St Johnsbury Academy
W-L: (10- 6) PR = 95.4316Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 409 H Lyndon Institute ( 1-13, 82.5) 12- 1 411 H Milton ( 3-12, 84.0) 23- 0 415 A Harwood Union ( 6-12, 91.7) 6- 4 418 A Vergennes/Mt Abraham ( 8- 9, 93.2) 12- 4 423 A Champlain Valley Union (15- 2, 98.9) 10-11 426 H Essex (12- 6, 97.3) 10-11 429 H Colchester ( 6- 9, 89.4) 16- 2 502 A Spaulding ( 5-13, 88.9) 18- 8 507 H Rice Memorial (14- 5, 96.1) 8- 9 510 H Hartford (15- 1, 98.2) 6-10 514 A U-32 (12- 6, 95.7) 9-10 521 A Stowe ( 4-10, 89.9) 16- 5 523 A Lyndon Institute ( 1-13, 82.5) 18- 1 528 H Lamoille Union ( 2-12, 82.5) 23- 4 531 H Burlington ( 9- 7, 94.2) 11-10 607 H Woodstock Union (10- 8, 95.2) 8- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
409 H Lyndon Institute 12- 1 11 13 0.00
411 H Milton 23- 0 23 12 0.00
415 A Harwood Union 6- 4 2 3 -1.25
418 A Vergennes/Mt Abraham 12- 4 8 2 + 3.23
423 A Champlain Valley Union 10-11 -1 -4 + 2.91
426 H Essex 10-11 -1 -1 0.39
429 H Colchester 16- 2 14 6 0.00
502 A Spaulding 18- 8 10 6 0.00
507 H Rice Memorial 8- 9 -1 0 -0.81
510 H Hartford 6-10 -4 -2 -1.74
514 A U-32 9-10 -1 -1 -0.30
521 A Stowe 16- 5 11 5 0.00
523 A Lyndon Institute 18- 1 17 12 0.00
528 H Lamoille Union 23- 4 19 13 0.00
531 H Burlington 11-10 1 2 -0.69
607 H Woodstock Union 8- 9 -1 1 -1.72
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 A Vergennes/Mt Abraham 12- 4 8 2 + 3.23 423 A Champlain Valley Union 10-11 -1 -4 + 2.91 |
St Johnsbury Academy Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellows Free Academy - S | St Johnsbury Academy | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) | St Johnsbury Academy | |
| Brattleboro Union | St Johnsbury Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | St Johnsbury Academy | |
| Burlington | St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | ||
| Burr & Burton Academy | Burr & Burton Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Burr & Burton Academy | |
| Champlain Valley Union | Champlain Valley Union | Champlain Valley Union | ||
| Colchester | St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | ||
| Essex | Essex | Essex | ||
| Green Mountain Valley | Green Mountain Valley | Green Mountain Valley 8- 1 vs 6- 3 | ||
| Hartford | Hartford | Hartford | ||
| Harwood Union | St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | ||
| Lamoille Union | St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | ||
| Lyndon Institute | St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | ||
| Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 5- 2) | Middlebury Union | |
| Milton | St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | ||
| Mt Anthony Union | Mt Anthony Union | Mt Anthony Union 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Mt Mansfield Union | St Johnsbury Academy | tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 4) | St Johnsbury Academy | |
| Rice Memorial | Rice Memorial | Rice Memorial | ||
| Rutland | St Johnsbury Academy | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | St Johnsbury Academy | |
| South Burlington | South Burlington | South Burlington 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Spaulding | St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | ||
| Stowe | St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | ||
| Stratton Mountain School | St Johnsbury Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Johnsbury Academy | |
| U-32 | U-32 | U-32 | ||
| Vergennes/Mt Abraham | St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | ||
| Woodstock Union | Woodstock Union | Woodstock Union |
PowerWise = 14
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.54
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Lyndon Institu ( 1-13, 82.5) 12- 1 -17.39 1.00 -0.48 0.97 0.51
0 H Milton ( 3-12, 84.0) 23- 0 -15.91 1.49 -0.48 0.97 0.98
0 A Harwood Union ( 6-12, 91.7) 6- 4 -8.20 9.21 0.48 0.97 9.40
0 A Vergennes/Mt A ( 8- 9, 93.2) 12- 4 -6.72 10.68 0.48 0.97 10.84
0 A Champlain Vall (15- 2, 98.9) 10-11 -1.04 16.36 0.48 0.97 -0.55
0 H Essex (12- 6, 97.3) 10-11 -2.60 14.80 -0.48 0.97 -2.99
0 H Colchester ( 6- 9, 89.4) 16- 2 -10.48 6.92 -0.48 0.97 6.26
0 A Spaulding ( 5-13, 88.9) 18- 8 -10.95 6.45 0.48 0.97 6.73
0 H Rice Memorial (14- 5, 96.1) 8- 9 -3.80 13.60 -0.48 0.97 -4.16
0 H Hartford (15- 1, 98.2) 6-10 -1.73 15.67 -0.48 0.97 -2.14
0 A U-32 (12- 6, 95.7) 9-10 -4.24 13.16 0.48 0.97 -3.66
0 A Stowe ( 4-10, 89.9) 16- 5 -9.96 7.44 0.48 0.97 7.69
0 A Lyndon Institu ( 1-13, 82.5) 18- 1 -17.39 1.00 0.48 0.97 1.43
0 H Lamoille Union ( 2-12, 82.5) 23- 4 -17.40 1.00 -0.48 0.97 0.51
0 H Burlington ( 9- 7, 94.2) 11-10 -5.68 11.72 -0.48 0.97 10.92
0 H Woodstock Unio (10- 8, 95.2) 8- 9 -4.71 12.69 -0.48 0.97 -5.04
------
36.73
|
winning pts = 55.2714 losing points = -18.5391
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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