---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:41 PDT

safe3step girls Tustin 1
  
Tustin                
W-L: (10- 8) PR = 74.2946

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 219 A Portola ( 5-12, 78.0) 2-15 225 A Dana Hills ( 2-14, 74.5) 8- 8 228 A El Dorado (17- 6, 86.2) 2-18 304 A El Toro ( 4-13, 79.4) 4-14 307 H California Whittier ( 5-12, 71.6) 13- 8 310 H Dana Hills ( 2-14, 74.5) 10- 9 326 A Centennial ( 2-16, 69.8) 10- 7 327 A El Modena ( 4-14, 73.2) 5-16 328 H Valencia Placentia ( 6-10, 72.6) 8- 5 401 H Segerstrom ( 5-16, 74.4) 7- 6 404 A California Whittier ( 5-12, 71.6) 6- 4 407 H Mission Viejo (12-10, 77.4) 5-10 411 A Valencia Placentia ( 6-10, 72.6) 9- 2 414 A Portola ( 5-12, 78.0) 5-15 415 A Corona ( 1-16, 67.7) 18- 1 417 H El Modena ( 4-14, 73.2) 9- 6 422 A Segerstrom ( 5-16, 74.4) 7- 6 423 H El Dorado (17- 6, 86.2) 0-20 428 A Downey (11-12, 78.6) 6-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 A Portola                 2-15     -13    -4          -0.86
   225 A Dana Hills              8- 8       0    -1           0.59
   228 A El Dorado               2-18     -16   -12           0.00
   304 A El Toro                 4-14     -10    -5           0.00
   307 H California Whittier    13- 8       5     3           1.90
   310 H Dana Hills             10- 9       1     0           0.77
   326 A Centennial             10- 7       3     4          -1.10
   327 A El Modena               5-16     -11     1    --    -5.73
   328 H Valencia Placentia      8- 5       3     2           0.86
   401 H Segerstrom              7- 6       1     0           0.69
   404 A California Whittier     6- 4       2     2          -0.28
   407 H Mission Viejo           5-10      -5    -3    -     -2.30
   411 A Valencia Placentia      9- 2       7     1    +      3.68
   414 A Portola                 5-15     -10    -4          -0.86
   415 A Corona                 18- 1      17     6           0.00
   417 H El Modena               9- 6       3     2           1.45
   422 A Segerstrom              7- 6       1    -1           1.51
   423 H El Dorado               0-20     -20   -11           0.00
   428 A Downey                  6-12      -6    -5          -0.30

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A El Modena               5-16     -11     1    --    -5.73
   407 H Mission Viejo           5-10      -5    -3    -     -2.30

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Valencia Placentia      9- 2       7     1    +      3.68

Tustin Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Acalanes Acalanes   Acalanes
Alhambra Tustin   Tustin
Amador Valley Amador Valley   Amador Valley
Archie Williams Archie Williams   Archie Williams
Athenian Athenian   Athenian
Bay School Bay School   Bay School
Bentley Tustin   Tustin
Berkeley Berkeley   Berkeley
Bishop ODowd Bishop ODowd   Bishop ODowd
Branson School Branson School   Branson School
California San Ramon California San Ramon   California San Ramon
Campolindo Campolindo   Campolindo
Cardinal Newman Cardinal Newman   Cardinal Newman
Carondelet Carondelet   Carondelet
Casa Grande Casa Grande   Casa Grande
Clayton Valley Charter Clayton Valley Charter   Clayton Valley Charter
College Park College Park   College Park
Convent-Sacred Heart Tustin   Tustin
Dougherty Valley Dougherty Valley   Dougherty Valley
Dublin Dublin   Dublin
El Cerrito Tustin   Tustin
Foothill Pleasanton Foothill Pleasanton   Foothill Pleasanton
George Washington SF George Washington SF   George Washington SF
Granada Granada   Granada
Head-Royce School Head-Royce School   Head-Royce School
International Tustin   Tustin
Justin-Siena Justin-Siena   Justin-Siena
Las Lomas Las Lomas   Las Lomas
Lick-Wilmerding Lick-Wilmerding   Lick-Wilmerding
Livermore Livermore   Livermore
Lowell Lowell   Lowell
Marin Academy Marin Academy   Marin Academy
Marin Catholic Marin Catholic   Marin Catholic
Miramonte Miramonte   Miramonte
Monte Vista Danville Monte Vista Danville   Monte Vista Danville
Moreau Catholic Tustin   Tustin
Napa Tustin   Tustin
Newark Memorial Newark Memorial   Newark Memorial
Northgate Northgate   Northgate
Novato Novato   Novato
Oakland Tustin   Tustin
Oakland Tech Tustin   Tustin
Petaluma Petaluma   Petaluma
Piedmont Piedmont   Piedmont
Rancho Cotate Rancho Cotate   Rancho Cotate
Redwood Redwood   Redwood
San Domenico San Domenico   San Domenico
San Marin San Marin   San Marin
San Rafael Tustin   Tustin
San Ramon Valley San Ramon Valley   San Ramon Valley
Skyline Tustin   Tustin
Sonoma Academy Tustin   Tustin
Sonoma Valley Sonoma Valley   Sonoma Valley
St Vincent de Paul St Vincent de Paul   St Vincent de Paul
Tamalpais Tamalpais   Tamalpais
Terra Linda Terra Linda   Terra Linda
University HS SF University HS SF   University HS SF
Urban School Urban School   Urban School
Vintage Vintage   Vintage
Washington Fremont Tustin   Tustin
Windsor Tustin   Tustin
Ygnacio Valley Tustin   Tustin
Academy of Our Lady of P Academy of Our Lady of P   Academy of Our Lady of P
Bishops School Bishops School   Bishops School
Bonita Vista Bonita Vista   Bonita Vista
Canyon Crest Canyon Crest   Canyon Crest
Canyon Hills Canyon Hills   Canyon Hills
Carlsbad Carlsbad   Carlsbad
Castle Park Castle Park   Castle Park
Cathedral Catholic Cathedral Catholic   Cathedral Catholic
Clairemont Tustin   Tustin
Classical Academy Classical Academy   Classical Academy
Coronado Coronado   Coronado
Del Lago Academy Tustin   Tustin
Del Norte Del Norte   Del Norte
Eastlake Eastlake   Eastlake
El Camino El Camino   El Camino
El Capitan El Capitan   El Capitan
Fallbrook Fallbrook   Fallbrook
Francis Parker School Francis Parker School   Francis Parker School
Granite Hills Granite Hills   Granite Hills
Grossmont Tustin   Tustin
Helix Charter Helix Charter   Helix Charter
Hilltop Tustin   Tustin
La Costa Canyon La Costa Canyon   La Costa Canyon
La Jolla CDS La Jolla CDS   La Jolla CDS
La Jolla HS La Jolla HS   La Jolla HS
Lincoln San Diego Tustin   Tustin
Mar Vista Tustin   Tustin
Mater Dei Chula Vista Mater Dei Chula Vista   Mater Dei Chula Vista
Mira Mesa Mira Mesa   Mira Mesa
Mission Bay Mission Bay   Mission Bay
Mission Hills Mission Hills   Mission Hills
Mission Vista Tustin   Tustin
Monte Vista Spring Valle Tustin   Tustin
Morse Tustin   Tustin
Mt Carmel Mt Carmel   Mt Carmel
Olympian Olympian   Olympian
Otay Ranch Tustin   Tustin
Pacific Ridge Pacific Ridge   Pacific Ridge
Patrick Henry Patrick Henry   Patrick Henry
Point Loma Point Loma   Point Loma
Poway Poway   Poway
Preuss School Tustin   Tustin
Ramona Tustin   Tustin
Rancho Bernardo Rancho Bernardo   Rancho Bernardo
Rancho Buena Vista Rancho Buena Vista   Rancho Buena Vista
Sage Creek Sage Creek   Sage Creek
San Diego Tustin   Tustin
San Dieguito San Dieguito   San Dieguito
San Marcos SD San Marcos SD   San Marcos SD
San Ysidro San Ysidro   San Ysidro
Santana Tustin   Tustin
Scripps Ranch Scripps Ranch   Scripps Ranch
Southwest Tustin   Tustin
Torrey Pines Torrey Pines   Torrey Pines
Tri City Christian Tri City Christian   Tri City Christian
University City University City   University City
Valhalla Valhalla   Valhalla
Valley Center Valley Center   Valley Center
Vista Tustin   Tustin
West Hills West Hills   West Hills
Westview Westview   Westview
Aptos Aptos   Aptos
Aragon Aragon   Aragon
Archbishop Mitty Archbishop Mitty   Archbishop Mitty
Burlingame Burlingame   Burlingame
Carlmont Carlmont   Carlmont
Carmel Carmel   Carmel
Castilleja Castilleja   Castilleja
Gilroy Gilroy   Gilroy
Gunn Gunn   Gunn
Harbor Tustin   Tustin
Harker School Harker School   Harker School
Hillsdale Hillsdale   Hillsdale
Leland Leland   Leland
Lincoln San Jose Tustin   Tustin
Live Oak Live Oak   Live Oak
Los Altos Los Altos   Los Altos
Los Gatos Los Gatos   Los Gatos
Menlo School Menlo School   Menlo School
Menlo-Atherton Menlo-Atherton   Menlo-Atherton
Mercy Burlingame Mercy Burlingame   Mercy Burlingame
Monte Vista Christian Monte Vista Christian   Monte Vista Christian
Monterey Monterey   Monterey
Mountain View Mountain View   Mountain View
Notre Dame Belmont Notre Dame Belmont   Notre Dame Belmont
Notre Dame Salinas Tustin   Tustin
Notre Dame San Jose Notre Dame San Jose   Notre Dame San Jose
Palo Alto Palo Alto   Palo Alto
Pioneer Tustin   Tustin
Presentation Presentation   Presentation
Priory Priory   Priory
Sacred Heart Cathedral Sacred Heart Cathedral   Sacred Heart Cathedral
Sacred Heart Prep Sacred Heart Prep   Sacred Heart Prep
Salinas Salinas   Salinas
Santa Catalina School Santa Catalina School   Santa Catalina School
Santa Cruz Tustin   Tustin
Saratoga Saratoga   Saratoga
Scotts Valley Scotts Valley   Scotts Valley
Sequoia Sequoia   Sequoia
Sobrato Tustin   Tustin
Soquel Tustin   Tustin
St Francis Mtn View St Francis Mtn View   St Francis Mtn View
St Ignatius Prep St Ignatius Prep   St Ignatius Prep
Stevenson School Stevenson School   Stevenson School
Wilcox Tustin   Tustin
Willow Glen Willow Glen   Willow Glen
Woodside Woodside   Woodside
York School Tustin   Tustin
Bella Vista Bella Vista   Bella Vista
Christian Brothers Christian Brothers   Christian Brothers
Davis Davis   Davis
Del Oro Del Oro   Del Oro
Folsom Folsom   Folsom
Granite Bay Granite Bay   Granite Bay
Oak Ridge Oak Ridge   Oak Ridge
Oakmont Oakmont   Oakmont
Rio Americano Rio Americano   Rio Americano
Rocklin Rocklin   Rocklin
Roseville Roseville   Roseville
St Francis Sacramento St Francis Sacramento   St Francis Sacramento
Vista del Lago Vista del Lago   Vista del Lago
West Park West Park   West Park
Whitney Whitney   Whitney
Woodcreek Woodcreek   Woodcreek
Alexander Hamilton Tustin   Tustin
Birmingham Charter Tustin   Tustin
El Camino Real El Camino Real   El Camino Real
GALA Tustin   Tustin
Palisades Charter Palisades Charter   Palisades Charter
University HS LA Tustin   Tustin
Agoura Agoura   Agoura
Aliso Niguel Aliso Niguel Aliso Niguel   6- 0 vs 2- 3
Beckman Beckman Beckman   5- 0 vs 1- 3
Beverly Hills Tustin   Tustin
Calabasas Tustin   Tustin
California Whittier Tustin Tustin  
Canyon Canyon insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) Canyon
Capistrano Valley Capistrano Valley insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Capistrano Valley
Cate School Cate School   Cate School
Centennial Tustin Tustin  
Chadwick School Chadwick School insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Chadwick School
Chaminade Prep Chaminade Prep   Chaminade Prep
Chaparral Chaparral   Chaparral
Compton Tustin tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Tustin
Corona Tustin Tustin  
Corona Del Mar Corona Del Mar Corona Del Mar   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Crescenta Valley Crescenta Valley Crescenta Valley   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Culver City Culver City   Culver City
Dana Hills Tustin Tustin  
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos   Dos Pueblos
Downey Downey Downey  
Edison Edison   Edison
El Dorado El Dorado El Dorado  
El Modena Tustin Tustin   4- 3 vs 2- 5
El Rancho El Rancho   El Rancho
El Segundo El Segundo insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) El Segundo
El Toro El Toro El Toro  
Eleanor Roosevelt Eleanor Roosevelt tied - ( 5- 2) ( 5- 0) Eleanor Roosevelt
Esperanza Esperanza insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 1) Esperanza
Foothill Santa Ana Foothill Santa Ana insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Foothill Santa Ana
Glendale Glendale insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Glendale
Great Oak Great Oak tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Great Oak
Hart Hart   Hart
Hemet Tustin   Tustin
Heritage Heritage tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Heritage
Heritage Christian Tustin   Tustin
Huntington Beach Huntington Beach   Huntington Beach
Irvine Irvine insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 2) Irvine
JSerra Catholic JSerra Catholic   JSerra Catholic
King King insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) King
La Canada La Canada tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) La Canada
Laguna Beach Laguna Beach insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Laguna Beach
Laguna Hills Laguna Hills   Laguna Hills
Lakewood Tustin insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Tustin
Liberty Liberty tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Liberty
Long Beach Poly Tustin tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Tustin
Los Alamitos Los Alamitos tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Los Alamitos
Lynwood Tustin insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Tustin
Marlborough Marlborough   Marlborough
Mater Dei Santa Ana Mater Dei Santa Ana   Mater Dei Santa Ana
Millikan Millikan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Millikan
Mira Costa Mira Costa   Mira Costa
Mission Viejo Mission Viejo Mission Viejo  
Murrieta Mesa Murrieta Mesa   Murrieta Mesa
Murrieta Valley Murrieta Valley   Murrieta Valley
Newbury Park Newbury Park   Newbury Park
Newport Harbor Newport Harbor   Newport Harbor
Norco Norco tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Norco
Nordhoff Tustin   Tustin
Northwood Northwood insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Northwood
Notre Dame Sherman Oaks Notre Dame Sherman Oaks   Notre Dame Sherman Oaks
Oak Park Oak Park   Oak Park
Oaks Christian Oaks Christian   Oaks Christian
Orange Lutheran Orange Lutheran   Orange Lutheran
Paloma Valley Paloma Valley insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 0) Paloma Valley
Palos Verdes Palos Verdes   Palos Verdes
Peninsula Peninsula insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Peninsula
Portola Portola Portola  
Redondo Union Redondo Union insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Redondo Union
Riverside Poly Tustin tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Tustin
Rosary Academy Rosary Academy tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 2) Rosary Academy
Royal Royal insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Royal
Sage Hill Sage Hill tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Sage Hill
San Clemente San Clemente insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) San Clemente
San Juan Hills San Juan Hills insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) San Juan Hills
San Marcos SB San Marcos SB   San Marcos SB
Santa Barbara Santa Barbara   Santa Barbara
Santa Margarita Santa Margarita   Santa Margarita
Santa Monica Santa Monica tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Santa Monica
Santiago Santiago Santiago   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Saugus Saugus   Saugus
Segerstrom Tustin Tustin  
Simi Valley Simi Valley   Simi Valley
St Margarets St Margarets insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Margarets
Temecula Valley Temecula Valley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Temecula Valley
Tesoro Tesoro insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Tesoro
Thacher School Thacher School   Thacher School
Trabuco Hills Trabuco Hills Trabuco Hills   2- 0 vs 0- 2
University Irvine University Irvine insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) University Irvine
Valencia Placentia Tustin Tustin  
Valencia Santa Clarita Valencia Santa Clarita   Valencia Santa Clarita
Village Christian Village Christian   Village Christian
Vista Murrieta Vista Murrieta   Vista Murrieta
West Ranch West Ranch   West Ranch
Westridge School Westridge School tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Westridge School
Woodbridge Woodbridge insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Woodbridge
Woodrow Wilson Woodrow Wilson insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Woodrow Wilson
Yorba Linda Yorba Linda insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 1) Yorba Linda
Bullard Bullard   Bullard
Edison Fresno Edison Fresno   Edison Fresno
Fresno Tustin   Tustin
Garces Memorial Garces Memorial   Garces Memorial
Hoover Fresno Hoover Fresno   Hoover Fresno
McLane McLane   McLane
Roosevelt Roosevelt   Roosevelt
San Joaquin Memorial San Joaquin Memorial   San Joaquin Memorial
Sanger Sanger   Sanger
Sunnyside Sunnyside   Sunnyside

PowerWise = 62


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.05

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Portola         ( 5-12, 78.0)     2-15      -21.87      14.77       0.41         0.84           -18.14
   0 A Dana Hills      ( 2-14, 74.5)     8- 8      -25.43      11.22       0.41         0.84         ********
   0 A El Dorado       (17- 6, 86.2)     2-18      -13.73      22.91       0.41         0.84           -11.26
   0 A El Toro         ( 4-13, 79.4)     4-14      -20.52      16.12       0.41         0.84           -16.99
   0 H California Whi  ( 5-12, 71.6)    13- 8      -28.30       8.35      -0.41         0.84             6.70
   0 H Dana Hills      ( 2-14, 74.5)    10- 9      -25.43      11.22      -0.41         0.84             9.13
   0 A Centennial      ( 2-16, 69.8)    10- 7      -30.11       6.53       0.41         0.84             5.87
   0 A El Modena       ( 4-14, 73.2)     5-16      -26.74       9.90       0.41         0.84           -22.25
   0 H Valencia Place  ( 6-10, 72.6)     8- 5      -27.33       9.31      -0.41         0.84             7.52
   0 H Segerstrom      ( 5-16, 74.4)     7- 6      -25.51      11.14      -0.41         0.84             9.06
   0 A California Whi  ( 5-12, 71.6)     6- 4      -28.30       8.35       0.41         0.84             7.40
   0 H Mission Viejo   (12-10, 77.4)     5-10      -22.50      14.15      -0.41         0.84           -19.35
   0 A Valencia Place  ( 6-10, 72.6)     9- 2      -27.33       9.31       0.41         0.84             8.21
   0 A Portola         ( 5-12, 78.0)     5-15      -21.87      14.77       0.41         0.84           -18.14
   0 A Corona          ( 1-16, 67.7)    18- 1      -32.16       4.48       0.41         0.84             4.13
   0 H El Modena       ( 4-14, 73.2)     9- 6      -26.74       9.90      -0.41         0.84             8.02
   0 A Segerstrom      ( 5-16, 74.4)     7- 6      -25.51      11.14       0.41         0.84             9.76
   0 H El Dorado       (17- 6, 86.2)     0-20      -13.73      22.91      -0.41         0.84           -11.95
   0 A Downey          (11-12, 78.6)     6-12      -21.32      15.33       0.41         0.84           -17.66
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                     ********

winning pts = 75.7990 losing points = -135.7306

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------