---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls St Paul/Two Rivers 1
  
St Paul/Two Rivers    
W-L: ( 6- 8) PR = 79.1042

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 411 H Duluth Marshall ( 4- 6, 81.6) 5- 9 415 H Waconia ( 2-12, 77.9) 13- 8 421 A Breck School ( 6- 8, 84.4) 5-13 422 A Hastings ( 3-11, 74.8) 17- 7 425 H Hill-Murray (10- 5, 89.7) 4-17 429 A Columbia Heights ( 0-11, 66.8) 17- 5 506 H Mahtomedi ( 8- 6, 88.8) 4-16 507 A Park of Cottage Grove (18- 1, 94.3) 3-16 509 A Simley ( 6- 7, 85.9) 4-18 513 H Tartan/North St Paul ( 1-13, 71.4) 16- 3 515 H St Louis Park ( 6- 9, 83.9) 7-22 522 H St Paul Academy ( 6- 8, 75.2) 13- 7 527 A St Paul Academy ( 6- 8, 75.2) 16-15 529 A Park of Cottage Grove (18- 1, 94.3) 1-18

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Duluth Marshall         5- 9      -4    -2    -     -2.14
   415 H Waconia                13- 8       5     2    +      3.24
   421 A Breck School            5-13      -8    -6           0.00
   422 A Hastings               17- 7      10     4           1.32
   425 H Hill-Murray             4-17     -13   -10           0.00
   429 A Columbia Heights       17- 5      12    12           0.00
   506 H Mahtomedi               4-16     -12    -9           0.00
   507 A Park of Cottage Grove   3-16     -13   -16           0.00
   509 A Simley                  4-18     -14    -7           0.00
   513 H Tartan/North St Paul   16- 3      13     8           0.00
   515 H St Louis Park           7-22     -15    -4          -0.75
   522 H St Paul Academy        13- 7       6     4           0.53
   527 A St Paul Academy        16-15       1     3    -     -2.28
   529 A Park of Cottage Grove   1-18     -17   -16           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Duluth Marshall         5- 9      -4    -2    -     -2.14
   527 A St Paul Academy        16-15       1     3    -     -2.28

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Waconia                13- 8       5     2    +      3.24

St Paul/Two Rivers Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Andover Andover insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Andover
Anoka Anoka   Anoka
Apple Valley St Paul/Two Rivers tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Paul/Two Rivers
Becker St Paul/Two Rivers   St Paul/Two Rivers
Benilde-St Margarets Benilde-St Margarets insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Benilde-St Margarets
Big Lake St Paul/Two Rivers   St Paul/Two Rivers
Blaine Blaine insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Blaine
Blake School Blake School insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Blake School
Bloomington Jefferson Bloomington Jefferson insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Bloomington Jefferson
Bloomington Kennedy/Burn St Paul/Two Rivers insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) St Paul/Two Rivers
Brainerd Brainerd   Brainerd
Breck School Breck School Breck School  
Buffalo Buffalo   Buffalo
Centennial Centennial tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Centennial
Champlin Park Champlin Park insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Champlin Park
Chanhassen Chanhassen insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Chanhassen
Chaska Chaska insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Chaska
Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Columbia Heights St Paul/Two Rivers St Paul/Two Rivers  
Cretin-Derham Hall Cretin-Derham Hall insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Cretin-Derham Hall
Delano/Rockford Delano/Rockford insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Delano/Rockford
Duluth Co-Op Duluth Co-Op insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Duluth Co-Op
Duluth Marshall Duluth Marshall Duluth Marshall  
East Ridge East Ridge East Ridge   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Eastview/Eagan Eastview/Eagan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Eastview/Eagan
Eden Prairie Eden Prairie   Eden Prairie
Edina Edina   Edina
Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Elk River/Zimmerman
Farmington Farmington insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Farmington
Forest Lake Forest Lake tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Forest Lake
Gentry/Mounds Park Acade Gentry/Mounds Park Acade Gentry/Mounds Park Acade   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Grand Rapids-Greenway Grand Rapids-Greenway insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Grand Rapids-Greenway
Hastings St Paul/Two Rivers St Paul/Two Rivers  
Hermantown-Proctor Hermantown-Proctor tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Hermantown-Proctor
Hill-Murray Hill-Murray Hill-Murray  
Holy Angels Academy Holy Angels Academy tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Holy Angels Academy
Holy Family Catholic Holy Family Catholic tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holy Family Catholic
Hopkins Hopkins Hopkins   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Hutchinson Hutchinson tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hutchinson
Irondale St Paul/Two Rivers tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) St Paul/Two Rivers
Lakeville North Lakeville North tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lakeville North
Lakeville South Lakeville South tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lakeville South
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mahtomedi  
Mankato Co-Op St Paul/Two Rivers   St Paul/Two Rivers
Maple Grove Maple Grove   Maple Grove
Minneapolis Co-Op St Paul/Two Rivers St Paul/Two Rivers   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Minnetonka Minnetonka   Minnetonka
Monticello Monticello   Monticello
Moorhead Moorhead   Moorhead
Mound Westonka Mound Westonka tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Mound Westonka
Mounds View Mounds View tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mounds View
New Prague New Prague insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) New Prague
Northfield St Paul/Two Rivers   St Paul/Two Rivers
Orono Orono insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Orono
Osseo-Park Center Osseo-Park Center tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Osseo-Park Center
Owatonna Owatonna   Owatonna
Park of Cottage Grove Park of Cottage Grove Park of Cottage Grove  
Prior Lake Prior Lake   Prior Lake
Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co
Rochester Century Rochester Century   Rochester Century
Rochester JM/Lourdes St Paul/Two Rivers   St Paul/Two Rivers
Rochester Mayo St Paul/Two Rivers tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Paul/Two Rivers
Rocori St Paul/Two Rivers   St Paul/Two Rivers
Rogers Rogers   Rogers
Rosemount Rosemount insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rosemount
Roseville Roseville Roseville   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Sartell-Sauk Rapids St Paul/Two Rivers insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Paul/Two Rivers
Shakopee Shakopee   Shakopee
Simley Simley Simley  
Southwest Christian Southwest Christian   Southwest Christian
Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra
St Cloud Area St Paul/Two Rivers   St Paul/Two Rivers
St Croix Prep St Croix Prep insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) St Croix Prep
St Louis Park St Louis Park St Louis Park  
St Michael-Albertville St Michael-Albertville   St Michael-Albertville
St Paul Academy St Paul/Two Rivers St Paul/Two Rivers  
Stillwater Stillwater insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Stillwater
Tartan/North St Paul St Paul/Two Rivers St Paul/Two Rivers  
Totino-Grace Totino-Grace insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Totino-Grace
Visitation Visitation tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) Visitation
Waconia St Paul/Two Rivers St Paul/Two Rivers  
Wayzata Wayzata insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wayzata
White Bear Lake White Bear Lake insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) White Bear Lake
Woodbury Woodbury tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Woodbury

PowerWise = 18


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.68

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Duluth Marshal  ( 4- 6, 81.6)     5- 9      -18.34      14.72      -0.59         1.05           -19.86
   0 H Waconia         ( 2-12, 77.9)    13- 8      -21.96      11.10      -0.59         1.05            11.02
   0 A Breck School    ( 6- 8, 84.4)     5-13      -15.48      17.58       0.59         1.05           -15.62
   0 A Hastings        ( 3-11, 74.8)    17- 7      -25.06       8.00       0.59         1.05             9.01
   0 H Hill-Murray     (10- 5, 89.7)     4-17      -10.19      22.87      -0.59         1.05           -11.31
   0 A Columbia Heigh  ( 0-11, 66.8)    17- 5      -33.06       1.00       0.59         1.05             1.67
   0 H Mahtomedi       ( 8- 6, 88.8)     4-16      -11.08      21.98      -0.59         1.05           -12.24
   0 A Park of Cottag  (18- 1, 94.3)     3-16       -5.62      27.44       0.59         1.05            -5.27
   0 A Simley          ( 6- 7, 85.9)     4-18      -13.97      19.09       0.59         1.05           -14.03
   0 H Tartan/North S  ( 1-13, 71.4)    16- 3      -28.53       4.53      -0.59         1.05             4.13
   0 H St Louis Park   ( 6- 9, 83.9)     7-22      -15.95      17.11      -0.59         1.05           -17.35
   0 H St Paul Academ  ( 6- 8, 75.2)    13- 7      -24.67       8.39      -0.59         1.05             8.18
   0 A St Paul Academ  ( 6- 8, 75.2)    16-15      -24.67       8.39       0.59         1.05             9.42
   0 A Park of Cottag  (18- 1, 94.3)     1-18       -5.62      27.44       0.59         1.05            -5.27
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -57.52

winning pts = 43.4206 losing points = -100.9389

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------