Topsail
W-L: (17- 3) PR = 90.2891Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 307 H Broughton (14- 7, 86.8) 14- 6 313 A Croatan (13- 9, 87.2) 12-10 318 A Ashley ( 7-12, 84.3) 17- 6 321 A New Hanover (18- 4, 88.8) 10- 8 325 H North Brunswick ( 5-17, 75.3) 13- 0 327 H South Brunswick ( 6-11, 82.2) 19- 6 329 H Union Pines (15- 6, 90.2) 12-11 401 A West Brunswick ( 2-15, 76.3) 13- 0 404 A Hoggard (17- 6, 91.5) 14-13 408 H Laney ( 9- 8, 86.0) 13- 8 410 H Ashley ( 7-12, 84.3) 13- 8 415 A South Brunswick ( 6-11, 82.2) 17- 5 417 H West Brunswick ( 2-15, 76.3) 17- 5 424 H Charlotte Catholic (14- 5, 94.1) 8-16 429 H New Hanover (18- 4, 88.8) 16-19 502 A North Brunswick ( 5-17, 75.3) 14- 1 505 H Hoggard (17- 6, 91.5) 13-11 507 H Laney ( 9- 8, 86.0) 15- 8 516 H Middle Creek (10- 9, 86.6) 15- 9 520 H East Chapel Hill (22- 4, 94.1) 9-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
307 H Broughton 14- 6 8 4 1.23
313 A Croatan 12-10 2 3 -0.82
318 A Ashley 17- 6 11 6 0.00
321 A New Hanover 10- 8 2 1 0.79
325 H North Brunswick 13- 0 13 15 0.00
327 H South Brunswick 19- 6 13 8 0.00
329 H Union Pines 12-11 1 0 0.64
401 A West Brunswick 13- 0 13 14 0.00
404 A Hoggard 14-13 1 -2 + 2.56
408 H Laney 13- 8 5 5 0.45
410 H Ashley 13- 8 5 6 0.00
415 A South Brunswick 17- 5 12 8 0.00
417 H West Brunswick 17- 5 12 14 0.00
424 H Charlotte Catholic 8-16 -8 -3 -1.52
429 H New Hanover 16-19 -3 2 -- -4.82
502 A North Brunswick 14- 1 13 15 0.00
505 H Hoggard 13-11 2 -1 + 2.95
507 H Laney 15- 8 7 5 0.45
516 H Middle Creek 15- 9 6 4 0.97
520 H East Chapel Hill 9-16 -7 -4 -1.47
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 429 H New Hanover 16-19 -3 2 -- -4.82 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Hoggard 14-13 1 -2 + 2.56 505 H Hoggard 13-11 2 -1 + 2.95 |
Topsail Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Apex | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Apex | |
| Apex Friendship | Topsail | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Topsail | |
| Ardrey Kell | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Arendell Parrott Academy | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Asheville HS | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Asheville School | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Ashley | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Athens Drive | Topsail | Topsail 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Atkins | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Ballantyne Ridge | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Bishop McGuinness | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) | Topsail | |
| Broughton | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Butler | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Cannon School | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Cape Fear Academy | Topsail | Topsail 4- 1 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Cape Fear HS | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons 4- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Carrboro | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Cary Academy | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Cary HS | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Chapel Hill | |
| Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | ||
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Charlotte Christian | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Charlotte Latin School | Charlotte Latin School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Charlotte Latin School | |
| Christ the King | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Clayton | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Cleveland | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Community School Davidso | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Corinth Holders | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Croatan | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cuthbertson | |
| Davidson Day School | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Davie | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| DH Conley | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Durham Academy | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| East Forsyth | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Enloe | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Fayetteville Academy | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Fike | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| First Flight | Topsail | Topsail 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Forsyth CDS | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Fuquay-Varina | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Garner | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Glenn | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Green Hope | Topsail | Topsail 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Green Level | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Greensboro Day School | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Grimsley | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Havelock | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Heritage | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Hickory | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| High Point Central | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Hoggard | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Holly Springs | Holly Springs | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 0) | Holly Springs | |
| Hopewell | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Hough | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Hunt | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Independence | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Jack Britt | Topsail | Topsail 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Jacksonville | Topsail | Topsail 3- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| JH Rose | Topsail | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Topsail | |
| Jordan | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Lake Norman Charter | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Lake Norman HS | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Laney | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Leesville Road | Topsail | Topsail 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lincoln Charter | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Marvin Ridge | |
| Middle Creek | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Millbrook | Topsail | Topsail 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Mooresville | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Mount Tabor | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Myers Park | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Topsail | |
| New Bern | Topsail | Topsail 3- 2 vs 1- 2 | ||
| New Hanover | Topsail | insuffient: ( 7- 0)( 6- 1) | Topsail | |
| North Brunswick | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| North Davidson | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| North Lincoln | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Northern Guilford | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Northside | Topsail | Topsail 4- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Northwest Guilford | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Northwood | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Page | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Panther Creek | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Parkwood | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Patton | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Pine Forest | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Pine Lake Prep | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Pinecrest | Topsail | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 1) | Topsail | |
| Porter Ridge | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Providence | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Providence Day | Providence Day | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Providence Day | |
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Ragsdale | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Ravenscroft School | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Riverside Durham | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| RJ Reynolds | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Rolesville | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Ronald Reagan | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Sanderson | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Seaforth | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| South Brunswick | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| South Iredell | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| South Mecklenburg | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Southeast Guilford | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Southlake Christian | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Southwest Guilford | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| St Davids School | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| St Marys | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| St Stephens | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Sun Valley | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Swansboro | Topsail | Topsail 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| TC Roberson | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Terry Sanford | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Union Pines | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Wake Forest | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Wakefield | Topsail | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Watauga | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Weddington | Weddington | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Weddington | |
| West Brunswick | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| West Forsyth | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| West Stokes | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| White Oak | Topsail | Topsail 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Willow Spring | Topsail | Topsail 4- 0 vs 1- 3 |
PowerWise = 114
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Broughton (14- 7, 86.8) 14- 6 -13.07 26.73 -0.31 0.84 22.28
0 A Croatan (13- 9, 87.2) 12-10 -12.74 27.07 0.31 0.84 23.08
0 A Ashley ( 7-12, 84.3) 17- 6 -15.57 24.23 0.31 0.84 20.69
0 A New Hanover (18- 4, 88.8) 10- 8 -11.13 28.68 0.31 0.84 24.44
0 H North Brunswic ( 5-17, 75.3) 13- 0 -24.60 15.20 -0.31 0.84 12.56
0 H South Brunswic ( 6-11, 82.2) 19- 6 -17.65 22.15 -0.31 0.84 18.42
0 H Union Pines (15- 6, 90.2) 12-11 -9.67 30.14 -0.31 0.84 25.16
0 A West Brunswick ( 2-15, 76.3) 13- 0 -23.64 16.17 0.31 0.84 13.89
0 A Hoggard (17- 6, 91.5) 14-13 -8.36 31.45 0.31 0.84 26.78
0 H Laney ( 9- 8, 86.0) 13- 8 -13.86 25.95 -0.31 0.84 21.62
0 H Ashley ( 7-12, 84.3) 13- 8 -15.57 24.23 -0.31 0.84 20.18
0 A South Brunswic ( 6-11, 82.2) 17- 5 -17.65 22.15 0.31 0.84 18.94
0 H West Brunswick ( 2-15, 76.3) 17- 5 -23.64 16.17 -0.31 0.84 13.38
0 H Charlotte Cath (14- 5, 94.1) 8-16 -5.83 33.98 -0.31 0.84 -5.17
0 H New Hanover (18- 4, 88.8) 16-19 -11.13 28.68 -0.31 0.84 -9.64
0 A North Brunswic ( 5-17, 75.3) 14- 1 -24.60 15.20 0.31 0.84 13.08
0 H Hoggard (17- 6, 91.5) 13-11 -8.36 31.45 -0.31 0.84 26.26
0 H Laney ( 9- 8, 86.0) 15- 8 -13.86 25.95 -0.31 0.84 21.62
0 H Middle Creek (10- 9, 86.6) 15- 9 -13.33 26.47 -0.31 0.84 22.07
0 H East Chapel Hi (22- 4, 94.1) 9-16 -5.77 34.03 -0.31 0.84 -5.12
------
324.52
|
winning pts = 344.4621 losing points = -19.9384
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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