ThunderRidge
W-L: (14- 3) PR = 96.8338Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 308 H Valor Christian (17- 0, 99.9) 10-11 311 H Colorado Academy ( 7- 5, 95.2) 12-11 327 A Cherry Creek ( 6- 8, 89.1) 17- 9 401 H Kent Denver ( 9- 8, 92.3) 14-10 404 H Fairview (13- 4, 95.8) 13- 2 407 H Pine Creek ( 9- 7, 87.5) 16- 5 415 H Palmer Ridge ( 9- 7, 88.2) 21- 4 417 A Castle View ( 7- 8, 87.8) 20- 5 421 H Heritage (14- 3, 93.1) 18-15 424 A Rock Canyon ( 4-10, 85.3) 14- 0 429 H Regis Jesuit (14- 3, 97.1) 9- 8 501 H Evergreen (16- 2, 95.3) 10-11 503 H Mullen (10- 4, 82.6) 16- 4 507 H Northfield ( 9- 7, 88.5) 21-10 509 H Kent Denver ( 9- 8, 92.3) 16- 7 513 A Regis Jesuit (14- 3, 97.1) 15-14 516 H Valor Christian (17- 0, 99.9) 8-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
308 H Valor Christian 10-11 -1 -3 1.62
311 H Colorado Academy 12-11 1 2 -1.12
327 A Cherry Creek 17- 9 8 7 0.00
401 H Kent Denver 14-10 4 5 -0.99
404 H Fairview 13- 2 11 1 + 3.57
407 H Pine Creek 16- 5 11 10 0.00
415 H Palmer Ridge 21- 4 17 9 0.00
417 A Castle View 20- 5 15 9 0.00
421 H Heritage 18-15 3 4 -1.16
424 A Rock Canyon 14- 0 14 11 0.00
429 H Regis Jesuit 9- 8 1 0 0.79
501 H Evergreen 10-11 -1 2 - -2.97
503 H Mullen 16- 4 12 15 0.00
507 H Northfield 21-10 11 9 0.00
509 H Kent Denver 16- 7 9 5 0.01
513 A Regis Jesuit 15-14 1 -1 1.69
516 H Valor Christian 8-12 -4 -3 -1.38
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 H Evergreen 10-11 -1 2 - -2.97 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 H Fairview 13- 2 11 1 + 3.57 |
ThunderRidge Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Academy | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Arapahoe | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge 6- 0 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Aspen | ThunderRidge | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | ThunderRidge | |
| Battle Mountain | ThunderRidge | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | ThunderRidge | |
| Castle View | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ||
| Chatfield | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge 6- 2 vs 1- 7 | ||
| Cherokee Trail | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Cherry Creek | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ||
| Cheyenne Mountain | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Colorado Academy | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ||
| Columbine | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge 7- 1 vs 2- 6 | ||
| Conifer | ThunderRidge | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | ThunderRidge | |
| Dakota Ridge | ThunderRidge | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | ThunderRidge | |
| Denver East | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge 6- 1 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Denver North | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Denver South | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge 4- 2 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Durango | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ||
| Eagle Valley | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ||
| Eaglecrest | ThunderRidge | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | ThunderRidge | |
| Evergreen | Evergreen | Evergreen | ||
| Fairview | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ||
| Fruita Monument | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ||
| Golden | ThunderRidge | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | ThunderRidge | |
| Grand Junction | ThunderRidge | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | ThunderRidge | |
| Grandview | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Green Mountain | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Heritage | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ||
| Holy Family | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Horizon | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Kent Denver | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ||
| Legend | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ||
| Liberty | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Mead | ThunderRidge | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | ThunderRidge | |
| Montrose | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ||
| Mullen | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ||
| Northfield | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ||
| Palmer | ThunderRidge | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | ThunderRidge | |
| Palmer Ridge | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ||
| Pine Creek | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ||
| Poudre District | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge 5- 2 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Pueblo West | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Ralston Valley | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge 5- 2 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Rampart | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Regis Jesuit | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ||
| Roaring Fork | ThunderRidge | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | ThunderRidge | |
| Rock Canyon | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ||
| St Marys Academy | ThunderRidge | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | ThunderRidge | |
| Steamboat Springs | ThunderRidge | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | ThunderRidge | |
| Summit | ThunderRidge | ThunderRidge | ||
| Telluride | ThunderRidge | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | ThunderRidge | |
| Valor Christian | Valor Christian | Valor Christian |
PowerWise = 49
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.38
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Valor Christia (17- 0, 99.9) 10-11 -0.00 30.72 -0.45 0.90 -0.40
0 H Colorado Acade ( 7- 5, 95.2) 12-11 -4.74 25.98 -0.45 0.90 23.11
0 A Cherry Creek ( 6- 8, 89.1) 17- 9 -10.83 19.89 0.45 0.90 18.40
0 H Kent Denver ( 9- 8, 92.3) 14-10 -7.61 23.11 -0.45 0.90 20.51
0 H Fairview (13- 4, 95.8) 13- 2 -4.05 26.67 -0.45 0.90 23.73
0 H Pine Creek ( 9- 7, 87.5) 16- 5 -12.35 18.37 -0.45 0.90 16.22
0 H Palmer Ridge ( 9- 7, 88.2) 21- 4 -11.72 19.00 -0.45 0.90 16.79
0 A Castle View ( 7- 8, 87.8) 20- 5 -12.15 18.58 0.45 0.90 17.22
0 H Heritage (14- 3, 93.1) 18-15 -6.78 23.95 -0.45 0.90 21.27
0 A Rock Canyon ( 4-10, 85.3) 14- 0 -14.56 16.16 0.45 0.90 15.03
0 H Regis Jesuit (14- 3, 97.1) 9- 8 -2.83 27.90 -0.45 0.90 24.84
0 H Evergreen (16- 2, 95.3) 10-11 -4.59 26.13 -0.45 0.90 -4.56
0 H Mullen (10- 4, 82.6) 16- 4 -17.27 13.46 -0.45 0.90 11.77
0 H Northfield ( 9- 7, 88.5) 21-10 -11.35 19.37 -0.45 0.90 17.13
0 H Kent Denver ( 9- 8, 92.3) 16- 7 -7.61 23.11 -0.45 0.90 20.51
0 A Regis Jesuit (14- 3, 97.1) 15-14 -2.83 27.90 0.45 0.90 25.65
0 H Valor Christia (17- 0, 99.9) 8-12 -0.00 30.72 -0.45 0.90 -0.40
------
266.82
|
winning pts = 272.1878 losing points = -5.3692
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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