List of Probabilities for California
California Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Coronado 19 0 3 26 1 30 22.00
2 Sacred Heart Pre 19 2 5 88 6 99 15.00
3 St Ignatius Prep 17 5 6 82 4 92 14.00
4 Mira Costa 18 1 1 6 2 9 11.00
5 Foothill Santa A 20 2 2 27 3 32 9.00
6 San Ramon Valley 18 4 4 2 5 11 7.00
7 Redwood 19 4 9 5 7 21 6.00
8 Oak Ridge 19 4 15 14 12 41 5.00
9 San Marcos SD 17 3 7 64 11 82 4.00
10 Torrey Pines 8 12 18 1 62 81 2.00
11 Marin Catholic 19 5 17 10 9 36 0.00
12 Bishops School 16 3 27 48 16 91 0.00
13 Carlsbad 19 4 21 20 14 55 0.00
14 Marlborough 12 5 8 13 24 45 0.00
15 San Clemente 18 2 12 77 8 97 0.00
16 Acalanes 8 10 128 97 186 411 0.00
17 Alhambra 10 8 215 253 158 626 0.00
18 Amador Valley 16 6 13 23 41 77 0.00
19 Archie Williams 2 11 217 184 232 633 0.00
20 Athenian 11 4 208 280 60 548 0.00
21 Bay School 11 4 172 274 61 507 0.00
22 Bentley 3 10 253 239 223 715 0.00
23 Berkeley 11 10 137 87 190 414 0.00
24 Bishop ODowd 14 9 90 125 152 367 0.00
25 Branson School 10 6 73 73 98 244 0.00
26 California San R 7 8 52 33 110 195 0.00
27 Campolindo 9 9 100 80 172 352 0.00
28 Cardinal Newman 8 8 147 128 165 440 0.00
29 Carondelet 8 11 67 36 173 276 0.00
30 Casa Grande 13 4 112 193 55 360 0.00
31 Clayton Valley C 6 7 193 215 153 561 0.00
32 College Park 16 6 81 156 89 326 0.00
33 Convent-Sacred H 0 11 279 264 248 791 0.00
34 Dougherty Valley 7 6 133 174 126 433 0.00
35 Dublin 14 5 63 129 73 265 0.00
36 El Cerrito 0 2 277 268 69 614 0.00
37 Foothill Pleasan 12 9 160 169 166 495 0.00
38 Granada 1 14 266 190 288 744 0.00
39 Head-Royce Schoo 4 11 187 135 226 548 0.00
40 International 2 6 256 279 148 683 0.00
41 Justin-Siena 13 6 97 146 94 337 0.00
42 Las Lomas 12 5 84 134 70 288 0.00
43 Lick-Wilmerding 11 7 123 170 122 415 0.00
44 Livermore 4 7 218 263 167 648 0.00
45 Lowell 3 2 232 286 56 574 0.00
46 Marin Academy 16 4 19 37 15 71 0.00
47 Miramonte 13 4 46 100 46 192 0.00
48 Monte Vista Danv 10 7 28 35 57 120 0.00
49 Moreau Catholic 2 9 247 248 209 704 0.00
50 Napa 2 11 259 242 241 742 0.00
51 Newark Memorial 3 6 207 260 142 609 0.00
52 Northgate 1 12 236 185 263 684 0.00
53 Novato 3 6 176 234 127 537 0.00
54 Oakland 1 3 285 290 90 665 0.00
55 Oakland Tech 2 3 271 289 84 644 0.00
56 Petaluma 5 11 224 189 227 640 0.00
57 Piedmont 11 10 105 98 191 394 0.00
58 Rancho Cotate 8 7 132 181 143 456 0.00
59 San Marin 12 7 53 32 74 159 0.00
60 San Rafael 1 12 252 178 249 679 0.00
61 Skyline 0 6 291 287 159 737 0.00
62 Sonoma Academy 2 11 250 220 242 712 0.00
63 Sonoma Valley 8 7 169 210 144 523 0.00
64 St Vincent de Pa 4 8 238 259 187 684 0.00
65 Tamalpais 14 6 26 11 29 66 0.00
66 Terra Linda 6 10 145 83 199 427 0.00
67 University HS SF 9 10 66 43 174 283 0.00
68 Urban School 9 8 164 119 168 451 0.00
69 Vintage 4 5 209 277 117 603 0.00
70 Washington Fremo 0 4 265 255 111 631 0.00
71 Windsor 1 12 270 243 264 777 0.00
72 Ygnacio Valley 0 15 269 198 294 761 0.00
73 Academy of Our L 5 12 222 223 250 695 0.00
74 Bonita Vista 14 7 153 218 118 489 0.00
75 Canyon Crest 9 13 127 62 254 443 0.00
76 Canyon Hills 7 9 192 205 196 593 0.00
77 Castle Park 9 12 146 93 234 473 0.00
78 Cathedral Cathol 15 6 10 74 10 94 0.00
79 Clairemont 9 8 201 195 169 565 0.00
80 Classical Academ 10 10 131 91 202 424 0.00
81 Del Lago Academy 8 8 194 204 175 573 0.00
82 Del Norte 15 6 47 56 75 178 0.00
83 Eastlake 15 4 42 105 47 194 0.00
84 El Camino 13 7 129 179 123 431 0.00
85 El Capitan 11 6 77 102 104 283 0.00
86 Fallbrook 9 14 183 152 274 609 0.00
87 Francis Parker S 5 14 158 49 277 484 0.00
88 Granite Hills 10 9 103 86 182 371 0.00
89 Grossmont 3 13 229 194 275 698 0.00
90 Helix Charter 10 11 165 149 220 534 0.00
91 Hilltop 7 7 211 258 149 618 0.00
92 La Costa Canyon 11 7 23 112 31 166 0.00
93 La Jolla CDS 11 7 70 92 119 281 0.00
94 La Jolla HS 10 10 48 9 128 185 0.00
95 Lincoln San Dieg 0 13 281 246 284 811 0.00
96 Mar Vista 5 6 235 278 135 648 0.00
97 Mater Dei Chula 8 9 149 166 192 507 0.00
98 Mira Mesa 10 10 139 157 203 499 0.00
99 Mission Bay 16 3 93 192 33 318 0.00
100 Mission Hills 15 4 83 145 49 277 0.00
101 Mission Vista 4 15 241 137 290 668 0.00
102 Monte Vista Spri 8 12 246 227 240 713 0.00
103 Morse 11 9 170 202 179 551 0.00
104 Mt Carmel 11 7 92 114 129 335 0.00
105 Olympian 13 10 110 124 193 427 0.00
106 Otay Ranch 5 10 267 256 221 744 0.00
107 Pacific Ridge 5 11 140 79 235 454 0.00
108 Patrick Henry 13 7 68 110 124 302 0.00
109 Point Loma 7 10 161 113 210 484 0.00
110 Poway 3 16 136 46 265 447 0.00
111 Preuss School 6 5 198 273 105 576 0.00
112 Ramona 0 16 288 266 299 853 0.00
113 Rancho Bernardo 17 5 43 67 59 169 0.00
114 Rancho Buena Vis 11 6 185 228 106 519 0.00
115 Sage Creek 8 13 134 68 256 458 0.00
116 San Diego 2 15 273 233 292 798 0.00
117 San Dieguito 11 7 109 143 120 372 0.00
118 San Ysidro 12 9 118 127 177 422 0.00
119 Santana 6 11 245 254 233 732 0.00
120 Scripps Ranch 8 11 71 16 154 241 0.00
121 Southwest 0 10 289 284 236 809 0.00
122 Tri City Christi 15 4 72 173 50 295 0.00
123 University City 5 15 156 42 243 441 0.00
124 Valhalla 11 8 102 142 155 399 0.00
125 Valley Center 4 15 233 132 291 656 0.00
126 Vista 2 18 282 235 301 818 0.00
127 West Hills 5 13 190 154 270 614 0.00
128 Westview 4 12 197 138 255 590 0.00
129 Aptos 10 6 166 196 112 474 0.00
130 Aragon 2 10 251 240 228 719 0.00
131 Archbishop Mitty 6 11 87 71 183 341 0.00
132 Burlingame 11 6 117 175 107 399 0.00
133 Carlmont 2 10 242 230 229 701 0.00
134 Carmel 6 4 86 211 91 388 0.00
135 Castilleja 9 8 174 163 170 507 0.00
136 Gilroy 6 5 148 231 108 487 0.00
137 Gunn 16 3 44 78 19 141 0.00
138 Harbor 0 5 294 291 136 721 0.00
139 Hillsdale 12 7 94 116 130 340 0.00
140 Leland 9 4 126 208 76 410 0.00
141 Lincoln San Jose 3 8 219 244 194 657 0.00
142 Live Oak 15 4 54 60 51 165 0.00
143 Los Altos 13 7 98 122 125 345 0.00
144 Los Gatos 10 8 106 84 160 350 0.00
145 Menlo School 9 13 50 7 176 233 0.00
146 Menlo-Atherton 7 12 85 38 156 279 0.00
147 Mercy Burlingame 4 8 228 262 188 678 0.00
148 Monte Vista Chri 7 10 162 139 211 512 0.00
149 Monterey 2 11 221 207 244 672 0.00
150 Mountain View 9 9 151 144 189 484 0.00
151 Notre Dame Belmo 5 4 175 272 95 542 0.00
152 Notre Dame Salin 0 4 292 288 113 693 0.00
153 Notre Dame San J 8 4 116 237 80 433 0.00
154 Palo Alto 7 8 157 130 178 465 0.00
155 Pioneer 1 13 275 217 281 773 0.00
156 Presentation 2 6 274 285 150 709 0.00
157 Priory 2 13 249 160 280 689 0.00
158 Sacred Heart Cat 8 2 101 270 42 413 0.00
159 Salinas 7 7 135 121 151 407 0.00
160 Santa Catalina S 2 3 213 275 85 573 0.00
161 Santa Cruz 3 6 290 293 145 728 0.00
162 Saratoga 3 10 214 199 224 637 0.00
163 Scotts Valley 9 4 58 159 77 294 0.00
164 Sequoia 6 10 186 183 215 584 0.00
165 Sobrato 3 9 226 219 208 653 0.00
166 Soquel 1 2 212 267 63 542 0.00
167 St Francis Mtn V 11 8 33 28 64 125 0.00
168 Stevenson School 14 4 29 54 44 127 0.00
169 Wilcox 0 12 262 200 271 733 0.00
170 Willow Glen 8 4 120 216 81 417 0.00
171 Woodside 13 7 69 61 96 226 0.00
172 York School 0 1 234 197 52 483 0.00
173 Bella Vista 16 2 78 141 17 236 0.00
174 Christian Brothe 10 6 125 120 101 346 0.00
175 Davis 11 6 65 31 65 161 0.00
176 Del Oro 15 4 39 22 30 91 0.00
177 Folsom 6 13 168 50 251 469 0.00
178 Granite Bay 6 10 152 57 204 413 0.00
179 Oakmont 1 13 255 171 282 708 0.00
180 Rio Americano 2 12 244 172 259 675 0.00
181 Rocklin 2 13 210 101 266 577 0.00
182 Roseville 6 10 216 187 216 619 0.00
183 St Francis Sacra 10 5 56 52 78 186 0.00
184 Vista del Lago 16 6 55 29 66 150 0.00
185 West Park 5 13 237 136 272 645 0.00
186 Whitney 1 15 240 106 289 635 0.00
187 Woodcreek 11 6 130 150 109 389 0.00
188 Alexander Hamilt 0 4 295 295 114 704 0.00
189 Birmingham Chart 2 15 272 203 293 768 0.00
190 El Camino Real 6 13 206 153 260 619 0.00
191 GALA 2 3 278 292 86 656 0.00
192 Palisades Charte 11 5 181 265 92 538 0.00
193 University HS LA 2 5 293 294 131 718 0.00
194 Agoura 6 13 163 99 267 529 0.00
195 Aliso Niguel 14 8 124 155 140 419 0.00
196 Beckman 9 9 141 133 180 454 0.00
197 Beverly Hills 0 7 261 249 184 694 0.00
198 Calabasas 2 17 230 109 300 639 0.00
199 California Whitt 5 12 280 281 252 813 0.00
200 Canyon 11 11 75 44 197 316 0.00
201 Capistrano Valle 4 9 205 212 206 623 0.00
202 Cate School 8 5 107 167 99 373 0.00
203 Centennial 2 16 276 226 296 798 0.00
204 Chadwick School 7 10 167 131 212 510 0.00
205 Chaminade Prep 13 6 34 47 58 139 0.00
206 Chaparral 14 6 31 58 67 156 0.00
207 Compton 6 13 220 162 268 650 0.00
208 Corona 1 16 283 222 297 802 0.00
209 Corona Del Mar 13 8 51 59 137 247 0.00
210 Crescenta Valley 15 6 16 30 48 94 0.00
211 Culver City 8 6 159 176 121 456 0.00
212 Dana Hills 2 14 263 257 287 807 0.00
213 Dos Pueblos 11 10 143 107 200 450 0.00
214 Downey 11 12 155 94 230 479 0.00
215 Edison 10 8 40 12 87 139 0.00
216 El Dorado 17 6 59 69 53 181 0.00
217 El Modena 4 14 248 206 278 732 0.00
218 El Segundo 16 7 60 51 71 182 0.00
219 El Toro 4 13 191 96 257 544 0.00
220 Eleanor Roosevel 20 3 62 111 18 191 0.00
221 Esperanza 7 8 154 147 146 447 0.00
222 Glendale 12 7 74 76 115 265 0.00
223 Great Oak 6 11 180 168 225 573 0.00
224 Hart 0 12 254 188 273 715 0.00
225 Hemet 0 13 260 186 285 731 0.00
226 Heritage 12 11 142 55 213 410 0.00
227 Heritage Christi 2 12 257 224 261 742 0.00
228 Huntington Beach 8 12 64 24 185 273 0.00
229 Irvine 3 12 243 225 258 726 0.00
230 JSerra Catholic 13 6 24 41 32 97 0.00
231 King 15 6 99 126 97 322 0.00
232 La Canada 11 7 171 180 132 483 0.00
233 Laguna Beach 16 3 38 53 20 111 0.00
234 Lakewood 3 13 268 238 279 785 0.00
235 Liberty 11 7 177 201 133 511 0.00
236 Long Beach Poly 6 10 239 241 217 697 0.00
237 Los Alamitos 8 10 113 66 201 380 0.00
238 Lynwood 1 16 284 247 298 829 0.00
239 Mater Dei Santa 14 6 25 17 45 87 0.00
240 Millikan 10 10 179 164 205 548 0.00
241 Mission Viejo 12 10 202 236 198 636 0.00
242 Murrieta Mesa 16 5 20 19 43 82 0.00
243 Murrieta Valley 9 11 111 118 218 447 0.00
244 Newbury Park 11 5 79 123 93 295 0.00
245 Newport Harbor 2 13 189 103 276 568 0.00
246 Norco 5 7 195 229 161 585 0.00
247 Nordhoff 0 10 264 250 237 751 0.00
248 Northwood 3 10 138 45 207 390 0.00
249 Notre Dame Sherm 5 10 121 63 195 379 0.00
250 Oak Park 11 6 61 70 102 233 0.00
251 Oaks Christian 11 7 76 89 134 299 0.00
252 Orange Lutheran 9 11 88 108 222 418 0.00
253 Paloma Valley 19 3 115 191 25 331 0.00
254 Palos Verdes 11 10 41 15 138 194 0.00
255 Peninsula 8 10 91 39 162 292 0.00
256 Portola 5 12 200 158 239 597 0.00
257 Redondo Union 16 3 11 25 13 49 0.00
258 Riverside Poly 6 14 223 117 283 623 0.00
259 Rosary Academy 3 14 227 148 286 661 0.00
260 Royal 16 5 49 90 68 207 0.00
261 Sage Hill 8 7 196 261 147 604 0.00
262 San Juan Hills 15 7 36 40 54 130 0.00
263 San Marcos SB 18 3 57 209 26 292 0.00
264 Santa Barbara 6 8 204 214 181 599 0.00
265 Santa Margarita 12 7 22 8 39 69 0.00
266 Santa Monica 6 13 199 140 269 608 0.00
267 Santiago 11 12 144 85 231 460 0.00
268 Saugus 13 5 122 177 82 381 0.00
269 Segerstrom 5 16 203 95 295 593 0.00
270 Simi Valley 10 12 182 115 238 535 0.00
271 St Margarets 16 3 14 18 27 59 0.00
272 Temecula Valley 14 9 95 104 157 356 0.00
273 Tesoro 3 13 178 75 262 515 0.00
274 Thacher School 4 7 188 221 171 580 0.00
275 Trabuco Hills 11 9 96 72 163 331 0.00
276 Tustin 10 8 231 276 164 671 0.00
277 University Irvin 17 6 89 165 88 342 0.00
278 Valencia Placent 6 10 258 271 219 748 0.00
279 Valencia Santa C 4 12 225 161 245 631 0.00
280 Village Christia 14 8 82 65 103 250 0.00
281 Vista Murrieta 6 14 80 21 246 347 0.00
282 West Ranch 12 8 104 213 141 458 0.00
283 Westridge School 14 5 119 182 79 380 0.00
284 Woodbridge 14 7 45 34 100 179 0.00
285 Woodrow Wilson 15 5 108 151 72 331 0.00
286 Yorba Linda 7 13 173 81 247 501 0.00
287 Bullard 5 0 30 232 21 283 0.00
288 Edison Fresno 4 0 37 252 28 317 0.00
289 Fresno 0 4 287 283 116 686 0.00
290 Garces Memorial 3 3 184 269 83 536 0.00
291 Hoover Fresno 7 10 114 3 214 331 0.00
292 Roosevelt 5 12 150 4 253 407 0.00
293 San Joaquin Memo 5 0 35 251 22 308 0.00
294 Sanger 5 0 32 245 23 300 0.00
295 Sunnyside 0 5 286 282 139 707 0.00
296 George Washingto 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
297 San Domenico 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
298 Harker School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
299 El Rancho 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
300 Laguna Hills 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
301 McLane 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00