Troy Athens
W-L: (14- 7) PR = 86.6580Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 A Royal Oak ( 2-16, 79.2) 11- 6 404 H Clarkston ( 7- 7, 85.0) 13-12 407 H Grosse Pointe South (13- 5, 89.0) 10-12 409 A Bloomfield Hills (13-11, 91.2) 6-14 411 H Farmington ( 5-10, 82.8) 10- 9 414 H Lake Orion (15- 3, 91.1) 12-16 416 A Grand Blanc ( 9-11, 84.4) 13- 8 417 A Grosse Pointe North ( 8- 7, 82.6) 8- 5 421 H Troy ( 6-10, 86.0) 19-18 422 A Novi ( 9-10, 87.3) 13-11 428 A Rochester Stoney Creek ( 9- 8, 86.8) 16-15 503 A Grand Blanc ( 9-11, 84.4) 6- 8 503 A Saginaw Heritage (14- 2, 87.7) 5-10 503 H Howell ( 9-11, 84.2) 8- 4 505 H Utica Eisenhower ( 8- 5, 85.2) 11-10 507 A Birmingham Unified (11- 9, 91.8) 4-16 509 A Rochester Adams (14- 4, 88.0) 12-11 512 A West Bloomfield ( 7- 8, 81.1) 12- 0 514 H Rochester HS ( 9- 8, 82.1) 13- 4 519 H West Bloomfield ( 7- 8, 81.1) 12- 3 522 A Cranbrook Kingswood (10- 6, 92.5) 5- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
319 A Royal Oak 11- 6 5 7 0.00
404 H Clarkston 13-12 1 2 -1.29
407 H Grosse Pointe South 10-12 -2 -2 -0.26
409 A Bloomfield Hills 6-14 -8 -5 0.00
411 H Farmington 10- 9 1 4 - -3.50
414 H Lake Orion 12-16 -4 -4 -0.14
416 A Grand Blanc 13- 8 5 2 + 3.40
417 A Grosse Pointe North 8- 5 3 3 -0.48
421 H Troy 19-18 1 1 -0.27
422 A Novi 13-11 2 -1 + 3.23
428 A Rochester Stoney Creek 16-15 1 -1 1.73
503 A Grand Blanc 6- 8 -2 2 - -3.60
503 A Saginaw Heritage 5-10 -5 -2 - -3.30
503 H Howell 8- 4 4 3 0.94
505 H Utica Eisenhower 11-10 1 2 -1.10
507 A Birmingham Unified 4-16 -12 -6 0.00
509 A Rochester Adams 12-11 1 -2 + 2.98
512 A West Bloomfield 12- 0 12 5 0.09
514 H Rochester HS 13- 4 9 5 0.00
519 H West Bloomfield 12- 3 9 6 0.00
522 A Cranbrook Kingswood 5- 8 -3 -6 + 2.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 H Farmington 10- 9 1 4 - -3.50 503 A Grand Blanc 6- 8 -2 2 - -3.60 503 A Saginaw Heritage 5-10 -5 -2 - -3.30 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 416 A Grand Blanc 13- 8 5 2 + 3.40 422 A Novi 13-11 2 -1 + 3.23 509 A Rochester Adams 12-11 1 -2 + 2.98 522 A Cranbrook Kingswood 5- 8 -3 -6 + 2.00 |
Troy Athens Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ann Arbor Father Gabriel | Troy Athens | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Troy Athens | |
| Ann Arbor Huron | Troy Athens | Troy Athens | ||
| Ann Arbor Pioneer | Troy Athens | Troy Athens 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Ann Arbor Skyline | Troy Athens | Troy Athens | ||
| Avondale | Troy Athens | Troy Athens 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Battle Creek Harper Cree | Troy Athens | Troy Athens | ||
| Bedford | Troy Athens | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Troy Athens | |
| Birmingham Unified | Birmingham Unified | Birmingham Unified | ||
| Bloomfield Hills | Bloomfield Hills | Bloomfield Hills | ||
| Brighton | Brighton | Brighton 4- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Brighton B | Troy Athens | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Troy Athens | |
| Byron Center | Byron Center | Byron Center | ||
| Caledonia | Caledonia | Caledonia | ||
| Canton | Troy Athens | Troy Athens 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Cass Tech | Troy Athens | Troy Athens 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Catholic Central | Catholic Central | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Catholic Central | |
| Chippewa Valley | Troy Athens | Troy Athens 6- 1 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Clarkston | Troy Athens | Troy Athens | ||
| Comstock Park | Troy Athens | Troy Athens | ||
| Cranbrook Kingswood | Cranbrook Kingswood | Cranbrook Kingswood | ||
| Davison | Troy Athens | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 3) | Troy Athens | |
| Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day 4- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| DeWitt | Troy Athens | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Troy Athens | |
| Dexter | Troy Athens | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Troy Athens | |
| Divine Child | Troy Athens | Troy Athens 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids | ||
| East Lansing | Troy Athens | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Troy Athens | |
| Farmington | Troy Athens | Troy Athens | ||
| Fenton-Linden Co-Op | Troy Athens | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Troy Athens | |
| Flint Powers Catholic | Troy Athens | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) | Troy Athens | |
| Flushing | Troy Athens | Troy Athens 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | ||
| Forest Hills Northern/Ea | Forest Hills Northern/Ea | Forest Hills Northern/Ea | ||
| Grand Blanc | Troy Athens | Troy Athens 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Grand Haven | Troy Athens | Troy Athens | ||
| Grand Ledge | Grand Ledge | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Grand Ledge | |
| Grand Rapids Christian | Troy Athens | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Troy Athens | |
| Grandville | Troy Athens | Troy Athens | ||
| Grosse Pointe North | Troy Athens | Troy Athens | ||
| Grosse Pointe South | Grosse Pointe South | Grosse Pointe South | ||
| Hartland | Hartland | Hartland 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Haslett | Haslett | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Haslett | |
| Henry Ford II | Troy Athens | Troy Athens 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Holland West Ottawa | Troy Athens | Troy Athens | ||
| Holly-Brandon Co-Op | Troy Athens | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Troy Athens | |
| Holt | Holt | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Holt | |
| Howell | Troy Athens | Troy Athens | ||
| Hudsonville | Hudsonville | Hudsonville | ||
| Jenison | Troy Athens | Troy Athens | ||
| Kalamazoo Central | Troy Athens | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Troy Athens | |
| Lake Fenton | Troy Athens | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Troy Athens | |
| Lake Orion | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Lakeview | Troy Athens | Troy Athens 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Lansing Catholic-Waverly | Troy Athens | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Troy Athens | |
| Lapeer | Troy Athens | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Troy Athens | |
| Livonia United | Troy Athens | Troy Athens 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Lowell | Lowell | Lowell | ||
| Marian | Marian | Marian 3- 1 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Mattawan | Mattawan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mattawan | |
| Mercy | Mercy | Mercy 2- 0 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Midland | Troy Athens | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) | Troy Athens | |
| Mona Shores | Mona Shores | Mona Shores | ||
| Northview | Northview | Northview | ||
| Northville | Northville | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 4) | Northville | |
| Notre Dame Prep | Troy Athens | Troy Athens 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Novi | Troy Athens | Troy Athens | ||
| Okemos | Troy Athens | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Troy Athens | |
| Oxford | Troy Athens | Troy Athens 8- 1 vs 5- 4 | ||
| Plymouth | Troy Athens | Troy Athens 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Portage Northern | Portage Northern | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Portage Northern | |
| Reeths-Puffer | Troy Athens | Troy Athens | ||
| Rochester Adams | Troy Athens | Troy Athens | ||
| Rochester HS | Troy Athens | Troy Athens | ||
| Rochester Stoney Creek | Troy Athens | Troy Athens | ||
| Rockford | Rockford | Rockford 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Royal Oak | Troy Athens | Troy Athens | ||
| Sacred Heart Academy | Troy Athens | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 2) | Troy Athens | |
| Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Salem | Troy Athens | Troy Athens 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Saline | Saline | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Saline | |
| South Lyon United | South Lyon United | South Lyon United 6- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Spring Lake | Spring Lake | Spring Lake | ||
| St Catherine of Siena | Troy Athens | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Troy Athens | |
| St Johns/Ovid-Elsie | Troy Athens | Troy Athens | ||
| Swartz Creek | Troy Athens | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 1) | Troy Athens | |
| Tecumseh | Troy Athens | Troy Athens | ||
| Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Troy | Troy Athens | Troy Athens | ||
| University Liggett | University Liggett | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | University Liggett | |
| Utica Eisenhower | Troy Athens | Troy Athens | ||
| Walled Lake Northern | Troy Athens | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Troy Athens | |
| Warren Regina | Troy Athens | Troy Athens 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Waterford United | Troy Athens | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Troy Athens | |
| West Bloomfield | Troy Athens | Troy Athens | ||
| White Lake Lakeland | White Lake Lakeland | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | White Lake Lakeland | |
| Zeeland East | Troy Athens | Troy Athens |
PowerWise = 62
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Royal Oak ( 2-16, 79.2) 11- 6 -20.74 8.45 0.62 0.77 6.95
0 H Clarkston ( 7- 7, 85.0) 13-12 -14.91 14.28 -0.62 0.77 10.46
0 H Grosse Pointe (13- 5, 89.0) 10-12 -10.88 18.31 -0.62 0.77 -8.81
0 A Bloomfield Hil (13-11, 91.2) 6-14 -8.65 20.54 0.62 0.77 -6.15
0 H Farmington ( 5-10, 82.8) 10- 9 -17.12 12.07 -0.62 0.77 8.77
0 H Lake Orion (15- 3, 91.1) 12-16 -8.76 20.43 -0.62 0.77 -7.19
0 A Grand Blanc ( 9-11, 84.4) 13- 8 -15.46 13.73 0.62 0.77 10.99
0 A Grosse Pointe ( 8- 7, 82.6) 8- 5 -17.35 11.85 0.62 0.77 9.55
0 H Troy ( 6-10, 86.0) 19-18 -13.89 15.30 -0.62 0.77 11.25
0 A Novi ( 9-10, 87.3) 13-11 -12.64 16.55 0.62 0.77 13.15
0 A Rochester Ston ( 9- 8, 86.8) 16-15 -13.13 16.06 0.62 0.77 12.78
0 A Grand Blanc ( 9-11, 84.4) 6- 8 -15.46 13.73 0.62 0.77 -11.37
0 A Saginaw Herita (14- 2, 87.7) 5-10 -12.16 17.03 0.62 0.77 -8.84
0 H Howell ( 9-11, 84.2) 8- 4 -15.68 13.51 -0.62 0.77 9.87
0 H Utica Eisenhow ( 8- 5, 85.2) 11-10 -14.73 14.47 -0.62 0.77 10.60
0 A Birmingham Uni (11- 9, 91.8) 4-16 -8.05 21.14 0.62 0.77 -5.69
0 A Rochester Adam (14- 4, 88.0) 12-11 -11.89 17.31 0.62 0.77 13.73
0 A West Bloomfiel ( 7- 8, 81.1) 12- 0 -18.77 10.42 0.62 0.77 8.46
0 H Rochester HS ( 9- 8, 82.1) 13- 4 -17.75 11.44 -0.62 0.77 8.29
0 H West Bloomfiel ( 7- 8, 81.1) 12- 3 -18.77 10.42 -0.62 0.77 7.51
0 A Cranbrook King (10- 6, 92.5) 5- 8 -7.42 21.77 0.62 0.77 -5.21
------
89.10
|
winning pts = 142.3494 losing points = -53.2455
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------