Stillwater
W-L: (15- 3) PR = 95.9612Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 412 H Prior Lake (19- 0, 99.9) 6-11 415 A Forest Lake ( 3-12, 81.5) 17- 1 417 H Cretin-Derham Hall (12- 4, 92.6) 17- 5 422 A Mounds View ( 4-10, 82.4) 17- 3 424 H White Bear Lake ( 5- 9, 87.4) 16- 5 429 A Roseville (12- 4, 91.5) 10- 6 501 H East Ridge ( 9- 6, 90.6) 12- 5 503 H Eden Prairie ( 3-12, 87.9) 14- 1 506 A Irondale ( 3-11, 78.7) 19- 1 508 A Park of Cottage Grove (18- 1, 94.3) 6- 7 513 H Woodbury ( 5- 9, 85.8) 18- 3 516 A Lakeville South (14- 5, 94.5) 5- 2 530 H Mounds View ( 4-10, 82.4) 21- 4 602 H Mahtomedi ( 8- 6, 88.8) 15- 6 604 H Roseville (12- 4, 91.5) 12- 2 610 N Maple Grove (15- 4, 93.2) 16-10 612 N Park of Cottage Grove (18- 1, 94.3) 11-10 614 N Prior Lake (19- 0, 99.9) 8-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
412 H Prior Lake 6-11 -5 -3 -1.65
415 A Forest Lake 17- 1 16 14 0.00
417 H Cretin-Derham Hall 17- 5 12 4 1.05
422 A Mounds View 17- 3 14 13 0.00
424 H White Bear Lake 16- 5 11 9 0.00
429 A Roseville 10- 6 4 4 0.11
501 H East Ridge 12- 5 7 6 0.00
503 H Eden Prairie 14- 1 13 9 0.00
506 A Irondale 19- 1 18 17 0.00
508 A Park of Cottage Grove 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.09
513 H Woodbury 18- 3 15 11 0.00
516 A Lakeville South 5- 2 3 1 + 2.11
530 H Mounds View 21- 4 17 14 0.00
602 H Mahtomedi 15- 6 9 8 0.00
604 H Roseville 12- 2 10 5 0.00
610 N Maple Grove 16-10 6 3 + 2.26
612 N Park of Cottage Grove 11-10 1 2 -0.68
614 N Prior Lake 8-13 -5 -4 -1.06
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 508 A Park of Cottage Grove 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.09 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 516 A Lakeville South 5- 2 3 1 + 2.11 610 N Maple Grove 16-10 6 3 + 2.26 |
Stillwater Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andover | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Anoka | Stillwater | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Stillwater | |
| Apple Valley | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Stillwater | |
| Becker | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Benilde-St Margarets | Stillwater | Stillwater 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Big Lake | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Blaine | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Blake School | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Bloomington Jefferson | Stillwater | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Bloomington Kennedy/Burn | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Brainerd | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Breck School | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Buffalo | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Centennial | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Champlin Park | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Chanhassen | Stillwater | Stillwater 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Chaska | Stillwater | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Stillwater | |
| Chisago Lakes | Stillwater | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Columbia Heights | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Cretin-Derham Hall | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Delano/Rockford | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Duluth Co-Op | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Duluth Marshall | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| East Ridge | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Eastview/Eagan | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Stillwater | |
| Eden Prairie | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Edina | Stillwater | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Elk River/Zimmerman | Stillwater | Stillwater 3- 1 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Farmington | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Stillwater | |
| Forest Lake | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Gentry/Mounds Park Acade | Stillwater | Stillwater 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Grand Rapids-Greenway | Stillwater | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Stillwater | |
| Hastings | Stillwater | Stillwater 3- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Hermantown-Proctor | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Hill-Murray | Stillwater | Stillwater 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Holy Angels Academy | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Holy Family Catholic | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Hopkins | Stillwater | Stillwater 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Hutchinson | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Irondale | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Lakeville North | Stillwater | Stillwater 2- 2 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Lakeville South | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Mahtomedi | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Mankato Co-Op | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Maple Grove | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Minneapolis Co-Op | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Minnetonka | Stillwater | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Monticello | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Moorhead | Stillwater | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Stillwater | |
| Mound Westonka | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Mounds View | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| New Prague | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Northfield | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Orono | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Osseo-Park Center | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Owatonna | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Park of Cottage Grove | Stillwater | tied - ( 9- 0) ( 9- 0) | Stillwater | |
| Prior Lake | Prior Lake | Prior Lake | ||
| Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co | Stillwater | Stillwater 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Rochester Century | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Rochester JM/Lourdes | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Rochester Mayo | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Rocori | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Rogers | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Rosemount | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Stillwater | |
| Roseville | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Sartell-Sauk Rapids | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Stillwater | |
| Shakopee | Stillwater | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Stillwater | |
| Simley | Stillwater | Stillwater 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Southwest Christian | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra | Stillwater | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Stillwater | |
| St Cloud Area | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| St Croix Prep | Stillwater | Stillwater 4- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| St Louis Park | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| St Michael-Albertville | Stillwater | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Stillwater | |
| St Paul Academy | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| St Paul/Two Rivers | Stillwater | Stillwater 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Tartan/North St Paul | Stillwater | Stillwater 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Totino-Grace | Stillwater | Stillwater 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Visitation | Stillwater | Stillwater 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Waconia | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Wayzata | Stillwater | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Stillwater | |
| White Bear Lake | Stillwater | Stillwater | ||
| Woodbury | Stillwater | Stillwater |
PowerWise = 83
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.68
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Prior Lake (19- 0, 99.9) 6-11 -0.00 33.06 -0.59 0.82 -0.48
0 A Forest Lake ( 3-12, 81.5) 17- 1 -18.44 14.62 0.59 0.82 12.41
0 H Cretin-Derham (12- 4, 92.6) 17- 5 -7.29 25.77 -0.59 0.82 20.53
0 A Mounds View ( 4-10, 82.4) 17- 3 -17.47 15.59 0.59 0.82 13.20
0 H White Bear Lak ( 5- 9, 87.4) 16- 5 -12.45 20.61 -0.59 0.82 16.33
0 A Roseville (12- 4, 91.5) 10- 6 -8.42 24.64 0.59 0.82 20.58
0 H East Ridge ( 9- 6, 90.6) 12- 5 -9.30 23.76 -0.59 0.82 18.90
0 H Eden Prairie ( 3-12, 87.9) 14- 1 -12.03 21.03 -0.59 0.82 16.67
0 A Irondale ( 3-11, 78.7) 19- 1 -21.17 11.89 0.59 0.82 10.18
0 A Park of Cottag (18- 1, 94.3) 6- 7 -5.62 27.44 0.59 0.82 -4.10
0 H Woodbury ( 5- 9, 85.8) 18- 3 -14.07 18.99 -0.59 0.82 15.01
0 A Lakeville Sout (14- 5, 94.5) 5- 2 -5.42 27.64 0.59 0.82 23.02
0 H Mounds View ( 4-10, 82.4) 21- 4 -17.47 15.59 -0.59 0.82 12.24
0 H Mahtomedi ( 8- 6, 88.8) 15- 6 -11.08 21.98 -0.59 0.82 17.45
0 H Roseville (12- 4, 91.5) 12- 2 -8.42 24.64 -0.59 0.82 19.62
0 N Maple Grove (15- 4, 93.2) 16-10 -6.68 26.38 -0.00 0.82 21.51
0 N Park of Cottag (18- 1, 94.3) 11-10 -5.62 27.44 -0.00 0.82 22.38
0 N Prior Lake (19- 0, 99.9) 8-13 -0.00 33.06 -0.00 0.82 -0.00
------
255.46
|
winning pts = 260.0379 losing points = -4.5825
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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