---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Tartan/North St Paul 1
  
Tartan/North St Paul  
W-L: ( 1-13) PR = 71.3667

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 414 A Visitation ( 7- 8, 79.7) 1-22 415 H St Paul Academy ( 6- 8, 75.2) 3-18 422 A Hill-Murray (10- 5, 89.7) 1-21 426 H Irondale ( 3-11, 78.7) 3-26 429 H Duluth Marshall ( 4- 6, 81.6) 3-20 430 A Osseo-Park Center ( 5- 9, 81.7) 1-16 502 H Mahtomedi ( 8- 6, 88.8) 1-22 506 A Simley ( 6- 7, 85.9) 1-21 508 H Sartell-Sauk Rapids ( 0-14, 67.2) 15- 3 509 H Hastings ( 3-11, 74.8) 6- 7 512 A St Paul Academy ( 6- 8, 75.2) 3-16 513 A St Paul/Two Rivers ( 6- 8, 79.1) 3-16 521 A White Bear Lake ( 5- 9, 87.4) 6-22 528 A Totino-Grace ( 8- 7, 85.5) 0-18

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Visitation              1-22     -21    -9           0.00
   415 H St Paul Academy         3-18     -15    -3          -1.73
   422 A Hill-Murray             1-21     -20   -19           0.00
   426 H Irondale                3-26     -23    -7           0.00
   429 H Duluth Marshall         3-20     -17   -10           0.00
   430 A Osseo-Park Center       1-16     -15   -11           0.00
   502 H Mahtomedi               1-22     -21   -17           0.00
   506 A Simley                  1-21     -20   -15           0.00
   508 H Sartell-Sauk Rapids    15- 3      12     5           0.24
   509 H Hastings                6- 7      -1    -3           1.88
   512 A St Paul Academy         3-16     -13    -4          -0.54
   513 A St Paul/Two Rivers      3-16     -13    -8           0.00
   521 A White Bear Lake         6-22     -16   -17           0.00
   528 A Totino-Grace            0-18     -18   -15           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Tartan/North St Paul Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Andover Andover   Andover
Anoka Anoka insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Anoka
Apple Valley Apple Valley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Apple Valley
Becker Becker tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Becker
Benilde-St Margarets Benilde-St Margarets   Benilde-St Margarets
Big Lake Big Lake tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Big Lake
Blaine Blaine Blaine   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Blake School Blake School insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Blake School
Bloomington Jefferson Bloomington Jefferson   Bloomington Jefferson
Bloomington Kennedy/Burn Tartan/North St Paul tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Tartan/North St Paul
Brainerd Brainerd tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Brainerd
Breck School Breck School Breck School   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Buffalo Buffalo   Buffalo
Centennial Centennial tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Centennial
Champlin Park Champlin Park insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Champlin Park
Chanhassen Chanhassen   Chanhassen
Chaska Chaska   Chaska
Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Chisago Lakes
Columbia Heights Tartan/North St Paul tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Tartan/North St Paul
Cretin-Derham Hall Cretin-Derham Hall Cretin-Derham Hall   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Delano/Rockford Delano/Rockford   Delano/Rockford
Duluth Co-Op Duluth Co-Op insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Duluth Co-Op
Duluth Marshall Duluth Marshall Duluth Marshall  
East Ridge East Ridge East Ridge   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Eastview/Eagan Eastview/Eagan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Eastview/Eagan
Eden Prairie Eden Prairie   Eden Prairie
Edina Edina insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Edina
Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Farmington Farmington insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Farmington
Forest Lake Forest Lake insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Forest Lake
Gentry/Mounds Park Acade Gentry/Mounds Park Acade insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Gentry/Mounds Park Acade
Grand Rapids-Greenway Grand Rapids-Greenway insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Grand Rapids-Greenway
Hastings Hastings Hastings  
Hermantown-Proctor Hermantown-Proctor tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Hermantown-Proctor
Hill-Murray Hill-Murray Hill-Murray  
Holy Angels Academy Holy Angels Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Holy Angels Academy
Holy Family Catholic Holy Family Catholic   Holy Family Catholic
Hopkins Hopkins insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hopkins
Hutchinson Hutchinson   Hutchinson
Irondale Irondale Irondale  
Lakeville North Lakeville North   Lakeville North
Lakeville South Lakeville South   Lakeville South
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mahtomedi  
Mankato Co-Op Mankato Co-Op   Mankato Co-Op
Maple Grove Maple Grove Maple Grove   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Minneapolis Co-Op Minneapolis Co-Op tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Minneapolis Co-Op
Minnetonka Minnetonka   Minnetonka
Monticello Monticello tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Monticello
Moorhead Moorhead   Moorhead
Mound Westonka Mound Westonka insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mound Westonka
Mounds View Mounds View Mounds View   2- 2 vs 0- 4
New Prague New Prague   New Prague
Northfield Northfield   Northfield
Orono Orono   Orono
Osseo-Park Center Osseo-Park Center Osseo-Park Center  
Owatonna Owatonna   Owatonna
Park of Cottage Grove Park of Cottage Grove Park of Cottage Grove   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Prior Lake Prior Lake   Prior Lake
Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co
Rochester Century Rochester Century   Rochester Century
Rochester JM/Lourdes Rochester JM/Lourdes   Rochester JM/Lourdes
Rochester Mayo Rochester Mayo insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Rochester Mayo
Rocori Rocori tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Rocori
Rogers Rogers Rogers   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Rosemount Rosemount insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rosemount
Roseville Roseville Roseville   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Sartell-Sauk Rapids Tartan/North St Paul Tartan/North St Paul  
Shakopee Shakopee   Shakopee
Simley Simley Simley  
Southwest Christian Southwest Christian   Southwest Christian
Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra   2- 2 vs 0- 4
St Cloud Area St Cloud Area tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Cloud Area
St Croix Prep St Croix Prep St Croix Prep   2- 2 vs 0- 4
St Louis Park St Louis Park St Louis Park   2- 1 vs 0- 3
St Michael-Albertville St Michael-Albertville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Michael-Albertville
St Paul Academy St Paul Academy St Paul Academy  
St Paul/Two Rivers St Paul/Two Rivers St Paul/Two Rivers  
Stillwater Stillwater Stillwater   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Totino-Grace Totino-Grace Totino-Grace  
Visitation Visitation Visitation  
Waconia Waconia insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Waconia
Wayzata Wayzata   Wayzata
White Bear Lake White Bear Lake White Bear Lake  
Woodbury Woodbury Woodbury   3- 1 vs 0- 4

PowerWise = 3


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.68

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Visitation      ( 7- 8, 79.7)     1-22      -20.23      12.83       0.59         1.05           -20.60
   0 H St Paul Academ  ( 6- 8, 75.2)     3-18      -24.67       8.39      -0.59         1.05           -26.49
   0 A Hill-Murray     (10- 5, 89.7)     1-21      -10.19      22.87       0.59         1.05           -10.07
   0 H Irondale        ( 3-11, 78.7)     3-26      -21.17      11.89      -0.59         1.05           -22.83
   0 H Duluth Marshal  ( 4- 6, 81.6)     3-20      -18.34      14.72      -0.59         1.05           -19.86
   0 A Osseo-Park Cen  ( 5- 9, 81.7)     1-16      -18.16      14.90       0.59         1.05           -18.42
   0 H Mahtomedi       ( 8- 6, 88.8)     1-22      -11.08      21.98      -0.59         1.05           -12.24
   0 A Simley          ( 6- 7, 85.9)     1-21      -13.97      19.09       0.59         1.05           -14.03
   0 H Sartell-Sauk R  ( 0-14, 67.2)    15- 3      -32.70       1.00      -0.59         1.05             0.43
   0 H Hastings        ( 3-11, 74.8)     6- 7      -25.06       8.00      -0.59         1.05           -26.91
   0 A St Paul Academ  ( 6- 8, 75.2)     3-16      -24.67       8.39       0.59         1.05           -25.25
   0 A St Paul/Two Ri  ( 6- 8, 79.1)     3-16      -20.80      12.26       0.59         1.05           -21.19
   0 A White Bear Lak  ( 5- 9, 87.4)     6-22      -12.45      20.61       0.59         1.05           -12.44
   0 A Totino-Grace    ( 8- 7, 85.5)     0-18      -14.42      18.63       0.59         1.05           -14.51
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -244.39

winning pts = 0.4277 losing points = -244.8192

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------