Tecumseh
W-L: ( 5-11) PR = 79.6162Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 320 A Walled Lake Northern ( 0- 8, 74.0) 16- 4 403 H Salem ( 5-15, 81.5) 4- 5 409 A Bedford ( 0- 9, 76.8) 10- 4 416 A Ann Arbor Huron ( 4-10, 80.0) 6- 7 417 H St Johns/Ovid-Elsie ( 8-10, 80.6) 6- 7 421 H Bedford ( 0- 9, 76.8) 5- 3 423 A Ann Arbor Pioneer ( 6- 9, 82.3) 4-11 428 H Saline (16- 3, 92.7) 2-14 501 H Lake Fenton ( 4- 8, 78.4) 11- 6 505 A Ann Arbor Skyline ( 5- 6, 82.6) 6- 7 507 H Dexter (10- 6, 84.6) 2-12 509 H Lansing Catholic-Waver (10- 8, 85.6) 7-16 509 A Lansing Catholic-Waver (10- 8, 85.6) 7-16 513 A Ann Arbor Huron ( 4-10, 80.0) 3-12 519 H Bedford ( 0- 9, 76.8) 9- 6 527 A Saline (16- 3, 92.7) 2-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
320 A Walled Lake Northern 16- 4 12 5 0.02
403 H Salem 4- 5 -1 -1 0.25
409 A Bedford 10- 4 6 2 + 2.82
416 A Ann Arbor Huron 6- 7 -1 -1 -0.03
417 H St Johns/Ovid-Elsie 6- 7 -1 0 -0.61
421 H Bedford 5- 3 2 3 -1.42
423 A Ann Arbor Pioneer 4-11 -7 -3 -1.75
428 H Saline 2-14 -12 -12 0.00
501 H Lake Fenton 11- 6 5 2 + 3.20
505 A Ann Arbor Skyline 6- 7 -1 -4 + 2.61
507 H Dexter 2-12 -10 -4 -0.67
509 H Lansing Catholic-Waver 7-16 -9 -5 0.00
509 A Lansing Catholic-Waver 7-16 -9 -7 0.00
513 A Ann Arbor Huron 3-12 -9 -1 -- -4.03
519 H Bedford 9- 6 3 3 -0.42
527 A Saline 2-15 -13 -14 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 513 A Ann Arbor Huron 3-12 -9 -1 -- -4.03 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 A Bedford 10- 4 6 2 + 2.82 501 H Lake Fenton 11- 6 5 2 + 3.20 505 A Ann Arbor Skyline 6- 7 -1 -4 + 2.61 |
Tecumseh Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ann Arbor Father Gabriel | Ann Arbor Father Gabriel | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Ann Arbor Father Gabriel | |
| Ann Arbor Huron | Ann Arbor Huron | Ann Arbor Huron | ||
| Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | ||
| Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | ||
| Avondale | Tecumseh | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Tecumseh | |
| Battle Creek Harper Cree | Battle Creek Harper Cree | Battle Creek Harper Cree | ||
| Bedford | Tecumseh | Tecumseh | ||
| Birmingham Unified | Birmingham Unified | Birmingham Unified | ||
| Bloomfield Hills | Bloomfield Hills | Bloomfield Hills | ||
| Brighton | Brighton | Brighton | ||
| Brighton B | Brighton B | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Brighton B | |
| Byron Center | Byron Center | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Byron Center | |
| Caledonia | Caledonia | Caledonia | ||
| Canton | Canton | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Canton | |
| Cass Tech | Tecumseh | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Tecumseh | |
| Catholic Central | Catholic Central | Catholic Central | ||
| Chippewa Valley | Tecumseh | Tecumseh | ||
| Clarkston | Clarkston | Clarkston | ||
| Comstock Park | Comstock Park | Comstock Park | ||
| Cranbrook Kingswood | Cranbrook Kingswood | Cranbrook Kingswood | ||
| Davison | Tecumseh | Tecumseh | ||
| Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Detroit Country Day | |
| DeWitt | DeWitt | DeWitt 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Dexter | Dexter | Dexter | ||
| Divine Child | Divine Child | Divine Child 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids | ||
| East Lansing | East Lansing | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | East Lansing | |
| Farmington | Farmington | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Farmington | |
| Fenton-Linden Co-Op | Fenton-Linden Co-Op | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Fenton-Linden Co-Op | |
| Flint Powers Catholic | Flint Powers Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Flint Powers Catholic | |
| Flushing | Tecumseh | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Tecumseh | |
| Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | ||
| Forest Hills Northern/Ea | Forest Hills Northern/Ea | Forest Hills Northern/Ea | ||
| Grand Blanc | Grand Blanc | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grand Blanc | |
| Grand Haven | Grand Haven | Grand Haven | ||
| Grand Ledge | Grand Ledge | Grand Ledge 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Grand Rapids Christian | Grand Rapids Christian | Grand Rapids Christian | ||
| Grandville | Grandville | Grandville | ||
| Grosse Pointe North | Grosse Pointe North | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Grosse Pointe North | |
| Grosse Pointe South | Grosse Pointe South | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Grosse Pointe South | |
| Hartland | Hartland | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hartland | |
| Haslett | Haslett | Haslett 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Henry Ford II | Tecumseh | Tecumseh | ||
| Holland West Ottawa | Tecumseh | Tecumseh | ||
| Holly-Brandon Co-Op | Tecumseh | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Tecumseh | |
| Holt | Holt | Holt 4- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Howell | Howell | Howell 2- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Hudsonville | Hudsonville | Hudsonville | ||
| Jenison | Tecumseh | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Tecumseh | |
| Kalamazoo Central | Tecumseh | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Tecumseh | |
| Lake Fenton | Tecumseh | Tecumseh | ||
| Lake Orion | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Lakeview | Tecumseh | Tecumseh | ||
| Lansing Catholic-Waverly | Lansing Catholic-Waverly | Lansing Catholic-Waverly | ||
| Lapeer | Tecumseh | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Tecumseh | |
| Livonia United | Livonia United | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Livonia United | |
| Lowell | Lowell | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lowell | |
| Marian | Marian | Marian | ||
| Mattawan | Mattawan | Mattawan 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Mercy | Mercy | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Mercy | |
| Midland | Midland | Midland | ||
| Mona Shores | Mona Shores | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Mona Shores | |
| Northview | Northview | Northview | ||
| Northville | Northville | Northville 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | ||
| Novi | Novi | Novi 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Okemos | Okemos | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Okemos | |
| Oxford | Oxford | Oxford | ||
| Plymouth | Plymouth | Plymouth 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Portage Northern | Portage Northern | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Portage Northern | |
| Reeths-Puffer | Reeths-Puffer | Reeths-Puffer | ||
| Rochester Adams | Rochester Adams | Rochester Adams | ||
| Rochester HS | Rochester HS | Rochester HS | ||
| Rochester Stoney Creek | Rochester Stoney Creek | Rochester Stoney Creek | ||
| Rockford | Rockford | Rockford | ||
| Royal Oak | Tecumseh | Tecumseh | ||
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | ||
| Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Salem | Salem | Salem | ||
| Saline | Saline | Saline | ||
| South Lyon United | South Lyon United | South Lyon United 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Spring Lake | Spring Lake | Spring Lake | ||
| St Catherine of Siena | Tecumseh | Tecumseh | ||
| St Johns/Ovid-Elsie | St Johns/Ovid-Elsie | St Johns/Ovid-Elsie | ||
| Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Swartz Creek | |
| Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | ||
| Troy | Troy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Troy | |
| Troy Athens | Troy Athens | Troy Athens | ||
| University Liggett | University Liggett | University Liggett | ||
| Utica Eisenhower | Utica Eisenhower | Utica Eisenhower | ||
| Walled Lake Northern | Tecumseh | Tecumseh | ||
| Warren Regina | Warren Regina | Warren Regina | ||
| Waterford United | Tecumseh | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Tecumseh | |
| West Bloomfield | West Bloomfield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | West Bloomfield | |
| White Lake Lakeland | White Lake Lakeland | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | White Lake Lakeland | |
| Zeeland East | Zeeland East | Zeeland East |
PowerWise = 18
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Walled Lake No ( 0- 8, 74.0) 16- 4 -25.88 3.31 0.62 1.01 3.95
0 H Salem ( 5-15, 81.5) 4- 5 -18.41 10.78 -0.62 1.01 -19.13
0 A Bedford ( 0- 9, 76.8) 10- 4 -23.08 6.11 0.62 1.01 6.77
0 A Ann Arbor Huro ( 4-10, 80.0) 6- 7 -19.93 9.26 0.62 1.01 -19.41
0 H St Johns/Ovid- ( 8-10, 80.6) 6- 7 -19.27 9.92 -0.62 1.01 -19.99
0 H Bedford ( 0- 9, 76.8) 5- 3 -23.08 6.11 -0.62 1.01 5.52
0 A Ann Arbor Pion ( 6- 9, 82.3) 4-11 -17.65 11.54 0.62 1.01 -17.12
0 H Saline (16- 3, 92.7) 2-14 -7.25 21.94 -0.62 1.01 -7.91
0 H Lake Fenton ( 4- 8, 78.4) 11- 6 -21.47 7.73 -0.62 1.01 7.14
0 A Ann Arbor Skyl ( 5- 6, 82.6) 6- 7 -17.30 11.89 0.62 1.01 -16.76
0 H Dexter (10- 6, 84.6) 2-12 -15.33 13.86 -0.62 1.01 -16.04
0 H Lansing Cathol (10- 8, 85.6) 7-16 -14.33 14.86 -0.62 1.01 -15.03
0 A Lansing Cathol (10- 8, 85.6) 7-16 -14.33 14.86 0.62 1.01 -13.78
0 A Ann Arbor Huro ( 4-10, 80.0) 3-12 -19.93 9.26 0.62 1.01 -19.41
0 H Bedford ( 0- 9, 76.8) 9- 6 -23.08 6.11 -0.62 1.01 5.52
0 A Saline (16- 3, 92.7) 2-15 -7.25 21.94 0.62 1.01 -6.66
------
-142.35
|
winning pts = 28.9009 losing points = -171.2486
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------