All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
Nickname = Coach =GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 75.0400009 home-field advantage = -1.34 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 H Heritage ( 0-10, 59.7) 16- 7 319 A Woodgrove (11- 6, 67.6) 18-12 324 A Loudoun Valley (10- 8, 70.6) 19-12 326 A Battlefield (19- 3, 83.0) 1-14 407 H Broad Run ( 3-11, 63.8) 18- 7 409 H Loudoun County ( 4-10, 68.6) 22- 2 415 A Dominion (17- 3, 77.6) 11-15 421 H Independence ( 6- 7, 68.6) 15-14 424 A Tuscarora ( 1- 8, 60.7) 17- 3 428 H Riverside (20- 2, 81.6) 10-18 430 H Freedom South Riding (13- 4, 73.0) 8-13 505 A Briar Woods ( 2-14, 64.1) 18- 4 508 H Lightridge (11- 7, 81.2) 11-14 512 A John Champe ( 2-11, 72.3) 8-13 514 A Potomac Falls ( 7- 7, 69.2) 9- 4 518 H Potomac Falls ( 7- 7, 69.2) 8- 7 522 A Freedom South Riding (13- 4, 73.0) 15-10 527 A Riverside (20- 2, 81.6) 5-13 529 A Riverbend (12- 6, 66.1) 21- 8 601 A Riverside (20- 2, 81.6) 7-16 605 A Kellam (14- 3, 71.6) 13- 9 609 A Douglas Freeman (18- 2, 82.1) 1-14
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 H Heritage 16- 7 9 16 n/a 319 A Woodgrove 18-12 6 6 n/a 324 A Loudoun Valley 19-12 7 3 n/a 326 A Battlefield 1-14 -13 -9 n/a 407 H Broad Run 18- 7 11 12 n/a 409 H Loudoun County 22- 2 20 7 n/a 415 A Dominion 11-15 -4 -3 n/a 421 H Independence 15-14 1 7 --- -6.00 424 A Tuscarora 17- 3 14 13 n/a 428 H Riverside 10-18 -8 -5 -1.74 430 H Freedom South Riding 8-13 -5 3 n/a 505 A Briar Woods 18- 4 14 9 0.00 508 H Lightridge 11-14 -3 -4 1.84 512 A John Champe 8-13 -5 1 n/a 514 A Potomac Falls 9- 4 5 4 0.52 518 H Potomac Falls 8- 7 1 7 --- -6.00 522 A Freedom South Riding 15-10 5 0 n/a 527 A Riverside 5-13 -8 -7 0.00 529 A Riverbend 21- 8 13 7 0.00 601 A Riverside 7-16 -9 -7 0.00 605 A Kellam 13- 9 4 2 1.91 609 A Douglas Freeman 1-14 -13 -8 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 421 H Independence 15-14 1 7 --- -6.00 430 H Freedom South Riding 8-13 -5 3 --- 512 A John Champe 8-13 -5 1 --- 518 H Potomac Falls 8- 7 1 7 --- -6.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 522 A Freedom South Riding 15-10 5 0 ++ 324 A Loudoun Valley 19-12 7 3 +
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 75.04 Power Rank................. 6 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 45.01 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 5 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .8718 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 1 RPI Rating............... .6138 RPI Rank................... 4 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 26 Selection sum ........... 12 Selection Rank ............ 2 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 70. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 5 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 45. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 7 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.3 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -8.2 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.9 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -6.0