---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:58 PDT

safe3step girls Watauga 1
  
Watauga               
W-L: ( 1-14) PR = 67.5164

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 A Patton ( 2-12, 72.0) 4-14 227 H Asheville HS (15- 3, 81.4) 1-16 303 H Ronald Reagan (17- 7, 81.5) 1-26 304 A Hickory (12- 6, 77.5) 5-13 311 H St Stephens (10- 9, 75.3) 2-20 313 H North Lincoln ( 8-10, 74.9) 7-16 318 A TC Roberson ( 5- 7, 76.6) 4-18 327 H Patton ( 2-12, 72.0) 6-12 401 A Asheville HS (15- 3, 81.4) 3-16 408 H Hickory (12- 6, 77.5) 5-16 410 A St Stephens (10- 9, 75.3) 5-19 414 A West Stokes ( 3- 9, 68.9) 3- 6 417 H Asheville School ( 7- 1, 84.1) 2-18 428 H West Stokes ( 3- 9, 68.9) 7- 6 429 A North Lincoln ( 8-10, 74.9) 2-18

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A Patton                  4-14     -10    -5          -0.19
   227 H Asheville HS            1-16     -15   -14           0.00
   303 H Ronald Reagan           1-26     -25   -14           0.00
   304 A Hickory                 5-13      -8   -10           0.00
   311 H St Stephens             2-20     -18    -8           0.00
   313 H North Lincoln           7-16      -9    -7           0.00
   318 A TC Roberson             4-18     -14    -9           0.00
   327 H Patton                  6-12      -6    -4          -0.80
   401 A Asheville HS            3-16     -13   -14           0.00
   408 H Hickory                 5-16     -11   -10           0.00
   410 A St Stephens             5-19     -14    -8           0.00
   414 A West Stokes             3- 6      -3    -2          -1.28
   417 H Asheville School        2-18     -16   -16           0.00
   428 H West Stokes             7- 6       1    -1    +      2.11
   429 A North Lincoln           2-18     -16    -8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H West Stokes             7- 6       1    -1    +      2.11

Watauga Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex   Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Academy Arendell Parrott Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Arendell Parrott Academy
Asheville HS Asheville HS Asheville HS  
Asheville School Asheville School Asheville School  
Ashley Ashley   Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Atkins Atkins tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Atkins
Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge   Ballantyne Ridge
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 0) Bishop McGuinness
Broughton Broughton   Broughton
Butler Butler   Butler
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Cape Fear HS Cape Fear HS   Cape Fear HS
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Carrboro   Carrboro
Cary Academy Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Cary HS Cary HS   Cary HS
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin School Charlotte Latin School   Charlotte Latin School
Christ the King Christ the King   Christ the King
Clayton Clayton   Clayton
Cleveland Cleveland   Cleveland
Community School Davidso Community School Davidso Community School Davidso   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Corinth Holders Corinth Holders   Corinth Holders
Croatan Croatan   Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davidson Day School Davidson Day School insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Davidson Day School
Davie Davie tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Davie
DH Conley DH Conley   DH Conley
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth East Forsyth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Forsyth
Enloe Enloe   Enloe
Fayetteville Academy Fayetteville Academy   Fayetteville Academy
Fike Fike   Fike
First Flight First Flight   First Flight
Forsyth CDS Forsyth CDS insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Forsyth CDS
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Garner Garner   Garner
Glenn Watauga tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Watauga
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day School Greensboro Day School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Greensboro Day School
Grimsley Grimsley   Grimsley
Havelock Havelock   Havelock
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
Hickory Hickory Hickory  
High Point Central Watauga insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Watauga
Hoggard Hoggard   Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs   Holly Springs
Hopewell Hopewell   Hopewell
Hough Hough   Hough
Hunt Hunt   Hunt
Independence Watauga   Watauga
Jack Britt Jack Britt   Jack Britt
Jacksonville Jacksonville   Jacksonville
JH Rose JH Rose   JH Rose
Jordan Jordan   Jordan
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney   Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road   Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter Lincoln Charter tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Lincoln Charter
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook   Millbrook
Mooresville Mooresville   Mooresville
Mount Tabor Mount Tabor tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Mount Tabor
Myers Park Myers Park   Myers Park
New Bern New Bern   New Bern
New Hanover New Hanover   New Hanover
North Brunswick North Brunswick   North Brunswick
North Davidson North Davidson tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) North Davidson
North Lincoln North Lincoln North Lincoln  
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northern Guilford
Northside Northside   Northside
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Northwood Northwood   Northwood
Page Page   Page
Panther Creek Panther Creek   Panther Creek
Parkwood Parkwood   Parkwood
Patton Patton Patton  
Pine Forest Watauga   Watauga
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep   Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Porter Ridge Porter Ridge   Porter Ridge
Providence Providence   Providence
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Ragsdale   Ragsdale
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School   Ravenscroft School
Riverside Durham Riverside Durham   Riverside Durham
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) RJ Reynolds
Rolesville Rolesville   Rolesville
Ronald Reagan Ronald Reagan Ronald Reagan  
Sanderson Sanderson   Sanderson
Seaforth Seaforth   Seaforth
South Brunswick South Brunswick   South Brunswick
South Iredell South Iredell South Iredell   3- 1 vs 0- 4
South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) South Mecklenburg
Southeast Guilford Southeast Guilford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southeast Guilford
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Southwest Guilford Southwest Guilford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southwest Guilford
St Davids School St Davids School   St Davids School
St Marys St Marys   St Marys
St Stephens St Stephens St Stephens  
Sun Valley Sun Valley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Sun Valley
Swansboro Swansboro   Swansboro
TC Roberson TC Roberson TC Roberson  
Terry Sanford Terry Sanford   Terry Sanford
Topsail Topsail   Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines   Union Pines
Wake Forest Wake Forest   Wake Forest
Wakefield Wakefield   Wakefield
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick West Brunswick   West Brunswick
West Forsyth West Forsyth West Forsyth   2- 0 vs 0- 2
West Stokes West Stokes tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) West Stokes
White Oak White Oak   White Oak
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 4


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Patton          ( 2-12, 72.0)     4-14      -27.88      11.92       0.31         1.12           -31.01
   0 H Asheville HS    (15- 3, 81.4)     1-16      -18.51      21.29      -0.31         1.12           -21.16
   0 H Ronald Reagan   (17- 7, 81.5)     1-26      -18.40      21.41      -0.31         1.12           -21.03
   0 A Hickory         (12- 6, 77.5)     5-13      -22.41      17.40       0.31         1.12           -24.85
   0 H St Stephens     (10- 9, 75.3)     2-20      -24.56      15.25      -0.31         1.12           -27.95
   0 H North Lincoln   ( 8-10, 74.9)     7-16      -24.98      14.83      -0.31         1.12           -28.43
   0 A TC Roberson     ( 5- 7, 76.6)     4-18      -23.26      16.55       0.31         1.12           -25.81
   0 H Patton          ( 2-12, 72.0)     6-12      -27.88      11.92      -0.31         1.12           -31.69
   0 A Asheville HS    (15- 3, 81.4)     3-16      -18.51      21.29       0.31         1.12           -20.47
   0 H Hickory         (12- 6, 77.5)     5-16      -22.41      17.40      -0.31         1.12           -25.54
   0 A St Stephens     (10- 9, 75.3)     5-19      -24.56      15.25       0.31         1.12           -27.27
   0 A West Stokes     ( 3- 9, 68.9)     3- 6      -30.97       8.84       0.31         1.12           -34.48
   0 H Asheville Scho  ( 7- 1, 84.1)     2-18      -15.83      23.97      -0.31         1.12           -18.14
   0 H West Stokes     ( 3- 9, 68.9)     7- 6      -30.97       8.84      -0.31         1.12             9.59
   0 A North Lincoln   ( 8-10, 74.9)     2-18      -24.98      14.83       0.31         1.12           -27.74
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -355.98

winning pts = 9.5926 losing points = -365.5722

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------