Tualatin
W-L: (11- 5) PR = 84.1413Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 A Central Catholic (10- 7, 85.6) 10-11 320 A Sunset ( 4-10, 79.1) 17- 2 403 A Wilsonville (10- 6, 90.0) 7-12 405 A Bend ( 7- 7, 79.5) 15- 4 406 A Summit ( 5-10, 81.7) 10- 8 410 A Beaverton (10- 8, 86.3) 8-14 414 A Ida B Wells ( 2-12, 80.9) 12-11 416 H Lakeridge (10- 6, 91.2) 3-15 421 A Newberg ( 0-11, 72.9) 1- 0 428 H Hillsboro ( 0-10, 81.9) 1- 0 430 H Sherwood ( 5- 8, 77.8) 16- 4 501 A Liberty ( 3-10, 68.3) 18- 2 505 H Oregon City ( 6-10, 82.0) 16- 8 509 H Forest Grove ( 6- 8, 70.4) 18- 0 514 H Summit ( 5-10, 81.7) 12- 6 516 A Central Catholic (10- 7, 85.6) 4- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
318 A Central Catholic 10-11 -1 -1 0.44
320 A Sunset 17- 2 15 5 0.01
403 A Wilsonville 7-12 -5 -6 0.00
405 A Bend 15- 4 11 5 0.41
406 A Summit 10- 8 2 2 -0.41
410 A Beaverton 8-14 -6 -2 - -2.88
414 A Ida B Wells 12-11 1 3 - -2.23
416 H Lakeridge 3-15 -12 -7 0.00
430 H Sherwood 16- 4 12 6 0.00
501 A Liberty 18- 2 16 16 0.00
505 H Oregon City 16- 8 8 2 + 2.85
509 H Forest Grove 18- 0 18 14 0.00
514 H Summit 12- 6 6 2 + 2.57
516 A Central Catholic 4- 7 -3 -1 -1.56
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 A Beaverton 8-14 -6 -2 - -2.88 414 A Ida B Wells 12-11 1 3 - -2.23 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 505 H Oregon City 16- 8 8 2 + 2.85 514 H Summit 12- 6 6 2 + 2.57 |
Tualatin Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beaverton | Beaverton | Beaverton | ||
| Bend | Tualatin | Tualatin | ||
| Central Catholic | Central Catholic | Central Catholic | ||
| Cleveland | Tualatin | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) | Tualatin | |
| Corvallis | Tualatin | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Tualatin | |
| Eugene United | Tualatin | Tualatin | ||
| Forest Grove | Tualatin | Tualatin | ||
| Grant | Grant | Grant 8- 0 vs 4- 4 | ||
| Hillsboro | Tualatin | Tualatin | ||
| Hood River | Hood River | Hood River 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Ida B Wells | Tualatin | Tualatin | ||
| Jesuit Portland | Jesuit Portland | Jesuit Portland 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Lake Oswego | Lake Oswego | Lake Oswego 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Lakeridge | Lakeridge | Lakeridge | ||
| Liberty | Tualatin | Tualatin | ||
| Lincoln | Lincoln | Lincoln 7- 1 vs 4- 4 | ||
| Marist | Marist | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) | Marist | |
| Mountainside | Tualatin | tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) | Tualatin | |
| Newberg | Tualatin | Tualatin | ||
| North Clackamas | Tualatin | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) | Tualatin | |
| Oregon City | Tualatin | Tualatin | ||
| Oregon Episcopal | Oregon Episcopal | Oregon Episcopal 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Roseburg | Tualatin | Tualatin 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Sheldon | Tualatin | Tualatin 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Sherwood | Tualatin | Tualatin | ||
| Sisters/Redmond | Tualatin | Tualatin 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| South Salem | Tualatin | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Tualatin | |
| Southridge | Tualatin | Tualatin 5- 1 vs 3- 3 | ||
| St Marys Academy | St Marys Academy | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) | St Marys Academy | |
| Summit | Tualatin | Tualatin | ||
| Sunset | Tualatin | Tualatin | ||
| Tigard | Tualatin | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Tualatin | |
| West Albany | Tualatin | tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) | Tualatin | |
| West Linn | West Linn | West Linn 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Westview | Westview | Westview 6- 0 vs 4- 2 | ||
| Wilsonville | Wilsonville | Wilsonville |
PowerWise = 22
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.00
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Central Cathol (10- 7, 85.6) 10-11 -14.33 17.25 0.01 0.88 -12.53
0 A Sunset ( 4-10, 79.1) 17- 2 -20.76 10.82 0.01 0.88 9.48
0 A Wilsonville (10- 6, 90.0) 7-12 -9.89 21.69 0.01 0.88 -8.65
0 A Bend ( 7- 7, 79.5) 15- 4 -20.36 11.23 0.01 0.88 9.83
0 A Summit ( 5-10, 81.7) 10- 8 -18.18 13.41 0.01 0.88 11.74
0 A Beaverton (10- 8, 86.3) 8-14 -13.64 17.94 0.01 0.88 -11.93
0 A Ida B Wells ( 2-12, 80.9) 12-11 -19.00 12.58 0.01 0.88 11.02
0 H Lakeridge (10- 6, 91.2) 3-15 -8.66 22.92 -0.01 0.88 -7.59
0 A Newberg ( 0-11, 72.9) 1- 0 -27.03 4.56 0.01 0.88 4.00
0 H Hillsboro ( 0-10, 81.9) 1- 0 -17.99 13.60 -0.01 0.88 11.89
0 H Sherwood ( 5- 8, 77.8) 16- 4 -22.10 9.48 -0.01 0.88 8.29
0 A Liberty ( 3-10, 68.3) 18- 2 -31.58 1.00 0.01 0.88 0.88
0 H Oregon City ( 6-10, 82.0) 16- 8 -17.90 13.68 -0.01 0.88 11.96
0 H Forest Grove ( 6- 8, 70.4) 18- 0 -29.46 2.13 -0.01 0.88 1.85
0 H Summit ( 5-10, 81.7) 12- 6 -18.18 13.41 -0.01 0.88 11.72
0 A Central Cathol (10- 7, 85.6) 4- 7 -14.33 17.25 0.01 0.88 -12.53
------
39.44
|
winning pts = 92.6677 losing points = -53.2276
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------