---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Ursuline Academy 1
  
Ursuline Academy      
W-L: ( 7- 9) PR = 91.0364

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 324 A Visitation Academy ( 9- 8, 94.3) 5-11 326 H Francis Howell Central ( 4- 9, 88.9) 10- 5 328 H Francis Howell ( 7- 8, 91.7) 5- 9 401 A Villa Duchesne ( 7- 8, 89.5) 13-15 403 A Nerinx Hall ( 7- 7, 90.8) 5- 6 409 H Notre Dame ( 3- 8, 86.1) 12- 6 415 H Northwest (10- 4, 91.9) 8- 9 416 A Lafayette (11- 4, 93.4) 8-14 422 A St Josephs Academy (10- 6, 95.5) 8-20 423 H St Dominic ( 8- 6, 92.4) 11- 7 429 A Incarnate Word Academy ( 0-13, 83.3) 13- 3 501 H Cor Jesu Academy (15- 3, 97.5) 3-18 507 H Kirkwood ( 6- 8, 88.7) 13- 3 513 A Whitfield School ( 2- 8, 83.0) 12- 0 515 A Nerinx Hall ( 7- 7, 90.8) 9- 7 517 A John Burroughs (14- 2, 99.9) 6-18

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Visitation Academy      5-11      -6    -4          -0.64
   326 H Francis Howell Central 10- 5       5     3           1.75
   328 H Francis Howell          5- 9      -4     0    --    -4.41
   401 A Villa Duchesne         13-15      -2     0    -     -2.43
   403 A Nerinx Hall             5- 6      -1    -1          -0.16
   409 H Notre Dame             12- 6       6     6           0.00
   415 H Northwest               8- 9      -1     0          -1.23
   416 A Lafayette               8-14      -6    -3          -1.57
   422 A St Josephs Academy      8-20     -12    -6           0.00
   423 H St Dominic             11- 7       4     0    ++     4.25
   429 A Incarnate Word Academy 13- 3      10     7           0.00
   501 H Cor Jesu Academy        3-18     -15    -5           0.00
   507 H Kirkwood               13- 3      10     3           1.62
   513 A Whitfield School       12- 0      12     7           0.00
   515 A Nerinx Hall             9- 7       2    -1    +      2.84
   517 A John Burroughs          6-18     -12   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Francis Howell          5- 9      -4     0    --    -4.41
   401 A Villa Duchesne         13-15      -2     0    -     -2.43

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H St Dominic             11- 7       4     0    ++     4.25
   515 A Nerinx Hall             9- 7       2    -1    +      2.84

Ursuline Academy Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Belleville West Ursuline Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ursuline Academy
Clayton Ursuline Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ursuline Academy
Cor Jesu Academy Cor Jesu Academy Cor Jesu Academy  
Eureka Eureka Eureka   6- 0 vs 0- 6
Fox Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Francis Howell Francis Howell Francis Howell  
Francis Howell Central Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy  
Francis Howell North Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Hazelwood West Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Incarnate Word Academy Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy  
John Burroughs John Burroughs John Burroughs  
Kirkwood Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy  
Ladue Horton Watkins Ladue Horton Watkins Ladue Horton Watkins   4- 3 vs 1- 6
Lafayette Lafayette Lafayette  
Lindbergh Ursuline Academy insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) Ursuline Academy
Marquette Marquette Marquette   3- 1 vs 0- 4
MICDS-St Louis CDS MICDS-St Louis CDS MICDS-St Louis CDS   5- 1 vs 1- 5
Nerinx Hall Ursuline Academy tied - ( 5- 6) ( 5- 6) Ursuline Academy
Northwest Northwest Northwest  
Notre Dame Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy  
Oakville Ursuline Academy insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Ursuline Academy
Parkway Central Ursuline Academy insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Ursuline Academy
Parkway North Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Parkway South Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy   5- 3 vs 2- 6
Parkway West Parkway West tied - ( 1- 6) ( 1- 6) Parkway West
Pattonville Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
Rockwood Summit Rockwood Summit Rockwood Summit   2- 4 vs 0- 6
St Dominic Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy  
St Josephs Academy St Josephs Academy St Josephs Academy  
Villa Duchesne Villa Duchesne Villa Duchesne  
Visitation Academy Visitation Academy Visitation Academy  
Webster Groves Ursuline Academy tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 3) Ursuline Academy
Wentzville Wentzville tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Wentzville
Westminster Christian Westminster Christian Westminster Christian   7- 1 vs 3- 5
Whitfield School Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy  

PowerWise = 19


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.72

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Visitation Aca  ( 9- 8, 94.3)     5-11       -5.58      16.46       1.08         0.86            -3.86
   0 H Francis Howell  ( 4- 9, 88.9)    10- 5      -11.03      11.01      -1.08         0.86             8.52
   0 H Francis Howell  ( 7- 8, 91.7)     5- 9       -8.19      13.85      -1.08         0.86            -7.95
   0 A Villa Duchesne  ( 7- 8, 89.5)    13-15      -10.38      11.66       1.08         0.86            -7.97
   0 A Nerinx Hall     ( 7- 7, 90.8)     5- 6       -9.11      12.94       1.08         0.86            -6.88
   0 H Notre Dame      ( 3- 8, 86.1)    12- 6      -13.81       8.24      -1.08         0.86             6.14
   0 H Northwest       (10- 4, 91.9)     8- 9       -8.01      14.03      -1.08         0.86            -7.80
   0 A Lafayette       (11- 4, 93.4)     8-14       -6.52      15.52       1.08         0.86            -4.66
   0 A St Josephs Aca  (10- 6, 95.5)     8-20       -4.38      17.66       1.08         0.86            -2.83
   0 H St Dominic      ( 8- 6, 92.4)    11- 7       -7.53      14.51      -1.08         0.86            11.52
   0 A Incarnate Word  ( 0-13, 83.3)    13- 3      -16.58       5.47       1.08         0.86             5.62
   0 H Cor Jesu Acade  (15- 3, 97.5)     3-18       -2.37      19.67      -1.08         0.86            -2.96
   0 H Kirkwood        ( 6- 8, 88.7)    13- 3      -11.17      10.88      -1.08         0.86             8.40
   0 A Whitfield Scho  ( 2- 8, 83.0)    12- 0      -16.92       5.12       1.08         0.86             5.32
   0 A Nerinx Hall     ( 7- 7, 90.8)     9- 7       -9.11      12.94       1.08         0.86            12.02
   0 A John Burroughs  (14- 2, 99.9)     6-18       -0.00      22.05       1.08         0.86            -0.93
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        11.68

winning pts = 57.5377 losing points = -45.8589

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------