Timber Creek
W-L: (10- 6) PR = 78.1066Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 211 H East River ( 4- 8, 63.8) 23- 0 218 H Lake Nona (12- 2, 75.5) 9- 6 220 A Horizon (13- 4, 79.2) 11- 9 225 H Innovation ( 1-12, 61.3) 25- 0 227 A Windermere HS ( 6- 9, 76.5) 9- 8 303 A Winter Park (14- 8, 83.3) 2-13 306 H Oviedo (13- 7, 86.2) 1-19 307 A Winter Springs (11- 7, 78.4) 6-15 313 H Apopka ( 5-12, 75.3) 7- 5 325 H Edgewater (10- 7, 74.7) 14- 9 327 A Boone ( 5-12, 74.0) 11- 6 331 A West Orange (12- 6, 82.4) 4-15 402 H First Academy (12- 6, 81.6) 7-17 409 A Evans ( 0- 9, 57.9) 18- 0 411 A Edgewater (10- 7, 74.7) 16- 1 415 H Winter Park (14- 8, 83.3) 5-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
211 H East River 23- 0 23 15 0.00
218 H Lake Nona 9- 6 3 3 -0.10
220 A Horizon 11- 9 2 -2 + 3.60
225 H Innovation 25- 0 25 17 0.00
227 A Windermere HS 9- 8 1 1 -0.11
303 A Winter Park 2-13 -11 -6 0.00
306 H Oviedo 1-19 -18 -8 0.00
307 A Winter Springs 6-15 -9 -1 -- -4.22
313 H Apopka 7- 5 2 3 -1.23
325 H Edgewater 14- 9 5 4 1.11
327 A Boone 11- 6 5 4 1.39
331 A West Orange 4-15 -11 -5 -0.22
402 H First Academy 7-17 -10 -3 -1.92
409 A Evans 18- 0 18 20 0.00
411 A Edgewater 16- 1 15 3 + 2.02
415 H Winter Park 5-18 -13 -5 -0.28
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A Winter Springs 6-15 -9 -1 -- -4.22 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A Horizon 11- 9 2 -2 + 3.60 411 A Edgewater 16- 1 15 3 + 2.02 |
Timber Creek Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Saints Academy | All Saints Academy | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | All Saints Academy | |
| Alonso | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| American Heritage Delray | American Heritage Delray | American Heritage Delray | ||
| American Heritage Planta | American Heritage Planta | American Heritage Planta | ||
| Angeline Academy | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Apopka | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Archbishop McCarthy | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Atlantic Coast | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Atlantic-Delray Beach | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Aubrey Rogers | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Barron Collier | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Bartow | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Timber Creek | |
| Bartram Trail | Bartram Trail | Bartram Trail | ||
| Beachside | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Benjamin School | Benjamin School | Benjamin School | ||
| Berkeley Prep | Berkeley Prep | Berkeley Prep | ||
| Bishop Moore | Bishop Moore | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Bishop Moore | |
| Bishop Verot | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Bloomingdale | Bloomingdale | Bloomingdale | ||
| Boca Ciega | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Boca Raton | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Bolles School | Bolles School | Bolles School | ||
| Boone | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Bradenton Christian | Bradenton Christian | Bradenton Christian | ||
| Buchholz | Buchholz | Buchholz | ||
| Calvary Christian Academ | Calvary Christian Academ | Calvary Christian Academ | ||
| Calvary Christian HS | Calvary Christian HS | Calvary Christian HS | ||
| Canterbury School | Canterbury School | Canterbury School | ||
| Cape Coral | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Cardinal Mooney | Cardinal Mooney | Cardinal Mooney | ||
| Cardinal Newman | Cardinal Newman | Cardinal Newman | ||
| Celebration | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Timber Creek | |
| Clearwater Central Catho | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Cocoa Beach | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Colonial | Timber Creek | Timber Creek 5- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Community School Naples | Community School Naples | Community School Naples | ||
| Cooper City | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Coral Glades | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Coral Reef | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Coral Shores | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Coral Springs | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Countryside | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Creekside | Creekside | Creekside | ||
| Cypress Bay | Cypress Bay | Cypress Bay | ||
| Cypress Creek Orlando | Timber Creek | Timber Creek 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Cypress Creek Wesley | Cypress Creek Wesley | Cypress Creek Wesley | ||
| Cypress Lake | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Discovery | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Dr Joaquin Garcia | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Durant | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Dwyer | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| East Lake | East Lake | East Lake | ||
| East Ridge | East Ridge | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 2) | East Ridge | |
| East River | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Eastside | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Edgewater | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Edgewood | Edgewood | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Edgewood | |
| Episcopal School | Episcopal School | Episcopal School | ||
| Estero | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Evans | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| First Academy | First Academy | First Academy | ||
| Flagler Palm Coast | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Fleming Island | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Fletcher | Fletcher | Fletcher | ||
| Forest | Forest | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Forest | |
| Fort Myers | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Fort Walton Beach | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Freedom Orlando | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Freedom Tampa | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Gainesville | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Gateway | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| George Steinbrenner | George Steinbrenner | George Steinbrenner | ||
| Golden Gate | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | Gulf Breeze | ||
| Gulf Coast | Gulf Coast | Gulf Coast | ||
| Gulliver Prep | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Hagerty | Hagerty | Hagerty 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Holy Names Academy | Holy Names Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Holy Names Academy | |
| Holy Trinity Episcopal | Holy Trinity Episcopal | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Holy Trinity Episcopal | |
| Horizon | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| IMG Academy | IMG Academy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | IMG Academy | |
| IMG National | IMG National | IMG National | ||
| Immokalee | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Innovation | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Jensen Beach | Jensen Beach | Jensen Beach | ||
| Jupiter | Jupiter | Jupiter | ||
| Jupiter Christian | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Key West | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Keys Gate | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Kings Academy | Kings Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Kings Academy | |
| Lake Brantley | Lake Brantley | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) | Lake Brantley | |
| Lake Buena Vista | Timber Creek | Timber Creek 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Lake Highland Prep | Lake Highland Prep | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lake Highland Prep | |
| Lake Howell | Lake Howell | Lake Howell 6- 0 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Lake Mary HS | Lake Mary HS | Lake Mary HS 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Lake Minneola | Timber Creek | Timber Creek 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Lake Nona | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Lake Wales | Timber Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Timber Creek | |
| Lakeland | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Lakeland Christian | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Lakewood Ranch | Lakewood Ranch | Lakewood Ranch | ||
| Land O Lakes | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Largo | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Leesburg | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Lely | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Lourdes Academy | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Lyman | Timber Creek | Timber Creek 2- 3 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Maclay | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Manatee | Manatee | Manatee | ||
| Mandarin | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Marco Island Academy | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Martin County | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Matanzas | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Melbourne | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Timber Creek | |
| Menendez | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Merritt Island | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Miami Country Day | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Miami Palmetto | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Milton | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Mitchell | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Naples | Naples | Naples | ||
| Navarre | Navarre | Navarre | ||
| Nease | Nease | Nease | ||
| Newberry | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Newsome | Newsome | Newsome | ||
| Niceville | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| North Bay Haven | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| North Broward Prep | North Broward Prep | North Broward Prep | ||
| Northeast Oakland Park | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Northeast St Petersburg | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Northside Christian | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| NSU University School | NSU University School | NSU University School | ||
| Oak Hall | Oak Hall | Oak Hall | ||
| Ocoee | Timber Creek | Timber Creek 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Okeechobee | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Olympia | Timber Creek | Timber Creek 6- 1 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Olympic Heights | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Orangewood Christian | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) | Timber Creek | |
| Osceola | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Out-of-Door Academy | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Oviedo | Oviedo | Oviedo | ||
| Oxbridge Academy | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Palm Beach Central | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Palm Beach Gardens | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Palm Harbor University | Palm Harbor University | Palm Harbor University | ||
| Palmer Trinity | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Palmetto Ridge | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Park Vista | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Parrish Community | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Pasco | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Paxon Institute | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Pensacola | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Pensacola Catholic | Pensacola Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Pensacola Catholic | |
| Pine Crest | Pine Crest | Pine Crest | ||
| Plant | Plant | Plant | ||
| Pompano Beach | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Ponte Vedra | Ponte Vedra | Ponte Vedra | ||
| Providence School | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Ransom Everglades | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| River Ridge | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Riverdale | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Riverside | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Riverview Sarasota | Riverview Sarasota | Riverview Sarasota | ||
| Robinson | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Rockledge | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Sandalwood | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Santa Fe | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Sarasota | Sarasota | Sarasota | ||
| Satellite | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Seacoast Collegiate | Seacoast Collegiate | Seacoast Collegiate | ||
| Sebastian River | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Seminole | Timber Creek | tied - ( 4- 3) ( 4- 3) | Timber Creek | |
| Seminole Ridge | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Shorecrest Prep | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Sickles | Sickles | Sickles | ||
| South Fork | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| South Lake | Timber Creek | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Timber Creek | |
| South Plantation | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| South Walton | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Spanish River | Spanish River | Spanish River | ||
| St Andrews | St Andrews | St Andrews | ||
| St Augustine | St Augustine | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Augustine | |
| St Brendan | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| St Cloud | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Timber Creek | |
| St Edwards | St Edwards | St Edwards | ||
| St John Paul II | St John Paul II | St John Paul II | ||
| St Joseph Academy | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| St Petersburg | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| St Petersburg Catholic | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| St Stephens Episcopal | St Stephens Episcopal | St Stephens Episcopal | ||
| St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | ||
| Stanton Prep | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Stoneman Douglas | Stoneman Douglas | Stoneman Douglas | ||
| Suncoast | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Sunlake | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Tampa Catholic | Tampa Catholic | Tampa Catholic | ||
| Tate | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Tocoi Creek | Tocoi Creek | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Tocoi Creek | |
| Tohopekaliga | Timber Creek | Timber Creek 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Trinity Catholic | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Timber Creek | |
| Trinity Prep | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Timber Creek | |
| Venice | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Vero Beach | Vero Beach | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Vero Beach | |
| Viera | Viera | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Viera | |
| Village School | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Washington | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Wekiva | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Wellington | Wellington | Wellington | ||
| Wesley Chapel | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| West Boca Raton | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| West Broward | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| West Florida | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| West Orange | West Orange | West Orange | ||
| Western | Western | Western | ||
| Westminster Christian | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Wharton | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Windermere HS | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Windermere Prep | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Timber Creek | |
| Winter Haven | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Winter Park | Winter Park | Winter Park | ||
| Winter Springs | Winter Springs | Winter Springs | ||
| Wiregrass Ranch | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Wolfson | Timber Creek | Timber Creek |
PowerWise = 145
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.34
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H East River ( 4- 8, 63.8) 23- 0 -36.06 6.04 -0.45 0.90 5.01
0 H Lake Nona (12- 2, 75.5) 9- 6 -24.44 17.66 -0.45 0.90 15.42
0 A Horizon (13- 4, 79.2) 11- 9 -20.65 21.45 0.45 0.90 19.63
0 H Innovation ( 1-12, 61.3) 25- 0 -38.61 3.49 -0.45 0.90 2.72
0 A Windermere HS ( 6- 9, 76.5) 9- 8 -23.36 18.74 0.45 0.90 17.20
0 A Winter Park (14- 8, 83.3) 2-13 -16.62 25.48 0.45 0.90 -14.49
0 H Oviedo (13- 7, 86.2) 1-19 -13.69 28.41 -0.45 0.90 -12.68
0 A Winter Springs (11- 7, 78.4) 6-15 -21.47 20.63 0.45 0.90 -18.83
0 H Apopka ( 5-12, 75.3) 7- 5 -24.57 17.53 -0.45 0.90 15.31
0 H Edgewater (10- 7, 74.7) 14- 9 -25.23 16.87 -0.45 0.90 14.71
0 A Boone ( 5-12, 74.0) 11- 6 -25.86 16.24 0.45 0.90 14.96
0 A West Orange (12- 6, 82.4) 4-15 -17.46 24.64 0.45 0.90 -15.24
0 H First Academy (12- 6, 81.6) 7-17 -18.26 23.84 -0.45 0.90 -16.77
0 A Evans ( 0- 9, 57.9) 18- 0 -42.01 1.00 0.45 0.90 1.30
0 A Edgewater (10- 7, 74.7) 16- 1 -25.23 16.87 0.45 0.90 15.53
0 H Winter Park (14- 8, 83.3) 5-18 -16.62 25.48 -0.45 0.90 -15.30
------
28.47
|
winning pts = 121.7762 losing points = -93.3045
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------