All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
Nickname = Coach =GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 79.1600037 home-field advantage = -0.86 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 314 H Herndon ( 5- 9, 70.2) 17- 5 316 N Annandale ( 2-11, 60.0) 21- 3 316 A Lake Braddock ( 9- 7, 76.2) 15- 3 316 H West Springfield (10- 9, 75.4) 9- 5 318 A James Madison ( 8- 8, 84.5) 12-22 320 H Langley (13- 4, 83.7) 10-17 322 A Marshall ( 3-12, 62.1) 19- 3 403 A Woodson (12- 8, 82.3) 13-12 405 A Oakton (11- 8, 81.0) 10- 8 408 H Centreville ( 3-11, 74.8) 13-10 413 A West Potomac (13- 5, 83.4) 13-23 413 A Colgan (14- 4, 70.8) 16- 5 416 H Chantilly ( 6- 8, 75.0) 21- 9 425 A South Lakes (15- 6, 82.6) 4-14 510 H Oakton (11- 8, 81.0) 9-14 516 A Yorktown (21- 1, 90.8) 4-20
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 H Herndon 17- 5 12 9 0.00 316 N Annandale 21- 3 18 19 0.00 316 A Lake Braddock 15- 3 12 2 ++ 4.87 316 H West Springfield 9- 5 4 4 -0.58 318 A James Madison 12-22 -10 -6 -0.78 320 H Langley 10-17 -7 -3 - -3.29 322 A Marshall 19- 3 16 16 0.00 403 A Woodson 13-12 1 -4 ++ 5.03 405 A Oakton 10- 8 2 -2 ++ 4.71 408 H Centreville 13-10 3 5 - -2.18 413 A West Potomac 13-23 -10 -5 -1.93 413 A Colgan 16- 5 11 7 0.00 416 H Chantilly 21- 9 12 4 + 2.02 425 A South Lakes 4-14 -10 -4 - -2.74 510 H Oakton 9-14 -5 0 -- -4.01 516 A Yorktown 4-20 -16 -12 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 510 H Oakton 9-14 -5 0 -- -4.01 320 H Langley 10-17 -7 -3 - -3.29 408 H Centreville 13-10 3 5 - -2.18 425 A South Lakes 4-14 -10 -4 - -2.74OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 316 A Lake Braddock 15- 3 12 2 ++ 4.87 403 A Woodson 13-12 1 -4 ++ 5.03 405 A Oakton 10- 8 2 -2 ++ 4.71 416 H Chantilly 21- 9 12 4 + 2.02
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 79.16 Power Rank................. 28 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 53.29 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 18 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6505 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 30 RPI Rating............... .5741 RPI Rank................... 39 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 153 Selection sum ........... 128 Selection Rank ............ 39 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -55. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 49 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -65. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 59 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.9 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -16.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -16.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -8.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -10.3