Swartz Creek
W-L: (16- 6) PR = 85.0219Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 320 A Howell ( 9-11, 84.2) 10- 9 321 H Flushing ( 5-11, 77.4) 17- 5 325 H Flint Powers Catholic ( 5- 6, 82.2) 17-11 327 H Lapeer ( 1- 8, 75.7) 11- 2 408 H Fenton-Linden Co-Op (11- 9, 82.6) 9- 3 411 A Lake Fenton ( 4- 8, 78.4) 9- 2 412 A Grand Ledge (14- 4, 89.8) 4-13 412 H Farmington ( 5-10, 82.8) 6- 7 412 H Farmington ( 5-10, 82.8) 5- 7 414 H Dexter (10- 6, 84.6) 5- 3 416 A Holly-Brandon Co-Op ( 3-12, 75.8) 7- 0 418 A Flushing ( 5-11, 77.4) 14- 4 421 A Davison ( 2-15, 78.2) 11- 3 423 H DeWitt ( 7-15, 84.8) 5- 6 429 H Lake Fenton ( 4- 8, 78.4) 10- 4 501 H Holly-Brandon Co-Op ( 3-12, 75.8) 18- 3 505 A Grand Ledge (14- 4, 89.8) 7-13 508 A Avondale ( 1-12, 72.2) 15- 2 512 H Grand Blanc ( 9-11, 84.4) 13-10 514 A Fenton-Linden Co-Op (11- 9, 82.6) 11- 2 515 A East Lansing ( 4-12, 83.8) 7- 6 521 A Grand Ledge (14- 4, 89.8) 5-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
320 A Howell 10- 9 1 0 0.82
321 H Flushing 17- 5 12 8 0.00
325 H Flint Powers Catholic 17-11 6 3 1.59
327 H Lapeer 11- 2 9 10 0.00
408 H Fenton-Linden Co-Op 9- 3 6 3 1.91
411 A Lake Fenton 9- 2 7 6 0.00
412 A Grand Ledge 4-13 -9 -5 0.00
412 H Farmington 6- 7 -1 3 - -3.86
412 H Farmington 5- 7 -2 3 -- -4.86
414 H Dexter 5- 3 2 1 0.92
416 A Holly-Brandon Co-Op 7- 0 7 9 0.00
418 A Flushing 14- 4 10 7 0.00
421 A Davison 11- 3 8 6 0.00
423 H DeWitt 5- 6 -1 1 -1.86
429 H Lake Fenton 10- 4 6 7 0.00
501 H Holly-Brandon Co-Op 18- 3 15 10 0.00
505 A Grand Ledge 7-13 -6 -5 0.00
508 A Avondale 15- 2 13 12 0.00
512 H Grand Blanc 13-10 3 1 1.80
514 A Fenton-Linden Co-Op 11- 2 9 2 + 3.15
515 A East Lansing 7- 6 1 1 0.38
521 A Grand Ledge 5-16 -11 -5 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 H Farmington 5- 7 -2 3 -- -4.86 412 H Farmington 6- 7 -1 3 - -3.86 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 514 A Fenton-Linden Co-Op 11- 2 9 2 + 3.15 |
Swartz Creek Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ann Arbor Father Gabriel | Swartz Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Swartz Creek | |
| Ann Arbor Huron | Swartz Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Swartz Creek | |
| Ann Arbor Pioneer | Swartz Creek | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Swartz Creek | |
| Ann Arbor Skyline | Swartz Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Swartz Creek | |
| Avondale | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Battle Creek Harper Cree | Battle Creek Harper Cree | Battle Creek Harper Cree | ||
| Bedford | Swartz Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Swartz Creek | |
| Birmingham Unified | Birmingham Unified | Birmingham Unified | ||
| Bloomfield Hills | Bloomfield Hills | Bloomfield Hills | ||
| Brighton | Brighton | Brighton | ||
| Brighton B | Swartz Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Swartz Creek | |
| Byron Center | Byron Center | Byron Center | ||
| Caledonia | Caledonia | Caledonia | ||
| Canton | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Cass Tech | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Catholic Central | Catholic Central | Catholic Central | ||
| Chippewa Valley | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Clarkston | Swartz Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Swartz Creek | |
| Comstock Park | Comstock Park | Comstock Park | ||
| Cranbrook Kingswood | Cranbrook Kingswood | Cranbrook Kingswood | ||
| Davison | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) | Detroit Country Day | |
| DeWitt | DeWitt | DeWitt | ||
| Dexter | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Divine Child | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 1 | ||
| East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids | ||
| East Lansing | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Farmington | Farmington | Farmington | ||
| Fenton-Linden Co-Op | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Flint Powers Catholic | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Flushing | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | ||
| Forest Hills Northern/Ea | Forest Hills Northern/Ea | Forest Hills Northern/Ea | ||
| Grand Blanc | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Grand Haven | Swartz Creek | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) | Swartz Creek | |
| Grand Ledge | Grand Ledge | Grand Ledge | ||
| Grand Rapids Christian | Grand Rapids Christian | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Grand Rapids Christian | |
| Grandville | Grandville | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Grandville | |
| Grosse Pointe North | Swartz Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Swartz Creek | |
| Grosse Pointe South | Grosse Pointe South | Grosse Pointe South | ||
| Hartland | Hartland | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 0) | Hartland | |
| Haslett | Haslett | Haslett 3- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Henry Ford II | Swartz Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Swartz Creek | |
| Holland West Ottawa | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Holly-Brandon Co-Op | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Holt | Holt | Holt 5- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Howell | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Hudsonville | Hudsonville | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hudsonville | |
| Jenison | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Kalamazoo Central | Swartz Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Swartz Creek | |
| Lake Fenton | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Lake Orion | Lake Orion | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Lake Orion | |
| Lakeview | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Lansing Catholic-Waverly | Lansing Catholic-Waverly | Lansing Catholic-Waverly 4- 1 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Lapeer | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Livonia United | Swartz Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Swartz Creek | |
| Lowell | Lowell | Lowell | ||
| Marian | Marian | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Marian | |
| Mattawan | Mattawan | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | Mattawan | |
| Mercy | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Midland | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek 4- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Mona Shores | Mona Shores | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Mona Shores | |
| Northview | Northview | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Northview | |
| Northville | Northville | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Northville | |
| Notre Dame Prep | Swartz Creek | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Swartz Creek | |
| Novi | Novi | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Novi | |
| Okemos | Okemos | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 2) | Okemos | |
| Oxford | Swartz Creek | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Swartz Creek | |
| Plymouth | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Portage Northern | Portage Northern | Portage Northern 3- 0 vs 1- 1 | ||
| Reeths-Puffer | Reeths-Puffer | Reeths-Puffer | ||
| Rochester Adams | Rochester Adams | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Rochester Adams | |
| Rochester HS | Swartz Creek | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) | Swartz Creek | |
| Rochester Stoney Creek | Rochester Stoney Creek | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Rochester Stoney Creek | |
| Rockford | Rockford | Rockford | ||
| Royal Oak | Swartz Creek | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Swartz Creek | |
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Sacred Heart Academy | |
| Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 6- 1)( 7- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Salem | Swartz Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Swartz Creek | |
| Saline | Saline | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Saline | |
| South Lyon United | South Lyon United | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | South Lyon United | |
| Spring Lake | Spring Lake | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Spring Lake | |
| St Catherine of Siena | Swartz Creek | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Swartz Creek | |
| St Johns/Ovid-Elsie | Swartz Creek | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 3) | Swartz Creek | |
| Tecumseh | Swartz Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Swartz Creek | |
| Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central | Traverse City Central 2- 0 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Troy | Troy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Troy | |
| Troy Athens | Troy Athens | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Troy Athens | |
| University Liggett | University Liggett | University Liggett | ||
| Utica Eisenhower | Utica Eisenhower | Utica Eisenhower | ||
| Walled Lake Northern | Swartz Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Swartz Creek | |
| Warren Regina | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek | ||
| Waterford United | Swartz Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 2) | Swartz Creek | |
| West Bloomfield | Swartz Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Swartz Creek | |
| White Lake Lakeland | White Lake Lakeland | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | White Lake Lakeland | |
| Zeeland East | Swartz Creek | Swartz Creek |
PowerWise = 46
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Howell ( 9-11, 84.2) 10- 9 -15.68 13.51 0.62 0.73 10.33
0 H Flushing ( 5-11, 77.4) 17- 5 -22.46 6.73 -0.62 0.73 4.47
0 H Flint Powers C ( 5- 6, 82.2) 17-11 -17.66 11.53 -0.62 0.73 7.97
0 H Lapeer ( 1- 8, 75.7) 11- 2 -24.24 4.95 -0.62 0.73 3.16
0 H Fenton-Linden (11- 9, 82.6) 9- 3 -17.34 11.85 -0.62 0.73 8.21
0 A Lake Fenton ( 4- 8, 78.4) 9- 2 -21.47 7.73 0.62 0.73 6.10
0 A Grand Ledge (14- 4, 89.8) 4-13 -10.13 19.06 0.62 0.73 -6.95
0 H Farmington ( 5-10, 82.8) 6- 7 -17.12 12.07 -0.62 0.73 -12.97
0 H Farmington ( 5-10, 82.8) 5- 7 -17.12 12.07 -0.62 0.73 -12.97
0 H Dexter (10- 6, 84.6) 5- 3 -15.33 13.86 -0.62 0.73 9.68
0 A Holly-Brandon ( 3-12, 75.8) 7- 0 -24.06 5.13 0.62 0.73 4.21
0 A Flushing ( 5-11, 77.4) 14- 4 -22.46 6.73 0.62 0.73 5.37
0 A Davison ( 2-15, 78.2) 11- 3 -21.68 7.51 0.62 0.73 5.94
0 H DeWitt ( 7-15, 84.8) 5- 6 -15.12 14.07 -0.62 0.73 -11.50
0 H Lake Fenton ( 4- 8, 78.4) 10- 4 -21.47 7.73 -0.62 0.73 5.19
0 H Holly-Brandon ( 3-12, 75.8) 18- 3 -24.06 5.13 -0.62 0.73 3.30
0 A Grand Ledge (14- 4, 89.8) 7-13 -10.13 19.06 0.62 0.73 -6.95
0 A Avondale ( 1-12, 72.2) 15- 2 -27.68 1.51 0.62 0.73 1.56
0 H Grand Blanc ( 9-11, 84.4) 13-10 -15.46 13.73 -0.62 0.73 9.58
0 A Fenton-Linden (11- 9, 82.6) 11- 2 -17.34 11.85 0.62 0.73 9.11
0 A East Lansing ( 4-12, 83.8) 7- 6 -16.12 13.08 0.62 0.73 10.01
0 A Grand Ledge (14- 4, 89.8) 5-16 -10.13 19.06 0.62 0.73 -6.95
------
45.91
|
winning pts = 104.2079 losing points = -58.2951
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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