Tates Creek
W-L: ( 1-12) PR = 75.9243Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 314 H Bryan Station ( 7-10, 79.6) 4-11 318 H Great Crossing ( 3-11, 76.3) 6-10 320 H Lexington Catholic (10- 9, 82.3) 1-11 324 H Shelby County ( 5- 9, 79.8) 2-12 328 A Cooper ( 6- 8, 82.7) 4-13 402 A Paul Laurence Dunbar (14- 5, 84.7) 2-15 415 H Lafayette ( 6- 9, 80.5) 3-11 418 A Woodford County ( 5- 9, 79.9) 2-17 421 A Henry Clay (14- 6, 86.8) 5-16 423 A Frederick Douglass ( 8- 9, 80.4) 6- 5 505 A Collins (12- 7, 82.9) 2- 8 507 H Lexington Christian (12- 3, 81.4) 8- 9 509 N Lexington Catholic (10- 9, 82.3) 3-14
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
314 H Bryan Station 4-11 -7 -3 - -2.14
318 H Great Crossing 6-10 -4 0 -- -4.40
320 H Lexington Catholic 1-11 -10 -6 0.00
324 H Shelby County 2-12 -10 -3 -1.95
328 A Cooper 4-13 -9 -8 0.00
402 A Paul Laurence Dunbar 2-15 -13 -10 0.00
415 H Lafayette 3-11 -8 -4 -1.27
418 A Woodford County 2-17 -15 -5 -0.19
421 A Henry Clay 5-16 -11 -12 0.00
423 A Frederick Douglass 6- 5 1 -5 +++ 6.00
505 A Collins 2- 8 -6 -8 0.00
507 H Lexington Christian 8- 9 -1 -5 + 3.63
509 N Lexington Catholic 3-14 -11 -6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 H Great Crossing 6-10 -4 0 -- -4.40 314 H Bryan Station 4-11 -7 -3 - -2.14 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 423 A Frederick Douglass 6- 5 1 -5 +++ 6.00 507 H Lexington Christian 8- 9 -1 -5 + 3.63 |
Tates Creek Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson County | Anderson County | Anderson County | ||
| Assumption | Assumption | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Assumption | |
| Atherton | Atherton | Atherton 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Ballard | Ballard | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Ballard | |
| Bowling Green | Bowling Green | Bowling Green | ||
| Bryan Station | Bryan Station | Bryan Station | ||
| Central Hardin | Central Hardin | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Central Hardin | |
| Christian Academy | Christian Academy | Christian Academy 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Collins | Collins | Collins | ||
| Cooper | Cooper | Cooper | ||
| Dixie Heights | Tates Creek | tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) | Tates Creek | |
| DuPont Manual | DuPont Manual | DuPont Manual | ||
| Eastern | Eastern | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Eastern | |
| Fern Creek | Fern Creek | Fern Creek | ||
| Frederick Douglass | Tates Creek | Tates Creek | ||
| Great Crossing | Great Crossing | Great Crossing | ||
| Greenwood | Tates Creek | Tates Creek | ||
| Henry Clay | Henry Clay | Henry Clay | ||
| Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Kentucky Country Day | |
| Lafayette | Lafayette | Lafayette | ||
| Lexington Catholic | Lexington Catholic | Lexington Catholic | ||
| Lexington Christian | Lexington Christian | Lexington Christian | ||
| Louisville Collegiate | Louisville Collegiate | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Louisville Collegiate | |
| Male | Male | Male | ||
| Mercy Academy | Mercy Academy | Mercy Academy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| North Oldham | North Oldham | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | North Oldham | |
| Notre Dame Academy | Notre Dame Academy | Notre Dame Academy 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Oldham County | Oldham County | Oldham County 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Owensboro | Tates Creek | Tates Creek | ||
| Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Presentation Academy | Presentation Academy | Presentation Academy | ||
| Ryle | Ryle | tied - ( 1- 6) ( 1- 6) | Ryle | |
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Sayre School | Sayre School | Sayre School 9- 0 vs 1- 8 | ||
| Scott County | Scott County | tied - ( 1- 7) ( 1- 7) | Scott County | |
| Shelby County | Shelby County | Shelby County | ||
| South Oldham | South Oldham | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | South Oldham | |
| South Warren | South Warren | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | South Warren | |
| St Henry | St Henry | St Henry | ||
| Woodford County | Woodford County | Woodford County |
PowerWise = 4
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.61
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Bryan Station ( 7-10, 79.6) 4-11 -20.29 8.01 -0.82 1.05 -22.10
0 H Great Crossing ( 3-11, 76.3) 6-10 -23.56 4.74 -0.82 1.05 -25.52
0 H Lexington Cath (10- 9, 82.3) 1-11 -17.65 10.65 -0.82 1.05 -19.34
0 H Shelby County ( 5- 9, 79.8) 2-12 -20.10 8.19 -0.82 1.05 -21.91
0 A Cooper ( 6- 8, 82.7) 4-13 -17.24 11.05 0.82 1.05 -17.19
0 A Paul Laurence (14- 5, 84.7) 2-15 -15.19 13.10 0.82 1.05 -15.04
0 H Lafayette ( 6- 9, 80.5) 3-11 -19.42 8.87 -0.82 1.05 -21.19
0 A Woodford Count ( 5- 9, 79.9) 2-17 -19.99 8.31 0.82 1.05 -20.06
0 A Henry Clay (14- 6, 86.8) 5-16 -13.07 15.23 0.82 1.05 -12.82
0 A Frederick Doug ( 8- 9, 80.4) 6- 5 -19.50 8.79 0.82 1.05 10.07
0 A Collins (12- 7, 82.9) 2- 8 -17.04 11.26 0.82 1.05 -16.97
0 H Lexington Chri (12- 3, 81.4) 8- 9 -18.52 9.77 -0.82 1.05 -20.25
0 N Lexington Cath (10- 9, 82.3) 3-14 -17.65 10.65 -0.00 1.05 -18.48
------
-220.82
|
winning pts = 10.0669 losing points = -230.8875
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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