St Marys
W-L: (10- 7) PR = 82.5876Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 H Enloe ( 0-12, 73.4) 17- 0 225 A East Chapel Hill (22- 4, 94.1) 5-20 228 H Riverside Durham ( 1-16, 74.7) 22- 0 313 A Ravenscroft School ( 8- 8, 83.3) 13-14 314 A Cary Academy ( 3-12, 77.6) 16- 1 317 H Greensboro Day School ( 3-11, 80.0) 21-10 318 H Arendell Parrott Acade ( 4- 8, 82.8) 13-12 320 H Cary Academy ( 3-12, 77.6) 17- 2 325 A Riverside Durham ( 1-16, 74.7) 6- 9 328 A Charlotte Latin School (11- 5, 93.4) 6-13 329 A Charlotte CDS (15- 5, 94.3) 5-24 331 A St Davids School ( 4- 8, 81.1) 15-10 401 A Durham Academy ( 6- 9, 81.6) 13- 9 403 H St Davids School ( 4- 8, 81.1) 13- 6 408 H Ravenscroft School ( 8- 8, 83.3) 9- 8 502 H Durham Academy ( 6- 9, 81.6) 9-12 508 A Charlotte CDS (15- 5, 94.3) 4-24
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
224 H Enloe 17- 0 17 10 0.00
225 A East Chapel Hill 5-20 -15 -12 0.00
228 H Riverside Durham 22- 0 22 8 0.00
313 A Ravenscroft School 13-14 -1 -1 0.02
314 A Cary Academy 16- 1 15 5 0.30
317 H Greensboro Day School 21-10 11 3 + 2.12
318 H Arendell Parrott Acade 13-12 1 0 0.88
320 H Cary Academy 17- 2 15 5 0.00
325 A Riverside Durham 6- 9 -3 8 --- -8.00
328 A Charlotte Latin School 6-13 -7 -11 0.00
329 A Charlotte CDS 5-24 -19 -12 0.00
331 A St Davids School 15-10 5 1 + 3.79
401 A Durham Academy 13- 9 4 1 + 3.28
403 H St Davids School 13- 6 7 2 + 3.18
408 H Ravenscroft School 9- 8 1 0 1.41
502 H Durham Academy 9-12 -3 1 -- -4.33
508 A Charlotte CDS 4-24 -20 -12 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 A Riverside Durham 6- 9 -3 8 --- -8.00 502 H Durham Academy 9-12 -3 1 -- -4.33 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 H Greensboro Day School 21-10 11 3 + 2.12 331 A St Davids School 15-10 5 1 + 3.79 401 A Durham Academy 13- 9 4 1 + 3.28 403 H St Davids School 13- 6 7 2 + 3.18 |
St Marys Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Apex | Apex | ||
| Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | ||
| Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ardrey Kell | |
| Arendell Parrott Academy | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Asheville HS | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Asheville School | Asheville School | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Asheville School | |
| Ashley | Ashley | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ashley | |
| Athens Drive | Athens Drive | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Athens Drive | |
| Atkins | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Ballantyne Ridge | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Bishop McGuinness | Bishop McGuinness | Bishop McGuinness | ||
| Broughton | Broughton | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Broughton | |
| Butler | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Cannon School | Cannon School | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 2) | Cannon School | |
| Cape Fear Academy | St Marys | St Marys 4- 1 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Cape Fear HS | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Cardinal Gibbons | |
| Carrboro | St Marys | St Marys 4- 4 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Cary Academy | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Cary HS | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | Chapel Hill | |
| Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Charlotte Catholic | |
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | ||
| Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 2) | Charlotte Christian | |
| Charlotte Latin School | Charlotte Latin School | Charlotte Latin School | ||
| Christ the King | Christ the King | Christ the King | ||
| Clayton | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Cleveland | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Community School Davidso | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Corinth Holders | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Croatan | Croatan | Croatan | ||
| Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | ||
| Davidson Day School | St Marys | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | St Marys | |
| Davie | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| DH Conley | St Marys | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | St Marys | |
| Durham Academy | St Marys | St Marys 3- 2 vs 1- 3 | ||
| East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| East Forsyth | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Enloe | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Fayetteville Academy | Fayetteville Academy | tied - ( 6- 2) ( 6- 0) | Fayetteville Academy | |
| Fike | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| First Flight | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Forsyth CDS | Forsyth CDS | tied - ( 5- 4) ( 5- 2) | Forsyth CDS | |
| Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | Fuquay-Varina | ||
| Garner | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Glenn | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Green Hope | Green Hope | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Green Hope | |
| Green Level | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Greensboro Day School | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Grimsley | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Havelock | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Heritage | St Marys | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St Marys | |
| Hickory | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| High Point Central | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Hoggard | Hoggard | Hoggard | ||
| Holly Springs | Holly Springs | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Holly Springs | |
| Hopewell | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Hough | Hough | Hough | ||
| Hunt | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Independence | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Jack Britt | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Jacksonville | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| JH Rose | JH Rose | JH Rose | ||
| Jordan | St Marys | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 2) | St Marys | |
| Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lake Norman Charter | |
| Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lake Norman HS | |
| Laney | Laney | Laney | ||
| Leesville Road | Leesville Road | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Leesville Road | |
| Lincoln Charter | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Marvin Ridge | |
| Middle Creek | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Millbrook | Millbrook | Millbrook | ||
| Mooresville | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Mount Tabor | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Myers Park | Myers Park | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Myers Park | |
| New Bern | New Bern | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | New Bern | |
| New Hanover | New Hanover | New Hanover | ||
| North Brunswick | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| North Davidson | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| North Lincoln | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Northern Guilford | St Marys | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | St Marys | |
| Northside | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | ||
| Northwood | St Marys | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | St Marys | |
| Page | St Marys | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St Marys | |
| Panther Creek | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Parkwood | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Patton | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Pine Forest | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Pine Lake Prep | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Pinecrest | Pinecrest | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Pinecrest | |
| Porter Ridge | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Providence | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Providence Day | Providence Day | Providence Day 4- 0 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Ragsdale | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Ravenscroft School | Ravenscroft School | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 1) | Ravenscroft School | |
| Riverside Durham | St Marys | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Marys | |
| RJ Reynolds | St Marys | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Marys | |
| Rolesville | St Marys | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | St Marys | |
| Ronald Reagan | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Sanderson | St Marys | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | St Marys | |
| Seaforth | Seaforth | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) | Seaforth | |
| South Brunswick | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| South Iredell | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| South Mecklenburg | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Southeast Guilford | St Marys | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | St Marys | |
| Southlake Christian | St Marys | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | St Marys | |
| Southwest Guilford | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| St Davids School | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| St Stephens | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Sun Valley | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Swansboro | Swansboro | Swansboro | ||
| TC Roberson | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Terry Sanford | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Topsail | Topsail | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Topsail | |
| Union Pines | Union Pines | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Union Pines | |
| Wake Forest | Wake Forest | Wake Forest | ||
| Wakefield | Wakefield | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Wakefield | |
| Watauga | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Weddington | Weddington | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Weddington | |
| West Brunswick | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| West Forsyth | West Forsyth | West Forsyth | ||
| West Stokes | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| White Oak | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| Willow Spring | Willow Spring | Willow Spring |
PowerWise = 76
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Enloe ( 0-12, 73.4) 17- 0 -26.55 13.25 -0.31 0.99 12.85
0 A East Chapel Hi (22- 4, 94.1) 5-20 -5.77 34.03 0.31 0.99 -5.42
0 H Riverside Durh ( 1-16, 74.7) 22- 0 -25.23 14.58 -0.31 0.99 14.16
0 A Ravenscroft Sc ( 8- 8, 83.3) 13-14 -16.60 23.21 0.31 0.99 -16.17
0 A Cary Academy ( 3-12, 77.6) 16- 1 -22.32 17.49 0.31 0.99 17.65
0 H Greensboro Day ( 3-11, 80.0) 21-10 -19.89 19.92 -0.31 0.99 19.46
0 H Arendell Parro ( 4- 8, 82.8) 13-12 -17.13 22.68 -0.31 0.99 22.19
0 H Cary Academy ( 3-12, 77.6) 17- 2 -22.32 17.49 -0.31 0.99 17.05
0 A Riverside Durh ( 1-16, 74.7) 6- 9 -25.23 14.58 0.31 0.99 -24.73
0 A Charlotte Lati (11- 5, 93.4) 6-13 -6.46 33.35 0.31 0.99 -6.10
0 A Charlotte CDS (15- 5, 94.3) 5-24 -5.62 34.18 0.31 0.99 -5.27
0 A St Davids Scho ( 4- 8, 81.1) 15-10 -18.83 20.97 0.31 0.99 21.11
0 A Durham Academy ( 6- 9, 81.6) 13- 9 -18.34 21.46 0.31 0.99 21.60
0 H St Davids Scho ( 4- 8, 81.1) 13- 6 -18.83 20.97 -0.31 0.99 20.50
0 H Ravenscroft Sc ( 8- 8, 83.3) 9- 8 -16.60 23.21 -0.31 0.99 22.72
0 H Durham Academy ( 6- 9, 81.6) 9-12 -18.34 21.46 -0.31 0.99 -18.50
0 A Charlotte CDS (15- 5, 94.3) 4-24 -5.62 34.18 0.31 0.99 -5.27
------
107.82
|
winning pts = 189.2868 losing points = -81.4655
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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