---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:51 PDT

safe3step girls Spanish Springs 1
  
Spanish Springs       
W-L: ( 6- 8) PR = 89.4378

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 304 A Damonte Ranch ( 1-13, 85.1) 5- 6 306 H Bishop Manogue (11- 4, 94.9) 2-15 311 H Galena (13- 6, 95.6) 6-21 327 H Truckee-North Tahoe (16- 1, 97.9) 4-15 331 A Oasis Academy/Fallon ( 8- 8, 90.2) 10- 9 404 A McQueen ( 4-11, 86.3) 12- 8 409 H Reno ( 5-12, 86.0) 14- 9 411 H Damonte Ranch ( 1-13, 85.1) 10- 5 414 H McQueen ( 4-11, 86.3) 10- 2 416 A Galena (13- 6, 95.6) 3-15 425 A Bishop Manogue (11- 4, 94.9) 6-19 428 H Oasis Academy/Fallon ( 8- 8, 90.2) 7-11 505 A Reno ( 5-12, 86.0) 15- 8 507 A Truckee-North Tahoe (16- 1, 97.9) 4-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 A Damonte Ranch           5- 6      -1     4    --    -4.98
   306 H Bishop Manogue          2-15     -13    -5           0.00
   311 H Galena                  6-21     -15    -6           0.00
   327 H Truckee-North Tahoe     4-15     -11    -8           0.00
   331 A Oasis Academy/Fallon   10- 9       1    -1    +      2.06
   404 A McQueen                12- 8       4     3           1.22
   409 H Reno                   14- 9       5     4           1.29
   411 H Damonte Ranch          10- 5       5     5           0.38
   414 H McQueen                10- 2       8     3           1.58
   416 A Galena                  3-15     -12    -7           0.00
   425 A Bishop Manogue          6-19     -13    -6           0.00
   428 H Oasis Academy/Fallon    7-11      -4     0    -     -3.58
   505 A Reno                   15- 8       7     3           1.93
   507 A Truckee-North Tahoe     4-16     -12    -9           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 A Damonte Ranch           5- 6      -1     4    --    -4.98
   428 H Oasis Academy/Fallon    7-11      -4     0    -     -3.58

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Oasis Academy/Fallon   10- 9       1    -1    +      2.06

Spanish Springs Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bishop Gorman Bishop Gorman insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bishop Gorman
Bishop Gorman II Spanish Springs   Spanish Springs
Bishop Manogue Bishop Manogue Bishop Manogue  
Centennial Centennial   Centennial
Coronado Coronado insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Coronado
Damonte Ranch Spanish Springs Spanish Springs   3- 4 vs 0- 6
Faith Lutheran Faith Lutheran   Faith Lutheran
Galena Galena Galena  
McQueen Spanish Springs Spanish Springs  
Oasis Academy/Fallon Oasis Academy/Fallon tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 3) Oasis Academy/Fallon
One Hill One Hill   One Hill
Palo Verde Palo Verde insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Palo Verde
Reed Spanish Springs Spanish Springs   3- 1 vs 0- 3
Reno Spanish Springs Spanish Springs  
Truckee-North Tahoe Truckee-North Tahoe Truckee-North Tahoe  

PowerWise = 5


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.62

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Damonte Ranch   ( 1-13, 85.1)     5- 6      -14.76       1.49       0.32         0.97           -14.05
   0 H Bishop Manogue  (11- 4, 94.9)     2-15       -4.96      11.29      -0.32         0.97            -5.14
   0 H Galena          (13- 6, 95.6)     6-21       -4.26      12.00      -0.32         0.97            -4.45
   0 H Truckee-North   (16- 1, 97.9)     4-15       -1.95      14.30      -0.32         0.97            -2.21
   0 A Oasis Academy/  ( 8- 8, 90.2)    10- 9       -9.72       6.53       0.32         0.97             6.67
   0 A McQueen         ( 4-11, 86.3)    12- 8      -13.56       2.69       0.32         0.97             2.93
   0 H Reno            ( 5-12, 86.0)    14- 9      -13.85       2.40      -0.32         0.97             2.03
   0 H Damonte Ranch   ( 1-13, 85.1)    10- 5      -14.76       1.49      -0.32         0.97             1.14
   0 H McQueen         ( 4-11, 86.3)    10- 2      -13.56       2.69      -0.32         0.97             2.31
   0 A Galena          (13- 6, 95.6)     3-15       -4.26      12.00       0.32         0.97            -3.83
   0 A Bishop Manogue  (11- 4, 94.9)     6-19       -4.96      11.29       0.32         0.97            -4.51
   0 H Oasis Academy/  ( 8- 8, 90.2)     7-11       -9.72       6.53      -0.32         0.97            -9.77
   0 A Reno            ( 5-12, 86.0)    15- 8      -13.85       2.40       0.32         0.97             2.65
   0 A Truckee-North   (16- 1, 97.9)     4-16       -1.95      14.30       0.32         0.97            -1.59
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -27.84

winning pts = 17.7270 losing points = -45.5651

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------