All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
Nickname = Coach =GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 76.8099976 home-field advantage = -0.82 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 A South County ( 4-10, 70.5) 14- 2 323 A Yorktown (13- 2, 87.8) 6- 8 325 H Hayfield ( 4- 9, 64.7) 18- 3 406 H Fairfax ( 8-10, 71.7) 14- 4 408 H McLean (10- 3, 71.9) 7- 4 411 H West Springfield ( 9- 6, 74.3) 13- 3 411 H Herndon ( 5- 8, 68.1) 17- 3 420 H Chantilly ( 6- 7, 77.2) 10- 8 424 A James Madison (11- 3, 85.8) 9-15 427 A Woodson (15- 3, 73.9) 6- 7 430 H Centreville ( 2-13, 74.0) 15- 5 504 A Oakton ( 9- 6, 83.7) 6- 7 508 A South Lakes ( 8- 8, 81.0) 9- 5 514 H Centreville ( 2-13, 74.0) 15- 6 515 A Oakton ( 9- 6, 83.7) 10- 3 519 A James Madison (11- 3, 85.8) 7-17
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 A South County 14- 2 12 5 1.47 323 A Yorktown 6- 8 -2 -11 ++ 5.00 325 H Hayfield 18- 3 15 12 0.00 406 H Fairfax 14- 4 10 5 1.08 408 H McLean 7- 4 3 5 - -2.70 411 H West Springfield 13- 3 10 3 + 3.64 411 H Herndon 17- 3 14 9 0.00 420 H Chantilly 10- 8 2 0 1.58 424 A James Madison 9-15 -6 -9 1.00 427 A Woodson 6- 7 -1 2 - -3.05 430 H Centreville 15- 5 10 3 + 3.40 504 A Oakton 6- 7 -1 -7 +++ 6.00 508 A South Lakes 9- 5 4 -4 +++ 8.97 514 H Centreville 15- 6 9 3 + 3.40 515 A Oakton 10- 3 7 -7 +++ 14.00 519 A James Madison 7-17 -10 -9 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 H McLean 7- 4 3 5 - -2.70 427 A Woodson 6- 7 -1 2 - -3.05OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 504 A Oakton 6- 7 -1 -7 +++ 6.00 508 A South Lakes 9- 5 4 -4 +++ 8.97 515 A Oakton 10- 3 7 -7 +++ 14.00 323 A Yorktown 6- 8 -2 -11 ++ 5.00 411 H West Springfield 13- 3 10 3 + 3.64 430 H Centreville 15- 5 10 3 + 3.40 514 H Centreville 15- 6 9 3 + 3.40
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 76.81 Power Rank................. 11 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 52.35 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 5 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6861 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 1 RPI Rating............... .6009 RPI Rank................... 9 Champ. Probability ...... 2.2 Championship Rank ......... 12 Selection sum ........... 17 Selection Rank ............ 4 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 85. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 7 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 65. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 7 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.0 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 6.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -2.4 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -0.9 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 7- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.1 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.0