---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:53 PDT

safe3step girls Toms River South 1
  
Toms River South      
W-L: (12- 7) PR = 83.4188

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 328 H Brick Township ( 6-12, 80.7) 13-10 401 H Point Pleasant Beach ( 5-12, 77.8) 12- 5 403 A Central Regional (13- 7, 86.6) 5-13 408 A Jackson Memorial ( 8-10, 81.4) 9- 7 414 A Brick Memorial ( 9-10, 79.7) 20- 9 422 H Colts Neck ( 4-11, 81.4) 14-11 425 H Red Bank Catholic (12- 9, 86.3) 10-15 429 A Ocean Township ( 7-12, 82.0) 15-12 501 H Toms River North ( 6-14, 79.9) 21- 7 505 H Middletown North ( 2-17, 75.6) 14- 4 507 H Point Pleasant Boro (10- 8, 87.2) 9-13 509 H Howell (11- 9, 83.5) 9-17 514 A Toms River North ( 6-14, 79.9) 15-11 517 H Lacey Township (12- 7, 85.3) 12-13 519 H New Egypt (14- 3, 81.3) 9- 8 520 H Holmdel ( 7- 9, 84.2) 15-10 522 A Freehold Township (16- 3, 83.8) 15-16 527 H Marlboro (10- 7, 82.8) 12-10 529 A Northern Burlington (14- 6, 88.6) 3-18

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Brick Township         13-10       3     4          -0.54
   401 H Point Pleasant Beach   12- 5       7     6           0.00
   403 A Central Regional        5-13      -8    -4          -1.04
   408 A Jackson Memorial        9- 7       2     1           0.81
   414 A Brick Memorial         20- 9      11     3    +      2.09
   422 H Colts Neck             14-11       3     3           0.17
   425 H Red Bank Catholic      10-15      -5    -2    -     -2.91
   429 A Ocean Township         15-12       3     1    +      2.34
   501 H Toms River North       21- 7      14     4           0.64
   505 H Middletown North       14- 4      10     9           0.00
   507 H Point Pleasant Boro     9-13      -4    -3          -1.00
   509 H Howell                  9-17      -8     1    --    -5.71
   514 A Toms River North       15-11       4     3           1.24
   517 H Lacey Township         12-13      -1    -1           0.05
   519 H New Egypt               9- 8       1     3          -1.94
   520 H Holmdel                15-10       5     0    ++     4.96
   522 A Freehold Township      15-16      -1    -1           0.21
   527 H Marlboro               12-10       2     1           0.60
   529 A Northern Burlington     3-18     -15    -6           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 H Howell                  9-17      -8     1    --    -5.71
   425 H Red Bank Catholic      10-15      -5    -2    -     -2.91

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   520 H Holmdel                15-10       5     0    ++     4.96
   414 A Brick Memorial         20- 9      11     3    +      2.09
   429 A Ocean Township         15-12       3     1    +      2.34

Toms River South Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Absegami Toms River South   Toms River South
Allentown Allentown   Allentown
Arthur L Johnson Toms River South   Toms River South
Atlantic City Toms River South   Toms River South
Barnegat Township Barnegat Township Barnegat Township   7- 2 vs 5- 4
Bergen Tech Toms River South   Toms River South
Bernards Bernards   Bernards
Bishop Eustace Prep Bishop Eustace Prep   Bishop Eustace Prep
Blair Academy Blair Academy   Blair Academy
Boonton Toms River South   Toms River South
Brick Memorial Toms River South Toms River South  
Brick Township Toms River South Toms River South  
Bridgewater-Raritan Bridgewater-Raritan   Bridgewater-Raritan
Burlington City Toms River South   Toms River South
Camden Catholic Camden Catholic   Camden Catholic
Cedar Creek Cedar Creek   Cedar Creek
Cedar Grove Toms River South   Toms River South
Central Regional Central Regional Central Regional  
Chatham Chatham   Chatham
Cherokee Cherokee   Cherokee
Cherry Hill East Toms River South   Toms River South
Cherry Hill West Cherry Hill West tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cherry Hill West
Cinnaminson Cinnaminson Cinnaminson   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Clearview Regional Clearview Regional   Clearview Regional
Clifton Toms River South   Toms River South
Collingswood Toms River South insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Toms River South
Colts Neck Toms River South Toms River South  
Columbia Columbia   Columbia
Cranford Cranford   Cranford
Delaware Valley Delaware Valley   Delaware Valley
Delran Toms River South tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Toms River South
DePaul Catholic DePaul Catholic   DePaul Catholic
Donovan Catholic Toms River South Toms River South   4- 3 vs 0- 7
Dwight-Englewood Toms River South   Toms River South
East Brunswick Toms River South   Toms River South
East Side Newark Toms River South   Toms River South
Eastern Regional Eastern Regional   Eastern Regional
Edison Toms River South   Toms River South
Egg Harbor Twp Toms River South   Toms River South
Ewing Township Toms River South   Toms River South
Fair Lawn Fair Lawn   Fair Lawn
Freehold Township Freehold Township Freehold Township  
Gateway Regional Toms River South   Toms River South
Gill St Bernards Toms River South   Toms River South
Glen Ridge Glen Ridge   Glen Ridge
Glen Rock Glen Rock   Glen Rock
Gloucester Catholic Toms River South   Toms River South
Governor Livingston Governor Livingston   Governor Livingston
Hackettstown Toms River South   Toms River South
Haddon Heights Haddon Heights tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Haddon Heights
Haddon Township Haddon Township insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Haddon Township
Haddonfield Haddonfield tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Haddonfield
Hamilton East-Steinert Toms River South   Toms River South
Hamilton North-Nottingha Toms River South   Toms River South
Hamilton West Toms River South   Toms River South
Hammonton Toms River South   Toms River South
High Point Regional Toms River South   Toms River South
Highland Regional Toms River South   Toms River South
Hightstown Hightstown tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Hightstown
Hillsborough Hillsborough   Hillsborough
Hoboken Toms River South   Toms River South
Holmdel Toms River South Toms River South  
Holy Angels Academy Holy Angels Academy   Holy Angels Academy
Holy Cross Holy Cross tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holy Cross
Holy Spirit Holy Spirit   Holy Spirit
Hopewell Valley Hopewell Valley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hopewell Valley
Howell Howell Howell  
Hun School Toms River South   Toms River South
Hunterdon Central Hunterdon Central   Hunterdon Central
Immaculata Toms River South   Toms River South
Immaculate Heart Immaculate Heart   Immaculate Heart
Indian Hills Toms River South   Toms River South
Irvington Toms River South   Toms River South
Jackson Liberty Toms River South Toms River South   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Jackson Memorial Toms River South Toms River South  
James Caldwell James Caldwell   James Caldwell
Jefferson Township Jefferson Township   Jefferson Township
Jonathan Dayton Toms River South   Toms River South
JP Stevens Toms River South   Toms River South
Kent Place Kent Place   Kent Place
Kingsway Kingsway   Kingsway
Kinnelon Kinnelon   Kinnelon
Kittatinny Regional Toms River South   Toms River South
Lacey Township Lacey Township Lacey Township  
Lakeland Regional Lakeland Regional   Lakeland Regional
Lawrence Toms River South   Toms River South
Lawrenceville School Lawrenceville School   Lawrenceville School
Lenape Lenape insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lenape
Lenape Valley Toms River South   Toms River South
Livingston Livingston   Livingston
Long Branch Toms River South Toms River South   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Lower Cape May Lower Cape May   Lower Cape May
Madison Madison   Madison
Mahwah Mahwah   Mahwah
Mainland Regional Mainland Regional   Mainland Regional
Manalapan Manalapan Manalapan   7- 2 vs 5- 4
Manasquan Manasquan Manasquan   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Manchester Township Toms River South Toms River South   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Maple Shade Toms River South   Toms River South
Marlboro Toms River South Toms River South  
Mary Help of Christians Toms River South   Toms River South
Mercersburg Academy Toms River South   Toms River South
Middle Township Middle Township insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Middle Township
Middletown North Toms River South Toms River South  
Middletown South Middletown South Middletown South   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Millburn Millburn   Millburn
Millville Toms River South   Toms River South
Monmouth Regional Toms River South Toms River South   5- 1 vs 1- 5
Monroe Township Monroe Township tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Monroe Township
Montclair HS Montclair HS   Montclair HS
Montclair Kimberley Montclair Kimberley   Montclair Kimberley
Montgomery Montgomery tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Montgomery
Montville Township Montville Township   Montville Township
Moorestown Moorestown insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Moorestown
Moorestown Friends Toms River South insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Toms River South
Morris Catholic Toms River South   Toms River South
Morris Hills Toms River South   Toms River South
Morris Knolls Morris Knolls   Morris Knolls
Morristown Morristown   Morristown
Morristown-Beard Morristown-Beard   Morristown-Beard
Mount Olive Mount Olive   Mount Olive
Mount St Dominic Academy Toms River South   Toms River South
Mount St Mary Mount St Mary   Mount St Mary
Mountain Lakes Mountain Lakes   Mountain Lakes
Neptune Toms River South Toms River South   4- 0 vs 0- 4
New Egypt Toms River South Toms River South  
New Providence New Providence   New Providence
Newark Academy Toms River South   Toms River South
North Brunswick Toms River South insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Toms River South
North Hunterdon North Hunterdon   North Hunterdon
North Warren Toms River South   Toms River South
Northern Burlington Northern Burlington Northern Burlington  
Northern Highlands Northern Highlands   Northern Highlands
Notre Dame Notre Dame insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Notre Dame
NV-Demarest Toms River South   Toms River South
NV-Old Tappan NV-Old Tappan   NV-Old Tappan
Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School   Oak Knoll School
Oakcrest Toms River South   Toms River South
Ocean City Ocean City tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ocean City
Ocean Township Toms River South Toms River South  
Old Bridge Old Bridge tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Old Bridge
Our Lady of Mercy Toms River South   Toms River South
Paramus Catholic Toms River South   Toms River South
Paramus HS Toms River South   Toms River South
Park Regional Park Regional   Park Regional
Park Ridge-Emerson Toms River South   Toms River South
Parsippany Toms River South   Toms River South
Parsippany Hills Toms River South   Toms River South
Pascack Hills Toms River South   Toms River South
Pascack Valley Pascack Valley tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Pascack Valley
Passaic County Tech Toms River South   Toms River South
Passaic Valley Toms River South   Toms River South
Paul VI Paul VI insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Paul VI
Peddie School Toms River South   Toms River South
Pennington School Toms River South   Toms River South
Pennsauken Toms River South   Toms River South
Pequannock Township Pequannock Township   Pequannock Township
Phillipsburg Toms River South   Toms River South
Pinelands Regional Toms River South Toms River South   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Pingry School Pingry School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Pingry School
Point Pleasant Beach Toms River South Toms River South  
Point Pleasant Boro Point Pleasant Boro Point Pleasant Boro  
Pompton Lakes Toms River South   Toms River South
Pope John XXIII Toms River South   Toms River South
Princeton Day School Toms River South   Toms River South
Princeton HS Princeton HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Princeton HS
Ramapo Ramapo   Ramapo
Ramsey Ramsey   Ramsey
Rancocas Valley Toms River South tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Toms River South
Randolph Randolph   Randolph
Ranney School Toms River South insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Toms River South
Red Bank Catholic Red Bank Catholic Red Bank Catholic  
Red Bank Regional Red Bank Regional Red Bank Regional   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Ridge Ridge   Ridge
Ridgewood Ridgewood   Ridgewood
River Dell River Dell   River Dell
Robbinsville Robbinsville insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Robbinsville
Roxbury Roxbury   Roxbury
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rumson-Fair Haven
Rutgers Prep Toms River South   Toms River South
Rutherford Rutherford   Rutherford
Saddle Brook/Garfield Toms River South   Toms River South
Saddle River Day School Saddle River Day School   Saddle River Day School
Sayreville Toms River South tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Toms River South
Scotch Plains-Fanwood Scotch Plains-Fanwood   Scotch Plains-Fanwood
Seneca Seneca insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Seneca
Shawnee Shawnee insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Shawnee
Shore Regional Shore Regional Shore Regional   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Somerville Somerville   Somerville
South Brunswick Toms River South insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Toms River South
South Plainfield Toms River South   Toms River South
Southern Regional Southern Regional insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Southern Regional
Sparta Sparta   Sparta
St Elizabeth Academy St Elizabeth Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Elizabeth Academy
St John Vianney Toms River South tied - ( 4- 4) ( 4- 4) Toms River South
St Joseph Hammonton Toms River South   Toms River South
St Rose Belmar Toms River South Toms River South   5- 2 vs 1- 6
St Thomas Aquinas Toms River South   Toms River South
Sterling Toms River South tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Toms River South
Stuart CDS Toms River South   Toms River South
Summit Summit   Summit
Tenafly Toms River South   Toms River South
Timber Creek Toms River South   Toms River South
Toms River East Toms River East Toms River East   8- 1 vs 5- 4
Toms River North Toms River South Toms River South  
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Trinity Hall
Triton Regional Toms River South   Toms River South
Union Catholic Toms River South   Toms River South
Vernon Township Vernon Township   Vernon Township
Verona Verona   Verona
Villa Walsh Academy Toms River South   Toms River South
Voorhees Voorhees   Voorhees
Waldwick Toms River South   Toms River South
Wall Township Wall Township insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 2- 5) Wall Township
Warren Hills Toms River South   Toms River South
Washington Township Toms River South   Toms River South
Watchung Hills Watchung Hills   Watchung Hills
Wayne Hills Wayne Hills   Wayne Hills
Wayne Valley Wayne Valley   Wayne Valley
West Deptford West Deptford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) West Deptford
West Essex West Essex   West Essex
West Milford Toms River South   Toms River South
West Morris Central West Morris Central   West Morris Central
West Morris Mendham West Morris Mendham   West Morris Mendham
West Orange West Orange   West Orange
West Windsor-PB North Toms River South tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Toms River South
West Windsor-PB South Toms River South   Toms River South
Westfield Westfield   Westfield
Westwood Westwood   Westwood
Wilberforce Toms River South   Toms River South
Williamstown Williamstown tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Williamstown
Winslow Toms River South   Toms River South
Woodstown Woodstown   Woodstown

PowerWise = 110


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 18.07

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Brick Township  ( 6-12, 80.7)    13-10      -19.22      16.50      -0.80         0.95            14.93
   0 H Point Pleasant  ( 5-12, 77.8)    12- 5      -22.15      13.57      -0.80         0.95            12.14
   0 A Central Region  (13- 7, 86.6)     5-13      -13.32      22.40       0.80         0.95           -11.90
   0 A Jackson Memori  ( 8-10, 81.4)     9- 7      -18.47      17.24       0.80         0.95            17.16
   0 A Brick Memorial  ( 9-10, 79.7)    20- 9      -20.19      15.52       0.80         0.95            15.52
   0 H Colts Neck      ( 4-11, 81.4)    14-11      -18.51      17.21      -0.80         0.95            15.60
   0 H Red Bank Catho  (12- 9, 86.3)    10-15      -13.59      22.12      -0.80         0.95           -13.69
   0 A Ocean Township  ( 7-12, 82.0)    15-12      -17.94      17.78       0.80         0.95            17.66
   0 H Toms River Nor  ( 6-14, 79.9)    21- 7      -20.04      15.67      -0.80         0.95            14.14
   0 H Middletown Nor  ( 2-17, 75.6)    14- 4      -24.34      11.38      -0.80         0.95            10.06
   0 H Point Pleasant  (10- 8, 87.2)     9-13      -12.68      23.04      -0.80         0.95           -12.82
   0 H Howell          (11- 9, 83.5)     9-17      -16.40      19.32      -0.80         0.95           -16.35
   0 A Toms River Nor  ( 6-14, 79.9)    15-11      -20.04      15.67       0.80         0.95            15.66
   0 H Lacey Township  (12- 7, 85.3)    12-13      -14.63      21.08      -0.80         0.95           -14.68
   0 H New Egypt       (14- 3, 81.3)     9- 8      -18.62      17.10      -0.80         0.95            15.50
   0 H Holmdel         ( 7- 9, 84.2)    15-10      -15.72      20.00      -0.80         0.95            18.26
   0 A Freehold Towns  (16- 3, 83.8)    15-16      -16.07      19.65       0.80         0.95           -14.52
   0 H Marlboro        (10- 7, 82.8)    12-10      -17.08      18.63      -0.80         0.95            16.96
   0 A Northern Burli  (14- 6, 88.6)     3-18      -11.26      24.46       0.80         0.95            -9.95
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        89.70

winning pts = 183.6078 losing points = -93.9056

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------