---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:42 PDT

safe3step girls South Windsor 1
  
South Windsor         
W-L: ( 3-12) PR = 77.5276

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 407 A Simsbury (17- 2, 91.0) 5-16 409 A Hall (11- 5, 82.9) 6-16 411 H Southington ( 9- 9, 81.7) 5-16 422 A Waterford (12- 7, 81.5) 4-19 425 H RHAM ( 6-10, 77.0) 8- 6 429 A Tolland (14- 4, 81.2) 6-14 502 H Conard (18- 2, 92.3) 4-19 508 A Newington ( 7-11, 77.8) 14-13 512 H Glastonbury ( 9- 9, 81.4) 8-11 513 H Avon HS ( 1-14, 78.1) 10- 9 516 A Ellington (10- 9, 81.7) 6-19 519 A Suffield HS (19- 2, 85.4) 8-17 521 A Farmington (13- 6, 83.3) 0-14 523 A East Catholic (11- 8, 79.0) 8-11 527 A Glastonbury ( 9- 9, 81.4) 4-10

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Simsbury                5-16     -11   -14           0.00
   409 A Hall                    6-16     -10    -6           0.00
   411 H Southington             5-16     -11    -3          -1.52
   422 A Waterford               4-19     -15    -5          -0.34
   425 H RHAM                    8- 6       2     1           0.75
   429 A Tolland                 6-14      -8    -4          -0.61
   502 H Conard                  4-19     -15   -14           0.00
   508 A Newington              14-13       1    -1           1.97
   512 H Glastonbury             8-11      -3    -3           0.17
   513 H Avon HS                10- 9       1     0           0.84
   516 A Ellington               6-19     -13    -5          -0.05
   519 A Suffield HS             8-17      -9    -9           0.00
   521 A Farmington              0-14     -14    -6           0.00
   523 A East Catholic           8-11      -3    -2          -0.83
   527 A Glastonbury             4-10      -6    -5          -0.38

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

South Windsor Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional Amity Regional   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Avon HS South Windsor South Windsor  
Bacon/East Hampton South Windsor insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) South Windsor
Berlin South Windsor South Windsor   3- 5 vs 1- 7
Bethel Bethel   Bethel
Branford Branford Branford   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Brien McMahon
Bristol Central South Windsor   South Windsor
Bristol Eastern Bristol Eastern   Bristol Eastern
Brookfield Brookfield   Brookfield
Canton Canton tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Canton
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Conard Conard Conard  
Cromwell South Windsor   South Windsor
Danbury South Windsor   South Windsor
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand Daniel Hand   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Darien Darien   Darien
East Catholic East Catholic East Catholic  
East Lyme East Lyme insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) East Lyme
Ellington Ellington Ellington  
Enfield South Windsor   South Windsor
EO Smith South Windsor South Windsor   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Farmington Farmington Farmington  
Fitch South Windsor tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) South Windsor
Foran Foran   Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury Glastonbury  
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Granby Memorial
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Greenwich HS
Griswold-Norwich Tech South Windsor   South Windsor
Guilford Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Guilford
Haddam-Killingworth South Windsor tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) South Windsor
Hall Hall Hall  
Hamden Hamden   Hamden
Housatonic Regional South Windsor   South Windsor
Immaculate Heart South Windsor   South Windsor
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law South Windsor   South Windsor
Killingly South Windsor tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) South Windsor
Lakeview United South Windsor tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) South Windsor
Lauralton Hall Lauralton Hall insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lauralton Hall
Ledyard Ledyard tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Ledyard
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Lewis Mills
Lyman Hall Lyman Hall   Lyman Hall
Masuk Masuk tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Masuk
Mercy Mercy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mercy
Middletown-Coginchaug South Windsor   South Windsor
Montville South Windsor   South Windsor
Morgan School South Windsor   South Windsor
New Canaan New Canaan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) New Fairfield
New London/St Bernards South Windsor   South Windsor
New Milford South Windsor   South Windsor
Newington South Windsor South Windsor  
Newtown Newtown tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Newtown
North Branford South Windsor   South Windsor
North Haven South Windsor   South Windsor
Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic insuffient: ( 2- 8)( 3- 7) Northwest Catholic
Norwalk South Windsor   South Windsor
Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Norwich Free Academy
Notre Dame Fairfield South Windsor tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) South Windsor
Old Lyme Old Lyme tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Old Lyme
Old Saybrook South Windsor tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) South Windsor
Pomperaug Pomperaug   Pomperaug
RHAM South Windsor South Windsor  
Ridgefield Ridgefield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ridgefield
Rockville South Windsor insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) South Windsor
Rocky Hill South Windsor insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 0- 6) South Windsor
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy   Sacred Heart Academy
Sheehan Sheehan   Sheehan
Shelton South Windsor   South Windsor
Simsbury Simsbury Simsbury  
Somers Somers insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Somers
Southington Southington Southington  
St Joseph St Joseph insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Joseph
St Paul Catholic South Windsor insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) South Windsor
Stamford Stamford   Stamford
Staples Staples insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Staples
Stonington Stonington insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Stonington
Stratford-Bunnell South Windsor   South Windsor
Suffield HS Suffield HS Suffield HS  
Tolland Tolland Tolland  
Trumbull Trumbull tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Trumbull
Valley Regional South Windsor   South Windsor
Waterford Waterford Waterford  
Watertown South Windsor insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South Windsor
West Haven South Windsor   South Windsor
Westhill Westhill   Westhill
Weston Weston tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Weston
Wethersfield South Windsor insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) South Windsor
Wheeler Wheeler tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wheeler
Wilton Wilton   Wilton
Windsor South Windsor insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) South Windsor
Wolcott South Windsor tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) South Windsor
Woodstock Academy South Windsor insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South Windsor

PowerWise = 40


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Simsbury        (17- 2, 91.0)     5-16       -8.92      25.89       0.73         1.17            -9.56
   0 A Hall            (11- 5, 82.9)     6-16      -16.99      17.82       0.73         1.17           -18.98
   0 H Southington     ( 9- 9, 81.7)     5-16      -18.17      16.64      -0.73         1.17           -22.05
   0 A Waterford       (12- 7, 81.5)     4-19      -18.44      16.37       0.73         1.17           -20.68
   0 H RHAM            ( 6-10, 77.0)     8- 6      -22.90      11.91      -0.73         1.17            13.05
   0 A Tolland         (14- 4, 81.2)     6-14      -18.71      16.10       0.73         1.17           -20.98
   0 H Conard          (18- 2, 92.3)     4-19       -7.57      27.24      -0.73         1.17            -9.68
   0 A Newington       ( 7-11, 77.8)    14-13      -22.13      12.68       0.73         1.17            15.64
   0 H Glastonbury     ( 9- 9, 81.4)     8-11      -18.48      16.33      -0.73         1.17           -22.41
   0 H Avon HS         ( 1-14, 78.1)    10- 9      -21.80      13.00      -0.73         1.17            14.33
   0 A Ellington       (10- 9, 81.7)     6-19      -18.15      16.66       0.73         1.17           -20.34
   0 A Suffield HS     (19- 2, 85.4)     8-17      -14.54      20.27       0.73         1.17           -16.12
   0 A Farmington      (13- 6, 83.3)     0-14      -16.60      18.20       0.73         1.17           -18.53
   0 A East Catholic   (11- 8, 79.0)     8-11      -20.93      13.88       0.73         1.17           -23.58
   0 A Glastonbury     ( 9- 9, 81.4)     4-10      -18.48      16.33       0.73         1.17           -20.72
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -180.60

winning pts = 43.0226 losing points = -223.6263

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------