---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Rochester Stoney Creek 1
  
Rochester Stoney Cre  
W-L: ( 9- 8) PR = 86.7706

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 H Grand Blanc ( 9-11, 84.4) 6- 7 404 H Rochester HS ( 9- 8, 82.1) 16- 6 407 H Clarkston ( 7- 7, 85.0) 4-10 409 A Troy ( 6-10, 86.0) 13- 7 411 H Grosse Pointe North ( 8- 7, 82.6) 12- 8 414 A Rochester Adams (14- 4, 88.0) 9-15 416 A Bloomfield Hills (13-11, 91.2) 6- 8 418 H Chippewa Valley ( 4-11, 79.2) 15- 3 423 H Birmingham Unified (11- 9, 91.8) 8-20 428 H Troy Athens (14- 7, 86.7) 15-16 502 A Notre Dame Prep ( 4-10, 84.3) 10- 4 505 H Royal Oak ( 2-16, 79.2) 13- 5 507 A Lake Orion (15- 3, 91.1) 8- 9 509 H Divine Child ( 6- 7, 84.3) 14-10 512 A Farmington ( 5-10, 82.8) 11- 5 522 H Lapeer ( 1- 8, 75.7) 14- 0 527 A Detroit Country Day (17- 0, 99.9) 2-21

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Grand Blanc             6- 7      -1     3    -     -3.95
   404 H Rochester HS           16- 6      10     5           0.00
   407 H Clarkston               4-10      -6     2    ---   -7.40
   409 A Troy                   13- 7       6     0    ++     4.86
   411 H Grosse Pointe North    12- 8       4     5          -0.84
   414 A Rochester Adams         9-15      -6    -2    -     -3.14
   416 A Bloomfield Hills        6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.00
   418 H Chippewa Valley        15- 3      12     8           0.00
   423 H Birmingham Unified      8-20     -12    -4          -0.55
   428 H Troy Athens            15-16      -1     1          -1.73
   502 A Notre Dame Prep        10- 4       6     2    +      3.14
   505 H Royal Oak              13- 5       8     8           0.00
   507 A Lake Orion              8- 9      -1    -5    +      3.99
   509 H Divine Child           14-10       4     3           0.89
   512 A Farmington             11- 5       6     3           1.63
   522 H Lapeer                 14- 0      14    12           0.00
   527 A Detroit Country Day     2-21     -19   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Clarkston               4-10      -6     2    ---   -7.40
   319 H Grand Blanc             6- 7      -1     3    -     -3.95
   414 A Rochester Adams         9-15      -6    -2    -     -3.14

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Troy                   13- 7       6     0    ++     4.86
   416 A Bloomfield Hills        6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.00
   502 A Notre Dame Prep        10- 4       6     2    +      3.14
   507 A Lake Orion              8- 9      -1    -5    +      3.99

Rochester Stoney Creek Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Rochester Stoney Creek   Rochester Stoney Creek
Ann Arbor Huron Rochester Stoney Creek   Rochester Stoney Creek
Ann Arbor Pioneer Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Ann Arbor Skyline Rochester Stoney Creek   Rochester Stoney Creek
Avondale Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Battle Creek Harper Cree Rochester Stoney Creek   Rochester Stoney Creek
Bedford Rochester Stoney Creek insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Rochester Stoney Creek
Birmingham Unified Birmingham Unified Birmingham Unified  
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills  
Brighton Brighton Brighton   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Brighton B Rochester Stoney Creek   Rochester Stoney Creek
Byron Center Byron Center   Byron Center
Caledonia Caledonia   Caledonia
Canton Rochester Stoney Creek   Rochester Stoney Creek
Cass Tech Rochester Stoney Creek insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Rochester Stoney Creek
Catholic Central Catholic Central insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Catholic Central
Chippewa Valley Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek  
Clarkston Clarkston Clarkston  
Comstock Park Rochester Stoney Creek   Rochester Stoney Creek
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 4- 3) Cranbrook Kingswood
Davison Rochester Stoney Creek tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Rochester Stoney Creek
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day  
DeWitt Rochester Stoney Creek insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Rochester Stoney Creek
Dexter Rochester Stoney Creek tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Rochester Stoney Creek
Divine Child Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek  
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Grand Rapids
East Lansing Rochester Stoney Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rochester Stoney Creek
Farmington Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek  
Fenton-Linden Co-Op Rochester Stoney Creek   Rochester Stoney Creek
Flint Powers Catholic Rochester Stoney Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rochester Stoney Creek
Flushing Rochester Stoney Creek insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Rochester Stoney Creek
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central   Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Northern/Ea Forest Hills Northern/Ea   Forest Hills Northern/Ea
Grand Blanc Grand Blanc Grand Blanc  
Grand Haven Rochester Stoney Creek   Rochester Stoney Creek
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
Grand Rapids Christian Rochester Stoney Creek   Rochester Stoney Creek
Grandville Rochester Stoney Creek   Rochester Stoney Creek
Grosse Pointe North Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek  
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South   6- 2 vs 4- 4
Hartland Hartland Hartland   2- 1 vs 0- 4
Haslett Haslett tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Haslett
Henry Ford II Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Holland West Ottawa Rochester Stoney Creek   Rochester Stoney Creek
Holly-Brandon Co-Op Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Holt Holt tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holt
Howell Rochester Stoney Creek tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Rochester Stoney Creek
Hudsonville Hudsonville   Hudsonville
Jenison Rochester Stoney Creek   Rochester Stoney Creek
Kalamazoo Central Rochester Stoney Creek   Rochester Stoney Creek
Lake Fenton Rochester Stoney Creek insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Rochester Stoney Creek
Lake Orion Lake Orion Lake Orion  
Lakeview Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lansing Catholic-Waverly Rochester Stoney Creek   Rochester Stoney Creek
Lapeer Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek  
Livonia United Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Lowell Lowell   Lowell
Marian Marian Marian   5- 1 vs 2- 4
Mattawan Mattawan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mattawan
Mercy Mercy insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Mercy
Midland Rochester Stoney Creek tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Rochester Stoney Creek
Mona Shores Mona Shores   Mona Shores
Northview Northview   Northview
Northville Northville tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Northville
Notre Dame Prep Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek  
Novi Novi tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Novi
Okemos Rochester Stoney Creek   Rochester Stoney Creek
Oxford Rochester Stoney Creek insuffient: ( 5- 3)( 4- 4) Rochester Stoney Creek
Plymouth Rochester Stoney Creek insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Rochester Stoney Creek
Portage Northern Portage Northern insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Portage Northern
Reeths-Puffer Rochester Stoney Creek   Rochester Stoney Creek
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams Rochester Adams  
Rochester HS Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek  
Rockford Rockford Rockford   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Royal Oak Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek  
Sacred Heart Academy Rochester Stoney Creek insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Rochester Stoney Creek
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Salem Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Saline Saline insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Saline
South Lyon United South Lyon United South Lyon United   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Spring Lake Spring Lake   Spring Lake
St Catherine of Siena Rochester Stoney Creek insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Rochester Stoney Creek
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie Rochester Stoney Creek   Rochester Stoney Creek
Swartz Creek Rochester Stoney Creek tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Rochester Stoney Creek
Tecumseh Rochester Stoney Creek   Rochester Stoney Creek
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central   Traverse City Central
Troy Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek  
Troy Athens Troy Athens Troy Athens  
University Liggett University Liggett tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) University Liggett
Utica Eisenhower Rochester Stoney Creek insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 3- 3) Rochester Stoney Creek
Walled Lake Northern Rochester Stoney Creek   Rochester Stoney Creek
Warren Regina Rochester Stoney Creek tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Rochester Stoney Creek
Waterford United Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek   2- 0 vs 0- 2
West Bloomfield Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek   6- 3 vs 4- 5
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) White Lake Lakeland
Zeeland East Rochester Stoney Creek   Rochester Stoney Creek

PowerWise = 57


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Grand Blanc     ( 9-11, 84.4)     6- 7      -15.46      13.73      -0.62         0.95           -15.21
   0 H Rochester HS    ( 9- 8, 82.1)    16- 6      -17.75      11.44      -0.62         0.95            10.24
   0 H Clarkston       ( 7- 7, 85.0)     4-10      -14.91      14.28      -0.62         0.95           -14.69
   0 A Troy            ( 6-10, 86.0)    13- 7      -13.89      15.30       0.62         0.95            15.07
   0 H Grosse Pointe   ( 8- 7, 82.6)    12- 8      -17.35      11.85      -0.62         0.95            10.62
   0 A Rochester Adam  (14- 4, 88.0)     9-15      -11.89      17.31       0.62         0.95           -10.66
   0 A Bloomfield Hil  (13-11, 91.2)     6- 8       -8.65      20.54       0.62         0.95            -7.60
   0 H Chippewa Valle  ( 4-11, 79.2)    15- 3      -20.67       8.52      -0.62         0.95             7.48
   0 H Birmingham Uni  (11- 9, 91.8)     8-20       -8.05      21.14      -0.62         0.95            -8.21
   0 H Troy Athens     (14- 7, 86.7)    15-16      -13.24      15.95      -0.62         0.95           -13.11
   0 A Notre Dame Pre  ( 4-10, 84.3)    10- 4      -15.61      13.59       0.62         0.95            13.44
   0 H Royal Oak       ( 2-16, 79.2)    13- 5      -20.74       8.45      -0.62         0.95             7.41
   0 A Lake Orion      (15- 3, 91.1)     8- 9       -8.76      20.43       0.62         0.95            -7.70
   0 H Divine Child    ( 6- 7, 84.3)    14-10      -15.62      13.57      -0.62         0.95            12.25
   0 A Farmington      ( 5-10, 82.8)    11- 5      -17.12      12.07       0.62         0.95            12.01
   0 H Lapeer          ( 1- 8, 75.7)    14- 0      -24.24       4.95      -0.62         0.95             4.09
   0 A Detroit Countr  (17- 0, 99.9)     2-21       -0.00      29.19       0.62         0.95            -0.59
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        14.82

winning pts = 92.5980 losing points = -77.7737

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------