---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:42 PDT

safe3step girls Southington 1
  
Southington           
W-L: ( 9- 9) PR = 81.7343

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Avon HS ( 1-14, 78.1) 18- 4 411 A South Windsor ( 3-12, 77.5) 16- 5 417 A Glastonbury ( 9- 9, 81.4) 8- 6 423 H Conard (18- 2, 92.3) 5-13 425 A Rocky Hill ( 5-11, 76.5) 11-10 430 H Amity Regional (15- 6, 89.2) 10-21 502 H Farmington (13- 6, 83.3) 7- 9 503 H Joel Barlow ( 9-10, 82.3) 7- 6 505 H Newington ( 7-11, 77.8) 15- 5 509 H Tolland (14- 4, 81.2) 7- 8 512 A Hall (11- 5, 82.9) 7-10 513 H Trumbull (10- 7, 81.1) 10- 5 516 A Greenwich HS ( 6- 7, 90.3) 3-19 520 A Berlin ( 9-10, 77.0) 19- 5 523 A Simsbury (17- 2, 91.0) 6-17 527 H Newington ( 7-11, 77.8) 16- 2 529 A Farmington (13- 6, 83.3) 7-13 603 A Fairfield Ludlowe (11- 8, 87.4) 4-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Avon HS                18- 4      14     4           0.64
   411 A South Windsor          16- 5      11     3           1.52
   417 A Glastonbury             8- 6       2     0    +      2.41
   423 H Conard                  5-13      -8   -10           0.00
   425 A Rocky Hill             11-10       1     4    -     -3.49
   430 H Amity Regional         10-21     -11    -7           0.00
   502 H Farmington              7- 9      -2    -1          -1.16
   503 H Joel Barlow             7- 6       1     0           0.87
   505 H Newington              15- 5      10     5           0.31
   509 H Tolland                 7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.27
   512 A Hall                    7-10      -3    -2          -1.10
   513 H Trumbull               10- 5       5     1    +      3.69
   516 A Greenwich HS            3-19     -16    -9           0.00
   520 A Berlin                 19- 5      14     4           0.98
   523 A Simsbury                6-17     -11   -10           0.00
   527 H Newington              16- 2      14     5           0.31
   529 A Farmington              7-13      -6    -2    -     -2.71
   603 A Fairfield Ludlowe       4-16     -12    -6           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Rocky Hill             11-10       1     4    -     -3.49
   509 H Tolland                 7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.27
   529 A Farmington              7-13      -6    -2    -     -2.71

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Glastonbury             8- 6       2     0    +      2.41
   513 H Trumbull               10- 5       5     1    +      3.69

Southington Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional Amity Regional  
Avon HS Southington Southington  
Bacon/East Hampton Southington insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Southington
Berlin Southington Southington  
Bethel Southington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southington
Branford Branford tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Branford
Brien McMahon Southington insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Southington
Bristol Central Southington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southington
Bristol Eastern Southington   Southington
Brookfield Brookfield tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Brookfield
Canton Southington   Southington
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Conard Conard Conard  
Cromwell Southington   Southington
Danbury Southington insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Southington
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) Daniel Hand
Darien Darien Darien   3- 0 vs 1- 2
East Catholic Southington insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3) Southington
East Lyme East Lyme tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) East Lyme
Ellington Ellington insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) Ellington
Enfield Southington   Southington
EO Smith Southington insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Southington
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe  
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Fairfield Warde
Farmington Farmington Farmington  
Fitch Southington   Southington
Foran Southington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southington
Glastonbury Southington Southington  
Granby Memorial Southington tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Southington
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS Greenwich HS  
Griswold-Norwich Tech Southington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southington
Guilford Guilford tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) Guilford
Haddam-Killingworth Southington tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southington
Hall Hall Hall  
Hamden Southington insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Southington
Housatonic Regional Southington   Southington
Immaculate Heart Southington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southington
Joel Barlow Southington Southington  
Jonathan Law Southington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southington
Killingly Southington   Southington
Lakeview United Southington   Southington
Lauralton Hall Lauralton Hall insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Lauralton Hall
Ledyard Southington   Southington
Lewis Mills Southington tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Southington
Lyman Hall Southington   Southington
Masuk Masuk Masuk   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Mercy Southington   Southington
Middletown-Coginchaug Southington Southington   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Montville Southington   Southington
Morgan School Southington insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Southington
New Canaan New Canaan insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) New Fairfield
New London/St Bernards Southington   Southington
New Milford Southington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southington
Newington Southington Southington  
Newtown Newtown insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Newtown
North Branford Southington   Southington
North Haven Southington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southington
Northwest Catholic Southington Southington   3- 5 vs 1- 7
Norwalk Southington insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Southington
Norwich Free Academy Southington tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southington
Notre Dame Fairfield Southington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southington
Old Lyme Southington   Southington
Old Saybrook Southington   Southington
Pomperaug Southington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southington
RHAM Southington Southington   5- 2 vs 2- 5
Ridgefield Ridgefield Ridgefield   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Rockville Southington   Southington
Rocky Hill Southington Southington  
Sacred Heart Academy Southington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southington
Sheehan Southington   Southington
Shelton Southington insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Southington
Simsbury Simsbury Simsbury  
Somers Southington tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southington
South Windsor Southington Southington  
St Joseph St Joseph tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) St Joseph
St Paul Catholic Southington Southington   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Stamford Stamford insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Stamford
Staples Staples Staples   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Stonington Southington   Southington
Stratford-Bunnell Southington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southington
Suffield HS Suffield HS tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Suffield HS
Tolland Tolland Tolland  
Trumbull Southington Southington  
Valley Regional Southington   Southington
Waterford Southington tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southington
Watertown Southington Southington   2- 0 vs 0- 2
West Haven Southington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Southington
Westhill Southington insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Southington
Weston Weston tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Weston
Wethersfield Southington insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Southington
Wheeler Southington   Southington
Wilton Wilton Wilton   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Windsor Southington insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Southington
Wolcott Southington   Southington
Woodstock Academy Southington   Southington

PowerWise = 67


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Avon HS         ( 1-14, 78.1)    18- 4      -21.80      13.00      -0.73         0.97            11.94
   0 A South Windsor   ( 3-12, 77.5)    16- 5      -22.37      12.44       0.73         0.97            12.80
   0 A Glastonbury     ( 9- 9, 81.4)     8- 6      -18.48      16.33       0.73         0.97            16.59
   0 H Conard          (18- 2, 92.3)     5-13       -7.57      27.24      -0.73         0.97            -8.07
   0 A Rocky Hill      ( 5-11, 76.5)    11-10      -23.38      11.43       0.73         0.97            11.82
   0 H Amity Regional  (15- 6, 89.2)    10-21      -10.74      24.07      -0.73         0.97           -11.15
   0 H Farmington      (13- 6, 83.3)     7- 9      -16.60      18.20      -0.73         0.97           -16.85
   0 H Joel Barlow     ( 9-10, 82.3)     7- 6      -17.57      17.24      -0.73         0.97            16.06
   0 H Newington       ( 7-11, 77.8)    15- 5      -22.13      12.68      -0.73         0.97            11.62
   0 H Tolland         (14- 4, 81.2)     7- 8      -18.71      16.10      -0.73         0.97           -18.90
   0 A Hall            (11- 5, 82.9)     7-10      -16.99      17.82       0.73         0.97           -15.82
   0 H Trumbull        (10- 7, 81.1)    10- 5      -18.75      16.06      -0.73         0.97            14.91
   0 A Greenwich HS    ( 6- 7, 90.3)     3-19       -9.60      25.21       0.73         0.97            -8.63
   0 A Berlin          ( 9-10, 77.0)    19- 5      -22.91      11.90       0.73         0.97            12.28
   0 A Simsbury        (17- 2, 91.0)     6-17       -8.92      25.89       0.73         0.97            -7.97
   0 H Newington       ( 7-11, 77.8)    16- 2      -22.13      12.68      -0.73         0.97            11.62
   0 A Farmington      (13- 6, 83.3)     7-13      -16.60      18.20       0.73         0.97           -15.44
   0 A Fairfield Ludl  (11- 8, 87.4)     4-16      -12.47      22.34       0.73         0.97           -11.42
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                         5.39

winning pts = 119.6368 losing points = -114.2468

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------