---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:53 PDT

safe3step girls Toms River East 1
  
Toms River East       
W-L: (11- 7) PR = 87.3814

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 401 A Point Pleasant Boro (10- 8, 87.2) 8- 6 403 H Middletown South (11- 7, 91.0) 5-12 405 H Manchester Township ( 7- 9, 77.0) 17- 3 408 A Manalapan (10- 8, 86.5) 15-10 411 H Holmdel ( 7- 9, 84.2) 22-11 415 A Toms River North ( 6-14, 79.9) 15- 4 422 A Central Regional (13- 7, 86.6) 9-13 425 A Barnegat Township (16- 7, 87.8) 10-11 429 H Wall Township ( 4-15, 84.2) 20-14 501 A Southern Regional (14- 7, 92.7) 6-16 503 A Brick Township ( 6-12, 80.7) 13- 6 507 A Middletown North ( 2-17, 75.6) 15- 1 508 H Shore Regional (16- 6, 93.0) 7-12 510 H Howell (11- 9, 83.5) 15-10 513 A Manasquan (11-11, 91.3) 5-13 516 H Marlboro (10- 7, 82.8) 15- 2 519 H Lacey Township (12- 7, 85.3) 14-12 528 A Clearview Regional (11- 9, 89.0) 10-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Point Pleasant Boro     8- 6       2    -1    +      2.64
   403 H Middletown South        5-12      -7    -3    -     -2.22
   405 H Manchester Township    17- 3      14    11           0.00
   408 A Manalapan              15-10       5     0    ++     4.89
   411 H Holmdel                22-11      11     4           1.00
   415 A Toms River North       15- 4      11     7           0.00
   422 A Central Regional        9-13      -4     0    -     -4.00
   425 A Barnegat Township      10-11      -1    -1           0.24
   429 H Wall Township          20-14       6     4           1.01
   501 A Southern Regional       6-16     -10    -6           0.00
   503 A Brick Township         13- 6       7     6           0.00
   507 A Middletown North       15- 1      14    11           0.00
   508 H Shore Regional          7-12      -5    -5          -0.16
   510 H Howell                 15-10       5     5           0.32
   513 A Manasquan               5-13      -8    -5          -0.25
   516 H Marlboro               15- 2      13     5           0.00
   519 H Lacey Township         14-12       2     3          -0.92
   528 A Clearview Regional     10-15      -5    -2    -     -2.56

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Middletown South        5-12      -7    -3    -     -2.22
   422 A Central Regional        9-13      -4     0    -     -4.00
   528 A Clearview Regional     10-15      -5    -2    -     -2.56

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Manalapan              15-10       5     0    ++     4.89
   401 A Point Pleasant Boro     8- 6       2    -1    +      2.64

Toms River East Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Absegami Toms River East   Toms River East
Allentown Allentown insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 0) Allentown
Arthur L Johnson Toms River East   Toms River East
Atlantic City Toms River East   Toms River East
Barnegat Township Barnegat Township Barnegat Township  
Bergen Tech Toms River East   Toms River East
Bernards Bernards   Bernards
Bishop Eustace Prep Bishop Eustace Prep tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bishop Eustace Prep
Blair Academy Toms River East   Toms River East
Boonton Toms River East   Toms River East
Brick Memorial Toms River East Toms River East   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Brick Township Toms River East Toms River East  
Bridgewater-Raritan Bridgewater-Raritan   Bridgewater-Raritan
Burlington City Toms River East   Toms River East
Camden Catholic Camden Catholic   Camden Catholic
Cedar Creek Toms River East tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Toms River East
Cedar Grove Toms River East   Toms River East
Central Regional Central Regional Central Regional  
Chatham Chatham   Chatham
Cherokee Cherokee Cherokee   2- 0 vs 0- 3
Cherry Hill East Toms River East   Toms River East
Cherry Hill West Cherry Hill West insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cherry Hill West
Cinnaminson Cinnaminson tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Cinnaminson
Clearview Regional Clearview Regional Clearview Regional  
Clifton Toms River East   Toms River East
Collingswood Toms River East   Toms River East
Colts Neck Toms River East Toms River East   7- 0 vs 2- 5
Columbia Columbia   Columbia
Cranford Cranford   Cranford
Delaware Valley Delaware Valley   Delaware Valley
Delran Toms River East tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Toms River East
DePaul Catholic Toms River East   Toms River East
Donovan Catholic Toms River East Toms River East   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Dwight-Englewood Toms River East   Toms River East
East Brunswick Toms River East tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Toms River East
East Side Newark Toms River East   Toms River East
Eastern Regional Toms River East tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Toms River East
Edison Toms River East   Toms River East
Egg Harbor Twp Toms River East tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Toms River East
Ewing Township Toms River East   Toms River East
Fair Lawn Toms River East   Toms River East
Freehold Township Toms River East insuffient: ( 5- 0)( 4- 1) Toms River East
Gateway Regional Toms River East   Toms River East
Gill St Bernards Toms River East   Toms River East
Glen Ridge Glen Ridge   Glen Ridge
Glen Rock Glen Rock   Glen Rock
Gloucester Catholic Toms River East   Toms River East
Governor Livingston Toms River East   Toms River East
Hackettstown Toms River East   Toms River East
Haddon Heights Toms River East tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Toms River East
Haddon Township Haddon Township tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Haddon Township
Haddonfield Haddonfield Haddonfield   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Hamilton East-Steinert Toms River East   Toms River East
Hamilton North-Nottingha Toms River East   Toms River East
Hamilton West Toms River East   Toms River East
Hammonton Toms River East   Toms River East
High Point Regional Toms River East   Toms River East
Highland Regional Toms River East   Toms River East
Hightstown Hightstown tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hightstown
Hillsborough Hillsborough tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hillsborough
Hoboken Toms River East   Toms River East
Holmdel Toms River East Toms River East  
Holy Angels Academy Toms River East   Toms River East
Holy Cross Toms River East   Toms River East
Holy Spirit Holy Spirit insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Holy Spirit
Hopewell Valley Toms River East   Toms River East
Howell Toms River East Toms River East  
Hun School Toms River East   Toms River East
Hunterdon Central Hunterdon Central   Hunterdon Central
Immaculata Toms River East   Toms River East
Immaculate Heart Immaculate Heart   Immaculate Heart
Indian Hills Toms River East   Toms River East
Irvington Toms River East   Toms River East
Jackson Liberty Toms River East Toms River East   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Jackson Memorial Toms River East Toms River East   7- 1 vs 4- 4
James Caldwell James Caldwell   James Caldwell
Jefferson Township Jefferson Township   Jefferson Township
Jonathan Dayton Toms River East   Toms River East
JP Stevens Toms River East   Toms River East
Kent Place Kent Place   Kent Place
Kingsway Toms River East tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Toms River East
Kinnelon Kinnelon   Kinnelon
Kittatinny Regional Toms River East   Toms River East
Lacey Township Toms River East Toms River East  
Lakeland Regional Toms River East   Toms River East
Lawrence Toms River East   Toms River East
Lawrenceville School Lawrenceville School   Lawrenceville School
Lenape Lenape tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lenape
Lenape Valley Toms River East   Toms River East
Livingston Livingston   Livingston
Long Branch Toms River East Toms River East   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Lower Cape May Toms River East   Toms River East
Madison Madison   Madison
Mahwah Mahwah   Mahwah
Mainland Regional Mainland Regional   Mainland Regional
Manalapan Toms River East Toms River East  
Manasquan Manasquan Manasquan  
Manchester Township Toms River East Toms River East  
Maple Shade Toms River East   Toms River East
Marlboro Toms River East Toms River East  
Mary Help of Christians Toms River East   Toms River East
Mercersburg Academy Toms River East   Toms River East
Middle Township Toms River East insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Toms River East
Middletown North Toms River East Toms River East  
Middletown South Middletown South Middletown South  
Millburn Toms River East   Toms River East
Millville Toms River East tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Toms River East
Monmouth Regional Toms River East Toms River East   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Monroe Township Toms River East tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Toms River East
Montclair HS Montclair HS   Montclair HS
Montclair Kimberley Montclair Kimberley   Montclair Kimberley
Montgomery Montgomery insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 0) Montgomery
Montville Township Montville Township   Montville Township
Moorestown Moorestown Moorestown   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Moorestown Friends Toms River East   Toms River East
Morris Catholic Toms River East   Toms River East
Morris Hills Toms River East   Toms River East
Morris Knolls Morris Knolls   Morris Knolls
Morristown Morristown   Morristown
Morristown-Beard Morristown-Beard   Morristown-Beard
Mount Olive Mount Olive   Mount Olive
Mount St Dominic Academy Toms River East   Toms River East
Mount St Mary Mount St Mary   Mount St Mary
Mountain Lakes Mountain Lakes   Mountain Lakes
Neptune Toms River East Toms River East   2- 0 vs 0- 2
New Egypt Toms River East insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Toms River East
New Providence New Providence   New Providence
Newark Academy Toms River East   Toms River East
North Brunswick Toms River East insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Toms River East
North Hunterdon North Hunterdon   North Hunterdon
North Warren Toms River East   Toms River East
Northern Burlington Northern Burlington   Northern Burlington
Northern Highlands Northern Highlands insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northern Highlands
Notre Dame Notre Dame insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Notre Dame
NV-Demarest Toms River East   Toms River East
NV-Old Tappan NV-Old Tappan   NV-Old Tappan
Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Oak Knoll School
Oakcrest Toms River East tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Toms River East
Ocean City Ocean City   Ocean City
Ocean Township Toms River East Toms River East   6- 1 vs 3- 4
Old Bridge Old Bridge insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Old Bridge
Our Lady of Mercy Toms River East   Toms River East
Paramus Catholic Toms River East   Toms River East
Paramus HS Toms River East   Toms River East
Park Regional Toms River East   Toms River East
Park Ridge-Emerson Toms River East   Toms River East
Parsippany Toms River East   Toms River East
Parsippany Hills Toms River East   Toms River East
Pascack Hills Toms River East   Toms River East
Pascack Valley Pascack Valley tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Pascack Valley
Passaic County Tech Toms River East   Toms River East
Passaic Valley Toms River East   Toms River East
Paul VI Paul VI insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Paul VI
Peddie School Toms River East   Toms River East
Pennington School Toms River East   Toms River East
Pennsauken Toms River East   Toms River East
Pequannock Township Pequannock Township   Pequannock Township
Phillipsburg Toms River East   Toms River East
Pinelands Regional Toms River East Toms River East   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Pingry School Pingry School   Pingry School
Point Pleasant Beach Toms River East Toms River East   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Point Pleasant Boro Toms River East Toms River East  
Pompton Lakes Toms River East   Toms River East
Pope John XXIII Toms River East   Toms River East
Princeton Day School Toms River East   Toms River East
Princeton HS Princeton HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Princeton HS
Ramapo Ramapo tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ramapo
Ramsey Ramsey   Ramsey
Rancocas Valley Toms River East   Toms River East
Randolph Randolph   Randolph
Ranney School Toms River East insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Toms River East
Red Bank Catholic Toms River East insuffient: ( 5- 3)( 4- 4) Toms River East
Red Bank Regional Red Bank Regional Red Bank Regional   6- 2 vs 3- 5
Ridge Ridge   Ridge
Ridgewood Ridgewood   Ridgewood
River Dell Toms River East   Toms River East
Robbinsville Toms River East tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Toms River East
Roxbury Roxbury   Roxbury
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Rutgers Prep Toms River East   Toms River East
Rutherford Toms River East   Toms River East
Saddle Brook/Garfield Toms River East   Toms River East
Saddle River Day School Toms River East   Toms River East
Sayreville Toms River East insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Toms River East
Scotch Plains-Fanwood Scotch Plains-Fanwood   Scotch Plains-Fanwood
Seneca Seneca tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) Seneca
Shawnee Shawnee insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Shawnee
Shore Regional Shore Regional Shore Regional  
Somerville Somerville   Somerville
South Brunswick Toms River East   Toms River East
South Plainfield Toms River East   Toms River East
Southern Regional Southern Regional Southern Regional  
Sparta Sparta   Sparta
St Elizabeth Academy Toms River East   Toms River East
St John Vianney Toms River East insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 3- 4) Toms River East
St Joseph Hammonton Toms River East   Toms River East
St Rose Belmar Toms River East Toms River East   4- 1 vs 1- 4
St Thomas Aquinas Toms River East   Toms River East
Sterling Toms River East insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Toms River East
Stuart CDS Toms River East   Toms River East
Summit Summit   Summit
Tenafly Toms River East   Toms River East
Timber Creek Toms River East   Toms River East
Toms River North Toms River East Toms River East  
Toms River South Toms River East Toms River East   8- 1 vs 5- 4
Trinity Hall Trinity Hall Trinity Hall   6- 0 vs 1- 5
Triton Regional Toms River East   Toms River East
Union Catholic Toms River East   Toms River East
Vernon Township Toms River East   Toms River East
Verona Verona   Verona
Villa Walsh Academy Toms River East   Toms River East
Voorhees Voorhees   Voorhees
Waldwick Toms River East   Toms River East
Wall Township Toms River East Toms River East  
Warren Hills Toms River East   Toms River East
Washington Township Toms River East tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Toms River East
Watchung Hills Toms River East   Toms River East
Wayne Hills Toms River East   Toms River East
Wayne Valley Toms River East   Toms River East
West Deptford Toms River East tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Toms River East
West Essex West Essex   West Essex
West Milford Toms River East   Toms River East
West Morris Central West Morris Central   West Morris Central
West Morris Mendham West Morris Mendham   West Morris Mendham
West Orange Toms River East   Toms River East
West Windsor-PB North Toms River East   Toms River East
West Windsor-PB South Toms River East   Toms River East
Westfield Westfield tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Westfield
Westwood Westwood   Westwood
Wilberforce Toms River East   Toms River East
Williamstown Toms River East tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Toms River East
Winslow Toms River East   Toms River East
Woodstown Woodstown insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Woodstown

PowerWise = 147


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 18.07

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Point Pleasant  (10- 8, 87.2)     8- 6      -12.68      23.04       0.80         1.00            23.93
   0 H Middletown Sou  (11- 7, 91.0)     5-12       -8.94      26.78      -0.80         1.00            -9.78
   0 H Manchester Tow  ( 7- 9, 77.0)    17- 3      -22.92      12.80      -0.80         1.00            12.05
   0 A Manalapan       (10- 8, 86.5)    15-10      -13.43      22.28       0.80         1.00            23.17
   0 H Holmdel         ( 7- 9, 84.2)    22-11      -15.72      20.00      -0.80         1.00            19.27
   0 A Toms River Nor  ( 6-14, 79.9)    15- 4      -20.04      15.67       0.80         1.00            16.54
   0 A Central Region  (13- 7, 86.6)     9-13      -13.32      22.40       0.80         1.00           -12.57
   0 A Barnegat Towns  (16- 7, 87.8)    10-11      -12.08      23.64       0.80         1.00           -11.32
   0 H Wall Township   ( 4-15, 84.2)    20-14      -15.71      20.00      -0.80         1.00            19.28
   0 A Southern Regio  (14- 7, 92.7)     6-16       -7.15      28.56       0.80         1.00            -6.38
   0 A Brick Township  ( 6-12, 80.7)    13- 6      -19.22      16.50       0.80         1.00            17.36
   0 A Middletown Nor  ( 2-17, 75.6)    15- 1      -24.34      11.38       0.80         1.00            12.23
   0 H Shore Regional  (16- 6, 93.0)     7-12       -6.88      28.83      -0.80         1.00            -7.71
   0 H Howell          (11- 9, 83.5)    15-10      -16.40      19.32      -0.80         1.00            18.59
   0 A Manasquan       (11-11, 91.3)     5-13       -8.56      27.15       0.80         1.00            -7.79
   0 H Marlboro        (10- 7, 82.8)    15- 2      -17.08      18.63      -0.80         1.00            17.90
   0 H Lacey Township  (12- 7, 85.3)    14-12      -14.63      21.08      -0.80         1.00            20.36
   0 A Clearview Regi  (11- 9, 89.0)    10-15      -10.88      24.84       0.80         1.00           -10.12
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       135.01

winning pts = 200.6728 losing points = -65.6641

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------