List of girl Div 17 Wilton List of Team Values for Connecticut


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Brien McMahon          20- 2      18    21           0.00
   404 H North Shore            18- 2      16     9          n/a  
   405 A Cheshire HS            21- 4      17    12           0.00
   412 H Shenendehowa           14- 4      10    14          n/a  
   413 H Greenwich HS            9- 6       3     4          -1.12
   416 A Rye HS                 14-15      -1     1          n/a  
   418 A Staples                16- 4      12     8           0.00
   420 H Yorktown               15- 7       8     8          n/a  
   423 H St Joseph              19- 3      16    18           0.00
   427 N West Islip             10- 7       3     2          n/a  
   502 H Darien                  9- 8       1    -2    +      3.26
   504 A Ridgefield             18-10       8     2    ++     4.68
   507 A Danbury                18- 3      15    28           0.00
   509 H New Canaan              4-12      -8    -3    -     -3.89
   511 H Guilford               17- 3      14    17           0.00
   516 H Fairfield Ludlowe      17- 4      13    12           0.00
   520 N Darien                  6-12      -6    -2    -     -3.06
   528 H Hamden                 20- 1      19    22           0.00
   531 H Staples                17- 3      14     9           0.00
   604 N New Canaan              8-13      -5    -3          -1.21

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Rye HS                 14-15      -1     1    -          
   509 H New Canaan              4-12      -8    -3    -     -3.89
   520 N Darien                  6-12      -6    -2    -     -3.06

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 A Ridgefield             18-10       8     2    ++     4.68
   502 H Darien                  9- 8       1    -2    +      3.26



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 93.40 Power Rank.................     3
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 67.09 SOS (PR) Rank..............     4
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6773 SOS (RPI) Rank.............    15
 RPI Rating............... .6700 RPI Rank...................     3
 Champ. Probability ......  17.0 Championship Rank .........     3
 Selection sum ...........    22 Selection Rank ............     5
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....  155. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........     3
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....  125. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........     4
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  14.5 Ave Defensive Goals .......    6.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    8.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    9.3