---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:41 PDT

safe3step girls Summit 1
  
Summit                
W-L: ( 4-12) PR = 75.5379

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 307 A Pueblo West ( 1-13, 71.9) 7- 5 311 H Eagle Valley ( 0-14, 69.2) 14- 1 313 A Aspen (11- 6, 86.3) 3-23 319 H Aspen (11- 6, 86.3) 7-23 321 A Battle Mountain (13- 5, 90.0) 1-21 325 A Steamboat Springs (11- 5, 87.9) 2-15 327 A Dakota Ridge ( 9- 7, 83.3) 5-16 329 H Conifer ( 3-10, 78.4) 11-13 402 H Roaring Fork (12- 5, 87.0) 4-17 403 A Eagle Valley ( 0-14, 69.2) 10- 5 408 H Battle Mountain (13- 5, 90.0) 2-28 412 A Montrose ( 2-12, 71.6) 13- 3 416 A Holy Family ( 9- 6, 80.9) 3-16 417 H Steamboat Springs (11- 5, 87.9) 2-15 429 A Roaring Fork (12- 5, 87.0) 4-20 506 A Cheyenne Mountain ( 9- 7, 85.3) 7-17

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Pueblo West             7- 5       2     3          -1.19
   311 H Eagle Valley           14- 1      13     7           0.00
   313 A Aspen                   3-23     -20   -11           0.00
   319 H Aspen                   7-23     -16   -10           0.00
   321 A Battle Mountain         1-21     -20   -15           0.00
   325 A Steamboat Springs       2-15     -13   -13           0.00
   327 A Dakota Ridge            5-16     -11    -8           0.00
   329 H Conifer                11-13      -2    -2           0.43
   402 H Roaring Fork            4-17     -13   -11           0.00
   403 A Eagle Valley           10- 5       5     6           0.00
   408 H Battle Mountain         2-28     -26   -14           0.00
   412 A Montrose               13- 3      10     4           1.49
   416 A Holy Family             3-16     -13    -6           0.00
   417 H Steamboat Springs       2-15     -13   -12           0.00
   429 A Roaring Fork            4-20     -16   -12           0.00
   506 A Cheyenne Mountain       7-17     -10   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Summit Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Academy Air Academy insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Air Academy
Arapahoe Arapahoe tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Arapahoe
Aspen Aspen Aspen  
Battle Mountain Battle Mountain Battle Mountain  
Castle View Castle View insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Castle View
Chatfield Chatfield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Chatfield
Cherokee Trail Cherokee Trail insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cherokee Trail
Cherry Creek Cherry Creek   Cherry Creek
Cheyenne Mountain Cheyenne Mountain Cheyenne Mountain  
Colorado Academy Colorado Academy   Colorado Academy
Columbine Columbine insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Columbine
Conifer Conifer Conifer  
Dakota Ridge Dakota Ridge Dakota Ridge  
Denver East Denver East tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Denver East
Denver North Summit tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Summit
Denver South Denver South   Denver South
Durango Durango tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Durango
Eagle Valley Summit Summit  
Eaglecrest Eaglecrest tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Eaglecrest
Evergreen Evergreen Evergreen   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Fairview Fairview   Fairview
Fruita Monument Fruita Monument insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3) Fruita Monument
Golden Golden Golden   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Grand Junction Grand Junction tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) Grand Junction
Grandview Grandview tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Grandview
Green Mountain Green Mountain Green Mountain   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
Holy Family Holy Family Holy Family  
Horizon Horizon insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Horizon
Kent Denver Kent Denver   Kent Denver
Legend Legend   Legend
Liberty Summit tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Summit
Mead Mead Mead   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Montrose Summit Summit  
Mullen Mullen insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Mullen
Northfield Northfield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northfield
Palmer Summit insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Summit
Palmer Ridge Palmer Ridge insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Palmer Ridge
Pine Creek Pine Creek Pine Creek   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Poudre District Poudre District insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Poudre District
Pueblo West Summit Summit  
Ralston Valley Ralston Valley insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ralston Valley
Rampart Rampart tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Rampart
Regis Jesuit Regis Jesuit   Regis Jesuit
Roaring Fork Roaring Fork Roaring Fork  
Rock Canyon Rock Canyon   Rock Canyon
St Marys Academy St Marys Academy tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) St Marys Academy
Steamboat Springs Steamboat Springs Steamboat Springs  
Telluride Telluride tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Telluride
ThunderRidge ThunderRidge   ThunderRidge
Valor Christian Valor Christian   Valor Christian

PowerWise = 6


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.38

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Pueblo West     ( 1-13, 71.9)     7- 5      -28.00       2.72       0.45         0.96             3.05
   0 H Eagle Valley    ( 0-14, 69.2)    14- 1      -30.72       1.00      -0.45         0.96             0.53
   0 A Aspen           (11- 6, 86.3)     3-23      -13.56      17.16       0.45         0.96           -12.61
   0 H Aspen           (11- 6, 86.3)     7-23      -13.56      17.16      -0.45         0.96           -13.47
   0 A Battle Mountai  (13- 5, 90.0)     1-21       -9.94      20.78       0.45         0.96            -9.13
   0 A Steamboat Spri  (11- 5, 87.9)     2-15      -11.99      18.73       0.45         0.96           -11.10
   0 A Dakota Ridge    ( 9- 7, 83.3)     5-16      -16.59      14.13       0.45         0.96           -15.52
   0 H Conifer         ( 3-10, 78.4)    11-13      -21.49       9.24      -0.45         0.96           -21.09
   0 H Roaring Fork    (12- 5, 87.0)     4-17      -12.89      17.83      -0.45         0.96           -12.83
   0 A Eagle Valley    ( 0-14, 69.2)    10- 5      -30.72       1.00       0.45         0.96             1.39
   0 H Battle Mountai  (13- 5, 90.0)     2-28       -9.94      20.78      -0.45         0.96            -9.99
   0 A Montrose        ( 2-12, 71.6)    13- 3      -28.32       2.40       0.45         0.96             2.74
   0 A Holy Family     ( 9- 6, 80.9)     3-16      -19.01      11.71       0.45         0.96           -17.85
   0 H Steamboat Spri  (11- 5, 87.9)     2-15      -11.99      18.73      -0.45         0.96           -11.96
   0 A Roaring Fork    (12- 5, 87.0)     4-20      -12.89      17.83       0.45         0.96           -11.97
   0 A Cheyenne Mount  ( 9- 7, 85.3)     7-17      -14.61      16.11       0.45         0.96           -13.62
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -153.44

winning pts = 7.7096 losing points = -161.1464

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------