All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
Nickname = Coach =GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 76.8099976 home-field advantage = -1.06 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 A South County ( 5-11, 70.5) 14- 2 323 A Yorktown (14- 3, 87.8) 6- 8 325 H Hayfield ( 4- 9, 64.7) 18- 3 406 H Fairfax ( 8-11, 71.7) 14- 4 408 H McLean (10- 4, 71.9) 7- 4 411 H Herndon ( 6- 8, 68.1) 17- 3 411 H West Springfield (11- 8, 74.3) 13- 3 420 H Chantilly ( 7- 8, 77.2) 10- 8 424 A James Madison (17- 3, 85.8) 9-15 427 A Woodson (16- 4, 73.9) 6- 7 430 H Centreville ( 2-13, 74.0) 15- 5 504 A Oakton ( 9- 7, 83.7) 6- 7 508 A South Lakes ( 8- 8, 81.0) 9- 5 514 H Centreville ( 2-13, 74.0) 15- 6 515 A Oakton ( 9- 7, 83.7) 10- 3 519 A James Madison (17- 3, 85.8) 7-17 522 H Langley ( 6- 9, 83.2) 7- 3 529 H Chantilly ( 7- 8, 77.2) 11- 7 602 N James Madison (17- 3, 85.8) 4-11 605 A Battlefield (19- 3, 83.0) 3- 8
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 A South County 14- 2 12 5 1.71 323 A Yorktown 6- 8 -2 -12 ++ 5.00 325 H Hayfield 18- 3 15 13 0.00 406 H Fairfax 14- 4 10 6 0.84 408 H McLean 7- 4 3 5 - -2.94 411 H Herndon 17- 3 14 9 0.00 411 H West Springfield 13- 3 10 3 + 3.40 420 H Chantilly 10- 8 2 0 1.34 424 A James Madison 9-15 -6 -9 1.00 427 A Woodson 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.81 430 H Centreville 15- 5 10 3 + 3.16 504 A Oakton 6- 7 -1 -7 +++ 6.00 508 A South Lakes 9- 5 4 -5 +++ 9.21 514 H Centreville 15- 6 9 3 + 3.16 515 A Oakton 10- 3 7 -7 +++ 14.00 519 A James Madison 7-17 -10 -9 0.00 522 H Langley 7- 3 4 -5 +++ 9.32 529 H Chantilly 11- 7 4 0 + 3.34 602 N James Madison 4-11 -7 -8 0.00 605 A Battlefield 3- 8 -5 -7 + 2.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 H McLean 7- 4 3 5 - -2.94 427 A Woodson 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.81OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 504 A Oakton 6- 7 -1 -7 +++ 6.00 508 A South Lakes 9- 5 4 -5 +++ 9.21 515 A Oakton 10- 3 7 -7 +++ 14.00 522 H Langley 7- 3 4 -5 +++ 9.32 323 A Yorktown 6- 8 -2 -12 ++ 5.00 411 H West Springfield 13- 3 10 3 + 3.40 430 H Centreville 15- 5 10 3 + 3.16 514 H Centreville 15- 6 9 3 + 3.16 529 H Chantilly 11- 7 4 0 + 3.34 605 A Battlefield 3- 8 -5 -7 + 2.00
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 76.81 Power Rank................. 11 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 54.20 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 3 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7181 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 1 RPI Rating............... .6023 RPI Rank................... 7 Champ. Probability ...... 6.7 Championship Rank ......... 7 Selection sum ........... 15 Selection Rank ............ 4 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 115. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 5 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 70. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 7 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 6.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -2.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 5- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -0.9 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 9- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.7