---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:53 PDT

safe3step girls Toms River North 1
  
Toms River North      
W-L: ( 6-14) PR = 79.8568

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 401 H Central Regional (13- 7, 86.6) 1-11 403 A Colts Neck ( 4-11, 81.4) 8-12 408 A Barnegat Township (16- 7, 87.8) 2-13 409 H Wall Township ( 4-15, 84.2) 9-21 415 H Toms River East (11- 7, 87.4) 4-15 417 H Middletown South (11- 7, 91.0) 2-15 419 A Lacey Township (12- 7, 85.3) 11-22 422 H Holmdel ( 7- 9, 84.2) 9-15 424 A Point Pleasant Boro (10- 8, 87.2) 6-19 429 A Manalapan (10- 8, 86.5) 6-19 501 A Toms River South (12- 7, 83.4) 7-21 503 H Red Bank Regional (12- 7, 91.2) 1-15 505 A Long Branch ( 5-10, 75.5) 8- 7 507 H St Rose Belmar ( 2-10, 75.6) 19- 8 509 A Middletown North ( 2-17, 75.6) 14- 1 512 H Pinelands Regional ( 6- 8, 76.5) 16- 5 514 A Manchester Township ( 7- 9, 77.0) 14- 1 514 H Toms River South (12- 7, 83.4) 11-15 527 A Point Pleasant Beach ( 5-12, 77.8) 13- 7 529 A Montgomery (14- 8, 90.3) 6-20

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Central Regional        1-11     -10    -6           0.00
   403 A Colts Neck              8-12      -4    -2          -1.67
   408 A Barnegat Township       2-13     -11    -9           0.00
   409 H Wall Township           9-21     -12    -4          -1.47
   415 H Toms River East         4-15     -11    -7           0.00
   417 H Middletown South        2-15     -13   -10           0.00
   419 A Lacey Township         11-22     -11    -6           0.00
   422 H Holmdel                 9-15      -6    -4          -1.47
   424 A Point Pleasant Boro     6-19     -13    -8           0.00
   429 A Manalapan               6-19     -13    -7           0.00
   501 A Toms River South        7-21     -14    -4          -0.64
   503 H Red Bank Regional       1-15     -14   -11           0.00
   505 A Long Branch             8- 7       1     4    -     -2.52
   507 H St Rose Belmar         19- 8      11     5           0.00
   509 A Middletown North       14- 1      13     3           1.51
   512 H Pinelands Regional     16- 5      11     4           0.84
   514 A Manchester Township    14- 1      13     2    +      2.93
   514 H Toms River South       11-15      -4    -3          -1.24
   527 A Point Pleasant Beach   13- 7       6     1    +      3.69
   529 A Montgomery              6-20     -14   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A Long Branch             8- 7       1     4    -     -2.52

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 A Manchester Township    14- 1      13     2    +      2.93
   527 A Point Pleasant Beach   13- 7       6     1    +      3.69

Toms River North Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Absegami Toms River North   Toms River North
Allentown Allentown insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 0) Allentown
Arthur L Johnson Toms River North tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Toms River North
Atlantic City Toms River North   Toms River North
Barnegat Township Barnegat Township Barnegat Township  
Bergen Tech Toms River North   Toms River North
Bernards Bernards insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bernards
Bishop Eustace Prep Bishop Eustace Prep   Bishop Eustace Prep
Blair Academy Blair Academy   Blair Academy
Boonton Toms River North   Toms River North
Brick Memorial Toms River North tied - ( 4- 3) ( 4- 3) Toms River North
Brick Township Brick Township tied - ( 3- 5) ( 3- 5) Brick Township
Bridgewater-Raritan Bridgewater-Raritan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bridgewater-Raritan
Burlington City Toms River North   Toms River North
Camden Catholic Camden Catholic   Camden Catholic
Cedar Creek Cedar Creek insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cedar Creek
Cedar Grove Cedar Grove   Cedar Grove
Central Regional Central Regional Central Regional  
Chatham Chatham   Chatham
Cherokee Cherokee   Cherokee
Cherry Hill East Cherry Hill East   Cherry Hill East
Cherry Hill West Cherry Hill West   Cherry Hill West
Cinnaminson Cinnaminson insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cinnaminson
Clearview Regional Clearview Regional insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Clearview Regional
Clifton Toms River North   Toms River North
Collingswood Collingswood   Collingswood
Colts Neck Colts Neck Colts Neck  
Columbia Columbia   Columbia
Cranford Cranford   Cranford
Delaware Valley Delaware Valley   Delaware Valley
Delran Delran tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Delran
DePaul Catholic DePaul Catholic   DePaul Catholic
Donovan Catholic Toms River North tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) Toms River North
Dwight-Englewood Toms River North   Toms River North
East Brunswick East Brunswick   East Brunswick
East Side Newark Toms River North   Toms River North
Eastern Regional Eastern Regional   Eastern Regional
Edison Toms River North   Toms River North
Egg Harbor Twp Egg Harbor Twp tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Egg Harbor Twp
Ewing Township Toms River North   Toms River North
Fair Lawn Fair Lawn   Fair Lawn
Freehold Township Freehold Township Freehold Township   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Gateway Regional Gateway Regional   Gateway Regional
Gill St Bernards Toms River North   Toms River North
Glen Ridge Glen Ridge   Glen Ridge
Glen Rock Glen Rock   Glen Rock
Gloucester Catholic Toms River North   Toms River North
Governor Livingston Governor Livingston   Governor Livingston
Hackettstown Hackettstown   Hackettstown
Haddon Heights Haddon Heights   Haddon Heights
Haddon Township Haddon Township insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Haddon Township
Haddonfield Haddonfield   Haddonfield
Hamilton East-Steinert Hamilton East-Steinert   Hamilton East-Steinert
Hamilton North-Nottingha Toms River North   Toms River North
Hamilton West Toms River North insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Toms River North
Hammonton Toms River North   Toms River North
High Point Regional Toms River North   Toms River North
Highland Regional Toms River North   Toms River North
Hightstown Hightstown insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Hightstown
Hillsborough Hillsborough insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hillsborough
Hoboken Toms River North   Toms River North
Holmdel Holmdel Holmdel  
Holy Angels Academy Holy Angels Academy   Holy Angels Academy
Holy Cross Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Holy Spirit Holy Spirit   Holy Spirit
Hopewell Valley Hopewell Valley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hopewell Valley
Howell Howell Howell   4- 4 vs 2- 6
Hun School Toms River North   Toms River North
Hunterdon Central Hunterdon Central insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hunterdon Central
Immaculata Toms River North   Toms River North
Immaculate Heart Immaculate Heart   Immaculate Heart
Indian Hills Toms River North   Toms River North
Irvington Toms River North   Toms River North
Jackson Liberty Toms River North Toms River North   5- 1 vs 0- 6
Jackson Memorial Jackson Memorial insuffient: ( 3- 5)( 4- 4) Jackson Memorial
James Caldwell James Caldwell   James Caldwell
Jefferson Township Jefferson Township   Jefferson Township
Jonathan Dayton Jonathan Dayton   Jonathan Dayton
JP Stevens Toms River North   Toms River North
Kent Place Kent Place   Kent Place
Kingsway Kingsway   Kingsway
Kinnelon Kinnelon   Kinnelon
Kittatinny Regional Kittatinny Regional   Kittatinny Regional
Lacey Township Lacey Township Lacey Township  
Lakeland Regional Lakeland Regional   Lakeland Regional
Lawrence Toms River North   Toms River North
Lawrenceville School Lawrenceville School   Lawrenceville School
Lenape Lenape   Lenape
Lenape Valley Lenape Valley   Lenape Valley
Livingston Livingston   Livingston
Long Branch Toms River North Toms River North  
Lower Cape May Lower Cape May   Lower Cape May
Madison Madison   Madison
Mahwah Mahwah   Mahwah
Mainland Regional Mainland Regional   Mainland Regional
Manalapan Manalapan Manalapan  
Manasquan Manasquan Manasquan   5- 1 vs 0- 6
Manchester Township Toms River North Toms River North  
Maple Shade Toms River North   Toms River North
Marlboro Marlboro insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 4- 3) Marlboro
Mary Help of Christians Toms River North   Toms River North
Mercersburg Academy Toms River North   Toms River North
Middle Township Middle Township   Middle Township
Middletown North Toms River North Toms River North  
Middletown South Middletown South Middletown South  
Millburn Millburn   Millburn
Millville Toms River North   Toms River North
Monmouth Regional Toms River North Toms River North   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Monroe Township Monroe Township insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Monroe Township
Montclair HS Montclair HS   Montclair HS
Montclair Kimberley Montclair Kimberley   Montclair Kimberley
Montgomery Montgomery Montgomery  
Montville Township Montville Township   Montville Township
Moorestown Moorestown insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Moorestown
Moorestown Friends Toms River North   Toms River North
Morris Catholic Morris Catholic   Morris Catholic
Morris Hills Morris Hills   Morris Hills
Morris Knolls Morris Knolls insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Morris Knolls
Morristown Morristown insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Morristown
Morristown-Beard Morristown-Beard   Morristown-Beard
Mount Olive Mount Olive   Mount Olive
Mount St Dominic Academy Mount St Dominic Academy   Mount St Dominic Academy
Mount St Mary Mount St Mary tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Mount St Mary
Mountain Lakes Mountain Lakes   Mountain Lakes
Neptune Toms River North Toms River North   6- 0 vs 1- 5
New Egypt New Egypt tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) New Egypt
New Providence New Providence   New Providence
Newark Academy Newark Academy   Newark Academy
North Brunswick North Brunswick tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Brunswick
North Hunterdon North Hunterdon tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Hunterdon
North Warren Toms River North   Toms River North
Northern Burlington Northern Burlington insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northern Burlington
Northern Highlands Northern Highlands insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northern Highlands
Notre Dame Notre Dame insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Notre Dame
NV-Demarest Toms River North   Toms River North
NV-Old Tappan NV-Old Tappan   NV-Old Tappan
Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School   Oak Knoll School
Oakcrest Toms River North   Toms River North
Ocean City Ocean City   Ocean City
Ocean Township Ocean Township Ocean Township   4- 4 vs 1- 7
Old Bridge Old Bridge insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Old Bridge
Our Lady of Mercy Our Lady of Mercy   Our Lady of Mercy
Paramus Catholic Toms River North   Toms River North
Paramus HS Toms River North   Toms River North
Park Regional Park Regional   Park Regional
Park Ridge-Emerson Toms River North   Toms River North
Parsippany Toms River North   Toms River North
Parsippany Hills Toms River North   Toms River North
Pascack Hills Pascack Hills   Pascack Hills
Pascack Valley Pascack Valley insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Pascack Valley
Passaic County Tech Passaic County Tech   Passaic County Tech
Passaic Valley Passaic Valley   Passaic Valley
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Peddie School Peddie School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Peddie School
Pennington School Pennington School   Pennington School
Pennsauken Toms River North   Toms River North
Pequannock Township Pequannock Township   Pequannock Township
Phillipsburg Phillipsburg tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Phillipsburg
Pinelands Regional Toms River North Toms River North  
Pingry School Pingry School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Pingry School
Point Pleasant Beach Toms River North Toms River North  
Point Pleasant Boro Point Pleasant Boro Point Pleasant Boro  
Pompton Lakes Toms River North   Toms River North
Pope John XXIII Pope John XXIII   Pope John XXIII
Princeton Day School Princeton Day School   Princeton Day School
Princeton HS Princeton HS tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 1) Princeton HS
Ramapo Ramapo tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ramapo
Ramsey Ramsey   Ramsey
Rancocas Valley Toms River North   Toms River North
Randolph Randolph   Randolph
Ranney School Toms River North insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Toms River North
Red Bank Catholic Red Bank Catholic Red Bank Catholic   5- 4 vs 1- 8
Red Bank Regional Red Bank Regional Red Bank Regional  
Ridge Ridge tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ridge
Ridgewood Ridgewood   Ridgewood
River Dell River Dell   River Dell
Robbinsville Robbinsville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Robbinsville
Roxbury Roxbury   Roxbury
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Rutgers Prep Toms River North tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Toms River North
Rutherford Rutherford   Rutherford
Saddle Brook/Garfield Toms River North   Toms River North
Saddle River Day School Saddle River Day School   Saddle River Day School
Sayreville Toms River North   Toms River North
Scotch Plains-Fanwood Scotch Plains-Fanwood   Scotch Plains-Fanwood
Seneca Seneca tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Seneca
Shawnee Shawnee   Shawnee
Shore Regional Shore Regional Shore Regional   6- 1 vs 0- 7
Somerville Somerville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Somerville
South Brunswick Toms River North   Toms River North
South Plainfield Toms River North   Toms River North
Southern Regional Southern Regional Southern Regional   6- 1 vs 0- 7
Sparta Sparta   Sparta
St Elizabeth Academy St Elizabeth Academy   St Elizabeth Academy
St John Vianney St John Vianney tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) St John Vianney
St Joseph Hammonton St Joseph Hammonton   St Joseph Hammonton
St Rose Belmar Toms River North Toms River North  
St Thomas Aquinas Toms River North   Toms River North
Sterling Sterling tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Sterling
Stuart CDS Toms River North   Toms River North
Summit Summit   Summit
Tenafly Toms River North   Toms River North
Timber Creek Timber Creek   Timber Creek
Toms River East Toms River East Toms River East  
Toms River South Toms River South Toms River South  
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Trinity Hall   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Triton Regional Toms River North   Toms River North
Union Catholic Toms River North   Toms River North
Vernon Township Vernon Township   Vernon Township
Verona Verona   Verona
Villa Walsh Academy Villa Walsh Academy   Villa Walsh Academy
Voorhees Voorhees insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Voorhees
Waldwick Toms River North   Toms River North
Wall Township Wall Township Wall Township  
Warren Hills Toms River North   Toms River North
Washington Township Washington Township   Washington Township
Watchung Hills Watchung Hills tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Watchung Hills
Wayne Hills Wayne Hills   Wayne Hills
Wayne Valley Wayne Valley   Wayne Valley
West Deptford West Deptford   West Deptford
West Essex West Essex   West Essex
West Milford West Milford   West Milford
West Morris Central West Morris Central   West Morris Central
West Morris Mendham West Morris Mendham   West Morris Mendham
West Orange West Orange   West Orange
West Windsor-PB North West Windsor-PB North   West Windsor-PB North
West Windsor-PB South Toms River North   Toms River North
Westfield Westfield   Westfield
Westwood Westwood   Westwood
Wilberforce Toms River North   Toms River North
Williamstown Williamstown   Williamstown
Winslow Toms River North insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Toms River North
Woodstown Woodstown   Woodstown

PowerWise = 68


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 18.07

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Central Region  (13- 7, 86.6)     1-11      -13.32      22.40      -0.80         0.90           -12.75
   0 A Colts Neck      ( 4-11, 81.4)     8-12      -18.51      17.21       0.80         0.90           -16.00
   0 A Barnegat Towns  (16- 7, 87.8)     2-13      -12.08      23.64       0.80         0.90           -10.19
   0 H Wall Township   ( 4-15, 84.2)     9-21      -15.71      20.00      -0.80         0.90           -14.92
   0 H Toms River Eas  (11- 7, 87.4)     4-15      -12.52      23.20      -0.80         0.90           -12.03
   0 H Middletown Sou  (11- 7, 91.0)     2-15       -8.94      26.78      -0.80         0.90            -8.80
   0 A Lacey Township  (12- 7, 85.3)    11-22      -14.63      21.08       0.80         0.90           -12.50
   0 H Holmdel         ( 7- 9, 84.2)     9-15      -15.72      20.00      -0.80         0.90           -14.92
   0 A Point Pleasant  (10- 8, 87.2)     6-19      -12.68      23.04       0.80         0.90           -10.73
   0 A Manalapan       (10- 8, 86.5)     6-19      -13.43      22.28       0.80         0.90           -11.41
   0 A Toms River Sou  (12- 7, 83.4)     7-21      -16.48      19.24       0.80         0.90           -14.17
   0 H Red Bank Regio  (12- 7, 91.2)     1-15       -8.68      27.04      -0.80         0.90            -8.56
   0 A Long Branch     ( 5-10, 75.5)     8- 7      -24.36      11.36       0.80         0.90            10.98
   0 H St Rose Belmar  ( 2-10, 75.6)    19- 8      -24.31      11.40      -0.80         0.90             9.58
   0 A Middletown Nor  ( 2-17, 75.6)    14- 1      -24.34      11.38       0.80         0.90            11.00
   0 H Pinelands Regi  ( 6- 8, 76.5)    16- 5      -23.40      12.32      -0.80         0.90            10.41
   0 A Manchester Tow  ( 7- 9, 77.0)    14- 1      -22.92      12.80       0.80         0.90            12.28
   0 H Toms River Sou  (12- 7, 83.4)    11-15      -16.48      19.24      -0.80         0.90           -15.61
   0 A Point Pleasant  ( 5-12, 77.8)    13- 7      -22.15      13.57       0.80         0.90            12.98
   0 A Montgomery      (14- 8, 90.3)     6-20       -9.58      26.14       0.80         0.90            -7.93
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -103.30

winning pts = 67.2337 losing points = -170.5293

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------