90 238 0.00
9 Berlin 6 11 54 45 66 165 0.00
10 Bethel 6 11 60 26 64 150 0.00
11 Branford 10 8 27 24 38 89 0.00
12 Brien McMahon 3 12 65 55 74 194 0.00
13 Bristol Central 5 11 87 90 70 247 0.00
14 Bristol Eastern 10 9 47 58 53 158 0.00
15 Brookfield 9 9 50 27 48 125 0.00
16 Canton 12 7 35 40 39 114 0.00
17 Cheshire HS 11 9 18 5 24 47 0.00
18 Conard 17 3 7 3 5 15 0.00
19 Cromwell 2 14 88 70 91 249 0.00
20 Danbury 3 13 80 67 83 230 0.00
21 Daniel Hand 13 8 8 8 18 34 0.00
22 East Catholic 10 8 62 78 55 195 0.00
23 East Lyme 10 10 25 48 49 122 0.00
24 Ellington 15 4 13 14 14 41 0.00
25 Enfield 3 11 94 96 80 270 0.00
26 EO Smith 4 12 79 79 79 237 0.00
27 Fairfield Ludlow 11 8 19 6 20 45 0.00
28 Fairfield Warde 10 7 39 38 35 112 0.00
29 Farmington 16 4 15 33 15 63 0.00
30 Fitch 15 5 30 81 28 139 0.00
31 Foran 14 4 43 72 16 131 0.00
32 Glastonbury 9 8 22 17 33 72 0.00
33 Granby Memorial 2 14 68 34 86 188 0.00
34 Griswold-Norwich 5 10 85 91 71 247 0.00
35 Guilford 10 9 28 16 31 75 0.00
36 Haddam-Killingwo 7 10 61 54 67 182 0.00
37 Hall 9 7 33 23 32 88 0.00
38 Hamden 7 10 57 41 56 154 0.00
39 Housatonic Regio 6 8 73 87 58 218 0.00
40 Immaculate Heart 0 16 91 64 92 247 0.00
41 Joel Barlow 13 7 31 13 29 73 0.00
42 Jonathan Law 7 10 83 93 69 245 0.00
43 Killingly 10 7 56 68 45 169 0.00
44 Lauralton Hall 15 5 20 30 19 69 0.00
45 Ledyard 11 7 37 42 44 123 0.00
46 Lewis Mills 13 7 46 59 41 146 0.00
47 Lyman Hall 9 8 58 69 50 177 0.00
48 Masuk 20 3 11 9 3 23 0.00
49 Mercy 4 12 74 77 84 235 0.00
50 Middletown-Cogin 3 13 89 89 87 265 0.00
51 Montville 5 11 67 60 78 205 0.00
52 Morgan School 9 9 51 50 60 161 0.00
53 New Fairfield 20 3 10 35 6 51 0.00
54 New London/St Be 1 15 97 97 94 288 0.00
55 New Milford 4 12 75 57 75 207 0.00
56 Newington 7 11 66 61 68 195 0.00
57 Newtown 14 5 16 12 12 40 0.00
58 North Branford 16 5 26 31 27 84 0.00
59 North Haven 3 13 84 84 88 256 0.00
60 Northwest Cathol 4 12 70 44 76 190 0.00
61 Northwest United 1 12 95 95 81 271 0.00
62 Norwalk 10 8 36 22 30 88 0.00
63 Norwich Free Aca 9 8 59 62 52 173 0.00
64 Notre Dame-Fairf 3 13 76 37 82 195 0.00
65 Old Lyme 17 5 21 29 25 75 0.00
66 Old Saybrook 9 8 34 20 54 108 0.00
67 Pomperaug 12 7 23 4 23 50 0.00
68 RHAM 4 11 72 75 77 224 0.00
69 Rockville 4 11 64 53 72 189 0.00
70 Rocky Hill 8 10 69 76 65 210 0.00
71 Sacred Heart Aca 7 10 48 47 59 154 0.00
72 Sheehan 9 9 49 51 46 146 0.00
73 Shelton 9 8 55 73 51 179 0.00
74 Simsbury 18 4 4 7 8 19 0.00
75 Somers 10 8 42 63 42 147 0.00
76 South Windsor 12 7 32 74 36 142 0.00
77 Southington 13 6 29 21 21 71 0.00
78 St Joseph 9 7 40 36 37 113 0.00
79 St Paul Catholic 13 6 53 82 40 175 0.00
80 Stamford 9 8 44 39 43 126 0.00
81 Staples 11 8 12 1 13 26 0.00
82 Stonington 8 10 45 25 61 131 0.00
83 Stratford-Bunnel 1 15 86 52 89 227 0.00
84 Suffield HS 15 4 17 32 17 66 0.00
85 Tolland 14 6 41 49 26 116 0.00
86 Trumbull 6 10 63 56 62 181 0.00
87 Valley Regional 4 12 77 65 85 227 0.00
88 Waterford 15 4 24 46 22 92 0.00
89 Watertown 8 8 71 92 57 220 0.00
90 West Haven 0 16 92 86 96 274 0.00
91 Westhill 6 10 78 83 63 224 0.00
92 Weston 16 6 14 2 10 26 0.00
93 Wethersfield 6 11 81 85 73 239 0.00
94 Wheeler 12 5 52 80 34 166 0.00
95 Windsor 0 16 96 94 97 287 0.00
96 Wolcott 1 15 93 88 93 274 0.00
97 Woodstock Academ 1 15 90 71 95 256 0.00