Severna Park
W-L: (18- 2) PR = 94.9664Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 A John Carroll ( 6- 7, 95.3) 8- 7 321 H Crofton ( 7- 8, 87.2) 16- 7 325 H Marriotts Ridge (14- 4, 92.8) 14- 9 328 A Arundel ( 6- 7, 87.5) 7- 4 401 A Glenelg HS (16- 4, 93.6) 6- 5 404 H North County ( 4- 9, 82.0) 19- 5 407 H Archbishop Spalding (12- 5, 96.4) 10- 6 411 A Broadneck (14- 2, 93.8) 8- 7 414 A Mount de Sales ( 9- 5, 91.9) 12- 7 417 H St Marys ( 9- 8, 94.8) 7- 6 417 H Manchester Valley (19- 0, 99.9) 5-15 423 H South River (10- 4, 92.1) 5- 4 425 A Severn Run ( 7- 6, 75.1) 23- 1 429 A Southern ( 7- 9, 85.9) 13- 1 502 H Annapolis ( 8- 7, 83.6) 20- 3 509 H Crofton ( 7- 8, 87.2) 20- 5 512 H South River (10- 4, 92.1) 14-13 514 H Linganore ( 8- 6, 87.2) 14- 4 516 H Towson (13- 4, 92.4) 10- 6 521 H Marriotts Ridge (14- 4, 92.8) 10-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
317 A John Carroll 8- 7 1 -1 1.79
321 H Crofton 16- 7 9 8 0.00
325 H Marriotts Ridge 14- 9 5 3 + 2.37
328 A Arundel 7- 4 3 7 - -2.00
401 A Glenelg HS 6- 5 1 1 0.11
404 H North County 19- 5 14 13 0.00
407 H Archbishop Spalding 10- 6 4 -1 ++ 4.98
411 A Broadneck 8- 7 1 1 0.26
414 A Mount de Sales 12- 7 5 3 + 2.36
417 H St Marys 7- 6 1 1 0.40
417 H Manchester Valley 5-15 -10 -4 -0.52
423 H South River 5- 4 1 3 - -2.34
425 A Severn Run 23- 1 22 19 0.00
429 A Southern 13- 1 12 9 0.00
502 H Annapolis 20- 3 17 12 0.00
509 H Crofton 20- 5 15 8 0.00
512 H South River 14-13 1 3 - -2.34
514 H Linganore 14- 4 10 8 0.00
516 H Towson 10- 6 4 3 0.97
521 H Marriotts Ridge 10-11 -1 3 - -3.63
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 A Arundel 7- 4 3 7 - -2.00 423 H South River 5- 4 1 3 - -2.34 512 H South River 14-13 1 3 - -2.34 521 H Marriotts Ridge 10-11 -1 3 - -3.63 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 H Archbishop Spalding 10- 6 4 -1 ++ 4.98 325 H Marriotts Ridge 14- 9 5 3 + 2.37 414 A Mount de Sales 12- 7 5 3 + 2.36 |
Severna Park Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Christian | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Anne Arundel County | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Archbishop Spalding | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Brookewood SG | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Bryn Mawr SG | Severna Park | Severna Park 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Bullis School | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Calverton School | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Catholic High Baltimore | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Concordia Prep | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| DC International | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| EL Haynes Charter | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Elizabeth Seton | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| FCA | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Field School | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Friends School | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Garrison Forest | Severna Park | Severna Park 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Georgetown Day School | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Georgetown Visitation | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Glenelg Country School | Severna Park | Severna Park 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston Day School | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Holton-Arms School | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Holy Child | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Holy Cross | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Indian Creek | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Jackson-Reed | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Jemicy | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| John Carroll | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Key School | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| KIPP College Prep | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Maret School | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Maryvale Prep | |
| McDonogh School | McDonogh School | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | McDonogh School | |
| Mercy | Severna Park | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Severna Park | |
| Mount de Sales | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| National Cathedral | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Oldfields School | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Park School | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Rockbridge Academy | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Roland Park Country | Severna Park | Severna Park 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Salisbury School | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| School Without Walls | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Severn School | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Sidwell Friends | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| St James School | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| St Johns Catholic Prep | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| St Johns College | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| St Marys | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| St Marys Ryken | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| St Pauls SG | Severna Park | Severna Park 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| St Timothys | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| St Vincent Pallotti | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Stone Ridge School | |
| Sts Peter & Paul | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Tome School | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Washington Latin | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Worcester Prep | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Aberdeen | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Academy for College & Ca | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Annapolis | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Arundel | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Atholton | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Baltimore Polytechnic | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Bel Air | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Bladensburg | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Blair | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Blake | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Boonsboro | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Bowie | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Broadneck | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Brunswick | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Calvert | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Cambridge SD | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Carver A&T | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Catoctin | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Catonsville | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Severna Park | |
| Centennial | Severna Park | Severna Park 4- 1 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Central PG | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Century | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Severna Park | |
| CH Flowers | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Chesapeake AA | Severna Park | Severna Park 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Chopticon | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| City College | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Clarksburg | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| CM Wright | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Severna Park | |
| CMIT North | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Crofton | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Damascus | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Dr Henry Wise | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Dulaney | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Dundalk | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| DuVal | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Eastern Technical | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Easton | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Edgewood | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Einstein | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Elkton | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Fallston | Severna Park | Severna Park 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Severna Park | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Franklin | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Frederick | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Frederick Douglass PG | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Gaithersburg | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Glen Burnie | Severna Park | Severna Park 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Glenelg HS | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Great Mills | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Guilford Park | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Gwynn Park | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Hammond | Severna Park | Severna Park 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Harford Tech | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Havre De Grace | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Hereford | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Severna Park | |
| Howard | Severna Park | Severna Park 4- 1 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Huntingtown | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| JM Bennett | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Kennedy | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Kent County | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Kent Island | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Kenwood | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| La Plata | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Lackey | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Lansdowne | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Laurel | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Leonardtown | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) | Severna Park | |
| Liberty | Severna Park | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Linganore | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Loch Raven | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Long Reach | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Magruder | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Meade | Severna Park | Severna Park 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Middletown | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Severna Park | |
| Milford Mill | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| MJ McDonough | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Mount Hebron | Severna Park | Severna Park 4- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| New Town | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| North Caroline | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| North County | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| North Dorchester | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| North East Cecil | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| North Hagerstown | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| North Harford | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| North Point | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Northeast | Severna Park | Severna Park 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Northern Calvert | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Northwest | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Northwestern PG | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Northwood | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Oakdale | Severna Park | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Oakland Mills | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Old Mill | Severna Park | Severna Park 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Overlea | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Owings Mills | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Oxon Hill | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Paint Branch | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Parkdale | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Parkside | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Parkville | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Patapsco | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Patterson Mill | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Patuxent | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Perry Hall | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Perryville | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Pikesville | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Poolesville | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Queen Annes County | Severna Park | Severna Park 2- 1 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Quince Orchard | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Randallstown | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Randallstown | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Reservoir | Severna Park | Severna Park 3- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Rising Sun | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| River Hill | Severna Park | Severna Park 4- 1 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Rockville | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Seneca Valley | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Severn Run | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Sherwood | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Smithsburg | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| South Carroll | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 2) | Severna Park | |
| South Hagerstown | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| South River | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Southern | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Sparrows Point | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Springbrook | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| St Charles | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Suitland | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Thomas Stone | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Towson | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Tuscarora | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Urbana | Severna Park | Severna Park 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Walkersville | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Walter Johnson | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Watkins Mill | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Western Baltimore | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Western STES | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Westlake | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Westminster | Severna Park | Severna Park 6- 2 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Wheaton | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Whitman | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Wicomico | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Wilde Lake | Severna Park | Severna Park 3- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Winston Churchill | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Winters Mill | Severna Park | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Severna Park | |
| Woodlawn | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Wootton | Severna Park | Severna Park |
PowerWise = 216
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A John Carroll ( 6- 7, 95.3) 8- 7 -4.59 33.33 0.45 0.60 20.21
0 H Crofton ( 7- 8, 87.2) 16- 7 -12.70 25.22 -0.45 0.60 14.82
0 H Marriotts Ridg (14- 4, 92.8) 14- 9 -7.12 30.80 -0.45 0.60 18.16
0 A Arundel ( 6- 7, 87.5) 7- 4 -12.41 25.51 0.45 0.60 15.53
0 A Glenelg HS (16- 4, 93.6) 6- 5 -6.27 31.65 0.45 0.60 19.20
0 H North County ( 4- 9, 82.0) 19- 5 -17.88 20.04 -0.45 0.60 11.72
0 H Archbishop Spa (12- 5, 96.4) 10- 6 -3.50 34.42 -0.45 0.60 20.32
0 A Broadneck (14- 2, 93.8) 8- 7 -6.12 31.80 0.45 0.60 19.29
0 A Mount de Sales ( 9- 5, 91.9) 12- 7 -8.03 29.89 0.45 0.60 18.15
0 H St Marys ( 9- 8, 94.8) 7- 6 -5.09 32.83 -0.45 0.60 19.37
0 H Manchester Val (19- 0, 99.9) 5-15 -0.00 37.92 -0.45 0.60 -0.27
0 H South River (10- 4, 92.1) 5- 4 -7.83 30.09 -0.45 0.60 17.73
0 A Severn Run ( 7- 6, 75.1) 23- 1 -24.80 13.12 0.45 0.60 8.12
0 A Southern ( 7- 9, 85.9) 13- 1 -13.98 23.94 0.45 0.60 14.59
0 H Annapolis ( 8- 7, 83.6) 20- 3 -16.27 21.65 -0.45 0.60 12.68
0 H Crofton ( 7- 8, 87.2) 20- 5 -12.70 25.22 -0.45 0.60 14.82
0 H South River (10- 4, 92.1) 14-13 -7.83 30.09 -0.45 0.60 17.73
0 H Linganore ( 8- 6, 87.2) 14- 4 -12.69 25.23 -0.45 0.60 14.82
0 H Towson (13- 4, 92.4) 10- 6 -7.51 30.41 -0.45 0.60 17.92
0 H Marriotts Ridg (14- 4, 92.8) 10-11 -7.12 30.80 -0.45 0.60 -4.53
------
290.39
|
winning pts = 295.1847 losing points = -4.7961
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------