List of girl Div 40 Topsail List of Team Values for North Carolina


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H Broughton              14- 6       8     4    +      2.52
   313 A Croatan                12-10       2     4    -     -2.87
   318 A Ashley                 17- 6      11     8           0.00
   321 A New Hanover            10- 8       2     1           0.04
   325 H North Brunswick        13- 0      13    22           0.00
   327 H South Brunswick        19- 6      13    11           0.00
   329 H Union Pines            12-11       1     0           0.78
   401 A West Brunswick         13- 0      13    21           0.00
   404 A Hoggard                14-13       1    -2    +      3.71
   408 H Laney                  13- 8       5     5          -0.57
   410 H Ashley                 13- 8       5     9    -     -2.00
   415 A South Brunswick        17- 5      12    10           0.00
   417 H West Brunswick         17- 5      12    22           0.00
   424 H Charlotte Catholic      8-16      -8    -5          -1.53
   429 H New Hanover            16-19      -3     2    --    -5.78
   502 A North Brunswick        14- 1      13    22           0.00
   505 H Hoggard                13-11       2    -1    +      3.89
   507 H Laney                  15- 8       7     5           1.43
   516 H Middle Creek           15- 9       6     5           0.87
   520 H East Chapel Hill        9-16      -7    -4    -     -2.73

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H New Hanover            16-19      -3     2    --    -5.78
   313 A Croatan                12-10       2     4    -     -2.87
   410 H Ashley                 13- 8       5     9    -     -2.00
   520 H East Chapel Hill        9-16      -7    -4    -     -2.73

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H Broughton              14- 6       8     4    +      2.52
   404 A Hoggard                14-13       1    -2    +      3.71
   505 H Hoggard                13-11       2    -1    +      3.89



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 78.01 Power Rank.................    15
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 43.62 SOS (PR) Rank..............    26
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6914 SOS (RPI) Rank.............    17
 RPI Rating............... .6222 RPI Rank...................    12
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........   118
 Selection sum ...........    42 Selection Rank ............     9
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....   85. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........    10
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....   60. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........    13
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  13.7 Ave Defensive Goals .......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0