---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:02 PDT

safe3step girls Western Albemarle 1
  
Western Albemarle     
W-L: ( 9- 1) PR = 95.7398

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 A Rockbridge County ( 5- 3, 92.8) 12-10 321 H Collegiate School ( 1- 4, 91.4) 11-10 409 A Salem ( 2- 2, 89.0) 16- 4 425 A Yorktown (17- 1, 97.7) 15-16 426 A Robinson (11- 6, 90.9) 15- 6 429 A Albemarle ( 1- 4, 84.0) 17- 0 516 H Monticello ( 1- 2, 82.0) 16- 2 521 H Albemarle ( 1- 4, 84.0) 16- 3 610 N Dominion ( 7- 2, 88.5) 16- 2 614 N Rockbridge County ( 5- 3, 92.8) 14- 4

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A Rockbridge County      12-10       2     2          -0.30
   321 H Collegiate School      11-10       1     5    --    -4.00
   409 A Salem                  16- 4      12     6           0.00
   425 A Yorktown               15-16      -1    -3           1.64
   426 A Robinson               15- 6       9     4           0.85
   429 A Albemarle              17- 0      17    11           0.00
   516 H Monticello             16- 2      14    14           0.00
   521 H Albemarle              16- 3      13    12           0.00
   610 N Dominion               16- 2      14     7           0.00
   614 N Rockbridge County      14- 4      10     3    +      2.01

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Collegiate School      11-10       1     5    --    -4.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   614 N Rockbridge County      14- 4      10     3    +      2.01

Western Albemarle Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Western Albemarle Western Albemarle  
Alexandria City Western Albemarle insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Western Albemarle
Annandale Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Atlee Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Battlefield Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Bayside Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Benedictine Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Bishop Ireton Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Bishop OConnell Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Blacksburg Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Blue Ridge School Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Brentsville Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Briar Woods Western Albemarle insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Western Albemarle
Broad Run Western Albemarle insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Western Albemarle
Brooke Point Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Cape Henry Collegiat Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Catholic HS Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Cave Spring Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Centreville Western Albemarle tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Western Albemarle
Chantilly Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Charlottesville Western Albemarle tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Western Albemarle
Christchurch Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Christiansburg Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Clover Hill Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Colgan Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Collegiate School Western Albemarle Western Albemarle  
Colonial Forge Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Cosby Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Covenant School Western Albemarle tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Western Albemarle
Cox Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Culpeper County Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Deep Run Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Dominion Western Albemarle Western Albemarle  
Douglas Freeman Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Eastern View Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
EC Glass Western Albemarle Western Albemarle   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Edison Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Episcopal Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Eukarya Christian Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Fairfax Western Albemarle insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Western Albemarle
Falls Church Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Fauquier Western Albemarle insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Western Albemarle
First Colonial Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Fishburne Military A Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Flint Hill Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Fluvanna County Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Forest Park Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Fork Union Military Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Franklin County Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Fredericksburg Acade Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Fredericksburg Chris Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Freedom South Ridin Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Freedom Woodbridge Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Gainesville Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Gar-field Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Glen Allen Western Albemarle insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Western Albemarle
Goochland Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Grafton LC Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Grassfield LC Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Green Run Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Handley Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Hanover Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Hayfield Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Heritage Leesburg Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Herndon Western Albemarle tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Western Albemarle
Hickory LC Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Hidden Valley Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Highland School Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Highland Springs Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Hylton Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Independence Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
James Monroe Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
James River Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Jamestown LC Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Jefferson Forest Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
John Champe Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Justice Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Kellam Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Kempsville Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Kettle Run Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Lafayette LC Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Lake Braddock Western Albemarle insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Western Albemarle
Landstown Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Langley Western Albemarle tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Western Albemarle
Lewis Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Liberty Bealeton Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Lightridge Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Lloyd C Bird Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Lord Botetourt Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Loudoun County Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Loudoun Valley Western Albemarle insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Western Albemarle
Madison Madison tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Madison
Manchester Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Marshall Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Massaponax Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Matoaca Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Maury LC Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
McLean Western Albemarle tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Western Albemarle
Mechanicsville Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Menchville LC Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Meridian Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Midlothian Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Mills Godwin Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Monacan Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Monticello Western Albemarle Western Albemarle  
Mount Vernon Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Mountain View Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
New Covenant School Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Norfolk Academy Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Norfolk Christian Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Norfolk Collegiate Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
North Cross School Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
North Stafford Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Northern VA Home Sch Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Oakton Western Albemarle tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Western Albemarle
Ocean Lakes Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Orange County Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Osbourn Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Osbourn Park Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Park View Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Patrick Henry Ashla Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Patrick Henry Roano Western Albemarle insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Western Albemarle
Patriot Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Paul VI Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Potomac Falls Western Albemarle insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Western Albemarle
Potomac School Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Potomac-Dumfries Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Powhatan Western Albemarle insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Western Albemarle
Princess Anne Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Riverbend Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Riverside Western Albemarle tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Western Albemarle
Robinson Western Albemarle Western Albemarle  
Rock Ridge Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Rockbridge County Western Albemarle Western Albemarle  
Rockingham LC Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Salem Western Albemarle Western Albemarle  
Salem Virginia Beach Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Seton School Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
South County Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
South Lakes Western Albemarle tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Western Albemarle
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
St John Paul the Gre Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
St Stephen-St Agnes Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Stafford Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Steward School Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Stone Bridge Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Strasburg LC Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Tabb LC Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Tallwood Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Tandem Friends Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Thomas Dale Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Thomas Jefferson Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Trinity Christian Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Trinity Episcopal Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Trinity Meadow View Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Tuscarora Western Albemarle insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Western Albemarle
Unity Reed Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Veritas School Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Virginia Academy Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Virginia Episcopal S Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Wakefield HS Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Wakefield School Western Albemarle insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Western Albemarle
Washington-Liberty Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
West Potomac Western Albemarle insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Western Albemarle
West Springfield Western Albemarle insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Western Albemarle
Westfield Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
William Byrd Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
William Fleming Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Woodberry Forest Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Woodbridge Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Woodgrove Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Woodson Western Albemarle insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Western Albemarle
York LC Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Yorktown Yorktown Yorktown  

PowerWise = 173


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 2.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Rockbridge Cou  ( 5- 3, 92.8)    12-10       -7.15      22.43       0.69         0.30             6.85
   0 H Collegiate Sch  ( 1- 4, 91.4)    11-10       -8.51      21.07      -0.69         0.30             6.03
   0 A Salem           ( 2- 2, 89.0)    16- 4      -10.89      18.69       0.69         0.30             5.74
   0 A Yorktown        (17- 1, 97.7)    15-16       -2.21      27.37       0.69         0.30            -0.45
   0 A Robinson        (11- 6, 90.9)    15- 6       -9.00      20.58       0.69         0.30             6.30
   0 A Albemarle       ( 1- 4, 84.0)    17- 0      -15.88      13.70       0.69         0.30             4.26
   0 H Monticello      ( 1- 2, 82.0)    16- 2      -17.86      11.72      -0.69         0.30             3.27
   0 H Albemarle       ( 1- 4, 84.0)    16- 3      -15.88      13.70      -0.69         0.30             3.85
   0 N Dominion        ( 7- 2, 88.5)    16- 2      -11.42      18.16      -0.00         0.30             5.38
   0 N Rockbridge Cou  ( 5- 3, 92.8)    14- 4       -7.15      22.43      -0.00         0.30             6.64
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        47.86

winning pts = 48.3105 losing points = -0.4492

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------