---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:58 PDT

safe3step girls South Mecklenburg 1
  
South Mecklenburg     
W-L: (10- 6) PR = 82.0089

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 A Myers Park (14- 7, 90.0) 4-17 225 A Southlake Christian ( 8- 5, 79.7) 8- 7 304 A Providence ( 3-10, 77.9) 13- 5 313 A Butler ( 3-12, 71.9) 16- 4 317 A Ardrey Kell ( 7-11, 82.9) 12-11 324 H Independence ( 0-15, 66.8) 13- 2 328 H Lincoln Charter ( 0-12, 71.6) 15- 0 403 A North Lincoln ( 8-10, 74.9) 17- 6 404 H Charlotte Christian ( 4-11, 84.0) 8- 9 409 A Ballantyne Ridge (10- 6, 80.6) 9-12 423 H Mooresville ( 5-12, 75.0) 16- 3 424 H Lake Norman HS (13- 7, 89.0) 5-20 429 H Community School David (11- 7, 81.2) 11-10 505 H Charlotte Catholic (14- 5, 94.1) 2-19 507 A Ballantyne Ridge (10- 6, 80.6) 12- 6 514 A Ardrey Kell ( 7-11, 82.9) 7-11

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 A Myers Park              4-17     -13    -8           0.00
   225 A Southlake Christian     8- 7       1     2          -1.02
   304 A Providence             13- 5       8     4           1.17
   313 A Butler                 16- 4      12    10           0.00
   317 A Ardrey Kell            12-11       1    -1    +      2.16
   324 H Independence           13- 2      11    16           0.00
   328 H Lincoln Charter        15- 0      15    11           0.00
   403 A North Lincoln          17- 6      11     7           0.00
   404 H Charlotte Christian     8- 9      -1    -2           0.69
   409 A Ballantyne Ridge        9-12      -3     1    --    -4.08
   423 H Mooresville            16- 3      13     7           0.00
   424 H Lake Norman HS          5-20     -15    -7           0.00
   429 H Community School David 11-10       1     1          -0.07
   505 H Charlotte Catholic      2-19     -17   -12           0.00
   507 A Ballantyne Ridge       12- 6       6     1    +      3.92
   514 A Ardrey Kell             7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.84

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Ballantyne Ridge        9-12      -3     1    --    -4.08
   514 A Ardrey Kell             7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.84

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Ardrey Kell            12-11       1    -1    +      2.16
   507 A Ballantyne Ridge       12- 6       6     1    +      3.92

South Mecklenburg Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex   Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell tied - ( 4- 3) ( 4- 2) Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Academy Arendell Parrott Academy   Arendell Parrott Academy
Asheville HS South Mecklenburg tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) South Mecklenburg
Asheville School Asheville School   Asheville School
Ashley Ashley   Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Atkins South Mecklenburg insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) South Mecklenburg
Ballantyne Ridge South Mecklenburg insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 3- 3) South Mecklenburg
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) Bishop McGuinness
Broughton Broughton   Broughton
Butler South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg  
Cannon School Cannon School Cannon School   4- 0 vs 2- 3
Cape Fear Academy South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Cape Fear HS South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Cary Academy South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Cary HS South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic  
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   3- 1 vs 1- 4
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian  
Charlotte Latin School Charlotte Latin School Charlotte Latin School   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Christ the King Christ the King   Christ the King
Clayton South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Cleveland South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Community School Davidso South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg  
Corinth Holders South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Croatan Croatan   Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 2) Cuthbertson
Davidson Day School Davidson Day School tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Davidson Day School
Davie South Mecklenburg insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) South Mecklenburg
DH Conley South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Durham Academy South Mecklenburg tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) South Mecklenburg
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth South Mecklenburg tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) South Mecklenburg
Enloe South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Fayetteville Academy Fayetteville Academy   Fayetteville Academy
Fike South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
First Flight South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Forsyth CDS Forsyth CDS   Forsyth CDS
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Garner South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Glenn South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Greensboro Day School South Mecklenburg tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) South Mecklenburg
Grimsley South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Havelock South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Heritage South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Hickory South Mecklenburg insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) South Mecklenburg
High Point Central South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Hoggard Hoggard insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs   Holly Springs
Hopewell South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Hough Hough tied - ( 5- 2) ( 5- 1) Hough
Hunt South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Independence South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg  
Jack Britt South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Jacksonville South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
JH Rose JH Rose   JH Rose
Jordan South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 5- 1) Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS  
Laney Laney   Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road   Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg  
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   4- 1 vs 2- 5
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook   Millbrook
Mooresville South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg  
Mount Tabor South Mecklenburg insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South Mecklenburg
Myers Park Myers Park Myers Park  
New Bern New Bern   New Bern
New Hanover New Hanover   New Hanover
North Brunswick South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
North Davidson South Mecklenburg insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South Mecklenburg
North Lincoln South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg  
Northern Guilford South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Northside South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) Northwest Guilford
Northwood South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Page South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Panther Creek South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Parkwood South Mecklenburg insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 1) South Mecklenburg
Patton South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Pine Forest South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Pine Lake Prep South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg   4- 2 vs 2- 3
Pinecrest Pinecrest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pinecrest
Porter Ridge South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg   5- 1 vs 3- 2
Providence South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg  
Providence Day Providence Day Providence Day   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Ragsdale South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School   Ravenscroft School
Riverside Durham South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
RJ Reynolds South Mecklenburg tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) South Mecklenburg
Rolesville South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Ronald Reagan South Mecklenburg tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) South Mecklenburg
Sanderson South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Seaforth Seaforth   Seaforth
South Brunswick South Brunswick   South Brunswick
South Iredell South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg   6- 1 vs 3- 4
Southeast Guilford South Mecklenburg tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) South Mecklenburg
Southlake Christian South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg  
Southwest Guilford South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
St Davids School South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
St Marys St Marys   St Marys
St Stephens South Mecklenburg insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) South Mecklenburg
Sun Valley South Mecklenburg tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) South Mecklenburg
Swansboro Swansboro   Swansboro
TC Roberson South Mecklenburg insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South Mecklenburg
Terry Sanford South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Topsail Topsail tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Union Pines
Wake Forest Wake Forest   Wake Forest
Wakefield Wakefield tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Wakefield
Watauga South Mecklenburg insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South Mecklenburg
Weddington Weddington Weddington   3- 0 vs 1- 3
West Brunswick South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
West Forsyth West Forsyth tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) West Forsyth
West Stokes South Mecklenburg insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) South Mecklenburg
White Oak South Mecklenburg   South Mecklenburg
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 72


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Myers Park      (14- 7, 90.0)     4-17       -9.91      29.90       0.31         1.05           -10.12
   0 A Southlake Chri  ( 8- 5, 79.7)     8- 7      -20.22      19.59       0.31         1.05            20.97
   0 A Providence      ( 3-10, 77.9)    13- 5      -22.03      17.77       0.31         1.05            19.06
   0 A Butler          ( 3-12, 71.9)    16- 4      -27.98      11.82       0.31         1.05            12.78
   0 A Ardrey Kell     ( 7-11, 82.9)    12-11      -17.04      22.77       0.31         1.05            24.32
   0 H Independence    ( 0-15, 66.8)    13- 2      -33.12       6.69      -0.31         1.05             6.73
   0 H Lincoln Charte  ( 0-12, 71.6)    15- 0      -28.26      11.55      -0.31         1.05            11.85
   0 A North Lincoln   ( 8-10, 74.9)    17- 6      -24.98      14.83       0.31         1.05            15.95
   0 H Charlotte Chri  ( 4-11, 84.0)     8- 9      -15.90      23.91      -0.31         1.05           -17.08
   0 A Ballantyne Rid  (10- 6, 80.6)     9-12      -19.27      20.53       0.31         1.05           -20.00
   0 H Mooresville     ( 5-12, 75.0)    16- 3      -24.90      14.90      -0.31         1.05            15.39
   0 H Lake Norman HS  (13- 7, 89.0)     5-20      -10.86      28.94      -0.31         1.05           -11.77
   0 H Community Scho  (11- 7, 81.2)    11-10      -18.66      21.14      -0.31         1.05            21.97
   0 H Charlotte Cath  (14- 5, 94.1)     2-19       -5.83      33.98      -0.31         1.05            -6.47
   0 A Ballantyne Rid  (10- 6, 80.6)    12- 6      -19.27      20.53       0.31         1.05            21.96
   0 A Ardrey Kell     ( 7-11, 82.9)     7-11      -17.04      22.77       0.31         1.05           -17.64
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        87.91

winning pts = 170.9783 losing points = -83.0712

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------