---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:01 PDT

safe3step girls Stowe 1
  
Stowe                 
W-L: ( 4-10) PR = 89.9422

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 414 H Middlebury Union (11- 4, 96.5) 12-22 429 H Spaulding ( 5-13, 88.9) 21-14 501 H Vergennes/Mt Abraham ( 8- 9, 93.2) 6-17 503 A Rice Memorial (14- 5, 96.1) 12-11 505 A Harwood Union ( 6-12, 91.7) 4-13 507 H U-32 (12- 6, 95.7) 8-18 512 A Burlington ( 9- 7, 94.2) 9-16 514 A Hartford (15- 1, 98.2) 1-14 519 H Rice Memorial (14- 5, 96.1) 4-14 521 H St Johnsbury Academy (10- 6, 95.4) 5-16 527 H Lyndon Institute ( 1-13, 82.5) 19- 3 530 A Milton ( 3-12, 84.0) 12- 7 531 H Harwood Union ( 6-12, 91.7) 7-10 604 H Harwood Union ( 6-12, 91.7) 11-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Middlebury Union       12-22     -10    -6           0.00
   429 H Spaulding              21-14       7     1    +      3.53
   501 H Vergennes/Mt Abraham    6-17     -11    -3    -     -2.24
   503 A Rice Memorial          12-11       1    -7    +++    6.00
   505 A Harwood Union           4-13      -9    -2    -     -2.76
   507 H U-32                    8-18     -10    -5           0.00
   512 A Burlington              9-16      -7    -5          -0.25
   514 A Hartford                1-14     -13    -9           0.00
   519 H Rice Memorial           4-14     -10    -6           0.00
   521 H St Johnsbury Academy    5-16     -11    -5           0.00
   527 H Lyndon Institute       19- 3      16     8           0.00
   530 A Milton                 12- 7       5     5           0.00
   531 H Harwood Union           7-10      -3    -1          -1.72
   604 H Harwood Union          11-16      -5    -1    -     -3.72

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Vergennes/Mt Abraham    6-17     -11    -3    -     -2.24
   505 A Harwood Union           4-13      -9    -2    -     -2.76
   604 H Harwood Union          11-16      -5    -1    -     -3.72

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A Rice Memorial          12-11       1    -7    +++    6.00
   429 H Spaulding              21-14       7     1    +      3.53

Stowe Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bellows Free Academy - S Bellows Free Academy - S insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 3) Bellows Free Academy - S
Brattleboro Union Brattleboro Union tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Brattleboro Union
Burlington Burlington Burlington  
Burr & Burton Academy Burr & Burton Academy   Burr & Burton Academy
Champlain Valley Union Champlain Valley Union Champlain Valley Union   4- 0 vs 1- 4
Colchester Stowe tied - ( 4- 7) ( 4- 6) Stowe
Essex Essex Essex   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Green Mountain Valley Green Mountain Valley Green Mountain Valley   6- 0 vs 2- 4
Hartford Hartford Hartford  
Harwood Union Harwood Union Harwood Union  
Lamoille Union Stowe Stowe   4- 5 vs 1- 7
Lyndon Institute Stowe Stowe  
Middlebury Union Middlebury Union Middlebury Union  
Milton Stowe Stowe  
Mt Anthony Union Mt Anthony Union   Mt Anthony Union
Mt Mansfield Union Mt Mansfield Union tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Mt Mansfield Union
Rice Memorial Rice Memorial Rice Memorial   7- 2 vs 2- 7
Rutland Rutland tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Rutland
South Burlington South Burlington South Burlington   3- 0 vs 1- 3
Spaulding Stowe Stowe  
St Johnsbury Academy St Johnsbury Academy St Johnsbury Academy  
Stratton Mountain School Stratton Mountain School   Stratton Mountain School
U-32 U-32 U-32  
Vergennes/Mt Abraham Vergennes/Mt Abraham Vergennes/Mt Abraham  
Woodstock Union Woodstock Union Woodstock Union   2- 1 vs 0- 3

PowerWise = 5


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.54

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Middlebury Uni  (11- 4, 96.5)    12-22       -3.36      14.04      -0.48         1.11            -4.26
   0 H Spaulding       ( 5-13, 88.9)    21-14      -10.95       6.45      -0.48         1.11             6.63
   0 H Vergennes/Mt A  ( 8- 9, 93.2)     6-17       -6.72      10.68      -0.48         1.11            -7.99
   0 A Rice Memorial   (14- 5, 96.1)    12-11       -3.80      13.60       0.48         1.11            15.62
   0 A Harwood Union   ( 6-12, 91.7)     4-13       -8.20       9.21       0.48         1.11            -8.57
   0 H U-32            (12- 6, 95.7)     8-18       -4.24      13.16      -0.48         1.11            -5.24
   0 A Burlington      ( 9- 7, 94.2)     9-16       -5.68      11.72       0.48         1.11            -5.78
   0 A Hartford        (15- 1, 98.2)     1-14       -1.73      15.67       0.48         1.11            -1.39
   0 H Rice Memorial   (14- 5, 96.1)     4-14       -3.80      13.60      -0.48         1.11            -4.75
   0 H St Johnsbury A  (10- 6, 95.4)     5-16       -4.47      12.93      -0.48         1.11            -5.49
   0 H Lyndon Institu  ( 1-13, 82.5)    19- 3      -17.39       1.00      -0.48         1.11             0.58
   0 A Milton          ( 3-12, 84.0)    12- 7      -15.91       1.49       0.48         1.11             2.18
   0 H Harwood Union   ( 6-12, 91.7)     7-10       -8.20       9.21      -0.48         1.11            -9.63
   0 H Harwood Union   ( 6-12, 91.7)    11-16       -8.20       9.21      -0.48         1.11            -9.63
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -37.71

winning pts = 25.0139 losing points = -62.7236

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------