---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:47 PDT

safe3step girls St Pauls SG 1
  
St Pauls SG           
W-L: (10- 4) PR = 97.0006

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 311 H Stone Ridge School ( 8- 1, 95.0) 18- 9 313 A Archbishop Spalding (12- 5, 96.4) 8- 9 325 H Notre Dame Prep ( 7- 7, 94.9) 8- 7 327 A Glenelg Country School ( 3-11, 90.9) 17- 2 401 H John Carroll ( 6- 7, 95.3) 9- 4 403 H St Marys ( 9- 8, 94.8) 8- 9 408 A McDonogh School (12- 2, 97.5) 5- 9 410 H Roland Park Country ( 7- 7, 93.8) 10- 6 414 A Severn School ( 8- 6, 94.7) 13-11 422 A Garrison Forest ( 4-11, 87.5) 15- 1 424 H Bryn Mawr SG ( 6- 8, 94.0) 8- 6 428 A Maryvale Prep (12- 4, 97.3) 9- 6 501 H John Carroll ( 6- 7, 95.3) 9- 4 506 A Archbishop Spalding (12- 5, 96.4) 9-10

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H Stone Ridge School     18- 9       9     2    +      2.60
   313 A Archbishop Spalding     8- 9      -1     0          -1.15
   325 H Notre Dame Prep         8- 7       1     3          -1.59
   327 A Glenelg Country School 17- 2      15     6           0.00
   401 H John Carroll            9- 4       5     2    +      2.86
   403 H St Marys                8- 9      -1     3    -     -3.64
   408 A McDonogh School         5- 9      -4    -1    -     -3.10
   410 H Roland Park Country    10- 6       4     4           0.40
   414 A Severn School          13-11       2     2           0.15
   422 A Garrison Forest        15- 1      14     9           0.00
   424 H Bryn Mawr SG            8- 6       2     3          -1.49
   428 A Maryvale Prep           9- 6       3    -1    +      3.75
   501 H John Carroll            9- 4       5     2    +      2.86
   506 A Archbishop Spalding     9-10      -1     0          -1.15

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H St Marys                8- 9      -1     3    -     -3.64
   408 A McDonogh School         5- 9      -4    -1    -     -3.10

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H Stone Ridge School     18- 9       9     2    +      2.60
   401 H John Carroll            9- 4       5     2    +      2.86
   428 A Maryvale Prep           9- 6       3    -1    +      3.75
   501 H John Carroll            9- 4       5     2    +      2.86

St Pauls SG Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Christian St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Anne Arundel County St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding  
Beth TFiloh St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Bishop McNamara St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Brookewood SG St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Bryn Mawr SG St Pauls SG St Pauls SG  
Bullis School St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Calverton School St Pauls SG insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Pauls SG
Catholic High Baltimore St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Chapelgate Christian St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Concordia Prep St Pauls SG insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Pauls SG
Cristo Rey Jesuit St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
DC International St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
EL Haynes Charter St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Elizabeth Seton St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
FCA St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Field School St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Friends School St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Garrison Forest St Pauls SG St Pauls SG  
Georgetown Day School St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Georgetown Visitation St Pauls SG St Pauls SG   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Gerstell Academy St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Glenelg Country School St Pauls SG St Pauls SG  
Good Counsel St Pauls SG insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) St Pauls SG
Gunston Day School St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Holton-Arms School St Pauls SG insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Pauls SG
Holy Child St Pauls SG insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Pauls SG
Holy Cross St Pauls SG insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Pauls SG
Indian Creek St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Jackson-Reed St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Jemicy St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
John Carroll St Pauls SG St Pauls SG  
Key School St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
KIPP College Prep St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Maret School St Pauls SG insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Pauls SG
Maryvale Prep St Pauls SG St Pauls SG  
McDonogh School McDonogh School McDonogh School  
Mercy St Pauls SG insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) St Pauls SG
Mount de Sales St Pauls SG insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) St Pauls SG
National Cathedral St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Notre Dame Prep St Pauls SG St Pauls SG  
Oldfields School St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Park School St Pauls SG insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Pauls SG
Rockbridge Academy St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Roland Park Country St Pauls SG St Pauls SG  
Salisbury School St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Sandy Spring Friends St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
School Without Walls St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Severn School St Pauls SG St Pauls SG  
Sidwell Friends St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
St Andrews Episcopal St Pauls SG insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Pauls SG
St James School St Pauls SG insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Pauls SG
St Johns Catholic Prep St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
St Johns College St Pauls SG insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) St Pauls SG
St Marys St Marys St Marys  
St Marys Ryken St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
St Timothys St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
St Vincent Pallotti St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Stone Ridge School St Pauls SG St Pauls SG  
Sts Peter & Paul St Pauls SG St Pauls SG   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Tome School St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Washington Latin St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Worcester Prep St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Aberdeen St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Academy for College & Ca St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Annapolis St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Arundel St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Atholton St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Baltimore Polytechnic St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Bel Air St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Bethesda-Chevy Chase St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Bladensburg St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Blair St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Blake St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Bohemia Manor St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Boonsboro St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Bowie St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Broadneck St Pauls SG tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Pauls SG
Brunswick St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Calvert St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Cambridge SD St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Carver A&T St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Catoctin St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Catonsville St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Centennial St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Central PG St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Century St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
CH Flowers St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Chesapeake AA St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Chesapeake BC St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Chopticon St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
City College St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Clarksburg St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
CM Wright St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
CMIT North St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Crofton St Pauls SG tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Pauls SG
Damascus St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Dr Henry Wise St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Dulaney St Pauls SG insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Pauls SG
Dundalk St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
DuVal St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Eastern Technical St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Easton St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Edgewood St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Einstein St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Eleanor Roosevelt St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Elkton St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Fairmont Heights St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Fallston St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Francis Scott Key St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Franklin St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Frederick St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Frederick Douglass PG St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Gaithersburg St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Glen Burnie St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Glenelg HS St Pauls SG insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Pauls SG
Gov Thomas Johnson St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Great Mills St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Guilford Park St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Gwynn Park St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Hammond St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Harford Tech St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Havre De Grace St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Hereford St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Howard St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Huntingtown St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
JM Bennett St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Kennedy St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Kent County St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Kent Island St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Kenwood St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
La Plata St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Lackey St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Lansdowne St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Laurel St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Leonardtown St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Liberty St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Linganore St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Loch Raven St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Long Reach St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Magruder St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley   Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Meade St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Middletown St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Milford Mill St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
MJ McDonough St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Mount Hebron St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
New Town St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
North Caroline St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
North County St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
North Dorchester St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
North East Cecil St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
North Hagerstown St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
North Harford St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
North Point St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Northeast St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Northern Calvert St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Northwest St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Northwestern PG St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Northwood St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Oakdale St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Oakland Mills St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Old Mill St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Overlea St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Owings Mills St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Oxon Hill St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Paint Branch St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Parkdale St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Parkside St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Parkville St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Patapsco St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Patterson Mill St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Patuxent St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Perry Hall St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Perryville St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Pikesville St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Poolesville St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Queen Annes County St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Quince Orchard St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Randallstown St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Randallstown St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Reservoir St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Richard Montgomery St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Rising Sun St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
River Hill St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Rockville St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Seneca Valley St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Severn Run St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Severna Park Severna Park Severna Park   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Sherwood St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Smithsburg St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
South Carroll St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
South Hagerstown St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
South River St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Southern St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Sparrows Point St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Springbrook St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
St Charles St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Stephen Decatur St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Suitland St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Thomas Stone St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Towson St Pauls SG insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) St Pauls SG
Tuscarora St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Urbana St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Walkersville St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Walter Johnson St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Watkins Mill St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Western Baltimore St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Western STES St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Westlake St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Westminster St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Wheaton St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Whitman St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Wicomico St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Wilde Lake St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Winston Churchill St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Winters Mill St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Woodlawn St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG
Wootton St Pauls SG   St Pauls SG

PowerWise = 216


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Stone Ridge Sc  ( 8- 1, 95.0)    18- 9       -4.85      33.07      -0.45         0.85            27.87
   0 A Archbishop Spa  (12- 5, 96.4)     8- 9       -3.50      34.42       0.45         0.85            -2.61
   0 H Notre Dame Pre  ( 7- 7, 94.9)     8- 7       -5.04      32.88      -0.45         0.85            27.72
   0 A Glenelg Countr  ( 3-11, 90.9)    17- 2       -8.99      28.93       0.45         0.85            25.11
   0 H John Carroll    ( 6- 7, 95.3)     9- 4       -4.59      33.33      -0.45         0.85            28.10
   0 H St Marys        ( 9- 8, 94.8)     8- 9       -5.09      32.83      -0.45         0.85            -4.73
   0 A McDonogh Schoo  (12- 2, 97.5)     5- 9       -2.45      35.47       0.45         0.85            -1.71
   0 H Roland Park Co  ( 7- 7, 93.8)    10- 6       -6.05      31.87      -0.45         0.85            26.85
   0 A Severn School   ( 8- 6, 94.7)    13-11       -5.20      32.72       0.45         0.85            28.34
   0 A Garrison Fores  ( 4-11, 87.5)    15- 1      -12.37      25.55       0.45         0.85            22.22
   0 H Bryn Mawr SG    ( 6- 8, 94.0)     8- 6       -5.94      31.98      -0.45         0.85            26.95
   0 A Maryvale Prep   (12- 4, 97.3)     9- 6       -2.60      35.32       0.45         0.85            30.57
   0 H John Carroll    ( 6- 7, 95.3)     9- 4       -4.59      33.33      -0.45         0.85            28.10
   0 A Archbishop Spa  (12- 5, 96.4)     9-10       -3.50      34.42       0.45         0.85            -2.61
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       260.17

winning pts = 271.8237 losing points = -11.6542

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------