U-32
W-L: (12- 6) PR = 95.6563Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 410 A Burlington ( 9- 7, 94.2) 16-12 412 H Spaulding ( 5-13, 88.9) 15- 6 417 A Rice Memorial (14- 5, 96.1) 9-11 501 A Mt Mansfield Union ( 4-12, 93.5) 14- 4 503 H Hartford (15- 1, 98.2) 12-14 505 A Colchester ( 6- 9, 89.4) 16- 8 507 A Stowe ( 4-10, 89.9) 18- 8 512 A Spaulding ( 5-13, 88.9) 14- 8 514 H St Johnsbury Academy (10- 6, 95.4) 10- 9 515 H Woodstock Union (10- 8, 95.2) 7- 8 519 A Green Mountain Valley (13- 1, 99.6) 6-16 521 H Lyndon Institute ( 1-13, 82.5) 17- 1 522 A Rice Memorial (14- 5, 96.1) 6-10 523 A Milton ( 3-12, 84.0) 15- 5 527 H Harwood Union ( 6-12, 91.7) 12- 7 531 H Vergennes/Mt Abraham ( 8- 9, 93.2) 16-11 605 H Vergennes/Mt Abraham ( 8- 9, 93.2) 10- 9 610 A Green Mountain Valley (13- 1, 99.6) 2- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
410 A Burlington 16-12 4 1 + 3.04
412 H Spaulding 15- 6 9 7 0.00
417 A Rice Memorial 9-11 -2 -1 -1.08
501 A Mt Mansfield Union 14- 4 10 2 + 3.28
503 H Hartford 12-14 -2 -2 0.04
505 A Colchester 16- 8 8 6 0.00
507 A Stowe 18- 8 10 5 0.00
512 A Spaulding 14- 8 6 6 0.00
514 H St Johnsbury Academy 10- 9 1 1 0.30
515 H Woodstock Union 7- 8 -1 1 -1.95
519 A Green Mountain Valley 6-16 -10 -4 -0.60
521 H Lyndon Institute 17- 1 16 14 0.00
522 A Rice Memorial 6-10 -4 -1 - -3.08
523 A Milton 15- 5 10 11 0.00
527 H Harwood Union 12- 7 5 4 0.57
531 H Vergennes/Mt Abraham 16-11 5 3 + 2.05
605 H Vergennes/Mt Abraham 10- 9 1 3 -1.95
610 A Green Mountain Valley 2- 8 -6 -4 -0.60
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 522 A Rice Memorial 6-10 -4 -1 - -3.08 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 A Burlington 16-12 4 1 + 3.04 501 A Mt Mansfield Union 14- 4 10 2 + 3.28 531 H Vergennes/Mt Abraham 16-11 5 3 + 2.05 |
U-32 Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellows Free Academy - S | U-32 | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | U-32 | |
| Brattleboro Union | U-32 | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | U-32 | |
| Burlington | U-32 | U-32 | ||
| Burr & Burton Academy | Burr & Burton Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Burr & Burton Academy | |
| Champlain Valley Union | Champlain Valley Union | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) | Champlain Valley Union | |
| Colchester | U-32 | U-32 | ||
| Essex | Essex | tied - ( 5- 0) ( 5- 0) | Essex | |
| Green Mountain Valley | Green Mountain Valley | Green Mountain Valley | ||
| Hartford | Hartford | Hartford | ||
| Harwood Union | U-32 | U-32 | ||
| Lamoille Union | U-32 | U-32 7- 4 vs 1-10 | ||
| Lyndon Institute | U-32 | U-32 | ||
| Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | tied - ( 5- 1) ( 5- 1) | Middlebury Union | |
| Milton | U-32 | U-32 | ||
| Mt Anthony Union | Mt Anthony Union | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Mt Anthony Union | |
| Mt Mansfield Union | U-32 | U-32 | ||
| Rice Memorial | Rice Memorial | Rice Memorial | ||
| Rutland | U-32 | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | U-32 | |
| South Burlington | South Burlington | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | South Burlington | |
| Spaulding | U-32 | U-32 | ||
| St Johnsbury Academy | U-32 | U-32 | ||
| Stowe | U-32 | U-32 | ||
| Stratton Mountain School | U-32 | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | U-32 | |
| Vergennes/Mt Abraham | U-32 | U-32 | ||
| Woodstock Union | Woodstock Union | Woodstock Union |
PowerWise = 15
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.54
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Burlington ( 9- 7, 94.2) 16-12 -5.68 11.72 0.48 0.86 10.53
0 H Spaulding ( 5-13, 88.9) 15- 6 -10.95 6.45 -0.48 0.86 5.16
0 A Rice Memorial (14- 5, 96.1) 9-11 -3.80 13.60 0.48 0.86 -2.87
0 A Mt Mansfield U ( 4-12, 93.5) 14- 4 -6.44 10.96 0.48 0.86 9.87
0 H Hartford (15- 1, 98.2) 12-14 -1.73 15.67 -0.48 0.86 -1.91
0 A Colchester ( 6- 9, 89.4) 16- 8 -10.48 6.92 0.48 0.86 6.39
0 A Stowe ( 4-10, 89.9) 18- 8 -9.96 7.44 0.48 0.86 6.84
0 A Spaulding ( 5-13, 88.9) 14- 8 -10.95 6.45 0.48 0.86 5.98
0 H St Johnsbury A (10- 6, 95.4) 10- 9 -4.47 12.93 -0.48 0.86 10.75
0 H Woodstock Unio (10- 8, 95.2) 7- 8 -4.71 12.69 -0.48 0.86 -4.48
0 A Green Mountain (13- 1, 99.6) 6-16 -0.32 17.08 0.48 0.86 -0.14
0 H Lyndon Institu ( 1-13, 82.5) 17- 1 -17.39 1.00 -0.48 0.86 0.45
0 A Rice Memorial (14- 5, 96.1) 6-10 -3.80 13.60 0.48 0.86 -2.87
0 A Milton ( 3-12, 84.0) 15- 5 -15.91 1.49 0.48 0.86 1.70
0 H Harwood Union ( 6-12, 91.7) 12- 7 -8.20 9.21 -0.48 0.86 7.53
0 H Vergennes/Mt A ( 8- 9, 93.2) 16-11 -6.72 10.68 -0.48 0.86 8.81
0 H Vergennes/Mt A ( 8- 9, 93.2) 10- 9 -6.72 10.68 -0.48 0.86 8.81
0 A Green Mountain (13- 1, 99.6) 2- 8 -0.32 17.08 0.48 0.86 -0.14
------
70.42
|
winning pts = 82.8207 losing points = -12.4014
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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