Timber Creek
W-L: ( 7- 9) PR = 80.6139Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 331 H Delran ( 6-13, 81.7) 9-13 401 H Highland Regional ( 5-13, 73.2) 16- 1 403 H Haddon Heights (10- 9, 84.7) 7-14 407 A Gateway Regional (16- 3, 83.3) 11-14 410 H Rancocas Valley ( 3-14, 79.7) 13- 9 416 A Collingswood (11- 7, 81.1) 10-11 423 A Highland Regional ( 5-13, 73.2) 16- 0 425 H Gateway Regional (16- 3, 83.3) 7- 9 428 A Gloucester Catholic ( 2- 9, 69.6) 17- 9 430 H Triton Regional ( 5-12, 77.4) 14- 5 505 A Sterling ( 7-11, 82.7) 13-16 508 A Maple Shade (11- 6, 79.7) 7- 6 512 A Holy Cross (11- 5, 85.2) 8-10 516 H Collingswood (11- 7, 81.1) 6-12 520 A Triton Regional ( 5-12, 77.4) 15- 3 529 A Seneca ( 9-10, 88.5) 9-20
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
331 H Delran 9-13 -4 0 - -3.72
401 H Highland Regional 16- 1 15 8 0.00
403 H Haddon Heights 7-14 -7 -3 -1.71
407 A Gateway Regional 11-14 -3 -3 0.48
410 H Rancocas Valley 13- 9 4 2 + 2.30
416 A Collingswood 10-11 -1 -1 0.32
423 A Highland Regional 16- 0 16 7 0.00
425 H Gateway Regional 7- 9 -2 -2 -0.12
428 A Gloucester Catholic 17- 9 8 10 0.00
430 H Triton Regional 14- 5 9 4 0.97
505 A Sterling 13-16 -3 -3 -0.12
508 A Maple Shade 7- 6 1 0 0.86
512 A Holy Cross 8-10 -2 -5 + 3.00
516 H Collingswood 6-12 -6 0 -- -5.28
520 A Triton Regional 15- 3 12 2 + 2.57
529 A Seneca 9-20 -11 -9 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 516 H Collingswood 6-12 -6 0 -- -5.28 331 H Delran 9-13 -4 0 - -3.72 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 H Rancocas Valley 13- 9 4 2 + 2.30 512 A Holy Cross 8-10 -2 -5 + 3.00 520 A Triton Regional 15- 3 12 2 + 2.57 |
Timber Creek Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Absegami | Timber Creek | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Timber Creek | |
| Allentown | Allentown | Allentown | ||
| Arthur L Johnson | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Atlantic City | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Barnegat Township | Barnegat Township | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 0) | Barnegat Township | |
| Bergen Tech | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Bernards | Bernards | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Bernards | |
| Bishop Eustace Prep | Bishop Eustace Prep | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Bishop Eustace Prep | |
| Blair Academy | Blair Academy | Blair Academy | ||
| Boonton | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Brick Memorial | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Brick Township | Brick Township | Brick Township | ||
| Bridgewater-Raritan | Bridgewater-Raritan | Bridgewater-Raritan | ||
| Burlington City | Timber Creek | Timber Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Camden Catholic | Camden Catholic | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Camden Catholic | |
| Cedar Creek | Cedar Creek | Cedar Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Cedar Grove | Cedar Grove | Cedar Grove | ||
| Central Regional | Central Regional | Central Regional | ||
| Chatham | Chatham | Chatham | ||
| Cherokee | Cherokee | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Cherokee | |
| Cherry Hill East | Cherry Hill East | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) | Cherry Hill East | |
| Cherry Hill West | Cherry Hill West | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cherry Hill West | |
| Cinnaminson | Cinnaminson | Cinnaminson 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Clearview Regional | Clearview Regional | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Clearview Regional | |
| Clifton | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Collingswood | Collingswood | Collingswood | ||
| Colts Neck | Colts Neck | Colts Neck | ||
| Columbia | Columbia | Columbia | ||
| Cranford | Cranford | Cranford | ||
| Delaware Valley | Delaware Valley | Delaware Valley | ||
| Delran | Delran | Delran | ||
| DePaul Catholic | DePaul Catholic | DePaul Catholic | ||
| Donovan Catholic | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Dwight-Englewood | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| East Brunswick | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| East Side Newark | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Eastern Regional | Eastern Regional | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Eastern Regional | |
| Edison | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Egg Harbor Twp | Egg Harbor Twp | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Egg Harbor Twp | |
| Ewing Township | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Timber Creek | |
| Fair Lawn | Fair Lawn | Fair Lawn | ||
| Freehold Township | Freehold Township | Freehold Township | ||
| Gateway Regional | Gateway Regional | Gateway Regional | ||
| Gill St Bernards | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Glen Ridge | Glen Ridge | Glen Ridge | ||
| Glen Rock | Glen Rock | Glen Rock | ||
| Gloucester Catholic | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Governor Livingston | Governor Livingston | Governor Livingston | ||
| Hackettstown | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Haddon Heights | Haddon Heights | Haddon Heights | ||
| Haddon Township | Haddon Township | Haddon Township 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Haddonfield | Haddonfield | Haddonfield | ||
| Hamilton East-Steinert | Hamilton East-Steinert | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hamilton East-Steinert | |
| Hamilton North-Nottingha | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Timber Creek | |
| Hamilton West | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Timber Creek | |
| Hammonton | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Timber Creek | |
| High Point Regional | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Highland Regional | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Hightstown | Hightstown | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hightstown | |
| Hillsborough | Hillsborough | Hillsborough | ||
| Hoboken | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Holmdel | Holmdel | Holmdel | ||
| Holy Angels Academy | Holy Angels Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Holy Angels Academy | |
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross | ||
| Holy Spirit | Holy Spirit | Holy Spirit | ||
| Hopewell Valley | Hopewell Valley | Hopewell Valley | ||
| Howell | Howell | Howell | ||
| Hun School | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Hunterdon Central | Hunterdon Central | Hunterdon Central | ||
| Immaculata | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Immaculate Heart | Immaculate Heart | Immaculate Heart | ||
| Indian Hills | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Irvington | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Jackson Liberty | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Jackson Memorial | Jackson Memorial | Jackson Memorial | ||
| James Caldwell | James Caldwell | James Caldwell | ||
| Jefferson Township | Jefferson Township | Jefferson Township | ||
| Jonathan Dayton | Jonathan Dayton | Jonathan Dayton | ||
| JP Stevens | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Kent Place | Kent Place | Kent Place | ||
| Kingsway | Kingsway | Kingsway | ||
| Kinnelon | Kinnelon | Kinnelon | ||
| Kittatinny Regional | Kittatinny Regional | Kittatinny Regional | ||
| Lacey Township | Lacey Township | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lacey Township | |
| Lakeland Regional | Lakeland Regional | Lakeland Regional | ||
| Lawrence | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Lawrenceville School | Lawrenceville School | Lawrenceville School | ||
| Lenape | Lenape | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Lenape | |
| Lenape Valley | Lenape Valley | Lenape Valley | ||
| Livingston | Livingston | Livingston | ||
| Long Branch | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Lower Cape May | Lower Cape May | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lower Cape May | |
| Madison | Madison | Madison | ||
| Mahwah | Mahwah | Mahwah | ||
| Mainland Regional | Mainland Regional | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Mainland Regional | |
| Manalapan | Manalapan | Manalapan | ||
| Manasquan | Manasquan | Manasquan | ||
| Manchester Township | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Maple Shade | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Marlboro | Marlboro | Marlboro | ||
| Mary Help of Christians | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Mercersburg Academy | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Middle Township | Middle Township | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Middle Township | |
| Middletown North | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Middletown South | Middletown South | Middletown South | ||
| Millburn | Millburn | Millburn | ||
| Millville | Timber Creek | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Timber Creek | |
| Monmouth Regional | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Monroe Township | Monroe Township | Monroe Township | ||
| Montclair HS | Montclair HS | Montclair HS | ||
| Montclair Kimberley | Montclair Kimberley | Montclair Kimberley | ||
| Montgomery | Montgomery | Montgomery | ||
| Montville Township | Montville Township | Montville Township | ||
| Moorestown | Moorestown | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Moorestown | |
| Moorestown Friends | Timber Creek | Timber Creek 2- 3 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Morris Catholic | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Morris Hills | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Morris Knolls | Morris Knolls | Morris Knolls | ||
| Morristown | Morristown | Morristown | ||
| Morristown-Beard | Morristown-Beard | Morristown-Beard | ||
| Mount Olive | Mount Olive | Mount Olive | ||
| Mount St Dominic Academy | Mount St Dominic Academy | Mount St Dominic Academy | ||
| Mount St Mary | Mount St Mary | Mount St Mary | ||
| Mountain Lakes | Mountain Lakes | Mountain Lakes | ||
| Neptune | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| New Egypt | New Egypt | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | New Egypt | |
| New Providence | New Providence | New Providence | ||
| Newark Academy | Newark Academy | Newark Academy | ||
| North Brunswick | North Brunswick | North Brunswick | ||
| North Hunterdon | North Hunterdon | North Hunterdon | ||
| North Warren | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Northern Burlington | Northern Burlington | Northern Burlington 5- 1 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Northern Highlands | Northern Highlands | Northern Highlands | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| NV-Demarest | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| NV-Old Tappan | NV-Old Tappan | NV-Old Tappan | ||
| Oak Knoll School | Oak Knoll School | Oak Knoll School | ||
| Oakcrest | Timber Creek | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Timber Creek | |
| Ocean City | Ocean City | Ocean City | ||
| Ocean Township | Ocean Township | Ocean Township | ||
| Old Bridge | Old Bridge | Old Bridge | ||
| Our Lady of Mercy | Our Lady of Mercy | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Our Lady of Mercy | |
| Paramus Catholic | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Paramus HS | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Park Regional | Park Regional | Park Regional | ||
| Park Ridge-Emerson | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Parsippany | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Parsippany Hills | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Pascack Hills | Pascack Hills | Pascack Hills | ||
| Pascack Valley | Pascack Valley | Pascack Valley | ||
| Passaic County Tech | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Passaic Valley | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Paul VI | Paul VI | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Paul VI | |
| Peddie School | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Pennington School | Pennington School | Pennington School | ||
| Pennsauken | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 6)( 1- 7) | Timber Creek | |
| Pequannock Township | Pequannock Township | Pequannock Township | ||
| Phillipsburg | Phillipsburg | Phillipsburg | ||
| Pinelands Regional | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Pingry School | Pingry School | Pingry School | ||
| Point Pleasant Beach | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Point Pleasant Boro | Point Pleasant Boro | Point Pleasant Boro | ||
| Pompton Lakes | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Pope John XXIII | Pope John XXIII | Pope John XXIII | ||
| Princeton Day School | Princeton Day School | Princeton Day School | ||
| Princeton HS | Princeton HS | Princeton HS | ||
| Ramapo | Ramapo | Ramapo | ||
| Ramsey | Ramsey | Ramsey | ||
| Rancocas Valley | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Randolph | Randolph | Randolph | ||
| Ranney School | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Red Bank Catholic | Red Bank Catholic | Red Bank Catholic | ||
| Red Bank Regional | Red Bank Regional | Red Bank Regional | ||
| Ridge | Ridge | Ridge | ||
| Ridgewood | Ridgewood | Ridgewood | ||
| River Dell | River Dell | River Dell | ||
| Robbinsville | Robbinsville | Robbinsville | ||
| Roxbury | Roxbury | Roxbury | ||
| Rumson-Fair Haven | Rumson-Fair Haven | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Rumson-Fair Haven | |
| Rutgers Prep | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Rutherford | Rutherford | Rutherford | ||
| Saddle Brook/Garfield | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Saddle River Day School | Saddle River Day School | Saddle River Day School | ||
| Sayreville | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Scotch Plains-Fanwood | Scotch Plains-Fanwood | Scotch Plains-Fanwood | ||
| Seneca | Seneca | Seneca | ||
| Shawnee | Shawnee | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Shawnee | |
| Shore Regional | Shore Regional | Shore Regional 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Somerville | Somerville | Somerville | ||
| South Brunswick | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| South Plainfield | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Southern Regional | Southern Regional | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Southern Regional | |
| Sparta | Sparta | Sparta | ||
| St Elizabeth Academy | St Elizabeth Academy | St Elizabeth Academy | ||
| St John Vianney | St John Vianney | St John Vianney | ||
| St Joseph Hammonton | St Joseph Hammonton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Joseph Hammonton | |
| St Rose Belmar | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| St Thomas Aquinas | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Sterling | Sterling | Sterling | ||
| Stuart CDS | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Summit | Summit | Summit | ||
| Tenafly | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Toms River East | Toms River East | Toms River East | ||
| Toms River North | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Toms River South | Toms River South | Toms River South | ||
| Trinity Hall | Trinity Hall | Trinity Hall | ||
| Triton Regional | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Union Catholic | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Vernon Township | Vernon Township | Vernon Township | ||
| Verona | Verona | Verona | ||
| Villa Walsh Academy | Villa Walsh Academy | Villa Walsh Academy | ||
| Voorhees | Voorhees | Voorhees | ||
| Waldwick | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Wall Township | Wall Township | Wall Township | ||
| Warren Hills | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Washington Township | Washington Township | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Washington Township | |
| Watchung Hills | Watchung Hills | Watchung Hills | ||
| Wayne Hills | Wayne Hills | Wayne Hills | ||
| Wayne Valley | Wayne Valley | Wayne Valley | ||
| West Deptford | West Deptford | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | West Deptford | |
| West Essex | West Essex | West Essex | ||
| West Milford | West Milford | West Milford | ||
| West Morris Central | West Morris Central | West Morris Central | ||
| West Morris Mendham | West Morris Mendham | West Morris Mendham | ||
| West Orange | West Orange | West Orange | ||
| West Windsor-PB North | West Windsor-PB North | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | West Windsor-PB North | |
| West Windsor-PB South | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Westfield | Westfield | Westfield | ||
| Westwood | Westwood | Westwood | ||
| Wilberforce | Timber Creek | Timber Creek | ||
| Williamstown | Williamstown | Williamstown 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Winslow | Timber Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Timber Creek | |
| Woodstown | Woodstown | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Woodstown |
PowerWise = 76
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 18.07
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Delran ( 6-13, 81.7) 9-13 -18.21 17.51 -0.80 1.13 -21.46
0 H Highland Regio ( 5-13, 73.2) 16- 1 -26.71 9.00 -0.80 1.13 9.27
0 H Haddon Heights (10- 9, 84.7) 7-14 -15.20 20.52 -0.80 1.13 -18.06
0 A Gateway Region (16- 3, 83.3) 11-14 -16.60 19.11 0.80 1.13 -17.85
0 H Rancocas Valle ( 3-14, 79.7) 13- 9 -20.19 15.53 -0.80 1.13 16.64
0 A Collingswood (11- 7, 81.1) 10-11 -18.77 16.95 0.80 1.13 -20.29
0 A Highland Regio ( 5-13, 73.2) 16- 0 -26.71 9.00 0.80 1.13 11.07
0 H Gateway Region (16- 3, 83.3) 7- 9 -16.60 19.11 -0.80 1.13 -19.65
0 A Gloucester Cat ( 2- 9, 69.6) 17- 9 -30.33 5.39 0.80 1.13 6.99
0 H Triton Regiona ( 5-12, 77.4) 14- 5 -22.51 13.20 -0.80 1.13 14.01
0 A Sterling ( 7-11, 82.7) 13-16 -17.20 18.51 0.80 1.13 -18.52
0 A Maple Shade (11- 6, 79.7) 7- 6 -20.23 15.49 0.80 1.13 18.40
0 A Holy Cross (11- 5, 85.2) 8-10 -14.68 21.03 0.80 1.13 -15.68
0 H Collingswood (11- 7, 81.1) 6-12 -18.77 16.95 -0.80 1.13 -22.10
0 A Triton Regiona ( 5-12, 77.4) 15- 3 -22.51 13.20 0.80 1.13 15.81
0 A Seneca ( 9-10, 88.5) 9-20 -11.38 24.34 0.80 1.13 -11.95
------
-73.39
|
winning pts = 92.1782 losing points = -165.5682
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------