---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:00 PDT

safe3step girls St Marys Episcopal 1
  
St Marys Episcopal    
W-L: ( 9- 5) PR = 95.4321

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 301 N Ravenwood ( 9- 1, 99.9) 5-19 302 N Seymour ( 9- 3, 92.0) 13- 8 306 A Houston ( 9- 7, 90.7) 11- 6 324 A Collierville ( 9- 8, 90.4) 13- 9 327 H St Georges ( 5- 7, 86.2) 18- 6 401 H Evangelical Christian (15- 3, 91.0) 20- 9 411 A Ensworth (12- 4, 95.7) 6- 7 412 A Harpeth Hall (12- 3, 98.0) 10-15 415 A Briarcrest Christian (11- 3, 94.4) 14- 1 422 H Lausanne Collegiate ( 9- 8, 87.0) 19- 5 428 A Hutchison School (10- 6, 93.8) 7- 8 501 H St Agnes Academy ( 2- 9, 82.6) 21- 4 503 H Baylor School ( 5- 5, 90.0) 17- 8 510 A Harpeth Hall (12- 3, 98.0) 6-11

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 N Ravenwood               5-19     -14    -4          -0.53
   302 N Seymour                13- 8       5     3           1.61
   306 A Houston                11- 6       5     4           0.87
   324 A Collierville           13- 9       4     5          -0.52
   327 H St Georges             18- 6      12    10           0.00
   401 H Evangelical Christian  20- 9      11     5           0.02
   411 A Ensworth                6- 7      -1    -1          -0.13
   412 A Harpeth Hall           10-15      -5    -3          -1.88
   415 A Briarcrest Christian   14- 1      13     0    ++     4.54
   422 H Lausanne Collegiate    19- 5      14     9           0.00
   428 A Hutchison School        7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.05
   501 H St Agnes Academy       21- 4      17    13           0.00
   503 H Baylor School          17- 8       9     6           0.00
   510 A Harpeth Hall            6-11      -5    -3          -1.88

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Hutchison School        7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.05

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Briarcrest Christian   14- 1      13     0    ++     4.54

St Marys Episcopal Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Arlington St Marys Episcopal St Marys Episcopal   5- 1 vs 0- 6
Bartlett St Marys Episcopal St Marys Episcopal   6- 0 vs 0- 6
Baylor School St Marys Episcopal St Marys Episcopal  
Bearden St Marys Episcopal   St Marys Episcopal
Bradley Central St Marys Episcopal   St Marys Episcopal
Brentwood Brentwood insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Brentwood
Briarcrest Christian St Marys Episcopal St Marys Episcopal  
Centennial St Marys Episcopal tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) St Marys Episcopal
Christ Presbyterian Acad St Marys Episcopal St Marys Episcopal   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Christian Academy Knoxvi St Marys Episcopal insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) St Marys Episcopal
Collierville St Marys Episcopal St Marys Episcopal  
Cookeville St Marys Episcopal insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) St Marys Episcopal
Dobyns Bennett St Marys Episcopal   St Marys Episcopal
Ensworth Ensworth Ensworth  
Evangelical Christian St Marys Episcopal St Marys Episcopal  
Farragut St Marys Episcopal insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Marys Episcopal
Father Ryan St Marys Episcopal tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) St Marys Episcopal
Franklin Franklin Franklin   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Franklin Road Academy St Marys Episcopal tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) St Marys Episcopal
Gatlinburg Pittman St Marys Episcopal insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Marys Episcopal
Girls Preparatory School St Marys Episcopal insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) St Marys Episcopal
Green Hill St Marys Episcopal   St Marys Episcopal
Harpeth Hall Harpeth Hall Harpeth Hall  
Heritage St Marys Episcopal   St Marys Episcopal
Hillsboro St Marys Episcopal tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Marys Episcopal
Houston St Marys Episcopal St Marys Episcopal  
Hunters Lane St Marys Episcopal   St Marys Episcopal
Hutchison School Hutchison School Hutchison School  
Independence St Marys Episcopal St Marys Episcopal   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Knoxville Catholic St Marys Episcopal tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) St Marys Episcopal
Lausanne Collegiate St Marys Episcopal St Marys Episcopal  
Maryville St Marys Episcopal   St Marys Episcopal
Ooltewah St Marys Episcopal insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Marys Episcopal
Page St Marys Episcopal tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) St Marys Episcopal
Pigeon Forge St Marys Episcopal insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Marys Episcopal
Pope John Paul II St Marys Episcopal St Marys Episcopal   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Ravenwood Ravenwood Ravenwood  
Science Hill St Marys Episcopal   St Marys Episcopal
Sevier County St Marys Episcopal insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Marys Episcopal
Seymour St Marys Episcopal St Marys Episcopal  
Signal Mountain St Marys Episcopal insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Marys Episcopal
Soddy Daisy St Marys Episcopal insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Marys Episcopal
St Agnes Academy St Marys Episcopal St Marys Episcopal  
St Benedict St Marys Episcopal St Marys Episcopal   6- 1 vs 0- 7
St Cecilia Academy St Marys Episcopal insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Marys Episcopal
St Georges St Marys Episcopal St Marys Episcopal  
Summit St Marys Episcopal tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Marys Episcopal
University School Nashvi St Marys Episcopal St Marys Episcopal   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Upperman St Marys Episcopal   St Marys Episcopal
Walker Valley St Marys Episcopal   St Marys Episcopal
Webb School Bell Buckle St Marys Episcopal   St Marys Episcopal
Webb School Knoxville St Marys Episcopal St Marys Episcopal   2- 0 vs 0- 2
West St Marys Episcopal   St Marys Episcopal
White Station St Marys Episcopal St Marys Episcopal   6- 1 vs 0- 7
William Blount St Marys Episcopal insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Marys Episcopal
Wilson Central St Marys Episcopal   St Marys Episcopal

PowerWise = 50


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.88

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 N Ravenwood       ( 9- 1, 99.9)     5-19       -0.00      26.82      -0.00         0.92            -0.00
   0 N Seymour         ( 9- 3, 92.0)    13- 8       -7.86      18.96      -0.00         0.92            17.44
   0 A Houston         ( 9- 7, 90.7)    11- 6       -9.16      17.66       0.56         0.92            16.76
   0 A Collierville    ( 9- 8, 90.4)    13- 9       -9.55      17.27       0.56         0.92            16.41
   0 H St Georges      ( 5- 7, 86.2)    18- 6      -13.70      13.12      -0.56         0.92            11.55
   0 H Evangelical Ch  (15- 3, 91.0)    20- 9       -8.89      17.93      -0.56         0.92            15.98
   0 A Ensworth        (12- 4, 95.7)     6- 7       -4.16      22.66       0.56         0.92            -3.31
   0 A Harpeth Hall    (12- 3, 98.0)    10-15       -1.91      24.91       0.56         0.92            -1.24
   0 A Briarcrest Chr  (11- 3, 94.4)    14- 1       -5.49      21.33       0.56         0.92            20.13
   0 H Lausanne Colle  ( 9- 8, 87.0)    19- 5      -12.94      13.88      -0.56         0.92            12.25
   0 A Hutchison Scho  (10- 6, 93.8)     7- 8       -6.08      20.74       0.56         0.92            -5.08
   0 H St Agnes Acade  ( 2- 9, 82.6)    21- 4      -17.35       9.48      -0.56         0.92             8.20
   0 H Baylor School   ( 5- 5, 90.0)    17- 8       -9.89      16.93      -0.56         0.92            15.05
   0 A Harpeth Hall    (12- 3, 98.0)     6-11       -1.91      24.91       0.56         0.92            -1.24
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       122.91

winning pts = 133.7729 losing points = -10.8676

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------