---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:47 PDT

safe3step girls Tuscarora 1
  
Tuscarora             
W-L: ( 6- 5) PR = 82.7108

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Middletown (12- 5, 85.1) 7-11 325 A Smithsburg ( 1-11, 69.4) 16- 1 401 A North Hagerstown ( 0-10, 64.0) 17- 5 403 H Frederick ( 3-10, 77.6) 15- 5 408 H Linganore ( 8- 6, 87.2) 5-15 410 A Urbana (12- 5, 90.2) 6-14 417 H Oakdale ( 9- 5, 86.0) 12-13 424 H Gov Thomas Johnson ( 6- 7, 79.1) 13- 8 429 A Catoctin ( 7- 5, 80.7) 12-10 501 H Brunswick ( 3-11, 73.1) 19- 6 508 H Linganore ( 8- 6, 87.2) 10-19

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Middletown              7-11      -4    -3          -1.14
   325 A Smithsburg             16- 1      15    13           0.00
   401 A North Hagerstown       17- 5      12    18           0.00
   403 H Frederick              15- 5      10     6           0.00
   408 H Linganore               5-15     -10    -4          -0.95
   410 A Urbana                  6-14      -8    -8           0.00
   417 H Oakdale                12-13      -1    -3           1.83
   424 H Gov Thomas Johnson     13- 8       5     4           0.95
   429 A Catoctin               12-10       2     2           0.48
   501 H Brunswick              19- 6      13    10           0.00
   508 H Linganore              10-19      -9    -4          -0.95

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Tuscarora Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Christian Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Anne Arundel County Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Bishop McNamara Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Brookewood SG Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Bryn Mawr SG Bryn Mawr SG   Bryn Mawr SG
Bullis School Bullis School   Bullis School
Calverton School Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Catholic High Baltimore Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Chapelgate Christian Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Concordia Prep Concordia Prep   Concordia Prep
Cristo Rey Jesuit Tuscarora   Tuscarora
DC International Tuscarora   Tuscarora
EL Haynes Charter Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Elizabeth Seton Tuscarora   Tuscarora
FCA Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Field School Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Friends School Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Garrison Forest Garrison Forest   Garrison Forest
Georgetown Day School Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Georgetown Visitation Georgetown Visitation   Georgetown Visitation
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Gerstell Academy
Glenelg Country School Glenelg Country School   Glenelg Country School
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston Day School Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Holton-Arms School Holton-Arms School   Holton-Arms School
Holy Child Holy Child   Holy Child
Holy Cross Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Indian Creek Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Jackson-Reed Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Jemicy Tuscarora   Tuscarora
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Tuscarora   Tuscarora
KIPP College Prep Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Maret School Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Maryvale Prep Maryvale Prep   Maryvale Prep
McDonogh School McDonogh School   McDonogh School
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Mount de Sales Mount de Sales   Mount de Sales
National Cathedral National Cathedral   National Cathedral
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep   Notre Dame Prep
Oldfields School Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Park School Park School   Park School
Rockbridge Academy Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Roland Park Country Roland Park Country   Roland Park Country
Salisbury School Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Sandy Spring Friends Tuscarora   Tuscarora
School Without Walls Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends   Sidwell Friends
St Andrews Episcopal Tuscarora   Tuscarora
St James School Tuscarora tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Tuscarora
St Johns Catholic Prep Tuscarora   Tuscarora
St Johns College St Johns College   St Johns College
St Marys St Marys   St Marys
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls SG St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
St Timothys St Timothys   St Timothys
St Vincent Pallotti Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Stone Ridge School Stone Ridge School   Stone Ridge School
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Washington Latin Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Worcester Prep Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Aberdeen Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Academy for College & Ca Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Annapolis Annapolis   Annapolis
Arundel Arundel   Arundel
Atholton Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Baltimore Polytechnic Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Bel Air Bel Air tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bel Air
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bladensburg Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Blair Tuscarora tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tuscarora
Blake Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Bohemia Manor Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Boonsboro Tuscarora insuffient: ( 6- 1)( 5- 2) Tuscarora
Bowie Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Broadneck Broadneck insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Broadneck
Brunswick Tuscarora Tuscarora  
Calvert Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Cambridge SD Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Carver A&T Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Catoctin Tuscarora Tuscarora  
Catonsville Catonsville   Catonsville
Centennial Centennial   Centennial
Central PG Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Century Century Century   2- 0 vs 0- 2
CH Flowers Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Chopticon Tuscarora   Tuscarora
City College Tuscarora tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Tuscarora
Clarksburg Tuscarora tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tuscarora
CM Wright CM Wright   CM Wright
CMIT North Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Crofton Crofton   Crofton
Damascus Damascus   Damascus
Dr Henry Wise Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Dulaney Dulaney insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Dulaney
Dundalk Tuscarora   Tuscarora
DuVal Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Eastern Technical Eastern Technical   Eastern Technical
Easton Easton   Easton
Edgewood Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Einstein Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Eleanor Roosevelt Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Elkton Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Fairmont Heights Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Fallston Fallston   Fallston
Francis Scott Key Tuscarora insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Tuscarora
Franklin Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Frederick Tuscarora Tuscarora  
Frederick Douglass PG Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Gaithersburg Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Glen Burnie Tuscarora tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tuscarora
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson Tuscarora Tuscarora  
Great Mills Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Guilford Park Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Gwynn Park Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Hammond Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Harford Tech Harford Tech   Harford Tech
Havre De Grace Havre De Grace   Havre De Grace
Hereford Hereford   Hereford
Howard Howard   Howard
Huntingtown Huntingtown   Huntingtown
JM Bennett Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Kennedy Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Kent County Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood Tuscarora   Tuscarora
La Plata La Plata   La Plata
Lackey Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Lansdowne Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Laurel Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Leonardtown Leonardtown insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty Liberty   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Linganore Linganore Linganore  
Loch Raven Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Long Reach Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Magruder Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley Manchester Valley   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   Marriotts Ridge
Meade Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Middletown Middletown Middletown  
Milford Mill Tuscarora   Tuscarora
MJ McDonough Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron   Mount Hebron
New Town Tuscarora   Tuscarora
North Caroline North Caroline   North Caroline
North County Tuscarora   Tuscarora
North Dorchester Tuscarora   Tuscarora
North East Cecil Tuscarora   Tuscarora
North Hagerstown Tuscarora Tuscarora  
North Harford North Harford   North Harford
North Point Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Northeast Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Northwest Tuscarora insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Tuscarora
Northwestern PG Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Northwood Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Oakdale Oakdale Oakdale  
Oakland Mills Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Old Mill Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Overlea Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Owings Mills Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Oxon Hill Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Paint Branch Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Parkdale Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Parkside Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Parkville Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Patapsco Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Patterson Mill Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Patuxent Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Perry Hall Tuscarora tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tuscarora
Perryville Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Pikesville Tuscarora tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tuscarora
Poolesville Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Randallstown Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Randallstown Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Reservoir Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Richard Montgomery Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Rising Sun Tuscarora tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tuscarora
River Hill River Hill   River Hill
Rockville Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Seneca Valley Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Severn Run Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Severna Park Severna Park insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg Tuscarora Tuscarora  
South Carroll South Carroll South Carroll   4- 0 vs 2- 2
South Hagerstown Tuscarora   Tuscarora
South River South River   South River
Southern Southern   Southern
Sparrows Point Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Springbrook Tuscarora   Tuscarora
St Charles Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Suitland Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Thomas Stone Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Towson Towson insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Towson
Urbana Urbana Urbana  
Walkersville Tuscarora Tuscarora   4- 3 vs 2- 5
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson   Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Western Baltimore Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Western STES Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Westlake Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Westminster Westminster   Westminster
Wheaton Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Whitman Whitman   Whitman
Wicomico Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Wilde Lake Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Winston Churchill Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Winters Mill Winters Mill tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Winters Mill
Woodlawn Tuscarora   Tuscarora
Wootton Tuscarora   Tuscarora

PowerWise = 141


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Middletown      (12- 5, 85.1)     7-11      -14.78      23.14       0.45         1.09           -15.59
   0 A Smithsburg      ( 1-11, 69.4)    16- 1      -30.51       7.41       0.45         1.09             8.55
   0 A North Hagersto  ( 0-10, 64.0)    17- 5      -35.94       1.98       0.45         1.09             2.64
   0 H Frederick       ( 3-10, 77.6)    15- 5      -22.27      15.65      -0.45         1.09            16.53
   0 H Linganore       ( 8- 6, 87.2)     5-15      -12.69      25.23      -0.45         1.09           -14.29
   0 A Urbana          (12- 5, 90.2)     6-14       -9.68      28.24       0.45         1.09           -10.04
   0 H Oakdale         ( 9- 5, 86.0)    12-13      -13.91      24.01      -0.45         1.09           -15.61
   0 H Gov Thomas Joh  ( 6- 7, 79.1)    13- 8      -20.79      17.13      -0.45         1.09            18.14
   0 A Catoctin        ( 7- 5, 80.7)    12-10      -19.16      18.76       0.45         1.09            20.90
   0 H Brunswick       ( 3-11, 73.1)    19- 6      -26.79      11.13      -0.45         1.09            11.61
   0 H Linganore       ( 8- 6, 87.2)    10-19      -12.69      25.23      -0.45         1.09           -14.29
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                         8.55

winning pts = 78.3693 losing points = -69.8218

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------