List of Probabilities for California
California Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 St Ignatius Prep 17 5 10 65 5 80 20.00
2 San Ramon Valley 20 1 2 61 1 64 19.00
3 Oak Ridge 20 2 3 1 3 7 15.00
4 Sacred Heart Pre 18 3 6 120 4 130 12.00
5 Torrey Pines 17 4 4 15 9 28 8.00
6 Redwood 17 5 8 2 12 22 6.00
7 Marin Catholic 17 5 15 8 13 36 5.00
8 Del Oro 13 4 20 28 14 62 2.00
9 Tamalpais 10 9 38 4 90 132 2.00
10 Cathedral Cathol 12 8 21 38 48 107 2.00
11 Coronado 15 4 17 234 18 269 2.00
12 Mira Costa 17 5 9 16 11 36 2.00
13 Marin Academy 12 4 34 95 52 181 0.00
14 Monte Vista Danv 14 5 32 34 54 120 0.00
15 Marlborough 18 1 1 9 2 12 0.00
16 San Clemente 18 3 11 6 8 25 0.00
17 St Margarets 13 7 14 24 78 116 0.00
18 Acalanes 13 8 53 78 142 273 0.00
19 Alhambra 4 7 263 279 165 707 0.00
20 Amador Valley 13 6 58 33 69 160 0.00
21 Archie Williams 9 9 142 103 166 411 0.00
22 Athenian 2 6 280 282 153 715 0.00
23 Bay School 7 8 217 246 176 639 0.00
24 Bella Vista 11 5 125 220 85 430 0.00
25 Bentley 4 3 237 280 79 596 0.00
26 Berkeley 8 10 155 107 212 474 0.00
27 Bishop ODowd 5 11 171 122 241 534 0.00
28 Branson School 13 5 82 79 65 226 0.00
29 California San R 11 5 43 32 53 128 0.00
30 Campolindo 13 7 50 76 94 220 0.00
31 Cardinal Newman 4 8 198 221 195 614 0.00
32 Carondelet 14 9 25 53 22 100 0.00
33 Casa Grande 5 9 190 182 213 585 0.00
34 Christian Brothe 12 4 111 185 64 360 0.00
35 Clayton Valley C 5 8 234 253 189 676 0.00
36 College Park 12 5 115 188 86 389 0.00
37 Convent-Sacred H 1 8 269 267 208 744 0.00
38 Davis 7 9 46 19 154 219 0.00
39 Dougherty Valley 4 7 138 184 143 465 0.00
40 Dublin 6 9 152 143 190 485 0.00
41 Folsom 6 9 103 51 155 309 0.00
42 Foothill Pleasan 3 10 177 160 229 566 0.00
43 Granada 6 11 159 108 233 500 0.00
44 Granite Bay 12 6 41 27 66 134 0.00
45 Head-Royce Schoo 3 10 191 179 237 607 0.00
46 International 1 7 262 259 185 706 0.00
47 Justin-Siena 14 7 70 142 116 328 0.00
48 Las Lomas 9 7 165 228 135 528 0.00
49 Lick-Wilmerding 9 7 118 126 136 380 0.00
50 Livermore 2 11 227 210 242 679 0.00
51 Lowell 0 6 232 223 160 615 0.00
52 Miramonte 10 10 66 52 167 285 0.00
53 Moreau Catholic 3 8 265 273 202 740 0.00
54 Napa 2 12 260 248 264 772 0.00
55 Newark Memorial 2 11 275 270 253 798 0.00
56 Northgate 2 11 184 133 254 571 0.00
57 Novato 8 8 92 73 144 309 0.00
58 Oakland Tech 1 1 252 281 55 588 0.00
59 Oakmont 2 9 267 260 230 757 0.00
60 Petaluma 10 5 101 180 95 376 0.00
61 Piedmont 13 5 94 163 81 338 0.00
62 Rancho Cotate 10 7 167 199 120 486 0.00
63 Rio Americano 6 10 210 167 224 601 0.00
64 Rocklin 8 10 146 77 174 397 0.00
65 Roseville 4 9 231 240 220 691 0.00
66 San Marin 16 5 24 48 46 118 0.00
67 San Rafael 1 12 216 127 256 599 0.00
68 Sonoma Academy 3 9 223 233 225 681 0.00
69 Sonoma Valley 11 6 124 196 112 432 0.00
70 St Francis Sacra 11 4 18 71 56 145 0.00
71 St Vincent de Pa 6 7 238 274 158 670 0.00
72 Terra Linda 3 10 199 169 226 594 0.00
73 University HS SF 8 10 76 46 196 318 0.00
74 Urban School 9 5 149 231 98 478 0.00
75 Vintage 7 8 147 157 177 481 0.00
76 Vista del Lago 10 6 52 59 82 193 0.00
77 Washington Fremo 0 3 284 283 96 663 0.00
78 West Park 0 19 278 222 303 803 0.00
79 Whitney 2 15 193 86 280 559 0.00
80 Windsor 1 12 257 238 269 764 0.00
81 Woodcreek 11 5 172 217 73 462 0.00
82 Ygnacio Valley 0 8 274 263 214 751 0.00
83 Academy of Our L 2 14 200 96 288 584 0.00
84 Bishops School 21 3 31 45 15 91 0.00
85 Bonita Vista 12 10 121 91 205 417 0.00
86 Canyon Crest 10 11 112 40 234 386 0.00
87 Canyon Hills 10 8 133 124 161 418 0.00
88 Carlsbad 18 4 22 7 17 46 0.00
89 Castle Park 14 10 79 93 197 369 0.00
90 Clairemont 6 11 225 232 243 700 0.00
91 Classical Academ 11 8 144 139 159 442 0.00
92 Del Lago Academy 1 14 207 134 290 631 0.00
93 Del Norte 14 7 44 55 99 198 0.00
94 Eastlake 13 8 68 47 145 260 0.00
95 El Camino 5 17 220 81 296 597 0.00
96 El Capitan 12 6 126 203 106 435 0.00
97 Fallbrook 18 4 60 94 49 203 0.00
98 Francis Parker S 10 10 113 257 178 548 0.00
99 Granite Hills 10 7 139 165 128 432 0.00
100 Grossmont 5 13 209 177 272 658 0.00
101 Helix Charter 3 13 241 226 277 744 0.00
102 Hilltop 5 12 228 198 261 687 0.00
103 La Costa Canyon 8 10 63 49 129 241 0.00
104 La Jolla CDS 9 9 136 269 168 573 0.00
105 La Jolla HS 6 15 114 39 257 410 0.00
106 Lincoln San Dieg 3 12 248 230 263 741 0.00
107 Mar Vista 8 3 189 275 67 531 0.00
108 Mater Dei Chula 13 8 107 173 146 426 0.00
109 Mira Mesa 8 12 151 85 251 487 0.00
110 Mission Bay 12 6 128 194 107 429 0.00
111 Mission Hills 3 13 185 135 278 598 0.00
112 Mission Vista 1 16 243 156 295 694 0.00
113 Monte Vista Spri 8 7 163 206 147 516 0.00
114 Montgomery 0 2 282 277 76 635 0.00
115 Morse 8 11 224 207 238 669 0.00
116 Mt Carmel 7 10 140 137 206 483 0.00
117 Olympian 7 14 173 110 281 564 0.00
118 Otay Ranch 4 11 256 243 248 747 0.00
119 Pacific Ridge 13 6 85 101 101 287 0.00
120 Patrick Henry 5 13 153 112 265 530 0.00
121 Point Loma 12 4 54 97 70 221 0.00
122 Poway 10 10 102 66 179 347 0.00
123 Preuss School 1 18 249 158 301 708 0.00
124 Ramona 2 15 233 146 292 671 0.00
125 Rancho Bernardo 6 14 162 114 283 559 0.00
126 Rancho Buena Vis 15 4 91 132 61 284 0.00
127 Sage Creek 16 5 86 102 74 262 0.00
128 San Diego 10 7 127 150 130 407 0.00
129 San Dieguito 6 13 95 31 255 381 0.00
130 San Marcos SD 13 7 35 113 50 198 0.00
131 San Ysidro 17 8 81 115 121 317 0.00
132 Santa Fe Christi 0 17 236 144 298 678 0.00
133 Santana 5 13 215 195 273 683 0.00
134 Scripps Ranch 11 7 62 37 91 190 0.00
135 Southwest 0 8 279 271 215 765 0.00
136 Tri City Christi 12 6 161 174 108 443 0.00
137 University City 16 4 37 63 57 157 0.00
138 Valhalla 6 13 192 148 270 610 0.00
139 Valley Center 9 6 150 201 117 468 0.00
140 Vista 13 8 122 105 148 375 0.00
141 West Hills 13 8 154 213 149 516 0.00
142 Westview 9 9 135 131 198 464 0.00
143 Aptos 8 7 205 244 150 599 0.00
144 Aragon 4 11 218 187 249 654 0.00
145 Archbishop Mitty 1 11 132 29 209 370 0.00
146 Burlingame 9 8 105 54 169 328 0.00
147 Carlmont 2 9 196 192 231 619 0.00
148 Carmel 4 6 108 171 137 416 0.00
149 Castilleja 16 4 57 68 58 183 0.00
150 Gilroy 5 7 169 214 162 545 0.00
151 Gunn 15 4 69 99 62 230 0.00
152 Harbor 0 1 286 286 63 635 0.00
153 Harker School 0 16 247 159 297 703 0.00
154 Hillsdale 10 7 106 75 131 312 0.00
155 Leland 8 4 104 218 83 405 0.00
156 Lincoln San Jose 3 9 212 205 227 644 0.00
157 Live Oak 14 2 48 129 19 196 0.00
158 Los Altos 9 7 134 151 138 423 0.00
159 Los Gatos 13 5 71 67 75 213 0.00
160 Menlo School 13 6 27 10 23 60 0.00
161 Menlo-Atherton 6 11 89 14 199 302 0.00
162 Mercy Burlingame 6 10 182 153 232 567 0.00
163 Monte Vista Chri 10 8 116 98 163 377 0.00
164 Monterey 8 3 178 261 68 507 0.00
165 Mountain View 5 11 206 152 244 602 0.00
166 Notre Dame Belmo 11 7 100 109 124 333 0.00
167 Notre Dame Salin 1 5 253 256 125 634 0.00
168 Notre Dame San J 8 6 131 178 118 427 0.00
169 Palo Alto 5 14 211 111 286 608 0.00
170 Pioneer 10 7 120 125 132 377 0.00
171 Presentation 7 8 181 189 180 550 0.00
172 Priory 3 11 158 87 252 497 0.00
173 Sacred Heart Cat 12 5 97 161 87 345 0.00
174 Salinas 3 10 194 145 239 578 0.00
175 Santa Catalina S 1 7 201 200 186 587 0.00
176 Santa Cruz 1 5 277 278 126 681 0.00
177 Saratoga 4 8 219 236 200 655 0.00
178 Scotts Valley 11 3 64 190 59 313 0.00
179 Sequoia 13 6 49 42 102 193 0.00
180 Sobrato 2 13 244 209 282 735 0.00
181 Soquel 3 6 208 250 151 609 0.00
182 St Francis Mtn V 8 8 47 5 100 152 0.00
183 Stevenson School 11 3 45 104 60 209 0.00
184 Wilcox 0 12 268 242 274 784 0.00
185 Willow Glen 5 7 170 215 164 549 0.00
186 Woodside 15 3 28 60 29 117 0.00
187 York School 0 5 273 258 133 664 0.00
188 Agoura 4 14 186 56 284 526 0.00
189 Alexander Hamilt 2 3 240 276 88 604 0.00
190 Aliso Niguel 8 12 175 106 236 517 0.00
191 Beckman 9 10 160 147 216 523 0.00
192 Beverly Hills 0 7 276 264 191 731 0.00
193 Birmingham Chart 5 14 221 175 287 683 0.00
194 Calabasas 1 18 239 100 302 641 0.00
195 California Whitt 4 11 266 265 250 781 0.00
196 Canyon 10 9 65 50 152 267 0.00
197 Capistrano Valle 5 11 251 252 245 748 0.00
198 Cate School 12 6 72 89 109 270 0.00
199 Centennial 2 12 264 241 266 771 0.00
200 Chadwick School 9 8 168 191 170 529 0.00
201 Chaminade Prep 12 7 30 11 71 112 0.00
202 Chaparral 14 7 33 13 92 138 0.00
203 Compton 5 8 246 262 192 700 0.00
204 Corona 1 15 272 224 293 789 0.00
205 Corona Del Mar 9 10 73 80 203 356 0.00
206 Crescenta Valley 13 8 40 21 77 138 0.00
207 Culver City 10 7 130 136 113 379 0.00
208 Dana Hills 6 12 235 239 258 732 0.00
209 Dos Pueblos 7 8 156 154 181 491 0.00
210 Downey 11 11 145 117 228 490 0.00
211 Edison 10 9 26 12 93 131 0.00
212 El Camino Real 7 7 214 255 156 625 0.00
213 El Dorado 15 6 78 119 80 277 0.00
214 El Modena 5 14 245 186 276 707 0.00
215 El Segundo 5 13 187 116 259 562 0.00
216 El Toro 7 10 119 70 204 393 0.00
217 Eleanor Roosevel 16 10 83 64 175 322 0.00
218 Esperanza 5 10 195 172 221 588 0.00
219 Foothill Santa A 17 3 5 72 6 83 0.00
220 GALA 0 4 285 285 115 685 0.00
221 Glendale 17 5 74 166 31 271 0.00
222 Great Oak 6 12 117 62 246 425 0.00
223 Hart 6 14 204 219 285 708 0.00
224 Hemet 1 12 250 212 271 733 0.00
225 Heritage 10 10 141 123 207 471 0.00
226 Heritage Christi 0 14 261 227 291 779 0.00
227 Huntington Beach 15 4 29 57 24 110 0.00
228 Irvine 3 13 229 202 279 710 0.00
229 JSerra Catholic 16 8 39 35 97 171 0.00
230 King 15 10 87 84 182 353 0.00
231 La Canada 6 12 222 216 260 698 0.00
232 Laguna Beach 12 6 123 170 110 403 0.00
233 Lakewood 2 12 281 266 267 814 0.00
234 Liberty 4 9 230 245 222 697 0.00
235 Long Beach Poly 1 8 270 268 210 748 0.00
236 Los Alamitos 10 9 88 130 187 405 0.00
237 Lynwood 0 12 271 249 275 795 0.00
238 Mater Dei Santa 12 6 16 20 33 69 0.00
239 Millikan 8 11 203 208 240 651 0.00
240 Mission Viejo 2 18 254 183 300 737 0.00
241 Murrieta Mesa 20 2 12 23 7 42 0.00
242 Murrieta Valley 11 11 77 36 217 330 0.00
243 Newbury Park 12 2 56 141 16 213 0.00
244 Newport Harbor 9 10 109 140 223 472 0.00
245 Norco 9 10 148 138 218 504 0.00
246 Nordhoff 0 11 242 229 262 733 0.00
247 Northwood 13 6 80 90 84 254 0.00
248 Notre Dame Sherm 10 8 67 74 119 260 0.00
249 Oak Park 14 3 59 88 34 181 0.00
250 Oaks Christian 11 6 93 82 114 289 0.00
251 Orange Lutheran 15 9 75 83 139 297 0.00
252 Palisades Charte 12 9 176 237 183 596 0.00
253 Paloma Valley 9 7 213 247 140 600 0.00
254 Palos Verdes 12 7 23 18 51 92 0.00
255 Peninsula 9 9 98 58 127 283 0.00
256 Portola 10 9 174 197 193 564 0.00
257 Redondo Union 16 5 7 3 10 20 0.00
258 Riverside Poly 12 7 180 211 122 513 0.00
259 Rosary Academy 8 9 179 149 188 516 0.00
260 Royal 12 10 90 26 171 287 0.00
261 Sage Hill 0 17 259 204 299 762 0.00
262 San Juan Hills 17 6 19 22 47 88 0.00
263 San Marcos SB 17 3 61 128 21 210 0.00
264 Santa Barbara 5 11 188 164 247 599 0.00
265 Santa Margarita 13 5 13 17 20 50 0.00
266 Santa Monica 6 11 183 118 235 536 0.00
267 Santiago 11 9 51 30 134 215 0.00
268 Saugus 12 7 143 193 123 459 0.00
269 Segerstrom 13 6 202 254 103 559 0.00
270 Simi Valley 2 16 226 121 294 641 0.00
271 Temecula Valley 18 6 42 43 72 157 0.00
272 Tesoro 11 9 157 162 184 503 0.00
273 Thacher School 9 8 129 251 141 521 0.00
274 Trabuco Hills 12 7 55 44 104 203 0.00
275 Tustin 6 9 255 272 211 738 0.00
276 University HS LA 2 6 283 284 157 724 0.00
277 University Irvin 7 13 197 168 268 633 0.00
278 Valencia Placent 2 14 258 235 289 782 0.00
279 Valencia Santa C 9 8 137 155 172 464 0.00
280 Village Christia 10 11 84 41 201 326 0.00
281 Vista Murrieta 13 7 36 25 105 166 0.00
282 West Ranch 7 10 99 92 219 410 0.00
283 Westridge School 10 9 164 181 194 539 0.00
284 Woodbridge 12 5 110 176 89 375 0.00
285 Woodrow Wilson 12 6 166 225 111 502 0.00
286 Yorba Linda 11 10 96 69 173 338 0.00
287 Concord 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
288 Drew 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
289 George Washingto 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
290 San Domenico 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
291 El Rancho 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
292 Laguna Hills 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
293 Thousand Oaks 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
294 Westlake 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
295 Bullard 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
296 Edison Fresno 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
297 Fresno 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
298 Hoover Fresno 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
299 McLane 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
300 Roosevelt 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
301 San Joaquin Memo 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
302 Sanger 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
303 Sunnyside 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00