List of Probabilities for California
California Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 St Ignatius Prep 14 5 9 38 5 52 25.00
2 Sacred Heart Pre 16 2 7 107 3 117 19.00
3 San Ramon Valley 17 1 4 84 1 89 10.00
4 Redwood 15 4 12 2 12 26 8.00
5 Oak Ridge 17 2 3 1 2 6 6.00
6 Marlborough 14 1 1 9 7 17 6.00
7 Granite Bay 12 5 34 17 54 105 3.00
8 Torrey Pines 13 4 5 5 13 23 3.00
9 Marin Catholic 15 4 18 27 14 59 2.00
10 St Francis Sacra 9 3 24 83 68 175 2.00
11 Mira Costa 15 4 6 15 9 30 2.00
12 San Clemente 17 2 8 7 4 19 2.00
13 Santa Margarita 13 4 13 19 17 49 2.00
14 California San R 10 4 46 63 63 172 0.00
15 Carondelet 12 8 39 41 59 139 0.00
16 Tamalpais 9 8 41 6 108 155 0.00
17 Vista del Lago 10 5 50 52 79 181 0.00
18 Cathedral Cathol 9 7 22 31 65 118 0.00
19 Coronado 12 3 15 113 35 163 0.00
20 San Marcos SD 11 6 17 66 51 134 0.00
21 Foothill Santa A 14 2 10 11 6 27 0.00
22 Mater Dei Santa 11 5 19 23 29 71 0.00
23 St Margarets 12 6 16 12 85 113 0.00
24 Acalanes 11 7 67 99 149 315 0.00
25 Alhambra 4 7 265 278 190 733 0.00
26 Amador Valley 12 5 53 43 67 163 0.00
27 Archie Williams 9 8 134 88 162 384 0.00
28 Athenian 2 6 278 282 170 730 0.00
29 Bay School 7 6 211 258 142 611 0.00
30 Bella Vista 11 5 122 192 100 414 0.00
31 Bentley 4 3 234 280 94 608 0.00
32 Berkeley 8 9 159 97 208 464 0.00
33 Bishop ODowd 5 10 169 112 235 516 0.00
34 Branson School 12 4 73 95 62 230 0.00
35 Campolindo 10 6 54 59 101 214 0.00
36 Cardinal Newman 4 8 197 193 216 606 0.00
37 Casa Grande 5 8 181 235 209 625 0.00
38 Christian Brothe 12 3 108 198 53 359 0.00
39 Clayton Valley C 5 8 232 249 210 691 0.00
40 College Park 12 4 110 207 77 394 0.00
41 Convent-Sacred H 1 8 263 257 223 743 0.00
42 Davis 6 8 44 22 152 218 0.00
43 Del Oro 12 3 30 37 18 85 0.00
44 Dougherty Valley 4 7 138 167 163 468 0.00
45 Dublin 6 9 150 117 211 478 0.00
46 Folsom 6 9 101 40 171 312 0.00
47 Foothill Pleasan 3 10 175 133 236 544 0.00
48 Granada 6 11 158 74 243 475 0.00
49 Head-Royce Schoo 3 9 198 187 229 614 0.00
50 International 1 7 249 250 202 701 0.00
51 Justin-Siena 13 6 62 96 119 277 0.00
52 Las Lomas 9 6 161 217 133 511 0.00
53 Lick-Wilmerding 8 6 112 115 137 364 0.00
54 Livermore 2 11 231 194 256 681 0.00
55 Lowell 0 6 224 162 183 569 0.00
56 Marin Academy 10 3 21 65 55 141 0.00
57 Miramonte 8 9 68 76 172 316 0.00
58 Monte Vista Danv 13 4 32 29 56 117 0.00
59 Moreau Catholic 3 8 268 269 219 756 0.00
60 Napa 2 12 254 232 282 768 0.00
61 Newark Memorial 1 11 276 263 267 806 0.00
62 Northgate 2 11 190 127 265 582 0.00
63 Novato 8 7 81 68 143 292 0.00
64 Oakland Tech 1 1 250 281 64 595 0.00
65 Oakmont 2 9 266 259 237 762 0.00
66 Petaluma 10 4 92 175 90 357 0.00
67 Piedmont 12 4 103 166 78 347 0.00
68 Rancho Cotate 10 6 167 203 130 500 0.00
69 Rio Americano 6 10 209 141 230 580 0.00
70 Rocklin 8 10 143 54 193 390 0.00
71 Roseville 3 9 230 223 231 684 0.00
72 San Marin 12 5 36 45 73 154 0.00
73 San Rafael 1 12 213 104 275 592 0.00
74 Sonoma Academy 3 9 218 204 232 654 0.00
75 Sonoma Valley 10 5 99 176 111 386 0.00
76 St Vincent de Pa 6 7 235 272 176 683 0.00
77 Terra Linda 3 10 202 144 238 584 0.00
78 University HS SF 7 8 74 48 164 286 0.00
79 Urban School 9 4 129 218 95 442 0.00
80 Vintage 7 8 136 108 196 440 0.00
81 Washington Fremo 0 2 282 276 91 649 0.00
82 West Park 0 18 273 188 304 765 0.00
83 Whitney 2 15 193 61 289 543 0.00
84 Windsor 1 11 257 237 268 762 0.00
85 Woodcreek 11 4 182 236 80 498 0.00
86 Ygnacio Valley 0 8 272 256 225 753 0.00
87 Academy of Our L 2 13 179 77 290 546 0.00
88 Bishops School 18 1 14 39 11 64 0.00
89 Bonita Vista 10 9 121 75 212 408 0.00
90 Canyon Crest 6 10 151 103 239 493 0.00
91 Canyon Hills 10 7 131 139 153 423 0.00
92 Carlsbad 13 4 38 24 50 112 0.00
93 Castle Park 11 8 102 123 177 402 0.00
94 Clairemont 6 10 220 213 240 673 0.00
95 Classical Academ 10 6 125 161 131 417 0.00
96 Del Lago Academy 1 11 204 100 269 573 0.00
97 Del Norte 12 4 40 93 81 214 0.00
98 Eastlake 10 7 87 50 154 291 0.00
99 El Camino 5 16 222 90 297 609 0.00
100 El Capitan 10 5 119 200 112 431 0.00
101 Fallbrook 13 4 75 149 74 298 0.00
102 Francis Parker S 7 8 135 214 165 514 0.00
103 Granite Hills 8 6 113 125 138 376 0.00
104 Grossmont 5 11 206 153 258 617 0.00
105 Helix Charter 3 11 244 240 264 748 0.00
106 Hilltop 4 12 233 181 279 693 0.00
107 La Costa Canyon 6 8 61 92 122 275 0.00
108 La Jolla CDS 6 8 132 242 178 552 0.00
109 La Jolla HS 5 12 115 78 244 437 0.00
110 Lincoln San Dieg 1 11 243 238 270 751 0.00
111 Mar Vista 7 2 199 270 60 529 0.00
112 Mater Dei Chula 11 6 117 209 124 450 0.00
113 Mira Mesa 7 11 144 71 251 466 0.00
114 Mission Bay 11 4 141 222 88 451 0.00
115 Mission Hills 3 10 187 173 249 609 0.00
116 Mission Vista 1 14 255 143 293 691 0.00
117 Monte Vista Spri 5 5 168 253 132 553 0.00
118 Montgomery 0 1 280 273 69 622 0.00
119 Morse 7 11 223 191 252 666 0.00
120 Mt Carmel 7 7 128 172 144 444 0.00
121 Olympian 6 12 188 135 271 594 0.00
122 Otay Ranch 4 10 264 251 246 761 0.00
123 Pacific Ridge 9 4 82 146 96 324 0.00
124 Patrick Henry 5 11 140 120 259 519 0.00
125 Point Loma 11 3 45 81 66 192 0.00
126 Poway 9 7 107 132 155 394 0.00
127 Preuss School 0 15 238 185 298 721 0.00
128 Ramona 1 12 245 212 284 741 0.00
129 Rancho Bernardo 6 12 147 86 272 505 0.00
130 Rancho Buena Vis 13 2 85 182 25 292 0.00
131 Sage Creek 14 4 93 140 71 304 0.00
132 San Diego 9 6 142 158 134 434 0.00
133 San Dieguito 5 9 96 53 203 352 0.00
134 San Ysidro 13 7 91 130 139 360 0.00
135 Santa Fe Christi 0 15 241 160 299 700 0.00
136 Santana 4 12 226 216 280 722 0.00
137 Scripps Ranch 9 5 63 94 109 266 0.00
138 Southwest 0 6 277 267 184 728 0.00
139 Tri City Christi 10 4 170 244 92 506 0.00
140 University City 15 3 29 46 36 111 0.00
141 Valhalla 6 10 183 156 241 580 0.00
142 Valley Center 8 6 145 179 140 464 0.00
143 Vista 10 7 127 89 156 372 0.00
144 West Hills 10 7 171 206 157 534 0.00
145 Westview 7 7 155 190 173 518 0.00
146 Aptos 6 6 208 255 150 613 0.00
147 Aragon 4 11 214 152 262 628 0.00
148 Archbishop Mitty 1 10 146 91 213 450 0.00
149 Burlingame 8 7 130 116 166 412 0.00
150 Carlmont 2 7 184 195 197 576 0.00
151 Carmel 4 3 100 201 97 398 0.00
152 Castilleja 16 2 49 111 19 179 0.00
153 Gilroy 4 7 185 215 191 591 0.00
154 Gunn 13 2 84 202 26 312 0.00
155 Harbor 0 1 285 285 70 640 0.00
156 Harker School 0 16 239 119 300 658 0.00
157 Hillsdale 10 7 106 55 158 319 0.00
158 Leland 7 4 118 226 102 446 0.00
159 Lincoln San Jose 3 7 195 220 194 609 0.00
160 Live Oak 12 1 42 178 15 235 0.00
161 Los Altos 7 6 111 171 145 427 0.00
162 Los Gatos 11 4 89 150 89 328 0.00
163 Menlo School 10 5 37 28 27 92 0.00
164 Menlo-Atherton 6 10 90 20 185 295 0.00
165 Mercy Burlingame 6 10 173 114 242 529 0.00
166 Monte Vista Chri 9 7 104 72 159 335 0.00
167 Monterey 4 1 180 279 52 511 0.00
168 Mountain View 3 10 229 196 250 675 0.00
169 Notre Dame Belmo 11 5 78 225 110 413 0.00
170 Notre Dame Salin 1 4 258 264 125 647 0.00
171 Notre Dame San J 7 7 139 131 174 444 0.00
172 Palo Alto 4 12 207 208 281 696 0.00
173 Pioneer 9 6 116 151 135 402 0.00
174 Presentation 7 8 172 155 198 525 0.00
175 Priory 2 10 163 87 253 503 0.00
176 Sacred Heart Cat 12 4 86 136 82 304 0.00
177 Salinas 3 8 186 205 220 611 0.00
178 Santa Catalina S 1 7 201 177 204 582 0.00
179 Santa Cruz 1 4 281 283 126 690 0.00
180 Saratoga 4 8 225 233 217 675 0.00
181 Scotts Valley 8 2 64 224 57 345 0.00
182 Sequoia 10 5 56 70 113 239 0.00
183 Sobrato 2 10 251 241 254 746 0.00
184 Soquel 3 5 205 246 141 592 0.00
185 St Francis Mtn V 7 7 55 14 103 172 0.00
186 Stevenson School 7 2 26 124 61 211 0.00
187 Wilcox 0 9 270 265 245 780 0.00
188 Willow Glen 3 6 189 229 167 585 0.00
189 Woodside 11 2 52 184 28 264 0.00
190 York School 0 3 279 271 114 664 0.00
191 Agoura 4 14 177 32 286 495 0.00
192 Alexander Hamilt 2 3 240 274 104 618 0.00
193 Aliso Niguel 8 12 174 80 226 480 0.00
194 Beckman 9 9 149 121 205 475 0.00
195 Beverly Hills 0 7 275 260 214 749 0.00
196 Birmingham Chart 5 14 221 145 291 657 0.00
197 Calabasas 1 17 228 64 301 593 0.00
198 California Whitt 4 11 269 261 263 793 0.00
199 Canyon 9 8 65 33 146 244 0.00
200 Capistrano Valle 5 11 246 247 260 753 0.00
201 Cate School 9 5 98 129 117 344 0.00
202 Centennial 2 11 259 234 266 759 0.00
203 Chadwick School 9 7 164 189 160 513 0.00
204 Chaminade Prep 12 6 27 8 72 107 0.00
205 Chaparral 11 6 28 16 75 119 0.00
206 Compton 4 8 260 262 218 740 0.00
207 Corona 1 14 271 221 294 786 0.00
208 Corona Del Mar 7 9 70 57 206 333 0.00
209 Crescenta Valley 13 7 33 10 83 126 0.00
210 Culver City 10 6 124 134 105 363 0.00
211 Dana Hills 6 11 237 243 257 737 0.00
212 Dos Pueblos 7 8 162 142 199 503 0.00
213 Downey 11 10 152 98 221 471 0.00
214 Edison 10 8 23 4 93 120 0.00
215 El Camino Real 6 7 215 252 179 646 0.00
216 El Dorado 15 5 69 102 76 247 0.00
217 El Modena 5 14 242 163 287 692 0.00
218 El Segundo 5 11 192 122 247 561 0.00
219 El Toro 7 10 120 49 192 361 0.00
220 Eleanor Roosevel 12 9 114 105 186 405 0.00
221 Esperanza 5 10 196 148 233 577 0.00
222 GALA 0 3 286 286 115 687 0.00
223 Glendale 16 4 66 106 21 193 0.00
224 Great Oak 6 12 123 62 255 440 0.00
225 Hart 6 13 203 186 285 674 0.00
226 Hemet 1 11 261 230 273 764 0.00
227 Heritage 10 9 137 110 195 442 0.00
228 Heritage Christi 0 14 256 199 295 750 0.00
229 Huntington Beach 15 3 31 60 22 113 0.00
230 Irvine 3 13 227 168 288 683 0.00
231 JSerra Catholic 12 8 43 42 123 208 0.00
232 King 12 9 109 118 187 414 0.00
233 La Canada 6 12 219 183 274 676 0.00
234 Laguna Beach 11 5 126 165 106 397 0.00
235 Lakewood 0 11 284 277 276 837 0.00
236 Liberty 3 8 236 248 222 706 0.00
237 Long Beach Poly 1 5 274 275 151 700 0.00
238 Los Alamitos 10 8 71 101 180 352 0.00
239 Lynwood 0 11 267 239 277 783 0.00
240 Millikan 8 10 212 211 234 657 0.00
241 Mission Viejo 2 18 248 157 303 708 0.00
242 Murrieta Mesa 19 1 11 30 10 51 0.00
243 Murrieta Valley 10 10 79 36 207 322 0.00
244 Newbury Park 12 1 48 159 16 223 0.00
245 Newport Harbor 9 10 105 109 227 441 0.00
246 Norco 9 10 156 147 228 531 0.00
247 Nordhoff 0 11 247 219 278 744 0.00
248 Northwood 12 5 72 82 84 238 0.00
249 Notre Dame Sherm 10 7 57 58 120 235 0.00
250 Oak Park 14 2 47 73 24 144 0.00
251 Oaks Christian 10 5 77 67 116 260 0.00
252 Orange Lutheran 13 8 80 69 147 296 0.00
253 Palisades Charte 11 8 165 210 181 556 0.00
254 Paloma Valley 9 6 217 254 136 607 0.00
255 Palos Verdes 12 6 25 21 58 104 0.00
256 Peninsula 9 8 97 56 121 274 0.00
257 Portola 10 8 166 180 188 534 0.00
258 Redondo Union 13 4 2 3 8 13 0.00
259 Riverside Poly 11 6 191 231 127 549 0.00
260 Rosary Academy 8 9 178 137 215 530 0.00
261 Royal 10 9 94 13 182 289 0.00
262 Sage Hill 0 17 253 170 302 725 0.00
263 San Juan Hills 14 5 20 18 23 61 0.00
264 San Marcos SB 16 2 58 126 20 204 0.00
265 Santa Barbara 5 11 200 164 261 625 0.00
266 Santa Monica 5 11 176 79 248 503 0.00
267 Santiago 9 8 60 25 128 213 0.00
268 Saugus 11 6 148 197 129 474 0.00
269 Segerstrom 12 5 210 268 107 585 0.00
270 Simi Valley 2 15 216 85 296 597 0.00
271 Temecula Valley 13 6 59 34 98 191 0.00
272 Tesoro 11 8 157 169 168 494 0.00
273 Thacher School 7 7 153 245 148 546 0.00
274 Trabuco Hills 10 6 51 47 86 184 0.00
275 Tustin 6 9 252 266 224 742 0.00
276 University HS LA 2 6 283 284 175 742 0.00
277 University Irvin 7 13 194 128 283 605 0.00
278 Valencia Placent 2 14 262 228 292 782 0.00
279 Valencia Santa C 9 7 133 138 161 432 0.00
280 Village Christia 9 10 76 35 200 311 0.00
281 Vista Murrieta 13 6 35 26 99 160 0.00
282 West Ranch 7 9 83 51 201 335 0.00
283 Westridge School 10 8 154 174 189 517 0.00
284 Woodbridge 12 4 95 154 87 336 0.00
285 Woodrow Wilson 9 5 160 227 118 505 0.00
286 Yorba Linda 11 9 88 44 169 301 0.00
287 Concord 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
288 Drew 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
289 George Washingto 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
290 Lincoln Sacramen 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
291 San Domenico 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
292 El Rancho 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
293 Laguna Hills 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
294 Thousand Oaks 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
295 Westlake 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
296 Bullard 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
297 Edison Fresno 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
298 Fresno 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
299 Hoover Fresno 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
300 McLane 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
301 Roosevelt 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
302 San Joaquin Memo 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
303 Sanger 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
304 Sunnyside 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00