---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:47 PDT

safe3step girls St Marys 1
  
St Marys              
W-L: ( 9- 8) PR = 94.8116

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 H Stone Ridge School ( 8- 1, 95.0) 12-13 313 A Bryn Mawr SG ( 6- 8, 94.0) 11-10 325 H Maryvale Prep (12- 4, 97.3) 3- 8 327 A Notre Dame Prep ( 7- 7, 94.9) 9-10 401 H Glenelg Country School ( 3-11, 90.9) 10- 6 403 A St Pauls SG (10- 4, 97.0) 9- 8 405 H Broadneck (14- 2, 93.8) 14-10 407 H Garrison Forest ( 4-11, 87.5) 15- 5 410 H Archbishop Spalding (12- 5, 96.4) 8- 7 415 A John Carroll ( 6- 7, 95.3) 9-14 417 A Severna Park (18- 2, 95.0) 6- 7 417 N Crofton ( 7- 8, 87.2) 15- 7 422 H Severn School ( 8- 6, 94.7) 8- 9 425 A McDonogh School (12- 2, 97.5) 4- 7 428 A Roland Park Country ( 7- 7, 93.8) 5- 3 429 H Sts Peter & Paul ( 7- 7, 85.3) 15- 3 501 A Archbishop Spalding (12- 5, 96.4) 8- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 H Stone Ridge School     12-13      -1     0          -1.22
   313 A Bryn Mawr SG           11-10       1     0           0.60
   325 H Maryvale Prep           3- 8      -5    -2    -     -2.96
   327 A Notre Dame Prep         9-10      -1    -1          -0.50
   401 H Glenelg Country School 10- 6       4     4          -0.35
   403 A St Pauls SG             9- 8       1    -3    +      3.64
   405 H Broadneck              14-10       4     1    +      2.52
   407 H Garrison Forest        15- 5      10     8           0.00
   410 H Archbishop Spalding     8- 7       1    -1    +      2.14
   415 A John Carroll            9-14      -5    -1    --    -4.05
   417 A Severna Park            6- 7      -1    -1          -0.40
   417 N Crofton                15- 7       8     8           0.00
   422 H Severn School           8- 9      -1     1          -1.56
   425 A McDonogh School         4- 7      -3    -3           0.09
   428 A Roland Park Country     5- 3       2     1           1.48
   429 H Sts Peter & Paul       15- 3      12    10           0.00
   501 A Archbishop Spalding     8- 9      -1    -2           1.04

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A John Carroll            9-14      -5    -1    --    -4.05
   325 H Maryvale Prep           3- 8      -5    -2    -     -2.96

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A St Pauls SG             9- 8       1    -3    +      3.64
   405 H Broadneck              14-10       4     1    +      2.52
   410 H Archbishop Spalding     8- 7       1    -1    +      2.14

St Marys Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Christian St Marys   St Marys
Anne Arundel County St Marys   St Marys
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   8- 3 vs 5- 6
Beth TFiloh St Marys   St Marys
Bishop McNamara St Marys   St Marys
Brookewood SG St Marys   St Marys
Bryn Mawr SG St Marys St Marys  
Bullis School St Marys   St Marys
Calverton School St Marys insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Marys
Catholic High Baltimore St Marys   St Marys
Chapelgate Christian St Marys   St Marys
Concordia Prep St Marys insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Marys
Cristo Rey Jesuit St Marys   St Marys
DC International St Marys   St Marys
EL Haynes Charter St Marys   St Marys
Elizabeth Seton St Marys   St Marys
FCA St Marys   St Marys
Field School St Marys   St Marys
Friends School St Marys   St Marys
Garrison Forest St Marys St Marys  
Georgetown Day School St Marys   St Marys
Georgetown Visitation St Marys insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) St Marys
Gerstell Academy St Marys tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Marys
Glenelg Country School St Marys St Marys  
Good Counsel Good Counsel insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Good Counsel
Gunston Day School St Marys insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Marys
Holton-Arms School St Marys tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Marys
Holy Child St Marys tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Marys
Holy Cross St Marys tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Marys
Indian Creek St Marys   St Marys
Jackson-Reed St Marys   St Marys
Jemicy St Marys   St Marys
John Carroll John Carroll John Carroll  
Key School St Marys   St Marys
KIPP College Prep St Marys   St Marys
Maret School St Marys tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Marys
Maryvale Prep Maryvale Prep Maryvale Prep  
McDonogh School McDonogh School McDonogh School  
Mercy St Marys insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) St Marys
Mount de Sales St Marys insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 3) St Marys
National Cathedral St Marys   St Marys
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep  
Oldfields School St Marys   St Marys
Park School St Marys insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Marys
Rockbridge Academy St Marys   St Marys
Roland Park Country St Marys St Marys  
Salisbury School St Marys insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Marys
Sandy Spring Friends St Marys   St Marys
School Without Walls St Marys   St Marys
Severn School Severn School Severn School  
Sidwell Friends St Marys   St Marys
St Andrews Episcopal St Marys insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Marys
St James School St Marys insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Marys
St Johns Catholic Prep St Marys   St Marys
St Johns College St Marys insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2) St Marys
St Marys Ryken St Marys   St Marys
St Pauls SG St Marys St Marys  
St Timothys St Marys tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Marys
St Vincent Pallotti St Marys   St Marys
Stone Ridge School Stone Ridge School Stone Ridge School  
Sts Peter & Paul St Marys St Marys  
Tome School St Marys   St Marys
Washington Latin St Marys   St Marys
Worcester Prep St Marys insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Marys
Aberdeen St Marys   St Marys
Academy for College & Ca St Marys   St Marys
Annapolis St Marys insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) St Marys
Arundel St Marys St Marys   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Atholton St Marys   St Marys
Baltimore Polytechnic St Marys   St Marys
Bel Air St Marys   St Marys
Bethesda-Chevy Chase St Marys   St Marys
Bladensburg St Marys   St Marys
Blair St Marys   St Marys
Blake St Marys   St Marys
Bohemia Manor St Marys   St Marys
Boonsboro St Marys   St Marys
Bowie St Marys insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Marys
Broadneck St Marys St Marys  
Brunswick St Marys   St Marys
Calvert St Marys   St Marys
Cambridge SD St Marys   St Marys
Carver A&T St Marys   St Marys
Catoctin St Marys   St Marys
Catonsville St Marys   St Marys
Centennial St Marys tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Marys
Central PG St Marys   St Marys
Century St Marys   St Marys
CH Flowers St Marys   St Marys
Chesapeake AA St Marys insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Marys
Chesapeake BC St Marys   St Marys
Chopticon St Marys   St Marys
City College St Marys   St Marys
Clarksburg St Marys   St Marys
CM Wright St Marys   St Marys
CMIT North St Marys   St Marys
Crofton St Marys St Marys  
Damascus St Marys   St Marys
Dr Henry Wise St Marys   St Marys
Dulaney St Marys insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Marys
Dundalk St Marys   St Marys
DuVal St Marys   St Marys
Eastern Technical St Marys   St Marys
Easton St Marys tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Marys
Edgewood St Marys   St Marys
Einstein St Marys   St Marys
Eleanor Roosevelt St Marys   St Marys
Elkton St Marys   St Marys
Fairmont Heights St Marys   St Marys
Fallston St Marys   St Marys
Francis Scott Key St Marys   St Marys
Franklin St Marys   St Marys
Frederick St Marys   St Marys
Frederick Douglass PG St Marys   St Marys
Gaithersburg St Marys   St Marys
Glen Burnie St Marys insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Marys
Glenelg HS St Marys insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) St Marys
Gov Thomas Johnson St Marys   St Marys
Great Mills St Marys   St Marys
Guilford Park St Marys   St Marys
Gwynn Park St Marys   St Marys
Hammond St Marys   St Marys
Harford Tech St Marys   St Marys
Havre De Grace St Marys   St Marys
Hereford St Marys   St Marys
Howard St Marys tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Marys
Huntingtown St Marys   St Marys
JM Bennett St Marys   St Marys
Kennedy St Marys   St Marys
Kent County St Marys   St Marys
Kent Island St Marys   St Marys
Kenwood St Marys   St Marys
La Plata St Marys   St Marys
Lackey St Marys   St Marys
Lansdowne St Marys   St Marys
Laurel St Marys   St Marys
Leonardtown St Marys insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Marys
Liberty St Marys   St Marys
Linganore St Marys tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Marys
Loch Raven St Marys   St Marys
Long Reach St Marys   St Marys
Magruder St Marys   St Marys
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge St Marys tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Marys
Meade St Marys   St Marys
Middletown St Marys   St Marys
Milford Mill St Marys   St Marys
MJ McDonough St Marys   St Marys
Mount Hebron St Marys insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Marys
New Town St Marys   St Marys
North Caroline St Marys   St Marys
North County St Marys St Marys   2- 1 vs 0- 3
North Dorchester St Marys   St Marys
North East Cecil St Marys   St Marys
North Hagerstown St Marys   St Marys
North Harford St Marys   St Marys
North Point St Marys   St Marys
Northeast St Marys   St Marys
Northern Calvert St Marys   St Marys
Northwest St Marys   St Marys
Northwestern PG St Marys   St Marys
Northwood St Marys   St Marys
Oakdale St Marys   St Marys
Oakland Mills St Marys   St Marys
Old Mill St Marys St Marys   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Overlea St Marys   St Marys
Owings Mills St Marys   St Marys
Oxon Hill St Marys   St Marys
Paint Branch St Marys   St Marys
Parkdale St Marys   St Marys
Parkside St Marys   St Marys
Parkville St Marys   St Marys
Patapsco St Marys   St Marys
Patterson Mill St Marys   St Marys
Patuxent St Marys   St Marys
Perry Hall St Marys   St Marys
Perryville St Marys   St Marys
Pikesville St Marys   St Marys
Poolesville St Marys   St Marys
Queen Annes County St Marys   St Marys
Quince Orchard St Marys insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Marys
Randallstown St Marys   St Marys
Randallstown St Marys   St Marys
Reservoir St Marys   St Marys
Richard Montgomery St Marys insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Marys
Rising Sun St Marys   St Marys
River Hill St Marys   St Marys
Rockville St Marys   St Marys
Seneca Valley St Marys   St Marys
Severn Run St Marys tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Marys
Severna Park Severna Park Severna Park  
Sherwood St Marys   St Marys
Smithsburg St Marys   St Marys
South Carroll St Marys   St Marys
South Hagerstown St Marys   St Marys
South River St Marys insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) St Marys
Southern St Marys St Marys   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Sparrows Point St Marys   St Marys
Springbrook St Marys   St Marys
St Charles St Marys   St Marys
Stephen Decatur St Marys   St Marys
Suitland St Marys   St Marys
Thomas Stone St Marys   St Marys
Towson St Marys insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) St Marys
Tuscarora St Marys   St Marys
Urbana St Marys insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Marys
Walkersville St Marys   St Marys
Walter Johnson St Marys   St Marys
Watkins Mill St Marys   St Marys
Western Baltimore St Marys   St Marys
Western STES St Marys   St Marys
Westlake St Marys   St Marys
Westminster St Marys tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Marys
Wheaton St Marys   St Marys
Whitman St Marys   St Marys
Wicomico St Marys   St Marys
Wilde Lake St Marys   St Marys
Winston Churchill St Marys   St Marys
Winters Mill St Marys   St Marys
Woodlawn St Marys   St Marys
Wootton St Marys   St Marys

PowerWise = 211


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Stone Ridge Sc  ( 8- 1, 95.0)    12-13       -4.85      33.07      -0.45         0.70            -3.73
   0 A Bryn Mawr SG    ( 6- 8, 94.0)    11-10       -5.94      31.98       0.45         0.70            22.82
   0 H Maryvale Prep   (12- 4, 97.3)     3- 8       -2.60      35.32      -0.45         0.70            -2.14
   0 A Notre Dame Pre  ( 7- 7, 94.9)     9-10       -5.04      32.88       0.45         0.70            -3.23
   0 H Glenelg Countr  ( 3-11, 90.9)    10- 6       -8.99      28.93      -0.45         0.70            20.04
   0 A St Pauls SG     (10- 4, 97.0)     9- 8       -2.90      35.02       0.45         0.70            24.96
   0 H Broadneck       (14- 2, 93.8)    14-10       -6.12      31.80      -0.45         0.70            22.06
   0 H Garrison Fores  ( 4-11, 87.5)    15- 5      -12.37      25.55      -0.45         0.70            17.66
   0 H Archbishop Spa  (12- 5, 96.4)     8- 7       -3.50      34.42      -0.45         0.70            23.91
   0 A John Carroll    ( 6- 7, 95.3)     9-14       -4.59      33.33       0.45         0.70            -2.91
   0 A Severna Park    (18- 2, 95.0)     6- 7       -4.93      32.99       0.45         0.70            -3.16
   0 N Crofton         ( 7- 8, 87.2)    15- 7      -12.70      25.22      -0.00         0.70            17.75
   0 H Severn School   ( 8- 6, 94.7)     8- 9       -5.20      32.72      -0.45         0.70            -3.98
   0 A McDonogh Schoo  (12- 2, 97.5)     4- 7       -2.45      35.47       0.45         0.70            -1.41
   0 A Roland Park Co  ( 7- 7, 93.8)     5- 3       -6.05      31.87       0.45         0.70            22.74
   0 H Sts Peter & Pa  ( 7- 7, 85.3)    15- 3      -14.56      23.36      -0.45         0.70            16.12
   0 A Archbishop Spa  (12- 5, 96.4)     8- 9       -3.50      34.42       0.45         0.70            -2.15
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       165.38

winning pts = 188.0793 losing points = -22.7027

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------