South Lakes
W-L: (12- 3) PR = 92.8082Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 H Herndon ( 1- 9, 82.0) 11- 5 319 H Hayfield ( 5- 7, 80.3) 15- 2 321 A Wakefield School ( 5- 9, 87.7) 15- 9 328 A Annandale ( 1- 7, 75.7) 17- 2 329 N Woodson ( 7-10, 87.5) 10- 2 329 A Robinson (11- 6, 90.9) 7- 6 401 A Oakton ( 9- 4, 94.5) 4-10 404 H Stone Bridge ( 8- 2, 88.8) 10- 9 425 H Centreville ( 3- 8, 88.6) 15- 3 503 N Falls Church ( 8- 6, 83.3) 14- 4 507 H Madison (15- 4, 95.8) 7- 6 512 A Charlottesville ( 8- 7, 89.5) 16-10 515 H Centreville ( 3- 8, 88.6) 14- 5 519 A Oakton ( 9- 4, 94.5) 7-10 523 A Langley ( 8- 3, 93.9) 12-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
317 H Herndon 11- 5 6 11 0.00
319 H Hayfield 15- 2 13 13 0.00
321 A Wakefield School 15- 9 6 4 0.53
328 A Annandale 17- 2 15 16 0.00
329 N Woodson 10- 2 8 5 0.00
329 A Robinson 7- 6 1 1 -0.22
401 A Oakton 4-10 -6 -2 - -2.64
404 H Stone Bridge 10- 9 1 5 - -3.68
425 H Centreville 15- 3 12 5 0.09
503 N Falls Church 14- 4 10 10 0.00
507 H Madison 7- 6 1 -2 + 3.30
512 A Charlottesville 16-10 6 3 + 2.42
515 H Centreville 14- 5 9 5 0.09
519 A Oakton 7-10 -3 -2 -0.64
523 A Langley 12-13 -1 -2 0.82
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 A Oakton 4-10 -6 -2 - -2.64 404 H Stone Bridge 10- 9 1 5 - -3.68 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 507 H Madison 7- 6 1 -2 + 3.30 512 A Charlottesville 16-10 6 3 + 2.42 |
South Lakes Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Alexandria City | South Lakes | South Lakes 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Annandale | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Atlee | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Battlefield | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Bayside | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Benedictine | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Bishop Ireton | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Bishop OConnell | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Blacksburg | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Blue Ridge School | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Brentsville | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Briar Woods | South Lakes | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Lakes | |
| Broad Run | South Lakes | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Lakes | |
| Brooke Point | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Cape Henry Collegiat | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Catholic HS | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Cave Spring | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Centreville | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Chantilly | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Charlottesville | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Christchurch | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Christiansburg | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Clover Hill | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Colgan | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Collegiate School | South Lakes | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Lakes | |
| Colonial Forge | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Cosby | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Covenant School | South Lakes | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Lakes | |
| Cox | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Culpeper County | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Deep Run | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Dominion | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Douglas Freeman | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Eastern View | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| EC Glass | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Edison | South Lakes | South Lakes 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Episcopal | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Eukarya Christian | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Fairfax | South Lakes | South Lakes 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Falls Church | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Fauquier | South Lakes | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Lakes | |
| First Colonial | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Fishburne Military A | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Flint Hill | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Fluvanna County | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Forest Park | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Fork Union Military | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Franklin County | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Fredericksburg Acade | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Fredericksburg Chris | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Freedom South Ridin | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Freedom Woodbridge | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Gainesville | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Gar-field | South Lakes | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Lakes | |
| Glen Allen | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Goochland | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Grafton LC | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Grassfield LC | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Green Run | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Handley | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Hanover | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Hayfield | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Heritage Leesburg | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Herndon | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Hickory LC | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Hidden Valley | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Highland School | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Highland Springs | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Hylton | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Independence | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| James Monroe | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| James River | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Jamestown LC | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Jefferson Forest | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| John Champe | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Justice | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Kellam | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Kempsville | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Kettle Run | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Lafayette LC | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Lake Braddock | South Lakes | South Lakes 6- 0 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Landstown | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Langley | Langley | Langley | ||
| Lewis | South Lakes | South Lakes 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Liberty Bealeton | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Lightridge | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Lloyd C Bird | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Lord Botetourt | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Loudoun County | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Loudoun Valley | South Lakes | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Lakes | |
| Madison | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Manchester | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Marshall | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Massaponax | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Matoaca | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Maury LC | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| McLean | South Lakes | South Lakes 5- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Mechanicsville | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Menchville LC | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Meridian | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Midlothian | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Mills Godwin | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Monacan | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Monticello | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Mount Vernon | South Lakes | South Lakes 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Mountain View | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| New Covenant School | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Norfolk Academy | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Norfolk Christian | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Norfolk Collegiate | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| North Cross School | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| North Stafford | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Northern VA Home Sch | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Oakton | Oakton | Oakton | ||
| Ocean Lakes | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Orange County | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Osbourn | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Osbourn Park | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Park View | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Patrick Henry Ashla | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Patrick Henry Roano | South Lakes | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Lakes | |
| Patriot | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Paul VI | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Potomac Falls | South Lakes | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | South Lakes | |
| Potomac School | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Potomac-Dumfries | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Powhatan | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Princess Anne | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Riverbend | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Riverside | South Lakes | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | South Lakes | |
| Robinson | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Rock Ridge | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Rockbridge County | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Rockingham LC | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Salem | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Salem Virginia Beach | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Seton School | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| South County | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St Annes-Belfield | |
| St Christophers | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| St John Paul the Gre | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| St Stephen-St Agnes | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Stafford | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Steward School | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Stone Bridge | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Strasburg LC | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Tabb LC | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Tallwood | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Tandem Friends | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Thomas Dale | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | South Lakes | South Lakes 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Trinity Christian | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Trinity Episcopal | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Trinity Meadow View | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Tuscarora | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Unity Reed | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Veritas School | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Virginia Academy | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Virginia Episcopal S | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Wakefield HS | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Wakefield School | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Washington-Liberty | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| West Potomac | South Lakes | South Lakes 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| West Springfield | South Lakes | South Lakes 6- 1 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Western Albemarle | |
| Westfield | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| William Byrd | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| William Fleming | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Woodberry Forest | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Woodbridge | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Woodgrove | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Woodson | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| York LC | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| Yorktown | Yorktown | Yorktown 9- 0 vs 7- 2 |
PowerWise = 171
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 2.96
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Herndon ( 1- 9, 82.0) 11- 5 -17.89 11.69 -0.69 0.20 2.17
0 H Hayfield ( 5- 7, 80.3) 15- 2 -19.56 10.02 -0.69 0.20 1.84
0 A Wakefield Scho ( 5- 9, 87.7) 15- 9 -12.25 17.33 0.69 0.20 3.56
0 A Annandale ( 1- 7, 75.7) 17- 2 -24.22 5.36 0.69 0.20 1.19
0 N Woodson ( 7-10, 87.5) 10- 2 -12.43 17.15 -0.00 0.20 3.39
0 A Robinson (11- 6, 90.9) 7- 6 -9.00 20.58 0.69 0.20 4.20
0 A Oakton ( 9- 4, 94.5) 4-10 -5.42 24.16 0.69 0.20 -0.93
0 H Stone Bridge ( 8- 2, 88.8) 10- 9 -11.08 18.50 -0.69 0.20 3.52
0 H Centreville ( 3- 8, 88.6) 15- 3 -11.31 18.27 -0.69 0.20 3.47
0 N Falls Church ( 8- 6, 83.3) 14- 4 -16.64 12.94 -0.00 0.20 2.55
0 H Madison (15- 4, 95.8) 7- 6 -4.10 25.48 -0.69 0.20 4.89
0 A Charlottesvill ( 8- 7, 89.5) 16-10 -10.36 19.22 0.69 0.20 3.93
0 H Centreville ( 3- 8, 88.6) 14- 5 -11.31 18.27 -0.69 0.20 3.47
0 A Oakton ( 9- 4, 94.5) 7-10 -5.42 24.16 0.69 0.20 -0.93
0 A Langley ( 8- 3, 93.9) 12-13 -5.96 23.62 0.69 0.20 -1.04
------
35.27
|
winning pts = 38.1775 losing points = -2.9087
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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