Valley Regional
W-L: ( 6-10) PR = 73.7305Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Morgan School ( 8- 9, 74.8) 11-10 408 H Cromwell ( 1-14, 71.2) 10- 6 410 A Montville (11- 7, 77.1) 7-11 415 A Old Lyme (13- 6, 78.2) 7-13 416 H North Branford ( 8-10, 76.6) 6-10 419 H Griswold-Norwich Tech ( 2-14, 69.7) 7- 1 422 A Haddam-Killingworth ( 9- 9, 76.6) 5- 6 424 A Old Saybrook (11- 7, 76.3) 5-15 429 H New London/St Bernards ( 7-10, 72.3) 11- 4 501 H Old Lyme (13- 6, 78.2) 4-11 506 A Morgan School ( 8- 9, 74.8) 8- 9 508 H Haddam-Killingworth ( 9- 9, 76.6) 8-14 513 A Cromwell ( 1-14, 71.2) 10- 5 515 H Old Saybrook (11- 7, 76.3) 4- 9 519 A North Branford ( 8-10, 76.6) 4-10 521 A New London/St Bernards ( 7-10, 72.3) 6- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 H Morgan School 11-10 1 0 1.34
408 H Cromwell 10- 6 4 3 0.72
410 A Montville 7-11 -4 -4 0.13
415 A Old Lyme 7-13 -6 -5 0.00
416 H North Branford 6-10 -4 -2 -1.88
419 H Griswold-Norwich Tech 7- 1 6 5 0.29
422 A Haddam-Killingworth 5- 6 -1 -4 + 2.60
424 A Old Saybrook 5-15 -10 -3 -1.66
429 H New London/St Bernards 11- 4 7 2 + 2.84
501 H Old Lyme 4-11 -7 -4 -1.26
506 A Morgan School 8- 9 -1 -2 0.79
508 H Haddam-Killingworth 8-14 -6 -2 - -2.86
513 A Cromwell 10- 5 5 2 + 3.17
515 H Old Saybrook 4- 9 -5 -2 - -3.12
519 A North Branford 4-10 -6 -4 -1.43
521 A New London/St Bernards 6- 5 1 1 0.30
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 508 H Haddam-Killingworth 8-14 -6 -2 - -2.86 515 H Old Saybrook 4- 9 -5 -2 - -3.12 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 A Haddam-Killingworth 5- 6 -1 -4 + 2.60 429 H New London/St Bernards 11- 4 7 2 + 2.84 513 A Cromwell 10- 5 5 2 + 3.17 |
Valley Regional Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Avon HS | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Bacon/East Hampton | Bacon/East Hampton | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Bacon/East Hampton | |
| Berlin | Berlin | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Berlin | |
| Bethel | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Branford | Branford | Branford | ||
| Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | ||
| Bristol Central | Valley Regional | Valley Regional | ||
| Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | ||
| Brookfield | Brookfield | Brookfield | ||
| Canton | Canton | Canton | ||
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | ||
| Conard | Conard | Conard | ||
| Cromwell | Valley Regional | Valley Regional | ||
| Danbury | Danbury | Danbury | ||
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | ||
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Catholic | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| East Lyme | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Ellington | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Enfield | Valley Regional | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Valley Regional | |
| EO Smith | EO Smith | EO Smith | ||
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | ||
| Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Farmington | Farmington | Farmington | ||
| Fitch | Valley Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Valley Regional | |
| Foran | Foran | Foran | ||
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | Glastonbury | ||
| Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | Granby Memorial | |
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | ||
| Griswold-Norwich Tech | Valley Regional | Valley Regional | ||
| Guilford | Guilford | Guilford | ||
| Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | ||
| Hall | Hall | Hall | ||
| Hamden | Hamden | Hamden | ||
| Housatonic Regional | Valley Regional | Valley Regional | ||
| Immaculate Heart | Valley Regional | Valley Regional | ||
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | ||
| Jonathan Law | Valley Regional | Valley Regional | ||
| Killingly | Valley Regional | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Valley Regional | |
| Lakeview United | Valley Regional | Valley Regional | ||
| Lauralton Hall | Lauralton Hall | Lauralton Hall | ||
| Ledyard | Ledyard | Ledyard 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lewis Mills | |
| Lyman Hall | Lyman Hall | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lyman Hall | |
| Masuk | Masuk | Masuk | ||
| Mercy | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Middletown-Coginchaug | Valley Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Valley Regional | |
| Montville | Montville | Montville | ||
| Morgan School | Morgan School | Morgan School 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| New Canaan | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | New Fairfield | ||
| New London/St Bernards | Valley Regional | Valley Regional | ||
| New Milford | New Milford | New Milford | ||
| Newington | Newington | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newington | |
| Newtown | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| North Branford | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| North Haven | North Haven | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | North Haven | |
| Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | ||
| Norwalk | Norwalk | Norwalk | ||
| Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Notre Dame Fairfield | Valley Regional | Valley Regional | ||
| Old Lyme | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Pomperaug | Pomperaug | Pomperaug | ||
| RHAM | RHAM | RHAM | ||
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield | ||
| Rockville | Rockville | Rockville | ||
| Rocky Hill | Rocky Hill | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Rocky Hill | |
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Sheehan | Sheehan | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Sheehan | |
| Shelton | Shelton | Shelton | ||
| Simsbury | Simsbury | Simsbury | ||
| Somers | Somers | Somers 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| South Windsor | South Windsor | South Windsor | ||
| Southington | Southington | Southington | ||
| St Joseph | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| St Paul Catholic | Valley Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Valley Regional | |
| Stamford | Stamford | Stamford | ||
| Staples | Staples | Staples | ||
| Stonington | Stonington | Stonington 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Stratford-Bunnell | Valley Regional | Valley Regional | ||
| Suffield HS | Suffield HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Suffield HS | |
| Tolland | Tolland | Tolland | ||
| Trumbull | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Waterford | Waterford | Waterford 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Watertown | Watertown | Watertown | ||
| West Haven | Valley Regional | Valley Regional | ||
| Westhill | Westhill | Westhill | ||
| Weston | Weston | Weston | ||
| Wethersfield | Wethersfield | Wethersfield | ||
| Wheeler | Wheeler | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Wheeler | |
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton | ||
| Windsor | Valley Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Valley Regional | |
| Wolcott | Valley Regional | Valley Regional | ||
| Woodstock Academy | Valley Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Valley Regional |
PowerWise = 19
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Morgan School ( 8- 9, 74.8) 11-10 -25.11 9.70 -0.73 1.09 9.82
0 H Cromwell ( 1-14, 71.2) 10- 6 -28.72 6.09 -0.73 1.09 5.87
0 A Montville (11- 7, 77.1) 7-11 -22.77 12.04 0.73 1.09 -24.11
0 A Old Lyme (13- 6, 78.2) 7-13 -21.70 13.11 0.73 1.09 -22.95
0 H North Branford ( 8-10, 76.6) 6-10 -23.32 11.49 -0.73 1.09 -26.31
0 H Griswold-Norwi ( 2-14, 69.7) 7- 1 -30.16 4.65 -0.73 1.09 4.30
0 A Haddam-Killing ( 9- 9, 76.6) 5- 6 -23.30 11.51 0.73 1.09 -24.70
0 A Old Saybrook (11- 7, 76.3) 5-15 -23.56 11.25 0.73 1.09 -24.98
0 H New London/St ( 7-10, 72.3) 11- 4 -27.60 7.21 -0.73 1.09 7.09
0 H Old Lyme (13- 6, 78.2) 4-11 -21.70 13.11 -0.73 1.09 -24.54
0 A Morgan School ( 8- 9, 74.8) 8- 9 -25.11 9.70 0.73 1.09 -26.67
0 H Haddam-Killing ( 9- 9, 76.6) 8-14 -23.30 11.51 -0.73 1.09 -26.29
0 A Cromwell ( 1-14, 71.2) 10- 5 -28.72 6.09 0.73 1.09 7.45
0 H Old Saybrook (11- 7, 76.3) 4- 9 -23.56 11.25 -0.73 1.09 -26.57
0 A North Branford ( 8-10, 76.6) 4-10 -23.32 11.49 0.73 1.09 -24.72
0 A New London/St ( 7-10, 72.3) 6- 5 -27.60 7.21 0.73 1.09 8.68
------
-208.63
|
winning pts = 43.2114 losing points = -251.8377
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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