Seneca Valley
W-L: ( 4- 9) PR = 68.4090Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Wheaton ( 6- 7, 71.5) 3- 8 324 H Northwest ( 8- 5, 76.9) 0-12 327 A Richard Montgomery ( 9- 6, 75.7) 0-17 331 H Gaithersburg ( 0-13, 65.2) 6- 4 402 A Clarksburg ( 4-10, 71.4) 2- 4 407 A Einstein ( 8- 5, 71.7) 2-14 409 H Bethesda-Chevy Chase ( 9- 5, 83.5) 0-11 411 H Poolesville ( 8- 6, 76.2) 2-11 423 A Kennedy ( 2-12, 65.4) 10- 6 425 H Northwood ( 4- 9, 70.2) 4- 5 426 A Paint Branch ( 3-10, 68.9) 11- 4 501 A Watkins Mill ( 1-12, 65.2) 8- 7 507 H Clarksburg ( 4-10, 71.4) 3- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 H Wheaton 3- 8 -5 -3 - -2.40
324 H Northwest 0-12 -12 -8 0.00
327 A Richard Montgomery 0-17 -17 -8 0.00
331 H Gaithersburg 6- 4 2 4 -1.68
402 A Clarksburg 2- 4 -2 -3 1.43
407 A Einstein 2-14 -12 -4 -1.23
409 H Bethesda-Chevy Chase 0-11 -11 -15 0.00
411 H Poolesville 2-11 -9 -7 0.00
423 A Kennedy 10- 6 4 3 1.44
425 H Northwood 4- 5 -1 -1 0.33
426 A Paint Branch 11- 4 7 -1 ++ 5.90
501 A Watkins Mill 8- 7 1 3 -1.72
507 H Clarksburg 3- 9 -6 -3 - -2.46
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 H Wheaton 3- 8 -5 -3 - -2.40 507 H Clarksburg 3- 9 -6 -3 - -2.46 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 426 A Paint Branch 11- 4 7 -1 ++ 5.90 |
Seneca Valley Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | Annapolis Area Christian | ||
| Anne Arundel County | Anne Arundel County | Anne Arundel County | ||
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Beth TFiloh | Beth TFiloh | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Bishop McNamara | Bishop McNamara | ||
| Brookewood SG | Brookewood SG | Brookewood SG | ||
| Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | ||
| Bullis School | Bullis School | Bullis School | ||
| Calverton School | Calverton School | Calverton School | ||
| Catholic High Baltimore | Catholic High Baltimore | Catholic High Baltimore | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Chapelgate Christian | Chapelgate Christian | ||
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Cristo Rey Jesuit | Cristo Rey Jesuit | ||
| DC International | DC International | DC International | ||
| EL Haynes Charter | EL Haynes Charter | EL Haynes Charter | ||
| Elizabeth Seton | Elizabeth Seton | Elizabeth Seton | ||
| FCA | FCA | FCA | ||
| Field School | Field School | Field School | ||
| Friends School | Friends School | Friends School | ||
| Garrison Forest | Garrison Forest | Garrison Forest | ||
| Georgetown Day School | Georgetown Day School | Georgetown Day School | ||
| Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | ||
| Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston Day School | Gunston Day School | Gunston Day School | ||
| Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | ||
| Holy Child | Holy Child | Holy Child | ||
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross | ||
| Indian Creek | Indian Creek | Indian Creek | ||
| Jackson-Reed | Jackson-Reed | Jackson-Reed | ||
| Jemicy | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Key School | Key School | ||
| KIPP College Prep | KIPP College Prep | KIPP College Prep | ||
| Maret School | Maret School | Maret School | ||
| Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | ||
| McDonogh School | McDonogh School | McDonogh School | ||
| Mercy | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | ||
| National Cathedral | National Cathedral | National Cathedral | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | ||
| Oldfields School | Oldfields School | Oldfields School | ||
| Park School | Park School | Park School | ||
| Rockbridge Academy | Rockbridge Academy | Rockbridge Academy | ||
| Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | ||
| Salisbury School | Salisbury School | Salisbury School | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Sandy Spring Friends | Sandy Spring Friends | ||
| School Without Walls | School Without Walls | School Without Walls | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | ||
| St James School | St James School | St James School | ||
| St Johns Catholic Prep | St Johns Catholic Prep | St Johns Catholic Prep | ||
| St Johns College | St Johns College | St Johns College | ||
| St Marys | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | ||
| St Timothys | St Timothys | St Timothys | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | ||
| Tome School | Tome School | Tome School | ||
| Washington Latin | Washington Latin | Washington Latin | ||
| Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | ||
| Aberdeen | Aberdeen | Aberdeen | ||
| Academy for College & Ca | Academy for College & Ca | Academy for College & Ca | ||
| Annapolis | Annapolis | Annapolis | ||
| Arundel | Arundel | Arundel | ||
| Atholton | Atholton | Atholton | ||
| Baltimore Polytechnic | Baltimore Polytechnic | Baltimore Polytechnic | ||
| Bel Air | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | ||
| Bladensburg | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Blair | Blair | Blair 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Blake | Blake | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Blake | |
| Bohemia Manor | Bohemia Manor | Bohemia Manor | ||
| Boonsboro | Boonsboro | Boonsboro | ||
| Bowie | Bowie | Bowie | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Broadneck | |
| Brunswick | Brunswick | Brunswick | ||
| Calvert | Calvert | Calvert | ||
| Cambridge SD | Cambridge SD | Cambridge SD | ||
| Carver A&T | Carver A&T | Carver A&T | ||
| Catoctin | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | Catonsville | ||
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial | ||
| Central PG | Central PG | Central PG | ||
| Century | Century | Century | ||
| CH Flowers | CH Flowers | CH Flowers | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Chopticon | Chopticon | Chopticon | ||
| City College | City College | City College | ||
| Clarksburg | Clarksburg | Clarksburg | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| CMIT North | CMIT North | CMIT North | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | Damascus 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | Dulaney | ||
| Dundalk | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| DuVal | DuVal | DuVal | ||
| Eastern Technical | Eastern Technical | Eastern Technical | ||
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Edgewood | Edgewood | ||
| Einstein | Einstein | Einstein | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Eleanor Roosevelt | Eleanor Roosevelt | ||
| Elkton | Elkton | Elkton | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Fairmont Heights | Fairmont Heights | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | Fallston | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | Franklin | ||
| Frederick | Frederick | Frederick | ||
| Frederick Douglass PG | Frederick Douglass PG | Frederick Douglass PG | ||
| Gaithersburg | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Gov Thomas Johnson | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Gov Thomas Johnson | |
| Great Mills | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Guilford Park | Guilford Park | Guilford Park | ||
| Gwynn Park | Gwynn Park | Gwynn Park | ||
| Hammond | Hammond | Hammond | ||
| Harford Tech | Harford Tech | Harford Tech | ||
| Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | Hereford | ||
| Howard | Howard | Howard | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | JM Bennett | JM Bennett | ||
| Kennedy | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Kent County | Kent County | Kent County | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Kenwood | Kenwood | ||
| La Plata | La Plata | La Plata | ||
| Lackey | Lackey | Lackey | ||
| Lansdowne | Lansdowne | Lansdowne | ||
| Laurel | Laurel | Laurel | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Linganore | Linganore | Linganore | ||
| Loch Raven | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Long Reach | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Magruder | Magruder | Magruder 6- 0 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | ||
| Meade | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | Middletown | ||
| Milford Mill | Milford Mill | Milford Mill | ||
| MJ McDonough | MJ McDonough | MJ McDonough | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | ||
| New Town | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| North Caroline | North Caroline | North Caroline | ||
| North County | North County | North County | ||
| North Dorchester | North Dorchester | North Dorchester | ||
| North East Cecil | North East Cecil | North East Cecil | ||
| North Hagerstown | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | North Point | North Point | ||
| Northeast | Northeast | Northeast | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Northwest | Northwest | ||
| Northwestern PG | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Northwood | Northwood | Northwood | ||
| Oakdale | Oakdale | Oakdale | ||
| Oakland Mills | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Old Mill | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Overlea | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Owings Mills | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Oxon Hill | Oxon Hill | Oxon Hill | ||
| Paint Branch | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Parkdale | Parkdale | Parkdale | ||
| Parkside | Parkside | Parkside | ||
| Parkville | Parkville | Parkville | ||
| Patapsco | Patapsco | Patapsco | ||
| Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Patuxent | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Perry Hall | Perry Hall | Perry Hall | ||
| Perryville | Perryville | Perryville | ||
| Pikesville | Pikesville | Pikesville | ||
| Poolesville | Poolesville | Poolesville | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Randallstown | Randallstown | Randallstown | ||
| Randallstown | Randallstown | Randallstown | ||
| Reservoir | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | ||
| Rising Sun | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| River Hill | River Hill | River Hill | ||
| Rockville | Rockville | insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3) | Rockville | |
| Severn Run | Severn Run | Severn Run | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Smithsburg | Smithsburg | Smithsburg | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | South Carroll | ||
| South Hagerstown | South Hagerstown | South Hagerstown | ||
| South River | South River | South River | ||
| Southern | Southern | Southern | ||
| Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | ||
| Springbrook | Springbrook | Springbrook 4- 2 vs 2- 4 | ||
| St Charles | St Charles | St Charles | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Thomas Stone | Thomas Stone | Thomas Stone | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| Tuscarora | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Urbana | |
| Walkersville | Walkersville | Walkersville | ||
| Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Watkins Mill | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Western Baltimore | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Western STES | Western STES | Western STES | ||
| Westlake | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | Westminster | ||
| Wheaton | Wheaton | Wheaton | ||
| Whitman | Whitman | Whitman 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Wicomico | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Wilde Lake | Wilde Lake | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Wilde Lake | |
| Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Winters Mill | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Woodlawn | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Wootton | Wootton | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Wootton |
PowerWise = 22
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Wheaton ( 6- 7, 71.5) 3- 8 -28.44 9.47 -0.45 0.92 -26.59
0 H Northwest ( 8- 5, 76.9) 0-12 -23.05 14.87 -0.45 0.92 -21.62
0 A Richard Montgo ( 9- 6, 75.7) 0-17 -24.21 13.71 0.45 0.92 -21.87
0 H Gaithersburg ( 0-13, 65.2) 6- 4 -34.72 3.20 -0.45 0.92 2.53
0 A Clarksburg ( 4-10, 71.4) 2- 4 -28.51 9.41 0.45 0.92 -25.82
0 A Einstein ( 8- 5, 71.7) 2-14 -28.17 9.75 0.45 0.92 -25.51
0 H Bethesda-Chevy ( 9- 5, 83.5) 0-11 -16.44 21.48 -0.45 0.92 -15.54
0 H Poolesville ( 8- 6, 76.2) 2-11 -23.73 14.19 -0.45 0.92 -22.25
0 A Kennedy ( 2-12, 65.4) 10- 6 -34.50 3.42 0.45 0.92 3.56
0 H Northwood ( 4- 9, 70.2) 4- 5 -29.71 8.21 -0.45 0.92 -27.76
0 A Paint Branch ( 3-10, 68.9) 11- 4 -31.04 6.88 0.45 0.92 6.75
0 A Watkins Mill ( 1-12, 65.2) 8- 7 -34.66 3.26 0.45 0.92 3.42
0 H Clarksburg ( 4-10, 71.4) 3- 9 -28.51 9.41 -0.45 0.92 -26.65
------
-197.36
|
winning pts = 16.2555 losing points = -213.6159
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------