---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:01 PDT

safe3step girls Ursuline Academy 1
  
Ursuline Academy      
W-L: ( 3- 6) PR = 86.1377

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 H Allen ( 3- 6, 83.6) 16- 9 303 A Southlake Carroll ( 8- 6, 92.8) 3-15 305 H Lovejoy ( 9- 4, 90.8) 5-13 319 H Flower Mound ( 6- 5, 89.9) 8-12 325 A Coppell ( 2- 7, 82.5) 14- 9 401 H Parish Episcopal ( 2-10, 78.9) 17- 7 403 A Highland Park (12- 2, 93.0) 3-14 409 H Prosper ( 4- 8, 90.0) 7- 8 415 A McKinney ( 6- 7, 86.8) 12-18

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Allen                  16- 9       7     3           1.56
   303 A Southlake Carroll       3-15     -12    -8           0.00
   305 H Lovejoy                 5-13      -8    -4          -1.20
   319 H Flower Mound            8-12      -4    -3          -1.17
   325 A Coppell                14- 9       5     3    +      2.30
   401 H Parish Episcopal       17- 7      10     8           0.00
   403 A Highland Park           3-14     -11    -8           0.00
   409 H Prosper                 7- 8      -1    -3           1.94
   415 A McKinney               12-18      -6    -2    -     -3.43

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A McKinney               12-18      -6    -2    -     -3.43

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Coppell                14- 9       5     3    +      2.30

Ursuline Academy Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Alamo Heights Alamo Heights   Alamo Heights
Allen Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy  
Anderson Anderson insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Anderson
Antonian College Prep Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
Atascocita Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
Austin Austin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Austin
Awty International Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
Bellaire Ursuline Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursuline Academy
Bishop Lynch Ursuline Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ursuline Academy
Boerne Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
Bowie Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
Bridge LC Ursuline Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursuline Academy
Canyon Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
Cedar Park Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
Clear Springs Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
Coppell Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy  
Cy-Fair Cy-Fair   Cy-Fair
Dripping Springs Ursuline Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ursuline Academy
Duchesne Academy Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
Emery-Weiner School Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
Episcopal Dallas Episcopal Dallas Episcopal Dallas   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Episcopal Houston Episcopal Houston   Episcopal Houston
Flower Mound Flower Mound Flower Mound  
Friendswood Friendswood tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Friendswood
Frisco Frisco Frisco   6- 0 vs 1- 5
Grapevine Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
Greenhill School Ursuline Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursuline Academy
Highland Park Highland Park Highland Park  
Hockaday Hockaday Hockaday   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Houston Christian Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
John Paul II Ursuline Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Ursuline Academy
Katy Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
Keller Keller insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Keller
Kingwood Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
Kinkaid School Kinkaid School   Kinkaid School
Klein Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
Lake Travis Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
Lamar Lamar   Lamar
LASA Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
Lovejoy Lovejoy Lovejoy  
McKinney McKinney McKinney  
Memorial Houston Memorial Houston   Memorial Houston
Parish Episcopal Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy  
Plano Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Prosper Prosper Prosper  
Reagan Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
Regents School Austin Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
Rockwall Rockwall Rockwall   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Smithson Valley Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
Southlake Carroll Southlake Carroll Southlake Carroll  
St Agnes Academy St Agnes Academy insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) St Agnes Academy
St Andrews ES St Andrews ES   St Andrews ES
St Francis St Francis   St Francis
St Johns St Johns tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Johns
St Marys Hall Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
St Michaels Academy St Michaels Academy   St Michaels Academy
St Pius X Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
St Stephens ES St Stephens ES tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Stephens ES
Stratford Stratford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Stratford
TMI Episcopal Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
Vandegrift Ursuline Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ursuline Academy
Village School Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
Westlake Westlake   Westlake
Westwood Westwood insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Westwood
Woodlands Woodlands   Woodlands

PowerWise = 35


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.27

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Allen           ( 3- 6, 83.6)    16- 9      -16.29       7.94      -0.91         1.25             8.80
   0 A Southlake Carr  ( 8- 6, 92.8)     3-15       -7.11      17.12       0.91         1.25            -7.76
   0 H Lovejoy         ( 9- 4, 90.8)     5-13       -9.05      15.17      -0.91         1.25           -12.48
   0 H Flower Mound    ( 6- 5, 89.9)     8-12      -10.02      14.21      -0.91         1.25           -13.69
   0 A Coppell         ( 2- 7, 82.5)    14- 9      -17.38       6.85       0.91         1.25             9.72
   0 H Parish Episcop  ( 2-10, 78.9)    17- 7      -20.96       3.26      -0.91         1.25             2.94
   0 A Highland Park   (12- 2, 93.0)     3-14       -6.94      17.28       0.91         1.25            -7.55
   0 H Prosper         ( 4- 8, 90.0)     7- 8       -9.91      14.32      -0.91         1.25           -13.55
   0 A McKinney        ( 6- 7, 86.8)    12-18      -13.10      11.12       0.91         1.25           -15.27
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -48.84

winning pts = 21.4617 losing points = -70.3054

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------