Madison
W-L: (15- 4) PR = 92.9566Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A DeForest ( 5- 8, 85.7) 15- 3 408 A Oregon (11- 4, 90.2) 8- 3 410 A Waunakee ( 8- 9, 88.4) 17- 5 415 A Middleton ( 5- 8, 86.1) 15- 4 417 A Whitefish Bay (15- 4, 93.6) 8-16 422 A Janesville ( 4-11, 84.0) 21- 5 425 A Mukwonago (13- 6, 92.9) 11-12 429 H Oregon (11- 4, 90.2) 19- 9 501 A Verona ( 5-10, 87.2) 12- 5 506 H Waunakee ( 8- 9, 88.4) 19- 9 508 A Sun Prairie ( 1-14, 80.1) 15- 4 510 H Central Wisconsin (11- 5, 88.0) 12- 4 510 A Wauwatosa ( 1-16, 81.9) 18- 5 516 H DeForest ( 5- 8, 85.7) 17- 6 521 A Oconomowoc ( 8- 9, 91.0) 9-10 529 H Kimberly ( 3- 9, 81.8) 20- 7 604 H De Pere ( 8-10, 86.3) 16- 3 605 H Notre Dame (14- 4, 91.6) 12- 9 607 A Hudson (11- 0, 99.9) 6-22
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 A DeForest 15- 3 12 7 0.00
408 A Oregon 8- 3 5 2 + 2.88
410 A Waunakee 17- 5 12 4 1.05
415 A Middleton 15- 4 11 6 0.00
417 A Whitefish Bay 8-16 -8 -1 - -3.78
422 A Janesville 21- 5 16 8 0.00
425 A Mukwonago 11-12 -1 -1 -0.48
429 H Oregon 19- 9 10 3 1.67
501 A Verona 12- 5 7 5 0.00
506 H Waunakee 19- 9 10 5 0.00
508 A Sun Prairie 15- 4 11 12 0.00
510 H Central Wisconsin 12- 4 8 6 0.00
510 A Wauwatosa 18- 5 13 10 0.00
516 H DeForest 17- 6 11 8 0.00
521 A Oconomowoc 9-10 -1 1 - -2.40
529 H Kimberly 20- 7 13 12 0.00
604 H De Pere 16- 3 13 7 0.00
605 H Notre Dame 12- 9 3 2 1.06
607 A Hudson 6-22 -16 -8 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 A Whitefish Bay 8-16 -8 -1 - -3.78 521 A Oconomowoc 9-10 -1 1 - -2.40 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A Oregon 8- 3 5 2 + 2.88 |
Madison Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Appleton | Madison | Madison 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Arrowhead | Arrowhead | Arrowhead 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Bay Port | Madison | Madison 8- 0 vs 4- 4 | ||
| Brookfield | Brookfield | Brookfield 6- 0 vs 4- 2 | ||
| Cedarburg | Madison | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Madison | |
| Central Wisconsin | Madison | Madison | ||
| De Pere | Madison | Madison | ||
| DeForest | Madison | Madison | ||
| Divine Savior | Madison | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Madison | |
| Franklin | Madison | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Madison | |
| Hamilton | Madison | Madison 5- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Homestead | Madison | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Madison | |
| Hudson | Hudson | Hudson | ||
| Janesville | Madison | Madison | ||
| Kenosha | Madison | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Madison | |
| Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine | Kettle Moraine 6- 2 vs 4- 4 | ||
| Kimberly | Madison | Madison | ||
| Middleton | Madison | Madison | ||
| Mukwonago | Mukwonago | Mukwonago | ||
| Muskego | Madison | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 2) | Madison | |
| Neenah | Madison | Madison 6- 0 vs 4- 2 | ||
| Notre Dame | Madison | Madison | ||
| Oak Creek | Madison | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Madison | |
| Oconomowoc | Oconomowoc | Oconomowoc | ||
| Oregon | Madison | Madison | ||
| Pulaski | Madison | Madison 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Sun Prairie | Madison | Madison | ||
| Superior | Madison | Madison 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| University Milwaukee | University Milwaukee | University Milwaukee 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Verona | Madison | Madison | ||
| Waukesha | Madison | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Madison | |
| Waunakee | Madison | Madison | ||
| Wauwatosa | Madison | Madison | ||
| West Bend | Madison | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Madison | |
| Whitefish Bay | Whitefish Bay | Whitefish Bay |
PowerWise = 27
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.72
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A DeForest ( 5- 8, 85.7) 15- 3 -14.15 6.75 0.60 0.83 6.09
0 A Oregon (11- 4, 90.2) 8- 3 -9.67 11.23 0.60 0.83 9.80
0 A Waunakee ( 8- 9, 88.4) 17- 5 -11.49 9.41 0.60 0.83 8.28
0 A Middleton ( 5- 8, 86.1) 15- 4 -13.76 7.14 0.60 0.83 6.41
0 A Whitefish Bay (15- 4, 93.6) 8-16 -6.33 14.57 0.60 0.83 -4.74
0 A Janesville ( 4-11, 84.0) 21- 5 -15.88 5.02 0.60 0.83 4.66
0 A Mukwonago (13- 6, 92.9) 11-12 -7.03 13.87 0.60 0.83 -5.32
0 H Oregon (11- 4, 90.2) 19- 9 -9.67 11.23 -0.60 0.83 8.80
0 A Verona ( 5-10, 87.2) 12- 5 -12.71 8.20 0.60 0.83 7.28
0 H Waunakee ( 8- 9, 88.4) 19- 9 -11.49 9.41 -0.60 0.83 7.28
0 A Sun Prairie ( 1-14, 80.1) 15- 4 -19.79 1.11 0.60 0.83 1.42
0 H Central Wiscon (11- 5, 88.0) 12- 4 -11.85 9.05 -0.60 0.83 6.99
0 A Wauwatosa ( 1-16, 81.9) 18- 5 -17.98 2.92 0.60 0.83 2.92
0 H DeForest ( 5- 8, 85.7) 17- 6 -14.15 6.75 -0.60 0.83 5.09
0 A Oconomowoc ( 8- 9, 91.0) 9-10 -8.95 11.96 0.60 0.83 -6.90
0 H Kimberly ( 3- 9, 81.8) 20- 7 -18.15 2.75 -0.60 0.83 1.78
0 H De Pere ( 8-10, 86.3) 16- 3 -13.64 7.26 -0.60 0.83 5.51
0 H Notre Dame (14- 4, 91.6) 12- 9 -8.28 12.62 -0.60 0.83 9.94
0 A Hudson (11- 0, 99.9) 6-22 -0.00 20.90 0.60 0.83 -0.50
------
74.78
|
winning pts = 92.2359 losing points = -17.4566
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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