---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:01 PDT

safe3step girls Vergennes/Mt Abraham 1
  
Vergennes/Mt Abraham  
W-L: ( 8- 9) PR = 93.1805

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 415 H Hartford (15- 1, 98.2) 10-14 417 A Essex (12- 6, 97.3) 5-15 418 H St Johnsbury Academy (10- 6, 95.4) 4-12 426 H Bellows Free Academy - ( 2-11, 91.8) 11- 6 501 A Stowe ( 4-10, 89.9) 17- 6 502 H Lyndon Institute ( 1-13, 82.5) 20- 1 505 A Green Mountain Valley (13- 1, 99.6) 9-18 507 A Burlington ( 9- 7, 94.2) 13-20 510 A Milton ( 3-12, 84.0) 22- 5 513 H Harwood Union ( 6-12, 91.7) 14- 8 516 H Colchester ( 6- 9, 89.4) 17- 7 520 A Middlebury Union (11- 4, 96.5) 10-19 524 H Rice Memorial (14- 5, 96.1) 6-16 528 A Spaulding ( 5-13, 88.9) 15- 8 531 A U-32 (12- 6, 95.7) 11-16 603 H Milton ( 3-12, 84.0) 16- 5 605 A U-32 (12- 6, 95.7) 9-10

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Hartford               10-14      -4    -5           0.51
   417 A Essex                   5-15     -10    -5          -0.41
   418 H St Johnsbury Academy    4-12      -8    -2    -     -3.23
   426 H Bellows Free Academy - 11- 6       5     2    +      3.14
   501 A Stowe                  17- 6      11     3    +      2.24
   502 H Lyndon Institute       20- 1      19    11           0.00
   505 A Green Mountain Valley   9-18      -9    -7           0.00
   507 A Burlington             13-20      -7    -2    -     -3.48
   510 A Milton                 22- 5      17     9           0.00
   513 H Harwood Union          14- 8       6     2    +      3.05
   516 H Colchester             17- 7      10     4           0.76
   520 A Middlebury Union       10-19      -9    -4          -1.17
   524 H Rice Memorial           6-16     -10    -2    -     -2.56
   528 A Spaulding              15- 8       7     4           1.25
   531 A U-32                   11-16      -5    -3    -     -2.05
   603 H Milton                 16- 5      11    10           0.00
   605 A U-32                    9-10      -1    -3           1.95

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H St Johnsbury Academy    4-12      -8    -2    -     -3.23
   507 A Burlington             13-20      -7    -2    -     -3.48
   524 H Rice Memorial           6-16     -10    -2    -     -2.56
   531 A U-32                   11-16      -5    -3    -     -2.05

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Bellows Free Academy - 11- 6       5     2    +      3.14
   501 A Stowe                  17- 6      11     3    +      2.24
   513 H Harwood Union          14- 8       6     2    +      3.05

Vergennes/Mt Abraham Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bellows Free Academy - S Vergennes/Mt Abraham Vergennes/Mt Abraham  
Brattleboro Union Vergennes/Mt Abraham tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Vergennes/Mt Abraham
Burlington Burlington Burlington  
Burr & Burton Academy Burr & Burton Academy tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Burr & Burton Academy
Champlain Valley Union Champlain Valley Union Champlain Valley Union   6- 0 vs 1- 5
Colchester Vergennes/Mt Abraham Vergennes/Mt Abraham  
Essex Essex Essex  
Green Mountain Valley Green Mountain Valley Green Mountain Valley  
Hartford Hartford Hartford  
Harwood Union Vergennes/Mt Abraham Vergennes/Mt Abraham  
Lamoille Union Vergennes/Mt Abraham Vergennes/Mt Abraham   5- 5 vs 1- 9
Lyndon Institute Vergennes/Mt Abraham Vergennes/Mt Abraham  
Middlebury Union Middlebury Union Middlebury Union  
Milton Vergennes/Mt Abraham Vergennes/Mt Abraham  
Mt Anthony Union Mt Anthony Union   Mt Anthony Union
Mt Mansfield Union Mt Mansfield Union insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 2- 5) Mt Mansfield Union
Rice Memorial Rice Memorial Rice Memorial  
Rutland Vergennes/Mt Abraham tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Vergennes/Mt Abraham
South Burlington South Burlington South Burlington   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Spaulding Vergennes/Mt Abraham Vergennes/Mt Abraham  
St Johnsbury Academy St Johnsbury Academy St Johnsbury Academy  
Stowe Vergennes/Mt Abraham Vergennes/Mt Abraham  
Stratton Mountain School Vergennes/Mt Abraham tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Vergennes/Mt Abraham
U-32 U-32 U-32  
Woodstock Union Woodstock Union Woodstock Union   3- 1 vs 0- 4

PowerWise = 11


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.54

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Hartford        (15- 1, 98.2)    10-14       -1.73      15.67      -0.48         0.91            -2.02
   0 A Essex           (12- 6, 97.3)     5-15       -2.60      14.80       0.48         0.91            -1.94
   0 H St Johnsbury A  (10- 6, 95.4)     4-12       -4.47      12.93      -0.48         0.91            -4.52
   0 H Bellows Free A  ( 2-11, 91.8)    11- 6       -8.10       9.30      -0.48         0.91             8.07
   0 A Stowe           ( 4-10, 89.9)    17- 6       -9.96       7.44       0.48         0.91             7.24
   0 H Lyndon Institu  ( 1-13, 82.5)    20- 1      -17.39       1.00      -0.48         0.91             0.48
   0 A Green Mountain  (13- 1, 99.6)     9-18       -0.32      17.08       0.48         0.91            -0.14
   0 A Burlington      ( 9- 7, 94.2)    13-20       -5.68      11.72       0.48         0.91            -4.76
   0 A Milton          ( 3-12, 84.0)    22- 5      -15.91       1.49       0.48         0.91             1.80
   0 H Harwood Union   ( 6-12, 91.7)    14- 8       -8.20       9.21      -0.48         0.91             7.98
   0 H Colchester      ( 6- 9, 89.4)    17- 7      -10.48       6.92      -0.48         0.91             5.89
   0 A Middlebury Uni  (11- 4, 96.5)    10-19       -3.36      14.04       0.48         0.91            -2.64
   0 H Rice Memorial   (14- 5, 96.1)     6-16       -3.80      13.60      -0.48         0.91            -3.91
   0 A Spaulding       ( 5-13, 88.9)    15- 8      -10.95       6.45       0.48         0.91             6.33
   0 A U-32            (12- 6, 95.7)    11-16       -4.24      13.16       0.48         0.91            -3.44
   0 H Milton          ( 3-12, 84.0)    16- 5      -15.91       1.49      -0.48         0.91             0.92
   0 A U-32            (12- 6, 95.7)     9-10       -4.24      13.16       0.48         0.91            -3.44
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        11.89

winning pts = 38.7074 losing points = -26.8212

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------