South Walton
W-L: (17- 4) PR = 83.5566Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 H North Bay Haven ( 4- 8, 75.2) 17- 2 212 A Fort Walton Beach ( 0-13, 61.6) 23- 3 213 A Milton ( 3-11, 67.8) 16- 0 218 H West Florida ( 5- 7, 72.1) 15- 1 219 H Maclay ( 8- 7, 75.0) 19- 3 225 H Niceville ( 6- 8, 76.4) 12- 3 226 A Gulf Breeze (12- 6, 82.1) 8- 5 228 A Nease ( 7-10, 78.9) 12-10 301 A Bolles School (10- 6, 85.1) 8- 9 305 A Pensacola Catholic (18- 4, 87.6) 6-19 307 A Tate ( 4-13, 70.2) 21- 2 311 A Washington ( 7- 7, 74.6) 13- 4 327 A Niceville ( 6- 8, 76.4) 17- 6 331 A Gulf Breeze (12- 6, 82.1) 11-10 403 A North Bay Haven ( 4- 8, 75.2) 19- 0 404 H Seacoast Collegiate (10- 4, 78.4) 14- 4 409 H Pensacola ( 1-12, 65.0) 26- 0 410 H Seacoast Collegiate (10- 4, 78.4) 16-13 415 A Pensacola Catholic (18- 4, 87.6) 3-15 425 A Bolles School (10- 6, 85.1) 9- 8 429 A Episcopal School (15- 4, 92.5) 6-21
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
210 H North Bay Haven 17- 2 15 9 0.00
212 A Fort Walton Beach 23- 3 20 21 0.00
213 A Milton 16- 0 16 15 0.00
218 H West Florida 15- 1 14 12 0.00
219 H Maclay 19- 3 16 9 0.00
225 H Niceville 12- 3 9 8 0.00
226 A Gulf Breeze 8- 5 3 1 1.97
228 A Nease 12-10 2 4 - -2.17
301 A Bolles School 8- 9 -1 -2 1.00
305 A Pensacola Catholic 6-19 -13 -4 -0.53
307 A Tate 21- 2 19 13 0.00
311 A Washington 13- 4 9 8 0.00
327 A Niceville 17- 6 11 7 0.00
331 A Gulf Breeze 11-10 1 1 -0.03
403 A North Bay Haven 19- 0 19 8 0.00
404 H Seacoast Collegiate 14- 4 10 6 0.00
409 H Pensacola 26- 0 26 19 0.00
410 H Seacoast Collegiate 16-13 3 6 - -2.00
415 A Pensacola Catholic 3-15 -12 -4 -0.53
425 A Bolles School 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.00
429 A Episcopal School 6-21 -15 -9 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Nease 12-10 2 4 - -2.17 410 H Seacoast Collegiate 16-13 3 6 - -2.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 A Bolles School 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.00 |
South Walton Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Saints Academy | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Alonso | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| American Heritage Delray | American Heritage Delray | American Heritage Delray | ||
| American Heritage Planta | American Heritage Planta | American Heritage Planta | ||
| Angeline Academy | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Apopka | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Archbishop McCarthy | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Atlantic Coast | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Atlantic-Delray Beach | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Aubrey Rogers | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Barron Collier | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Bartow | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Bartram Trail | Bartram Trail | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Bartram Trail | |
| Beachside | South Walton | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Walton | |
| Benjamin School | Benjamin School | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Benjamin School | |
| Berkeley Prep | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Bishop Moore | Bishop Moore | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Bishop Moore | |
| Bishop Verot | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Bloomingdale | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Boca Ciega | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Boca Raton | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Bolles School | Bolles School | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 2) | Bolles School | |
| Boone | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Bradenton Christian | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Buchholz | South Walton | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | South Walton | |
| Calvary Christian Academ | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Calvary Christian HS | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Canterbury School | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Cape Coral | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Cardinal Mooney | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Cardinal Newman | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Celebration | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Clearwater Central Catho | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Cocoa Beach | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Colonial | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Community School Naples | Community School Naples | Community School Naples | ||
| Cooper City | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Coral Glades | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Coral Reef | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Coral Shores | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Coral Springs | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Countryside | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Creekside | South Walton | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | South Walton | |
| Cypress Bay | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Cypress Creek Orlando | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Cypress Creek Wesley | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Cypress Lake | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Discovery | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Dr Joaquin Garcia | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Durant | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Dwyer | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| East Lake | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| East Ridge | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| East River | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Eastside | South Walton | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Walton | |
| Edgewater | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Edgewood | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Episcopal School | Episcopal School | Episcopal School | ||
| Estero | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Evans | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| First Academy | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Flagler Palm Coast | South Walton | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Walton | |
| Fleming Island | South Walton | South Walton 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Fletcher | South Walton | South Walton 3- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Forest | South Walton | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | South Walton | |
| Fort Myers | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Fort Walton Beach | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Freedom Orlando | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Freedom Tampa | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Gainesville | South Walton | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | South Walton | |
| Gateway | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| George Steinbrenner | George Steinbrenner | George Steinbrenner | ||
| Golden Gate | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Gulf Breeze | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Gulf Coast | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Gulliver Prep | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Hagerty | Hagerty | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Hagerty | |
| Holy Names Academy | Holy Names Academy | Holy Names Academy | ||
| Holy Trinity Episcopal | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Horizon | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| IMG Academy | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| IMG National | IMG National | IMG National | ||
| Immokalee | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Innovation | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Jensen Beach | Jensen Beach | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Jensen Beach | |
| Jupiter | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Jupiter Christian | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Key West | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Keys Gate | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Kings Academy | Kings Academy | Kings Academy | ||
| Lake Brantley | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Lake Buena Vista | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Lake Highland Prep | Lake Highland Prep | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) | Lake Highland Prep | |
| Lake Howell | Lake Howell | Lake Howell | ||
| Lake Mary HS | Lake Mary HS | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Lake Mary HS | |
| Lake Minneola | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Lake Nona | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Lake Wales | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Lakeland | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Lakeland Christian | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Lakewood Ranch | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Land O Lakes | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Largo | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Leesburg | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Lely | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Lourdes Academy | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Lyman | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Maclay | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Manatee | Manatee | Manatee | ||
| Mandarin | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Marco Island Academy | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Martin County | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Matanzas | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Melbourne | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Menendez | South Walton | South Walton 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Merritt Island | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Miami Country Day | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Miami Palmetto | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Milton | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Mitchell | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Naples | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Navarre | South Walton | insuffient: ( 9- 1)( 8- 2) | South Walton | |
| Nease | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Newberry | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Newsome | Newsome | Newsome | ||
| Niceville | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| North Bay Haven | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| North Broward Prep | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Northeast Oakland Park | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Northeast St Petersburg | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Northside Christian | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| NSU University School | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Oak Hall | Oak Hall | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 1) | Oak Hall | |
| Ocoee | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Okeechobee | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Olympia | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Olympic Heights | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Orangewood Christian | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Osceola | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Out-of-Door Academy | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Oviedo | Oviedo | Oviedo | ||
| Oxbridge Academy | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Palm Beach Central | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Palm Beach Gardens | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Palm Harbor University | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Palmer Trinity | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Palmetto Ridge | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Park Vista | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Parrish Community | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Pasco | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Paxon Institute | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Pensacola | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Pensacola Catholic | Pensacola Catholic | Pensacola Catholic | ||
| Pine Crest | Pine Crest | Pine Crest | ||
| Plant | Plant | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) | Plant | |
| Pompano Beach | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Ponte Vedra | Ponte Vedra | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) | Ponte Vedra | |
| Providence School | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Ransom Everglades | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| River Ridge | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Riverdale | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Riverside | South Walton | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | South Walton | |
| Riverview Sarasota | Riverview Sarasota | Riverview Sarasota | ||
| Robinson | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Rockledge | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Sandalwood | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Santa Fe | South Walton | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Walton | |
| Sarasota | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Satellite | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Seacoast Collegiate | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Sebastian River | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Seminole | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Seminole Ridge | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Shorecrest Prep | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Sickles | Sickles | Sickles | ||
| South Fork | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| South Lake | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| South Plantation | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Spanish River | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| St Andrews | St Andrews | St Andrews | ||
| St Augustine | South Walton | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | South Walton | |
| St Brendan | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| St Cloud | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| St Edwards | St Edwards | St Edwards | ||
| St John Paul II | St John Paul II | St John Paul II | ||
| St Joseph Academy | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| St Petersburg | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| St Petersburg Catholic | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| St Stephens Episcopal | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | ||
| Stanton Prep | South Walton | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | South Walton | |
| Stoneman Douglas | Stoneman Douglas | Stoneman Douglas | ||
| Suncoast | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Sunlake | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Tampa Catholic | Tampa Catholic | Tampa Catholic | ||
| Tate | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Timber Creek | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Tocoi Creek | South Walton | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | South Walton | |
| Tohopekaliga | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Trinity Catholic | South Walton | South Walton 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Trinity Prep | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Venice | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Vero Beach | Vero Beach | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) | Vero Beach | |
| Viera | Viera | Viera | ||
| Village School | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Washington | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Wekiva | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Wellington | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Wesley Chapel | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| West Boca Raton | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| West Broward | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| West Florida | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| West Orange | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Western | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Westminster Christian | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Wharton | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Windermere HS | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Windermere Prep | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Winter Haven | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Winter Park | South Walton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | South Walton | |
| Winter Springs | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Wiregrass Ranch | South Walton | South Walton | ||
| Wolfson | South Walton | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Walton |
PowerWise = 189
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.34
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H North Bay Have ( 4- 8, 75.2) 17- 2 -24.73 17.37 -0.45 0.68 11.55
0 A Fort Walton Be ( 0-13, 61.6) 23- 3 -38.25 3.85 0.45 0.68 2.94
0 A Milton ( 3-11, 67.8) 16- 0 -32.06 10.04 0.45 0.68 7.16
0 H West Florida ( 5- 7, 72.1) 15- 1 -27.78 14.32 -0.45 0.68 9.46
0 H Maclay ( 8- 7, 75.0) 19- 3 -24.92 17.18 -0.45 0.68 11.42
0 H Niceville ( 6- 8, 76.4) 12- 3 -23.48 18.62 -0.45 0.68 12.40
0 A Gulf Breeze (12- 6, 82.1) 8- 5 -17.83 24.27 0.45 0.68 16.88
0 A Nease ( 7-10, 78.9) 12-10 -20.97 21.13 0.45 0.68 14.74
0 A Bolles School (10- 6, 85.1) 8- 9 -14.79 27.31 0.45 0.68 -9.79
0 A Pensacola Cath (18- 4, 87.6) 6-19 -12.32 29.78 0.45 0.68 -8.10
0 A Tate ( 4-13, 70.2) 21- 2 -29.67 12.43 0.45 0.68 8.80
0 A Washington ( 7- 7, 74.6) 13- 4 -25.29 16.81 0.45 0.68 11.79
0 A Niceville ( 6- 8, 76.4) 17- 6 -23.48 18.62 0.45 0.68 13.02
0 A Gulf Breeze (12- 6, 82.1) 11-10 -17.83 24.27 0.45 0.68 16.88
0 A North Bay Have ( 4- 8, 75.2) 19- 0 -24.73 17.37 0.45 0.68 12.17
0 H Seacoast Colle (10- 4, 78.4) 14- 4 -21.53 20.57 -0.45 0.68 13.73
0 H Pensacola ( 1-12, 65.0) 26- 0 -34.90 7.20 -0.45 0.68 4.60
0 H Seacoast Colle (10- 4, 78.4) 16-13 -21.53 20.57 -0.45 0.68 13.73
0 A Pensacola Cath (18- 4, 87.6) 3-15 -12.32 29.78 0.45 0.68 -8.10
0 A Bolles School (10- 6, 85.1) 9- 8 -14.79 27.31 0.45 0.68 18.95
0 A Episcopal Scho (15- 4, 92.5) 6-21 -7.39 34.71 0.45 0.68 -4.73
------
169.51
|
winning pts = 200.2392 losing points = -30.7322
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------