---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:42 PDT

safe3step girls Stratford-Bunnell 1
  
Stratford-Bunnell     
W-L: ( 3-13) PR = 70.8549

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Foran (10- 7, 81.1) 2-16 408 H Newtown (13- 8, 87.9) 3-16 410 A Bethel ( 9- 9, 81.1) 3-19 412 A Shelton ( 6-10, 76.3) 2-16 415 A Pomperaug ( 5-12, 80.5) 3-14 419 A Immaculate Heart ( 0-16, 66.9) 15- 8 422 H Brookfield (11- 7, 82.4) 4-14 424 H Immaculate Heart ( 0-16, 66.9) 7- 5 429 H Masuk (16- 5, 89.0) 4-18 501 H North Haven ( 6-10, 76.2) 5-15 506 H Notre Dame Fairfield ( 2-14, 68.6) 17-11 508 A Weston (12- 8, 83.7) 4-18 510 A Joel Barlow ( 9-10, 82.3) 2-21 513 A New Milford ( 3-13, 74.1) 3-12 515 A New Fairfield (21- 1, 91.1) 1-20 517 H West Haven ( 2-14, 72.9) 8- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Foran                   2-16     -14   -10           0.00
   408 H Newtown                 3-16     -13   -16           0.00
   410 A Bethel                  3-19     -16   -11           0.00
   412 A Shelton                 2-16     -14    -6           0.00
   415 A Pomperaug               3-14     -11   -10           0.00
   419 A Immaculate Heart       15- 8       7     3           1.74
   422 H Brookfield              4-14     -10   -11           0.00
   424 H Immaculate Heart        7- 5       2     5    -     -2.71
   429 H Masuk                   4-18     -14   -17           0.00
   501 H North Haven             5-15     -10    -5          -0.37
   506 H Notre Dame Fairfield   17-11       6     3    +      2.06
   508 A Weston                  4-18     -14   -14           0.00
   510 A Joel Barlow             2-21     -19   -12           0.00
   513 A New Milford             3-12      -9    -4          -1.04
   515 A New Fairfield           1-20     -19   -21           0.00
   517 H West Haven              8- 9      -1    -1           0.30

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Immaculate Heart        7- 5       2     5    -     -2.71

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 H Notre Dame Fairfield   17-11       6     3    +      2.06

Stratford-Bunnell Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional Amity Regional   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Avon HS Avon HS   Avon HS
Bacon/East Hampton Bacon/East Hampton   Bacon/East Hampton
Berlin Berlin insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Berlin
Bethel Bethel Bethel  
Branford Branford Branford   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon Brien McMahon   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Bristol Central Stratford-Bunnell   Stratford-Bunnell
Bristol Eastern Bristol Eastern tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Bristol Eastern
Brookfield Brookfield Brookfield  
Canton Canton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Canton
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Conard Conard insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Conard
Cromwell Cromwell   Cromwell
Danbury Danbury insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Danbury
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 1) Daniel Hand
Darien Darien   Darien
East Catholic East Catholic tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) East Catholic
East Lyme East Lyme East Lyme   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Ellington Ellington   Ellington
Enfield Enfield   Enfield
EO Smith EO Smith   EO Smith
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Farmington Farmington   Farmington
Fitch Stratford-Bunnell   Stratford-Bunnell
Foran Foran Foran  
Glastonbury Glastonbury tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Glastonbury
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial   Granby Memorial
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   Greenwich HS
Griswold-Norwich Tech Stratford-Bunnell   Stratford-Bunnell
Guilford Guilford Guilford   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth   Haddam-Killingworth
Hall Hall   Hall
Hamden Hamden Hamden   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Housatonic Regional Housatonic Regional tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Housatonic Regional
Immaculate Heart Stratford-Bunnell Stratford-Bunnell  
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow Joel Barlow  
Jonathan Law Jonathan Law tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) Jonathan Law
Killingly Stratford-Bunnell   Stratford-Bunnell
Lakeview United Stratford-Bunnell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Stratford-Bunnell
Lauralton Hall Lauralton Hall insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Lauralton Hall
Ledyard Ledyard   Ledyard
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   Lewis Mills
Lyman Hall Lyman Hall Lyman Hall   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Masuk Masuk Masuk  
Mercy Mercy Mercy   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Middletown-Coginchaug Middletown-Coginchaug   Middletown-Coginchaug
Montville Montville   Montville
Morgan School Morgan School   Morgan School
New Canaan New Canaan   New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield New Fairfield  
New London/St Bernards New London/St Bernards   New London/St Bernards
New Milford New Milford New Milford  
Newington Newington   Newington
Newtown Newtown Newtown  
North Branford North Branford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Branford
North Haven North Haven North Haven  
Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic   Northwest Catholic
Norwalk Norwalk Norwalk   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy   Norwich Free Academy
Notre Dame Fairfield Stratford-Bunnell Stratford-Bunnell  
Old Lyme Old Lyme   Old Lyme
Old Saybrook Old Saybrook   Old Saybrook
Pomperaug Pomperaug Pomperaug  
RHAM RHAM   RHAM
Ridgefield Ridgefield Ridgefield   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Rockville Rockville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rockville
Rocky Hill Rocky Hill   Rocky Hill
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Sheehan Sheehan Sheehan   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Shelton Shelton Shelton  
Simsbury Simsbury insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Simsbury
Somers Somers   Somers
South Windsor South Windsor   South Windsor
Southington Southington insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Southington
St Joseph St Joseph insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) St Joseph
St Paul Catholic Stratford-Bunnell   Stratford-Bunnell
Stamford Stamford tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Stamford
Staples Staples Staples   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Stonington Stonington   Stonington
Suffield HS Suffield HS insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Suffield HS
Tolland Tolland   Tolland
Trumbull Trumbull Trumbull   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Valley Regional Valley Regional   Valley Regional
Waterford Waterford   Waterford
Watertown Watertown tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Watertown
West Haven West Haven West Haven  
Westhill Westhill Westhill   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Weston Weston Weston  
Wethersfield Wethersfield   Wethersfield
Wheeler Wheeler   Wheeler
Wilton Wilton   Wilton
Windsor Stratford-Bunnell   Stratford-Bunnell
Wolcott Wolcott   Wolcott
Woodstock Academy Woodstock Academy   Woodstock Academy

PowerWise = 9


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Foran           (10- 7, 81.1)     2-16      -18.79      16.01      -0.73         1.09           -21.36
   0 H Newtown         (13- 8, 87.9)     3-16      -12.01      22.80      -0.73         1.09           -13.94
   0 A Bethel          ( 9- 9, 81.1)     3-19      -18.77      16.04       0.73         1.09           -19.74
   0 A Shelton         ( 6-10, 76.3)     2-16      -23.55      11.26       0.73         1.09           -24.97
   0 A Pomperaug       ( 5-12, 80.5)     3-14      -19.38      15.43       0.73         1.09           -20.41
   0 A Immaculate Hea  ( 0-16, 66.9)    15- 8      -33.03       1.78       0.73         1.09             2.74
   0 H Brookfield      (11- 7, 82.4)     4-14      -17.50      17.31      -0.73         1.09           -19.94
   0 H Immaculate Hea  ( 0-16, 66.9)     7- 5      -33.03       1.78      -0.73         1.09             1.15
   0 H Masuk           (16- 5, 89.0)     4-18      -10.87      23.94      -0.73         1.09           -12.68
   0 H North Haven     ( 6-10, 76.2)     5-15      -23.69      11.12      -0.73         1.09           -26.72
   0 H Notre Dame Fai  ( 2-14, 68.6)    17-11      -31.25       3.55      -0.73         1.09             3.09
   0 A Weston          (12- 8, 83.7)     4-18      -16.24      18.57       0.73         1.09           -16.98
   0 A Joel Barlow     ( 9-10, 82.3)     2-21      -17.57      17.24       0.73         1.09           -18.43
   0 A New Milford     ( 3-13, 74.1)     3-12      -25.81       9.00       0.73         1.09           -27.44
   0 A New Fairfield   (21- 1, 91.1)     1-20       -8.80      26.01       0.73         1.09            -8.83
   0 H West Haven      ( 2-14, 72.9)     8- 9      -27.02       7.79      -0.73         1.09           -30.35
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -254.80

winning pts = 6.9853 losing points = -261.7881

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------